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dxpavelka

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Everything posted by dxpavelka

  1. dxpavelka
    Why do we just assume that because he's a big guy he can't play defense? He's a 21 year old kid. Let's see what he can do-with the bat and with the glove. Obviously, having missed all of last year and with no big league experience he's likely going to have to spend part, if not most or all of 2015 in the minors. But when he gets here we need to take the Thome route-pencil him into the lineup at 3B for about 3 seasons and let the chips fall where they may. You'd be surprised how many Gold Gloves have been won by guys who hit 40 home runs but couldn't play defense to save their lives. Put him into the lineup at 3B for a few years commencing late 2015 or early 2016 and guess what-at the end of that time Joe Mauer's contract is up and we may have a open spot at the other corner.
  2. dxpavelka
    Calling a guy who hit 5 after the break a given might be an indication that we're not exactly setting the bar too high.
  3. dxpavelka
    Nobody's dismissing the use of statistics. At issue is the attempt of so many to re-invent the wheel-insisting that the new stuff that's been around for 10 years is so much better than the tried and true stuff that's worked for a hundred years. Don't get me wrong. I was reading Bill James' stuff 30 years ago-when a lot of these youngsters were still in diapers. It was, and still is, interesting reading. But the game isn't played on paper it's played on the field. If computers could guarantee us winners we wouldn't need to use human players with flaws and intangibles that nobody can measure and all 30 teams would win the World Series every year. Wouldn't that be grand.
  4. dxpavelka
    Baseball's a simple game. Advanced metrics are nice-especially for guys who live in their mother's basement, but bottom line is your players gotta out perform the other team's players. Advanced metrics MAY help with that but their ability to do so may just as as easily be overstated. Perhaps you need to develop a metric to measure that. It still boils down to hitting, catching throwing & running. If every team were run by Bill James 29 of them would still not win the World Series each year.
  5. dxpavelka
    Again-useless paramaters.
  6. dxpavelka
    I'll give you Trout, Bautista, Brantley, Cruz, A.Jones, Cespedes, M. Cabrerra & Gordon. The rest do nothing for me. Sorry. You can use WAR all you want. But if I can't measure it myself by looking a box score, it's useless to me.
  7. dxpavelka
    No one has responded to the challenge.
  8. dxpavelka
    IF at some point this year he's blocking someone who is not just an alternative but is a BETTER alternative that will be a good thing and will bode well for the future. Haven't seen that guy yet. Hope I do, but haven't yet.
  9. dxpavelka
    I also challenge anyone to name 10 American League outfielders who had better offensive seasons than Hunter did last year. Not to say that will translate to this year or that it might not hurt our outfield defense but could it be any worse than last year?
  10. dxpavelka
    On paper that theory is 100% correct. However, I've learned that the games aren't played on paper. Just because a guy shows some pop from the leadoff spot doesn't mean he's going to do the same from a 3-5 spot with guys on base. He's likely to see different pitches. He may not react as well to a higher pressure situation. He may even be more likely to face a situational relief pitcher. It's not always an apples to apples comparison.
  11. dxpavelka
    Mauer's not a horrible idea for the leadoff spot. Whitey Herzog batted George Brett, whose career numbers are not terribly dissimilar to Mauer's, in the top spot 132 times. His reasoning was that doing so got his best hitter to the plate more times than any other spot.
  12. dxpavelka
    Maybe he gets better with regular appearances. We tend to forget that he's only played 150 big league games and that in 2014 he raised his batting average 23 points and his OBP 82 points from 2013. I'm more concerned by his power drop in 2014 but would be less so if he were batting leadoff.
  13. dxpavelka
    We currently have a solid but not spectacular 3B. You could move him to OF or you could move Sano. We are thinking of Sano as a 3B because that is what we have been told that he is. My guess is that his best position will be AB. Just because one of the two guys may end up switching positions doesn't mean it HAS to be one or the other. Whichever move is best for the overall makeup of the team is the one that should be made. We are a long way from having any kind of clue what that move is.
  14. dxpavelka
    And yet one of our biggest concerns is the lack of MLB quality outfield play.
  15. dxpavelka
    My god people. I know the man's a legend and is our hero and we're all Minnesota Nice but if we're going to take the time to write the damn article and comment on it we need to devote more than two sentences to the POSSIBLITY that there MAY have been some performance enhancing substances involved in this mystery. Did anyone notice that the scrawny 24 year old kid we all fell in love with weighed over 300 pounds when he died at the age of 45, 10 years after being forced to retire due to the loss of vision in one of his eyes. Don't tell anyone but exagerated weight gain and vision issues are common side effects of steroids. If we're going to have a discussion about Kirby's mysterious power surge we need to devote more than two sentences (one of which was more of a joke than a comment) to it.
  16. dxpavelka
    The 5th spot should go to whichever guy takes the job by the balls and wins it. Not to Pelfrey because of his contract. Not to Meyer or May because of their potential. Not to Milone because of his experience. Not to one of them (or somebody else) who backs into the job by being the LEAST INNEFECTIVE guy. My gut tells me that when the dust settles Milone wins the job.
  17. dxpavelka
    "MOST. PRODUCTIVE. OFFSEASON. EVER" Somebody get back to me when Offseason Production counts in the regular season standings.
  18. dxpavelka
    Or maybe we realize that Kepler's probably never going to be a centerfielder and thus is not relevant to the current discussion of the 2015 season.
  19. dxpavelka
    One MIGHT be able to make such a statement about the current state of the Nationals, but in reality, they haven't done anything yet. The last time a Washington baseball club won a Post-Season series, Walter Johnson was on the mound.
  20. dxpavelka
    "I think the biggest problem this team will have in 2015 is, there are too many starting pitchers under contract." Said no general manager or manager in the history of baseball.
  21. dxpavelka
    Pretty much the same story for every team in the history of baseball.
  22. dxpavelka
    "Will the resurgence be as abrupt as it was in those aforementioned instances? Of course, the answer is 'probably not." Of course the answer to the same question in those afforementioned instances was also 'probably not'.
  23. dxpavelka
    If we're giving 2014 performance the most weight then the pendulum probably swings in the direction of Milone.
  24. dxpavelka
    I'm totally fine with May, Meyer, Milone or even Pelfrey WINNING the job in camp. You've already pretty much committed to 4 spots going to guys who don't have to win them. Nothing wrong with making at least one guy take the route that got Gibson the job last year. Do you REALLY think that a guy who can't get the job done in March is magically going to get it done over the course of the following six months? There's also no guarantee that the first four will emerge from camp unscathed and totally healthy. If I didn't know what team I was reading about when I read all these comments I'd think we were discussing the 1971 Orioles. We had the worst rotation in the league last year. Pretty sure we are not quite yet at the point where we now have an embarrasment of riches at the position but it is nice to have viable options. All that being said, I'm sure I'm in the minority, but I expect that Milone breaks camp as the # 5. I'm far less concerned about the makeup of the rotation in April than I am in the makeup of the rotation from May to September.
  25. dxpavelka
    The point is that all those guys, at one point or another, and to varying degrees had opportunities presented to them and took those opportunities and ran with them. If Santana had performed in a Hicks esque manner he would have been back in Rochester in short order. Same for Vargys.
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