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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Urshela has played SS and I'm sure he could play 1B. The Twins don't need any more second basemen, they're about 5 deep at that position.
  2. DJL44
    Why would you sign Drury to replace Urshela when you could just keep Urshela?
  3. DJL44
    A non-tender of Urshela would be pretty dumb. He would be the top available free agent 3B ranked above an aging Justin Turner and Evan Longoria.
  4. DJL44
    fWAR works fine. WPA measures context, not performance.
  5. DJL44
    I'm going to guess the Twins are willing to take $100k for Helman whether or not it is in the Rule 5 draft.
  6. DJL44
    I think Urbina has the ceiling of a starter but I also think he's low risk for a team to stash all year given how few position players are on a team's bench.
  7. DJL44
    I would rather see the Twins sign a free agent lefthanded pitcher and put him on the roster instead of adding Headrick. I think that will help the team more over the next couple seasons.
  8. DJL44
    I agree with just Julien and Canterino. Is Headrick more useful to have on the roster than Danny Couloumbe?
  9. DJL44
    Blayne Enlow is likely to end up in the bullpen. Heck, Louie Varland might contribute more as a reliever than as a starter before his big league career is over.
  10. DJL44
    For one, the old arbitration was already based on statistical data - just not as good at determining value as WAR. For another, the owners and players agreed on this new system together, nobody from Fangraphs or Baseball Reference had any say whatsoever in those negotiations.
  11. DJL44
    Disagree completely with this. WPA is a junk stat.
  12. DJL44
    The differences in WAR are philosophical. Everyone mostly agrees on offensive value. Replacement value can be calculated in different ways. Pitching value can start from runs allowed (bWAR) or from xFIP (fWAR). Defensive value has several systems to choose from. I'm actually surprised the players didn't suggest their own WAR system, considering it determines their pay.
  13. DJL44
  14. DJL44
    FTFY
  15. DJL44
    He's 26 and has a nagging shoulder injury. I think it's time to pivot.
  16. DJL44
    I think Winder could be quite successful in the bullpen. I think he was forced into starting because they didn't have enough starters to cover the innings they needed to cover.
  17. DJL44
    Kershaw and Verlander aren't "lights out" in the playoffs and they're two of the best pitchers of this generation.
  18. DJL44
    If Megill gets bumped to AAA to start the season that will be a good sign.
  19. DJL44
    Fangraphs expert estimates 10 years $300M. Crowdsource is 8 years $256M 2023 Top 50 Free Agents | FanGraphs Baseball The Twins should be in on the 8 year contract but not on the 10 year contract. I don't want the 2 years $54M for years 9 and 10.
  20. DJL44
    Don't be surprised if you see free agent prices rise dramatically this offseason. There are a lot of teams with money to spend and lots of certainty due to the signed CBA. The Edwin Diaz contract (5 years, $102M for a reliever) is just the start.
  21. DJL44
    Is this the Charley Walters strategy?
  22. DJL44
    If you go to Baseball Reference and look up the team you will see an RField of 21 - which means they saved 21 runs above an average defense.
  23. DJL44
    This is the third or fourth defensive metric where Polanco rated poorly. He had an awful season in the field.
  24. DJL44
    So, DH only? He's too good of a defender for that.
  25. DJL44
    The Cardinals look like a great fit for Murphy.
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