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Everything posted by DocBauer
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I hadn't honestly considered Bogaerts previously as I simply expect Boston to step up and keep him. His offense has been pretty damn good previously and yes, he just might be a solid 3B/2B after 3 yrs and even DH a little. It's not a bad idea really. But....why pay him $35M per for 5yrs and not pay the younger Correa the same $ for an additional 2-3yrs?? We're talking same annual cost and the same age the contract expires. I don't like the idea of my SS being transitioned in a couple of years to another spot because he can't play the position any longer and costing $35M. I think I'd trust Correa to stick at SS longer were I a betting man. And his sticking at SS longer works for Lewis, Lee, Miranda, and probably Julien as well to flesh out the infield. Not to mention Polanco may not go anywhere. Again, it's not a bad idea on the surface. I just don't see any solid fit after the first couple of years.
- 35 replies
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- carlos correa
- xander bogaerts
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Edouard Julien Can Take the Next Step in 2023
DocBauer replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I'm a huge fan of Polanco. When it's a clutch moment, he's one of the top 2 or 3 guys I want at the plate. But I'm not so sure Julien doesn't replace him over the next year or so. Defense needs to improve, but boy can he hit and get on base. Throw in the power and good base running and we might really have something here. I was really surprised when he debuted in 2021 and he just keeps getting better. -
The 3 Most Probable Twins Trade Targets at Shortstop
DocBauer replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Hold on a second, I'm also interested in Andrus as as a fill in option. But disregarding a resurgent 2022, Iglesias actually has a better career OPS, slightly, and all almost identical OPS+. And I'm surprised by that, but the numbers are there. I'm not dismissive of IKF from the Yankees if he comes cheap prospect-wise, as I think the Yankees are ready to turn SS over to their coveted prospect options. (But it would be weird to be a Twin again after being one for about 3 days). And he's a nice ballplayer. And I'd have no problem with him as a 2023 fill-in, and potential trade option if Lewis comes back ready to go. But even though I think the system is still strong overall, I really don't want to trade for someone unless it's cheap, or acquires a really stud kind of pitcher or position player. I've seen a few ideas of Mateo on a, hopefully, cheap trade with Baltimore. It's an intriguing idea for speed and some pop, but the guy can't hit and , can't get OB. So, IMO, that leaves Iglesias and Andrus. So what makes you so down on Iglesias vs Andrus considering their career numbers? A 1yr resurgence from Adrus in 2022? I'm interested in both Iglesias and Andrus as a short-term SS for 2023. I "like" both for this role but don't know why you dismiss one over the other so definitively. -
I would go with Iglesias. I've checked the career numbers of both and they are nearly identical across their quad slash lines, but Iglesias has a slightly higher career OPS and OPS+. He's also a bit younger, has a better career career percentage, and is coming off a $5M payday so probably isn't looking for the $ that Andrus might be expecting after how much his last deal was worth.
- 14 replies
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- elvis andrus
- royce lewis
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Reviewing 2022 Performances by Twins Shortstop Prospects
DocBauer replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Perhaps my belief is tinged with a dose of hope, but I think Lewis is the guy. I'm not predicting GG defense, but I believe he will be good and be a heck of a hitter. I'm happy to be proven wrong by Martin sticking at SS! But I think he's a LF/CF who can cover 3B and 2B and I think that's where he ends up. A SSS right after being drafted is not enough to convince me Lee can't be a SS. He's got the experience, the arm, the hands and the instincts from all reports. I guess the question is does he have that right kind of athleticism to play SS at the ML level. Well, a few other, larger guys who weren't exactly speedy turned out to be very good SS. So let's let him play a little longer before we decide for sure. But I do find the idea of a left side of the infield of Lee, Lewis with Miranda at 1B very exciting. 2B is open to a few nice possibilities, including Martin and Julien and some others. I'd like to re-sign Javier on a milb deal and see if this is finally the year something starts to click. He's talented enough and young enough I think you give him that next year. Cavaco has been a huge disappointment. I wonder if, despite poor numbers, if he just needs a change of scenery and a re-start by jumping up to A+.- 22 replies
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The 3 Most Probable Twins Trade Targets at Shortstop
DocBauer replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Honestly, if the Twins don't/can't go big with Correa, I don't think I'd trade for any of these three. We've traded enough already. We have the financial flexibility to add via FA. Iglesias and Andrus are probably just as good of an option as these 3 overall. They are probably a step down defensively, (everyone healthy), but probably a step up offensively. And they cost a 1yr deal and no prospects. I'd rather go that direction. -
Why Would the Twins Pay Anyone but Carlos Correa?
DocBauer replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Absolutely agree with the first part of this post very much. Not so much in agreement with the thought of trading away some of the younger players listed as I think they remain part of the future as well as being inexpensive. As to the OP, no, it makes no sense to go after any of the other top FA SS for many reasons. CC should be the guy if they are going to do it. I've never had a problem moving Lewis to another position. Always thought it was a silly arguement that a very talented player was "wasted" by moving them to a less demanding defensive position. Who cares if a guy could be a really good SS, but you have someone better or as good there, so you move the other player to 3B or 2B. So you have an elite player at a spot other than SS? And this arguement has been made in the past, and I just don't understand it. I mean, the Yankees were pretty good and won a whole bunch of games, even a couple of WS IIRC, keeping their HOF SS in his natural spot and placing Rodriguez at 3B. Oh, what a waste! Lol The truth is the Twins CAN afford to keep Correa at SS and thr books are clean enough to do so. The truth is the Twins have a lot of young talent reasonably priced or cheap now, and a couple just getting their feet wet. The truth is there are several veterans who CAN be off the books in 2024, but not saying all will be or should be. But there is financial flexibility now, as well as the near future. IF the Twins are going to make a move like this, it's the perfect time. I object to the idea the Twins don't have some potential star players on hand. A healthy Polanco is about as good as it gets, same with Buxton when reasonably healthy. Unfortunately, they have a LARGE group of POSSIBLE star players who have had setbacks in their development. But there are some damn fine looking players just ready to break out, if healthy. So I agree that IF the Twins are going to go all in, now is the time. I still have reservations that ONE GUY can make that much of a difference. He could, if the rest of the team around him is as good as the rest of the Twins roster could be if we can just get everyone on the field and playing to their potential. Is CC's potential $ better spent elsewhere? Maybe. I've been torn on this. Both sides of the debate are right, spend BIG, or save and spend AROUND both work if the plan of action goes according to plan. CC is affordable. Keeping him makes the most sense if the Twins push the 2023 payroll to $150M in order to make a couple other additions. (With $ coming off the books again next year). It turns out bad if they don't augment, and everyone stays hurt, and the prospects just don't turn out as good as hoped for. (Not all of them). IMO, BOTH sides of this intelligent debate are right. Keep CC...a star talent which you need...and spend a little more SMARTLY, to augment with $ coming off the future books and keep developing your young talent. OR, trust in that young talent and spend the CC $ throught the roster to make the TEAM better as a WHOLE. I'd like to see Correa remain a Twin and push the 2023 payroll, knowing your books are POTENTIALLY still relatively clean in 2024, IF you develop and trust your young talent. I understand full well his last couple of years will PROBABLY make him an expensive bench player, or a 2B with someone else taking over SS. But common sense for a mid market team has to be "how much can we expect to BURN financially his last few years?" My answer is 2yrs. And who knows how the market is going to work! My answer to a re-sign is 7 or 8 years for about $260-280 MAX. That's about $33M per. I'd even suggest front loading the first few years by a couple of $M, just to keep the last couple of year more financially flexible for the rest of the roster, even though, hypothetically, revenues and payroll will rise. To me. That's still a little steep. I'd rather see 7-8 at around $250M but not going to quibble. Considering the Twins ARE mid market, I'm not going to be upset if they "finish second" on a deal like this. I WILL be upset if the FO just drags their feet for months on end waiting to see how things turn out and ignore other options. The WORST thing the FO can do is nothing while sitting around the campfire and just being overly patient. There's still a season to be played and the constructs of a potentially pretty good team for that season.- 86 replies
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I hadn't thought of Haniger, to be honest. There's a lot of upside there to be sure, even at 31yo. I could get on board with him as I'm having a tough time trying to figure out another RH OF who isn't old. (Or coming off a big salary they probably didn't deserve but are used to and may be over pricing themselves). But he made $7.75 last season and you have that basically being doubled this year in your blueprint. I'd say that's a little high.
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Twins Trade Candidate: Emilio Pagan
DocBauer replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Trade Pagan? That Randball Stu sure has a great sense of humor doesn't he? Wait...we're being serious here? He has something like the worst WPA over 3yrs in MLB and the highest ERA with 50 IP or more over the same time frame. I'm at least close on those numbers. Striking out 3 or 4 of 6 batters faces sounds great until you realize there was hit, walk, and 3 run HR that just blew three game. If someone actually believes they can do something with him, more power to them, send the Twins a decent A ball flier or some international signing $. Otherwise, PLEASE Twins FO, just let go. Stop falling in love with re-treads and stubbornly giving them chance after chance. Just let go and move on. -
Twins Trade Candidate: Gio Urshela
DocBauer replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I know it sounds crazy, but questions in the OF play a part in this. And by that, I mean the questions surrounding Kirilloff. In a best case scenario, AK is a very good 1B and OK OF. That creates a great deal of roster and lineup flexibility. It's not disrespect or not believing in top young talents like Larnach and Wallner, or even a healthy rebound from Kepler, but the presence of Kirilloff affects both the OF and the INF. IMO, Miranda will be OK at 3B, and possibly pretty good with work and experience, even though it's POSSIBLE Lee might take that spot in the near future. But that's for a possible future, and not NOW. Arraez is not a bad 3B by most all metrics. And he did a great job at 1B while learning the spot on the fly. But to COUNT on AK is a mistake at this point. So the Twins might be better with Arraez still playing a lot of 1B and Miranda continuing to move between 1B and 3B. All of this tells me the very solid, good but not great, Urshela has great value to the 2023 Twins at $9M. He could, of course, turn out to be a decent trade chip next season. But I would only move him now if he was part of a really nice package, OR, the Twins just really needed the extra $ for a deal or combination of deals, such as a Correa deal while still trying to add someone else. Otherwise, I think his greatest value is to be part of the 2023 Twins.- 34 replies
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NOT saying I don't want Correa back for 7 or 8yrs at around $30-ish per year. I'm a fan! But I have to keep wondering if that money isn't still spent better all around the mound and diamond instead? I understand Maeda is probably off the books come 2024. Maybe the same for Gray or Mahle, but they are less certain. And it's debatable still as to whether Martin sticks there or not. Same for Lee. I still think a healthy Lewis probably trumps both those guys. I'm just saying, keeping Fulmer or adding someone as good or better, adding another quality arm via trade or FA, etc, is the payroll for Correa possibly spent better when spread around? On the side of a fill-in to at least begin 2023, Iglesias and Andrus are the solid but lesser options. As I understand it, Andrus did. It meet qualification for his $15M option. Despite a comeback year in 2022, at 34yo, Andrus is just still not going to earn anything close to that in 2023. What's interesting to me is that while Andrus would seem to be the better offensive player between himself and Iglesias, more overall power and, at least previously, more speed, the two of them have very similar quad slash lines for their careers as well as career OPS÷. And I was shocked to see that, unless Bassball Reference is wrong somehow. So to me, Iglesias would seem the smarter choice just based on performance and previous earnings.
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Big Questions on a Pair of Relievers
DocBauer replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Stashak has been pretty reliable when healthy and has options, but, missing almost the entire season due to injury and not looking very good before being shut down, I'd say he's off the 40 man. There just isn't room for him. Enlow was really looking like he was starting to figure some stuff out before he blew his arm out. I'd be surprised if the Twins kept h for 2yrs only to dump him now. He needs 2023 to prove he's got it going again, or is never going to get it going. As glfar as being a reliever, I think that's way off base. Until the Twins announce something different, I'm sure he's still a starting pitcher who finished in the pen just to curtail his IP.- 19 replies
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- cody stashak
- blayne enlow
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The Twins Have All Eggs in Ryan Jeffers’ Basket
DocBauer replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
With the exception of a few players and a few teams, the SB is just no longer a major part of MLB. It's more if a surprise or occasional weapon. IMO, the larger bases and limited throws might see an uptick in SB attempts begining in 2023, but I don't expect any huge increase. The game now is about power and launch angle and OB %. So while a strong armed catcher is great to have, it's not close to what I believe to be the #1 requisite for a catcher. Above all else, he needs to be able to call a good game, provide a nice target, and have the confidence of the staff. Jeffers has all of that, even if we remove the pitch framing aspect. At one point last year the Twins had something like 20 games where they allowed 3 or less runs in a game and Jeffers caught like 14-15, of them. His bat potential is still there and he was heating up before his injury. He's not close to old and has room to grow despite having a couple full seasons under his belt. Could Jeffers throw better or more accurately? Yes. And I hope he works at it and improves. But he was better in 2021, so I won't get bent out of shape for a 2022 dip. I don't know who his co-catcher will be, though I have a couple veterans clearly in mind at this time, but I like Jeffers in his role and his offensive potential.- 23 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- mitch garver
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Twins Front Office Doubles Down On Process for 2023
DocBauer replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Look, again, I don't apologize for the FO when they make mistakes, IMO. Even when they have and still do good things, and have done good things, from the top down, I'm more than willing to call them out. But this vitriol about brining everyone back is a bit nuts. And I'm NOT saying I.'m 100% on board with this or surprised or happy. I'm just saying there needs to be a little perspective here. #1] NOBODY can predict injuries. The firing of Sanchez came with that caveat as Falvey was very clear that the organization was looking for a different approach to training and recovery to insure they were doing things in the best possible way. You CAN'T predict a bounced ball breaking Jeffer's thumb, for example. And to be fair to the fired Sanchez, when you can't even speak to your team during a lockout in regard to their training, you're kinda on a certain hook you can't control. Right or wrong, in a different organization to begin the season, Mahle has stated his arm/shoulder/velocity issue might have been throwing too hard and too long and just got tired. BS? Maybe. I don't doubt the lockout messed with at least some players, if not a bunch. And that's not necessarily a trainers fault. But when you see a pattern of soft tissue injuries, coming off a weird offseason, but some repeat issues, it's GOOD the FO wants to take an overview look at everything they've been doing. Would you want less? 2] I am surprised Maki was retained as the pitching coach. I thought they might make a major search for the "right guy". And it's been speculated the Twins simply "settled" on Mak because he's a "team guy" and the players like him. With a whole offseason to hire whoever the hell they want to, they decided on Maki because he was convenient? Need I remind anyone that Maki was the BP coach, which is basically another assistant pitching coach, before being given his current role, and the Mets current pitching coach was the FORMER Twins BP coach in Hefner. So is it possible the Twins just kept it too damn simple in a promotion of someone, reportedly, sharp and on board with the structure put in place by Johnson, and could have done better? Maybe. But maybe they just have a really sharp guy getting his 1st best shot to prove how good he can be. 3] Watkins can be better as a 3B coach. But when was the last time ANYONE said they had a great 3B coach? I agree he just blew a few plays. But he also read the defense and opportunities to score and was right many times. I agree he needs to get better, but his coaching ability has to be considered along with his ability to be the 3B coach. (More on that later). 4] Are Popkins and Hernandez applauded for OB and driving runners in from 3B and derived for not being able to advance or drive runners in from 2B? There are seriously strange issues with the Twins 2022 offensive production. Is that the coaches or the players? Look, I'm no expert on this staff. I expected some changes. But I've also seen this FO's choices for so many coaches being plundered by other teams to have at least have some belief they know what they're doing. We've been plundered Rowson, Johnson, Shelton, and Sawyer just in the last couple of seasons. So I'm willing to give a little leway as to their decision to keep what they have, even if I'm a bit unsure. I think we also have to remember that this current staff has 1yr together, or less than that on the pitching side. I DO BELIEVE that Rocco has the ultimate responsibility to make his coaches actually COACH, and change up the daily instruction needed to have a competent team on the field defensively and base running, but I don't know that the coaches kept aren't quite competent. My biggest concern is Tingler. He might be smart as hell. But is he the voice in the ear that Baldelli needs to hear? Rocco is NOT a great manager. He's OK with some smart ideas. What he needs, IMO, is an older, more experienced voice to guide him. And I am disappointed that Tingler was kept more than anyone else. I think bench coach is being ignored.- 49 replies
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The Twins New Shortstop for 2023?
DocBauer replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Agreed that the top SS are most likely to re-sign with their own teams. And if one of them moves on? Well then, that team probably signs one of the others. I just don't see the Twins signing any of the SS other than Correa. Not saying they can't or it won't happen, just saying keeping him makes the most sense if you're going to go big. That being said, I just don't see $250-$300M for 7-8 years by the Twins. I won't be unhappy if they do. I just don't believe it will happen. Just too much for too long and I don't see Correa doing 6yrs. And I don't see trading for a stop-gap unless the player cost is small and it's for 1yr. Now, it's possible said stop-gap might be traded at the deadline to another team hurting for a SS, but that's a whole different topic and an assumption that Lewis 100% and good to go by July-ish, if not sooner. I kinda liked Andrus as an option, but is he really going to opt out of $15M in 2023 thinking he's going to get a better/longer deal? Iglesias just might be the best option. I fully expect the Twins to spend money this offseason. It might be for a powerful corner OF bat. It might be for the best arm they can get their hands on. (Rodon is risky but has been tied to the Twins twice in the last year. Maybe?) I just don't know that one of these top SS is going to be the right answer. I think the money goes elsewhere, they find a "decent" short term option, and trust in Lewis, etc.- 42 replies
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- jose iglesias
- carlos correa
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A good concept, but not a new one. I recall when Cleveland took this approach in the late 80's and early 90's. While it didn't pay off in a run of WS appearances or wins, it kept the core of the team together and provided a long run of winning seasons and contention. It can make real sense for both sides, and provides a sort of "insurance" for all parties. I like the approach and it was smart as well as beneficial for Polanco and Kepler. Not so much of Sano, but if you look at total production, the Twins weren't exactly fleeced. The contract signed with Buxton this past offseason is a similar approach, despite not being in his early 20's and having some injury issues. You're still betting sunk $ cost/value versus what MIGHT BE. I don't buy in to the fact that a player reaching the majors at 24-25yo is probably not a great prospect. Right now, he's very likely a year behind due to covid and the lost 2020 season. Secondly, not everyone is a HOF'er or multiple All Star, and said mid-twenties player can still have a very, very good career as a starting player or roster fixture for a good 7-9 years. BUT, a lot of those players won't be FA until they reach about 30yo, so an extension is questionable for a lot of them. But I wouldn't say no to any young player who puts in at least a couple quality seasons and shows real upside. But I would always insist on a couple, healthy, productive seasons before I go long term with them. The toughest area to figure might be starting pitching. There are arms that break down and are just never the same. But then again, a lot of front line, #1 types and even a lot of proverbial ACES don't achieve that status until their late 20's. By that time, you might be too late for a "mutually friendly" option. So overall, yes, I like the idea of locking up my young players as much as possible. It makes good business sense and works for both sides.
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Twins Daily 2022 Awards: Most Valuable Player
DocBauer replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not going to actively debate who should be #1 because there's a lot of reasons to pick Miranda or Correa as well. But I do feel Arraez is deserving. I understand and appreciate analytics. I understand and appreciate OPS and it's overall impact in ranking a player's value/production. But without legitimate power production, it's going to be hard to have an .800 OPS. Arraez had his highest numbers, mid year, and still finished with outstanding numbers, despite battling a bad hamstring to end things. Where I think analytics sometimes fail is when a player does something different or unique. Arraez's 40 XB was just fine for his role and not only will possibly increase slightly over the next few years, but would have been higher if healthier the last couple of months. (Like about everyone else). But he is one of the best pure hitters, contact hitters, and OB% batters in all of baseball. It's a unique and special skill set. And because of it, he fits a special role and place in the Twins lineup. And to me, that increases his value beyond standard analytical data. For the 1st half of the season, at least, who else would you rather see up at the plate in a pressure situation? Arraez is there to set the table and set a tone. But he's also got tremendous ability to "continue " and inning and still knock some guys in. Debatable choice for sure, but he's worthy of the award.- 33 replies
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3 Minor-League Free Agents the Twins Should Try to Retain
DocBauer replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Yes to Carmago. The Twins need the depth and he shows some promise still. Once the Twins settle on their co-catcher, they will have to add a 3rd at some point. Might be someone like Leon. Or, they might add after the rule 5. But Carmago should be kept. I'm lukewarm on Javier. He still has a ton of talent and is only going to be 24. Maybe he's better served going elsewhere for a change of scenery. But despite poor results the past 2yrs, when you look at talent and age, I'm open to another year of "maybe this is the season it starts to click". Cabrera does little for me, but OF depth at AA isn't a bad thing so why not? Nothing says you are forced to keep him if he's simply outplayed.- 22 replies
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The Minnesota Twins' 2023 Payroll Preview
DocBauer replied to John Bonnes's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
John, 2 things come to mind as I reflect not only on this OP, but your podcasts. #1] No matter how anyone wants to spin the "payroll is potentially unlimited", it still is. I've never heard a Twins FO, or ANY FO, openly state what projected payroll might be. But I find comments from the FO that they have "spent more than comfortable revenue" the past few years to be interesting. (And I know I'm paraphrasing slightly). #2] Post covid, the world has changed, and so have finances for everyone, including the public. Around this time last year, there were many on TD expecting a deep cut payroll around $90M to a max of $120M. If I'm not mistaken, I believe you also fell in line with the $120M expectation. I projected a blueprint...rather different than what happened...for around $140-145M. I believed in the resources of the team and an attempt to right 2021. It didn't turn out, obviously, but my point is the FO and ownership DIDN'T cut payroll. IMO, ownership and the FO will not cut payroll, despite lower than expected attendance, yet again. Attendance is not the only cash flow to be certain. Plus, winning fixes a lot of things. And as far as I know, there is ZERO decrease is media $ or national $. And ownership seems to believe in Falvey and Levine and what they are doing, and have done. Pre-covid, the mean payroll was about $150M. The Twins have danced around 16th to 18th on average, usually within a few $M close to that delta. I believe, IIRC, they were in the top 15 once, maybe twice, in the early teens, especially for the 2010-11 squad, before this current FO, who seems to have ownership's ear. I DON'T see a slip in spending unless things just "plop" in their lap. Winning builds interest and puts butts in the seats. And even when winning works, history has shown the NEXT season puts even more butts in those seats. I expect a legitimate $50M-ish to spend. The HUGE question is whether or not a bulk of that $50M is spent on ONE player. You want to have the best players you can. I would LOVE to have Correa back! I've become a big fan for many reasons. But is the team better to have him back and spend a little here and there to augment the rest of the roster the best you can? Or use the rest of the $ money "saved" to go bigger? And that is the elephant, rhino, whale in the proverbial room! We have a lot of time to figure this all out. It's still VERY early! But for ONCE, our FO HAS to make an early decision on what's going to happen and not drag things out! They got Correa dropped in their lap, but missed out on other opportunities as they were so focused on Buck. And they just can't afford to ONLY be patient yet again. But John is absolutely right that on paper, the 2023 Twins don't have a major hole anywhere to fill other than at least an early SS question. It's very, very easy to play and dismiss the "IF" game. But it isn't very hard to see a very good OF and 1B mix. And it isn't very hard to see a solid rotation with some depth. And it isn't hard to see a pretty nice bullpen. So while there are holes and question marks, there aren't aggresious holes anywhere. But in regard to the WAY TOO EARLY SINCE THE SEASON ISNT EVEN DONE DEPARTMENT part of the conversation: 1] Kepler is NOT a 4th OF. He's a GG type RF who is league average hitting wise. He is NOT a middle of the order bat. He's a quality lower 3rd who should play some CF here and there, and sit against LHP pitching when possible. In that regard, he's 4th OF-ish. But he's still the primary RF unless or until moved. 2] Sorry if you don't like him, but Jeffers is still one of the Twins primary catchers. He calls a good game, has the confidence of the staff, has power, is about average as a hitter these days for his position, and still has upside. He needs a partner and my #1 target right now is Barnhart. He's not great offensively, but is a year removed from his career numbers of being OK with double and some HR pop. He's also a quality defensive backstop with experience. 3] Re-signing Fulmer makes so much sense, unless the FO just likes someone better. He's not a classic set-up man, but he's been damn good since his conversion about a year and a half ago. And he shouldn't cost a ton. Again, you like someone better, no issue. 4] Middle relief is a HUGE need. But when do you sign or trade for middle relief? Look, if the FO wants to sign someone for that role, OK. But shouldn't Sands, Smeltzer, if he's kept, Henriquez, maybe Dobnack, or ANY future SP option getting his feet wet in the ML should be included as a middle relief option. This just shouldn't be a problem with the number of arms on hand. It's not that hard. 6 guys you trust for 1 IP, once in a while 2, and two guys who can do more. 5) A solid, productive RH OF who can play both corner OF spots. Is that so hard to find? It shouldn't cost a fortune and is important. 6] I still believe, if at all possible, the Twins should SIGN a FA SP. If they can trade for one without HUGE cost, OK. But no more Bundy, Happ, Shoemaker types. Trust in what you have and the young arms instead. Verlander is not coming here. Correa NOT coming back, you might just roll the dice on Rodon, for example, who brings risk. Otherwise, just a solid veteran who brings depth in case crap falls apart. Trades bring risk as well. Do we really want to add another #2 and lose what we have vs trusting what is on hand? A lot of risk. It's going to be a very, very interesting offseason. But NOTHING will be known until the FO makes their one very serious move. After that.....we'll see. -
Will the Twins Pursue Aaron Judge?
DocBauer replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He's not leaving NY. He knows it, his agent knows it, the fans know it, we know it. The question is for how much and how long. How about we talk about realistic options for 2023? -
Should The Twins Look to Upgrade From Kyle Garlick?
DocBauer replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Absolutely move on to a better option. I've been saying for at least 2yrs now we needed a RH OF who can produce and play some decent corner defense. If he could cover CF now again, that's just a bonus and not a prerequisite. Kepler and Gordon can cover CF with Buxton taking a day or two off. Celestino should be in AAA remembering how to hit again, and just "settle down" and remember how to do the small but important things that are so necessary, like running the bases and throwing to the right base. I still believe he was rushed and his head was swimming. I'd like Gaelick back on a milb deal as insurance. He does hit LHP well. His .600+ OPS against RHP isn't killer when you realize the league wide OPS, on average, for LH vs LHP is worse. But shouldn't we be aiming higher? Someone who can stay in the lineup? Someone who can play better defense and perform better to balance our LH bats? Someone who isn't a black hole when pressed in to regular duty if/when injuries happen. Time to find someone better, and it doesn't have to be some All Star, expensive stud. Just a better overall player. Period!- 43 replies
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- kyle garlick
- max kepler
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4 Things to Watch in the 2022 Arizona Fall League
DocBauer replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Very excited to see what Martin and Julien do. Naturally, I'll be following all the pitchers as well. But I think Isola will be very interesting to follow. Does he keep hitting the way he has been? It just feels like there a little more HR power just waiting to be tapped in to. But most importantly, how does he look behind the plate? The Twins, obviously, need to bring in a backstop to team with Jeffers. But they've got to have a 3rd one on the 40 man. Could that be Isola or Carmago, who I'm guessing will play winter ball?- 5 replies
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- austin martin
- edouard julien
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The Weirdest Move Minnesota Could Make
DocBauer replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I was not aware of a new pitch. I have been aware of much better numbers as of late. And Ted makes an interesting point in the OP. But it's one I just can't buy in to. A 3 year history of poor performance and a preponderance of hanging/grooving at least one pitch each appearance, I'm just not willing to buy in after 16 IP. We have other, younger, less expensive arms with promise to be auditioning and using in middle relief. We also have to take a 52 man player roster down to about 30 in order to sign at least a couple quality FA and protect 4-6 young players eligible for rule 5. Do we really want Pagan taking up one of those spots??? It gets a lot harder once you get past those first dozen or so that are pretty obvious. I think it's time for everyone to move on.- 56 replies
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- emilio pagan
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Review the Debuts: Twins Rookie Position Players
DocBauer replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Miranda was about everything I think we could have hoped for, once he settled in. He also got much more comfortable at 1B as time went on. IMO, he's OK at 3B and will only get better. It's actually his most familiar position. Too many health questions, unfortunately, for some of the young players, I'd like to keep Urshela around another year, if possible, and let Miranda rotate between 3B and 1B like this year. While I believe he would be just fine at 3B, I'm not sure someone like Lee doesn't push him to 1B on a more permanent basis e eventually. I remain convinced Lewis is a special player if healthy and has all the tools to be a fine SS. I'm not going to predict greatness with the glove, but at least good with the potential to be very good/great. When the Twins were desperate for offense, I felt Wallner should have been brought up sooner as a hopeful wild card. His early adjustment seems to warrant that notion. Most impressed by his continued production and season long improvement across the board at 2 levels. In an ideal world, good health for the OF might allow him to begin 2023 at St Paul to just refine a couple of things before he comes up for good. But I think his bat will play at the ML level. Contreras disappointed me. The defense looked solid, as advertised. And I didn't expect a lot from his bat, but I did expect more. His future is probably with a different club and a different opportunity, but still, I liked having him around as a potential AAAA type. And I was definitely disappointed in Palacious as a hitter. He hit in A ball, suddenly couldn't hit a lick in the Tampa system, and then really turned it around back with the Twins in 2021. After a great winter, his bat again looked solid in AAA this year. But he did next to nothing in his brief time with the Twins until his last few games. Was it just SSS and adjustments as well as sporadic play? I was really hoping he might show enough to be OK as a temporary SS option to begin 2023 as the glove plays.- 35 replies
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- jose miranda
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Review the Debuts: Twins Rookie Pitchers
DocBauer replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think it goes without saying Duran looks pretty special. I really liked what little I actually saw of Varland. I think the composure really impressed me. I don't know if he starts with the Twins out of the gate next year, but I expect him to see a lot of action. SWR looked good in his lone start. But what's impressed me was how good he was at 2 different levels while being so young and rebounding from a very crazy 2021. Like Varland, I expect him to get time in 2023 with the Twins. I believe Moran was still a rookie and I liked what I saw. His control seemed better as the year moves along and he was just nasty at times. I think he's a keeper. Even though his K's were down, I liked Winder a lot before his shoulder barked at him. Really hoping it was just a fatigue situation and he'll be 100% next year. I think he's got a shot to be as good as Varland, SWR, or anyone else. Do Henriquez and Sands move to the pen? I don't like to move a young arm out of the rotation too early, but these 2 and everyone else could fill an important role as middle/long men, at least initially. Can always move back to the rotation later, much like the Cardinals are noted for doing. Sands disappointed this year overall. Terribly inconsistent. But when I look at a rookie arm I'm looking at velocity for sure, but also, does he have a breaking ball? Sands has both. Can he harness his stuff? We'll see. Some very solid work and some disappointments from this class. But you can see the arm talent. Who am I looking forward to seeing next year? Festa, Balazovic, Enlow, Headrick, and Prielipp are at the top of my list, even though I'm leaving out a couple of others. I don't expect Festa or Prielipp to debut, but i want to see how close they can get. Balazovic to rebound. Enlow to re-establish how good he was looking before his injury, (his trajectory was looking way up). And Headrick because he's LH, and might be an outstanding arm for one of the middle/long spots in the pen very soon.- 31 replies
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- jhoan duran
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