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Original_JB

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Everything posted by Original_JB

  1. Original_JB
    Except it won't. If there are teams spending $200M+ a year on payroll, making a $50M payroll team spend $100M/yr isn't going to fly because truly, what is there to gain? Will (should) they be a incrementally better team? Should be. But MLB isn't a game of increments. You either qualify for the playoffs (and its $$$), or you don't. The only way the floor works is if they expand the playoffs to the point where it minimizes the financial risk of spending the money. Unless, of course, MLB goes "all in" and pools 100% of the television revenue and splits it evenly amongst the teams. Then you're talking bout enough money to restructure the entire league to a whole different pay structure (becomes a true "league" as opposed to a collection of independent contractors working under a pact).
  2. Original_JB
    Why not go with a 4 year 'rolling average' type floor. That gives teams time/room to build for the 'windows' method many teams feel they must use.
  3. Original_JB
    I only love this deal if there are 2 more "real" SP's to be signed/acquired by the Twins, otherwise, Pohlads/St.Peter signed the guy "the fans wanted", at a price 'they' liked and as such can consider their work 'done' outside of the retreads to fill out the rotation. You can't bring back a guy you already have with a shiny new contract and claim that you spent big money (like you would have with a free agent) and call it a day.
  4. Original_JB
    That's the thing; for the money+player/prospect Segura would require for one year of service @$16M ($14.85M +$1M buyout), you could probably re-sign Simmons to a 2 year deal, figuring he is still great (not as good as at one time, but still) in the field, and most likely recovers somewhat at the plate. Doesn't cost you any prospects and gives you a controllable body at a reasonable rate at the deadline next year if things don't pan out. The question is, is he a good mix in the clubhouse? We've heard a variety of things this past season. Throw this idea completely out the window if there were personality clashes, aloofness, or whatever you want to call a "bad" teammate personality-wise.
  5. Original_JB
    Can (would) JD play/platoon 1B?
  6. Original_JB
    Not that I want him back, but did I miss an article somewhere where the Twins have stated they're moving on from him?
  7. Original_JB
    Baldelli pulling Berrios at 84 pitches with a no-hitter going comes to mind. (and yes, I realize it's early in the season after a shortened season and he wants to be 'careful' with his pitchers, but still).
  8. Original_JB
    Read the headline, thought about it for a few seconds and said to myself C-, read the article and saw you came to the same conclusion. The reason I went that 'high' is he did seem to keep the team from just going through the motions, and kept the clubhouse from imploding I guess; but from a "baseball" acumen, I guess I believe that you shouldn't be losing games because of poor managerial decisions, and we had a boatful of those.
  9. Original_JB
    Think about who is doing the advertising. It is known as "selling hope", and the Twins have that skill running in perpetual motion. For all the touting, truly, how many "MLB Stars" have been developed and come out of the Twins organization over the last 25 years?
  10. Original_JB
    The Twins are also sending cash. I just hope it's less than $10M.
  11. Original_JB
    Let's be honest, the Twins didn't outscout or trick anyone with the Maeda deal. Maeda's contract is what had the FO salivating. $3M a year? For how many years? His ERA could have been 5+ and he would have still been on his way here.
  12. Original_JB
    Not that he wasn't a 'good' player, but I don't want to see Dave Kingman 2.0.
  13. Original_JB
    #competitive #justmakethepostseason #battle
  14. Original_JB
    What would be a fair over/under number for the # of games that Donaldson, Simmons, Polanco, and Buxton are on the field together? 100? This team will only be stalwarts defensively --- if they are actually on the field.
  15. Original_JB
    So final 5 will be? (not in any order) Lewis Kirilloff Berrios Maeda Rogers
  16. Original_JB
    https://twitter.com/DWolfsonKSTP/status/1344027870289682437 With those specific "games finished" incentives in his contract, do you think that he has been signed to be or promised an opportunity to close, or more of a "well, if you end up using me as a closer, I'd like to be paid like one" clause, with no specific promises having been made by the Twins?
  17. Original_JB
    You mean something crazy like getting fleeced in a trade for Max Scherzer?
  18. Original_JB
    My initial thought on that was the lions/tigers in Gladiator, chained to a leash. Are you not entertained?
  19. Original_JB
    No, no, and more no. Let the game monitor itself. Like others have said, it's on the batters to adapt to to this (not so) new defensive strategy. I'm not sure how you can legislate teams to not optimize their defensive plans based on 'real' numbers. Will they come back with 'oh, it's a short fence in left field at Fenway, so you can only have 3 RH batters in your line-up', because how is that any different? Let Manfred create his own off-season game where you don't even have defense in the field, you just paint it up and electrify it like the Marlins HR atrocity, sort of like they have at TopGolf.
  20. Original_JB
    Wait a minute; when the Stock Market is down, that's when you buy, buy, buy. You've just stated that everyone is going to be looking to save money and that means that salaries are going to be depressed. The Twins make pretty good profits year after year after year. You said you'd roll with the same team 'if you could' but that it'd cost $150M to do so. Well then, what better year to do so than this one, where everyone else is (in theory) decreasing their payroll, ie; talent level? Maybe you let Cruz go due to the Donaldson duplication there, but why not actually go after winning the World Series? That's what we're here for, right? Yes, I know it's a business, but if you liked your team's chances before, investing NOW actually increases your chances of winning it all. I realize the 'fans in the stands' is a crapshoot, but what would a serious run, or god forbid winning it all, do for $$$ inflow (or player's desire to play here) over the next several years? I know, it's not my money, but if not now, when?
  21. Original_JB
    You can't cherry pick your numbers like that; I mean, you can, but it isn't a true reflection of what you're getting. Like: (he missed most of 2019 so we can ignore that year) . No, you can't. Some guys are/get hurt more than others, simply a fact. Now, over the last two of three years, what was the "availability" (to pitch) of our 3 guys you're trying to replace vs. that of your 'prospects'? Total innings pitched? Lefty/Righty splits? For that matter, over the last 3 years, what was the aggregate winning % of the teams/batters that these guys faced? You get a much clearer and 'true' picture then.
  22. Original_JB
    I see a guy whose numbers suggest that he can't find the plate and is forced to throw his low movement FB to keep from walking guys and pays the price for it. Moving away from Coors will put him in heavier air, which will help the movement on the FB but will also exacerbate his plate finding issues with the rest of his pitches. With the previous shoulder issues and a plan to get him to use the slider more will probably earn him TJ surgery in 1-2 years in trying to 'remake' his throwing motion.
  23. Original_JB
    Unless they figure out he needs glasses, or has an "aha" moment, it doesn't matter at this point; If they were going to do it, his value would have been higher a year or two ago because he still had some "intrigue" left; but now he is a known quantity, and unless a team has a specific need for "him", it will be tough to fleece another them in a trade. So, that said, and Donaldson's propensity for injury, might as well keep him unless they're totally blown away by an offer. So shop? No. Listen to offers? You bet.
  24. Original_JB
    One could also argue that that methodology limits the quality of the arm you will get. Teams aren't going to give up their best arms, and the Twins aren't likely to outpay anyone for them either. So really, you're getting other team's B- to C- guys that they have replacements for and you hope to fix-up a bit. Steady, but not spectacular performance. Makes for consistent regular season performance, but not quite enough to win in the payoffs. Sound familiar?
  25. Original_JB
    How quickly they forget..... Carlos Silva on 8/3/04 CGSO giving up 11 hits, but getting 6 DP's, in a 99 pitch effort; glove in the air and ball thrown into the upper deck along the 1st base line as game completed. And yet, here we are...
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