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dxpavelka

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Everything posted by dxpavelka

  1. dxpavelka
    Rest assured, you were NOT the only one appalled with the handling of Arcia last year. It may have been a relatively small sample size but Eduardo Nunez was the only guy on the club to finish with more at bats & a higher batting average than Arcia last year. Could very well have been on his way to turning the corner but we may never know.
  2. dxpavelka
    Keeping Sweeney or Quentin over Arcia or Santana has the smell of a bonehead move that bites us in the ass for years to come.
  3. dxpavelka
    Wouldn't be the worst thing in the world for him to pitch to the level of his contract and force his way into the rotation.
  4. dxpavelka
    Like I said, he's only gonna get the chance if a lot of stuff goes wrong in the Zoo. But he's someone who, given the opportunity, I got a feeling he'll run with it. That said, he's not even the first guy named Aaron who is in line for increased opportunity there.
  5. dxpavelka
    Aaron Judge is just an old guy with a big nearly expiring contract falling and breaking a hip away from taking Yankee Stadium by storm.
  6. dxpavelka
    What would REALLY be fun would be to put him at 3B (move Plouffe to the OF if you want to move somebody) pencil him into the lineup in the # 4 spot and not look back for 15 years. Eventually, inevitably he moves across the diamond and eventually back to DH but those things sort themselves out when time comes. My biggest fear is that as a young kid he could take any defensive struggles he might have with him to the plate. I've been called crazy for worrying about such things but stranger things have happened. Why mess with the kid? Put him where he's comfortable and for the first time since the early '70s we can look to a decade of no concerns about the cleanup spot in the order. Seems simple enough to me. Why complicate things?
  7. dxpavelka
    The only level of certainty regarding the SS position is that is still a position that needs to be upgraded if we wish to be a serious contender. Just sayin
  8. dxpavelka
    The game is still played on the field by guys who can pitch, hit, catch, throw and run. When the analytics guys master those skills I'll put a little more faith in them.
  9. dxpavelka
    May HAS proven he can get big league hitters out, something neither Berrios nor Meyer has done. Granted, Berrios has not had the opportunity. Regardless until one of them comes up and actually performs he's a hell of a lot closer to being an ace than either one of them. It is also highly unlikely that anyone who will leave Florida as a member of the rotation has a better chance of being an ace either. As far as Berrios & Meyer are concerned, I'd have no issue with the two of them and May being part of our rotation by the end of this season and for many years beyond. As far as who gets to be considered the "ace", it's all just semantics anyway, let them decide that over the next 5-10 years on the field.
  10. dxpavelka
    May to the pen is a foolish move. He's got the best chance of anybody to become an ace capable of giving us 200+ lights out innings a year and we're wasting him in a role where MIGHT pitch half that many innings. Get with it Twins.
  11. dxpavelka
    Noticed a few comments about spending money on the pen. Bullpen is probably the last place you should spend money. For every Kevin Jepsen who gives you a reasonable return on your money, there's a Matt Capps-and a Ron Davis--and some years a Blaine Boyer AND a Tim Stauffer. Most teams that successfully rebuild a bullpen do so with young arms from the farm. No need for this team to do otherwise.
  12. dxpavelka
    So you're not going to bite on the predictions for this year either. Hell, you didn't even copy that part of my post. Low hanging fruit has been used and now---nothing.
  13. dxpavelka
    You're justifying the use of BABIP because it worked last year. I'm simply asking what's going to happen this year with the low hanging fruit already having been used. Are those crickets I'm hearing?
  14. dxpavelka
    Don't need to be a stat geek or BAPIP disciple to predict that a guy who 43 points higher as a rookie than his MILB career average and had an OPS a hundred points higher than his minor league average would most likely suffer some regression. If somebody wants to prove their genius tell me what he's going to do THIS year. I'm going with a .270 average and an OPS just north of .700.
  15. dxpavelka
    Still calling bull****. NOTHING Santana or any other player does in one year has anything to do with what he does in a subsequent year. Those things may have an impact on how a few stat geeks perceive his chances of success but they have absolutely no bearing on his actual success. Had Santana drawn more walks, struck out fewer times or hit more home runs in 2014, his success rate in 2015 would have had nothing to do with his BABIP and everything to do with the fact that he was a better ball player than he was being given credit for. How would you have explained if he HAD done those things in 2014 but not in 2015?
  16. dxpavelka
    At least the rubes will have something to whine about.
  17. dxpavelka
    " The average BABIP is .300 and the best way to look at it is a measurement of luck or unlucky." Good luck with that. Might as well try to predict what his fortune cookie is going to say. Bottom line is that you CAN'T take walks, strikeouts & home runs out of the equation and even if you could, why the hell would you want to. You might as well tell folks that his batting average in at bats that he gets a single in is 1.000.
  18. dxpavelka
    Danny Santana's 2014 batting average was extremely useful--In 2014. We all forget that last year's performance means exactly jack **** this year.
  19. dxpavelka
    Guess we'll never know...... It's still a mostly useless stat...
  20. dxpavelka
    Couldn't agree more--About the BABIP. Seems like one of those numbers that a whole bunch of folks parrot others on and when it goes the way they think it will they talk a whole lot of smack but if it goes the other way all we hear is crickets.
  21. dxpavelka
    Buxton's the best defensive option and, as such, should be the odds on favorite because of 4 little words: Corner outfielder Miguel Sano.
  22. dxpavelka
    He is after All-Star breaks.
  23. dxpavelka
    And neither of those things would ever happen. Right?
  24. dxpavelka
    So let me paraphrase here: Since video game developers don't think Mike Trout's offense would be affected by catching, Miguel Sano's bat won't be Affected by playing a different position? And you present THAT as evidence. A special kind of......
  25. dxpavelka
    I'll take a stab at this one. I was calling my shot for Eddie Rosario for a year and a half before the Twins finally dialed the phone. I continue to believe he is an extremely vital cog in the future of this club and am not totally convinced that future will be in the outfield. A thought that a certain second basemen who seems to be developing a penchant for hot starts and slow finishes might want to take note of.
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