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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    I am much more optimistic about Garver. I am a believer in hard work and I think Garver can improve from his poor catching last year and approach average. His bat at catcher will be an asset.
  2. jorgenswest
    If Castro has the skill to reduce the number of pitches in an inning and game that impacts the staff long term. It might help the starter go an extra inning and reduce the load on the pen. It might help the pitcher stay stronger keeping him out of long innings. This has a positive long term impact. Last year Wilson was the main catcher for Berrios and Gibson while Garver was the main catcher for Lynn and Odorizzi. I don’t know how much impact Wilson had on the success Berrios and Gibson. Maybe Gibson and Berrios are simply better pitchers. Would we have been that surprised though if it was Lynn or Odorizzi with the better year than Gibson? How much did Wilson matter? We don’t have the data to make an assessment. We are not in the rooms where catchers and pitchers prep for future games. Maybe that connection is critical. I rely on the staff on this call. I will add that Astudillo has to be in the line up tonight. Play him at catcher or replace him in the line up for anyone other than Buxton or Cruz. Between he and Marwin every position is covered. Put him in somewhere and keep him in at least until someone gets him out.
  3. jorgenswest
    The increase in velocity is real. I would imagine the changes he has made to his delivery are causing some of the troubles with command. I think that will improve as the year progresses.
  4. jorgenswest
    The stats I have seen for bunts are skewed. They only count successful bunts. They don’t count the failed bunt attempts that put the hitter behind in the count and don’t end in a bunt attempt. If the data doesn’t account for those failures all bunters will look pretty good.
  5. jorgenswest
    I don’t think it is that easy to bunt. It takes good hands and pitch recognition. It takes hard work which I don’t think anyone doubts about Buxton. The downside of bunting is getting behind early in the count and then having to fight to get back in the count. You really need good pitch recognition to win that battle. He just had a series where he had two hits that rank as his top two exit velocities of his career. I would rather he put the majority of work towards barreling up the ball.
  6. jorgenswest
    An interesting mix to follow... There are some relatively young starting pitchers that have a chance to take a step and show they can be part of the 2020 rotation. Torreyes and Wade provide depth with options should a need arise on the major league bench. Rooker and Gordon have the opportunity show they are ready to fit in as a 2020 starter. Let’s hope Romero dominates and joins the big league pen in a high leverage role this year. Raley, Wiel and Vazquez are all young enough to take a step forward and help the big league club. Rosario and Baldespin are projects to see if they can reclaim their promise from their days as a prospect. There is a lot to follow on this team. I look forward to the daily reports from TD. I so appreciate the hard work of the minor league update crew.
  7. jorgenswest
    Is it reasonable that he gets 2 starts at catcher and 2 starts at 3B a week? Gonzalez can sit one and replace Schoop on the other day. At the point Sano returns maybe he has shown enough to get a bigger share of catcher.
  8. jorgenswest
    Astudillo puts the ball in play. We need him here.
  9. jorgenswest
    Garver wasn’t very helpful to the pitchers last year. He was the main catcher for Lynn and Odorizzi. I really hope that his work this winter improve his catching to an adequate level. It would be nice to have his bat in the line up at catcher.
  10. jorgenswest
    The Twins won the strike zone that day against a pitcher with a Cy Young reputation and a very good catcher. Let’s hope for more strike zone wins. The catching trio is very encouraging to me. I am hopeful about the defense of both Garver and Astudillo approaching average with their above average bats for a catcher.
  11. jorgenswest
    I guess I would wonder about the record for the season prior to the 82-80 or 80-82. Were those teams that fired managers also around 81 wins?
  12. jorgenswest
    You might be better looking to the median of 30 for those 26 for typical starter which is .712. I will take that difference in OPS in return for above average defense at catcher. I would do the same in center field. I would have said the same thing about shortstop but infield shifting may be lessening the impact of great defense at that spot.
  13. jorgenswest
    There should have been no thought to pinch hitting for Castro in the 7th with a two run lead. He rewarded the team in the top 8 with that called strike 3 on a 3-2 count. That was so impactful. With another catcher it could easily have been ball 4. Rogers then needs to go deeper in the 8th with the top of the line up. Maybe he gets out of it but can’t finish the 9th as he would be facing at least Santana. When the Twins are behind in the 7th pinch hitting would make sense.
  14. jorgenswest
    So many positives and Berrios dominated. I really appreciated Castro behind the plate. The Indians were off balance all game. I don’t know if Baldelli considered pinch hitting for him in the bottom of the 7th but he really helped with that last out in the 8th receiving that called strike on the bottom edge of the strike zone.
  15. jorgenswest
    Harper is 30. He isn’t a developmental project. He needs to be trusted in some high leverage outings or he shouldn’t be on the roster. I wouldn’t try to protect him from those tough outings. That kind of role should go to a younger guy they are building up like they built up Pressly.
  16. jorgenswest
    Isn’t WPA a counting stat? Wouldn’t it be far worse to have a poorer WPA in fewer innings? Should we discount a home run title because a batter didn’t have enough plate appearances?
  17. jorgenswest
    Hildenberger and Rogers have options. Les hope all three pitch so well that they stay in the majors.
  18. jorgenswest
    There is a lot of space between below average and bad. I think it is a rare skill set to be play several positions at an adequate level with a bat that is at least league average. I am not confident that his play at SS is still adequate but I think he will be at least adequate at 3B, 2B and LF and provide a good deal of flexibility.
  19. jorgenswest
    Should we be looking over the long term or would it be a very busy week or a couple of back to back games close together? I have no idea how to judge but it seems a short period of overuse could have an effect that lasts for a stretch. I also wonder about that 2.2 out of 23.1 which probably represents 3 outings or almost 10% of the 23.1. I am not confident that is insignificant. The other unknown is how many times the manager warmed the reliever up. I will be interested to see if Baldelli manages the pen differently.
  20. jorgenswest
    I think the teams like Baltimore with a high waiver claim will wait to see who is available on waivers. Why make a deal for Austin? Wait and claim him or claim a similar player.
  21. jorgenswest
    I would wait until the quarter point of the season before looking at any statistics. Earlier than that and this spring I would watch each of Buxton’s at bats. If he is attacking strikes and avoiding the breaking balls out of the zone I would be encouraged. There is no way to make any conclusion on Harper’s handful of innings against the opponents reserves. We rely on the skilled eyes of the staff.
  22. jorgenswest
    I am willing to pay a cost this year to get a Berrios extension of team control.
  23. jorgenswest
    I will wondered the same thing but most teams use their closers earlier in the game. The reserves are in at the end. Trevor May saw the last of the Red Sox starters.
  24. jorgenswest
    Thanks for pointing out the Hughes adjustment from SpoTrac. It still seems reasonable that the final 2019 will be fairly close to the 2018. I really didn’t think it would be close last fall. Let’s hope they are buyers, sign a couple more guys to extensions or both.
  25. jorgenswest
    SpotTrac has the Twins 2019 payroll at more than the final payroll for 2018. It won’t stay that way if they are sellers but by various accounts 2019 is not far off from 2018.
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