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PDX Twin

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  1. Rocco would be a great bench coach, using his analytics to help inform the manager, who makes the decisions taking that into account along with the human and tactical elements. He could be totally empathetic with the players. Just don't let him make the decisions.
  2. If I'm remembering correctly, Megan Rapinoe had two ACL ruptures early in her career. (I vividly remember watching from the stands as she limped off after the first.) She went on to be an international superstar in a sport that is much more physically demanding than baseball. It's probably all about how the individual heals, but there is hope.
  3. This is one of the places where Win Probability Added fails. Thielbar rather than Gordon got the demerits for the latter's grievous error that lost the game.
  4. What if the added velocity leads to arm problems and more time on the IL? The solution could be more of the problem.
  5. By that metric, Judge must be worth $100m and Ohtani $150m?
  6. Lost in the recriminations about the lost season: Rocco managed the bullpen well last night!
  7. IF (a big IF) history is any guide, these guys will all miss most of next season with injuries. This is the Twins, after all. ?
  8. Nick, I appreciate both the content of the article and its presentation. Highly professional writing, which is not always the case on this (or any) blog.
  9. I agree with this. They are putting in the time, collecting their paychecks, and waiting for October, when they can resume their non-baseball lives. Remember Eddie Rosario firing up Buxton and Kepler with their three-man jump balls to celebrate a catch or a win? Eddie is long gone, Buxton is in the hospital, and Kepler is just going through the motions. Most of the team is kids who are trying to learn how to behave as big-league players. They are being taught (by example) that a hand-shake and a smile is all they need to do to celebrate success and that failure is just "Oh well." There is no fire! They are being taught to suppress the emotions of the game, whether joy or anguish, that they felt in college and high school and probably still have inside of them. Eddie is long gone. Kirby is (sadly) long gone. Maybe the whiz-kids in the back room can re-program Rocco's laptop to tell him to "CHEER" when someone does well or "RANT" when someone makes an inexcusable mistake. But I doubt it. He is who he is, and he reflects the "scientific" rather than "human" approach to the game that seems to dominate our front office. That's why I don't really expect this to change. It's the "organizational culture." (And one that many on this site welcomed.) Boring-ball is, I fear, here to stay.
  10. You mean after losing three must-win games in a row (after losing three must-win games to Cleveland last weekend), there are more must-win games. If they were literally must-win games, then nothing more would matter after losing them. And that's where we are. They are seven games out with 17 to play and two teams ahead of them. There is no chance that they win the division. On the other side, our magic number to clinch third is down to 3!
  11. He's paid to sound optimistic. I would expect that he is wrong if "this thing" is the Twins' hopes for the season. I would hope that he is wrong if "this thing" is his Twins' career.
  12. Maybe, as the son of a coach, he will already know how to bunt and hit to all fields, skills that the Twins seem unable or unwilling to develop in their prospects.
  13. I really hope he makes it to the Twins. We need more Puccini as walk-up music!
  14. It's self-defense, kind of like ducking when the bullet start flying or heading to the basement in a tornado warning. My coping mechanism is to avoid watching.
  15. What are the town-ball restrictions on professional vs. amateur status? Can one simply become amateur again after leaving organized ball? Or are professionals allowed to play in town leagues?
  16. My prediction: Entire division under .500. Perhaps difficult because the leaders play each other so often. At this point, I don't really care much who wins. It's kind of like a "race" between crippled horses to see who gets to enter (and finish last in) the Kentucky Derby.
  17. Why do we need to rank them? Just a list of these amazing pitches and pitchers is sufficient.
  18. Maybe a conversation with Mr. Carew is in order.
  19. Cave actually had one over 0.550 last week. Key hits from unexpected places!
  20. To me, he really looks disinterested and distracted. I wonder if something else is going on in his life that makes it hard to be excited about baseball.
  21. I have a naïve hypothesis about Pagan, so let me share it and then you all can shoot it down. Given his shaky control, he throws 4-5 pitches in most at-bats. The metrics other than actual contact ones are decent. Maybe this is because in each at-bat he throws 3-4 really good pitches, and they count in many of the non-contract metrics (velocity, spin rate, etc.) but all too often he gets behind in the count and mixes in a meatball that gets killed. Batters know that they can wait for the hittable pitch and then crush it, or maybe take a walk, Does this make sense to anyone except me? When I was teaching budding economists, I always stressed the need to look beyond any single summary statistic about the economy to try to interpret what was consistent with the multi-dimensional data available. (Great current example: GDP is stagnant but the labor market is very hot.) This seems like a similar case of needing to look at exactly what each metric is saying rather than just seeing a lot of blue or a lot of red on the chart.
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