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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. In my opinion, he's been developed as a reliever his entire career. Probably time to officially move him to the bullpen instead of having him continue to fail in the starting rotation.
  2. Morris is next, then Adams. That gets us to pitcher #9 on the depth chart. Raya is on the roster, so he might get a look if they're desperate. Trent Baker just got promoted to AAA and has pitched pretty well at Double-A. He'd be next on my list. At that point we're 10 pitchers in on the depth chart and Jeremy Zoll is going to be active on the waiver wire. Another team's castoff is likely better than the 11th best pitcher in the organization.
  3. If Randy Dobnak is in the rotation at the trade deadline, then I would highly recommend trading Paddack in the inevitable fire sale.
  4. Do they still do minor league all-star games? That was always the milestone to move players up to the next level.
  5. Including 2022 really makes it obvious that he hasn't been better in 2025 against LHP. He's mostly treading water, not improving but not getting worse than he was in 2024.
  6. Either one would have to leapfrog over Fitzgerald and Holland. Miranda and Julien are showing signs of life again as well.
  7. Here are the numbers specifically YEAR - slash VS LH 2023 - .095/.174/.238 2024 - .227/.261/.318 2025 - .167/.211/.259 If your memory is comparing him to 2023, he's better but he's actually hitting lefties worse than he did in 2024. He needs to be platooned. I think we've found a role for Jonah Bride - pinch hitter for Larnach.
  8. I took a look at what's different for Clemens offensively. He's significantly dropped his strikeout rate and doubled his walk rate - to the point where it looks like he's traded off strikeouts for walks. That's huge. His performance vs breaking balls is drastically improved year-on-year: a .146 xWOBA last year and .480 this season. He's definitely figured out how to hit sweepers. I don't know if he will see another sweeper for a month. He's hitting the ball harder when he barrels the ball and barreling more often. He's chasing pitches less often and jumping on the first pitch more often. He's pulling the ball less often and going up the middle more often (though he still rarely goes opposite field).
  9. How about we worry about things that have actually happened rather than hypotheticals. I can "what if" a hundred scenarios that could change the roster.
  10. He's been pretty good defensively. Even if he regresses to his career 82 OPS+ offense, he's a better choice at 2B than Julien. He's going to be streaky, contributing mainly when he hits a HR. That's a guy worth having on the MLB roster.
  11. Buxton CF, Wallner RF/DH, Larnach DH/RF, Clemens 2B. It comes down to Castro vs Bader. I agree that Bader's glove makes up any difference on offense. FWIW - Castro has better splits against LHP than RHP this season.
  12. It doesn't take 90 wins to make the playoffs. The new playoff structure levels the playing field significantly. The difference in odds between a 95 win team and an 85 win team in a playoff game is negligible. We're talking about a 55% chance of winning each individual game for the 95 win team.
  13. I tend to rank on upside, so I'd go with Hill, Soto, Prielipp, Morris. Morris looks like a 5th starter or middle reliever. Prielipp looks like an excellent reliever, but I doubt his arm survives 160-180 innings a season as a starter. Soto and Hill have top of the rotation upside but are a long way off.
  14. I don't know if Julien can make the adjustments he needs at AAA. His problem is he can't hit breaking balls at the edge of the zone. In AAA, not enough players can spot their breaking ball at the edge of the zone.
  15. Raya should be sent to the bullpen. Has there ever been anything good to say about him? He's a 30-year-old pitcher at AAA with a terrible ERA and a bad K/BB ratio. He might make a good TV color analyst someday.
  16. I would much rather see them burn out the bullpen trying to maximize the long-term success of the starting pitchers than have them burn out starting pitchers trying to save the bullpen. Starters are really hard to find but relievers aren't.
  17. Correct. If you want that kind of production, you can get Ty France for $1M.
  18. There is a huge difference between an "undeniable advantage" and a "mockery of competitive balance that MLB doesn't care about". If spending like the Dodgers truly was a "mockery of competitive balance" they'd be winning 75-80% of their games.
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