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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. jorgenswest
    Back to plan B and I appreciate those stay on topic. Did Jimmy Nelson land anywhere? With his injuries he might be a reliever now but there is talent in that arm.
  2. jorgenswest
    I think Byron Buxton plays 140 games and is team MVP.
  3. jorgenswest
    Hill would be insurance against injury for the second half. There are so many question marks and their need for a Hill in the second half appears greater than most. They should top other team’s offers and win this deal.
  4. jorgenswest
    It isn’t about “wouldn’t have wanted to” it is simply about control. I would absolutely get the best I can for Escobar in a lost season and no more control. Good move. I would not have traded Pressly and his additional year of control knowing that I was going to have to replace him for 2019. Really bad move.
  5. jorgenswest
    He really only used two pitches while in the majors last year. If spending some time in AAA working on the change up will help his development I would start there. Give him short starts in AAA and make sure to mix in the change up. If he shows an improved change up in the spring put him on the opening day roster but I wouldn’t plan to have him in the rotation. As for the opener that is fine but I hope they don’t worry about who is getting the win. If not getting a win has a negative impact on his performance imagine how many other things will. The main reason it reduces stress on his arm is because he starts with the bottom of the line up and sees the heart of the order and those difficult battles less often.
  6. jorgenswest
    They traded Escobar for prospects and replaced him with Marwin.
  7. jorgenswest
    I think the total pay out matters more than the year but if Price’s health risk is worse than Ryu’s then I would back off on Price. I don’t think Ryu gives more than two years of starts out of four but maybe Price does make it through 2. I guess they are both the next injury away from ending a career and the Twins should avoid both. I am finding arguments persuasive that these deals are going to work out pretty badly. I went in thinking the Twins needed to get three established and go with youth on the 5th spot but maybe two is the better plan.
  8. jorgenswest
    I can’t either but I think paying him the 96 is a similar risk to paying what it would have taken to get Bumgarner or Ryu and a better bet than Keuchel. If I was advocating for Bumgarner or Ryu then I need to advocate for Price. The cost of pitching has skyrocketed in salary and the cost in trade and prospects will rise accordingly. The Twins might have the best two deals of the winter in Odorizzi and Pineda but they need one more. On the other hand the comments about Price are persuasive. It might be better to lock up Donaldson and get Walker.
  9. jorgenswest
    I think they pay the full Price now. 96 million assuming the medical checks out. I would prefer Price than Ryu at 80 million and a lot better than Keuchel. They lose the year at the end of the deal on Ryu but I would rather have three years. Price may make more starts in three years than the oft injured Ryu in four. Is Price more valuable than Donaldson plus the hope in a guy like Walker?
  10. jorgenswest
    Second base White Sox ranked 8th and Twins 29th according to Fangraphs WAR. They had a net +14 DRS compared to the Twins and 13.2 by DRS. With more Arraez at 2B this year the Twins can only go backwards here. Shortstop White Sox 29th and Twins 30th. The Twins UZR at SS was -15.9 vs. -9.2 for the White Sox. Third base White Sox 3rd. Twins 25th. Keuchel may have disagreed with the opinion that Chicago’s infield defense is worse than the Twins.
  11. jorgenswest
    Really respect the reply here. Short, genuine and humorous. I don’t find myself as passionate but it captures so well for me the passion of many.
  12. jorgenswest
    On the 40 man... Pineda would be on the restricted list. During the season he would not count on the 40. I am not certain if he would be on the 40 in the off-season. With Clippard and Romo it seems less likely that Wisler would make the team. He doesn’t have options so at some point they would likely have to DFA him. When they need a spot on the 40 it might be his spot. Harper is a candidate also but his options give him some value as a shuttle reliever.
  13. jorgenswest
    In the 13 games started by Smeltzer, Dobnak and Thorpe the Twins went 8-5. I think two of those were openers where they went 1-1. It is not as if every single game is dependent on the starter. The difference between Keuchel and whichever of the 4 is most effective may be negligible. In fact since the Twins can roll through 4 pitchers the odds might be that one of them is a match for Keuchel. The Twins need one more playoff caliber pitcher but then I think the are better served giving the rest of the starts to the younger pitchers. The only free agent left that I would trust is Ryu. A long term deal to any other could be years of mediocrity blocking the opportunity to develop pitching in house. Add 1 starter and go with two younger starters until Pineda. The better of the young starters gets the fifth spot or by then maybe Graterol takes over. They need to invest 40-50 starts into those young pitchers.
  14. jorgenswest
    Small to mid market teams have to develop their own pitching. Cleveland contends and has developed pitchers at the major league level. The Twins need one more starter but they also need to risk handing the ball 40-50 times to their younger near ready starters.
  15. jorgenswest
    I wonder also. It could be that good but not great relievers go year to year when they get to their 30s. They more often get moved at the deadline. They are more easily replaced so why go two years? Romo and Rodney have moved a few times and I don’t think they are clubhouse trouble.
  16. jorgenswest
    I think they will acquire one starter and go with two of the younger pitchers until Pineda arrives. I think one will emerge when given the opportunity. I look forward to watching the young pitchers progress.
  17. jorgenswest
    A little puzzled that the post was quoted and questioned here. I suggested “going to have to make a trade” yet it was asked why is it we can’t trade for a young guy... I think my missing key word is young and if that is the case I agree I should have added trade for a young guy and have them take the next step towards front line starter. I agree that we do not need to trade for an established ace and particularly one in their 30s with decline ahead.
  18. jorgenswest
    I thought and think now that Odorizzi is as likely a front line starter as Wheeler or Bumgarner. I argued that they were extremes in the number of pitchers faced with Odorizzi at 4 and Wheeler and Bumgarner over 50. Those plate appearance of complete dominance against opposing pitchers added innings to their total, lengthened starts and reduced the number of high stress innings. I don’t know of any is a front line starter but I don’t think that it is universally accepted that a line can be drawn between them. The Twins signed Odorizzi and need one more similar. I think that other is going to have to come in trade or the (unexpected on my part) development of someone in house.
  19. jorgenswest
    Baseball Trade Values suggests that Lewis, Balazovic and Rooker would be the same value.
  20. jorgenswest
    Berrios still can become an ace. They need to pay up and extend him.
  21. jorgenswest
    Hernandez was a rule 5 pick up from the Astros prior to 2018. The 2018 season was a lost season of development stashed on the major league roster. In 2019 he started in AAA and was lights out for 9 starts. He came up in June and had several good outings mixed with a few really bad ones. He has 2 options remaining. He would be a steal in a trade for Jake Cave.
  22. jorgenswest
    I agree. Unless they sign Cole they have the money to sign a Bumgarner or Ryu and extend Berrios. It will take some of the 2020 budget to get the extensions done.
  23. jorgenswest
    Can we devote budget in extensions to Berrios and Buxton? They might want to invest into Sano and Rogers extensions also. Get the best pitcher they can and spend the remainder on extending the current players. Berrios is critical here. Pay up this year to lock him in for two additional years.
  24. jorgenswest
    Chapman is one of the most valuable assets in baseball. The Twins don’t have anyone close to his value. I would love to have his remaining four years of control. The cost would be massive though and I am not sure it is the area of greatest need.
  25. jorgenswest
    The Twins needed another catcher. Any injury during the season and they would be turning to the 2020 version of Bobby Wilson. They now have options depth in Cave, Wade, Raley, Gordon and Astudillo with additional corner depth near ready not yet on the 40.
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