DJL44
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Everything posted by DJL44
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The Opportunity (and Cost) of a Wide-Open Bullpen
DJL44 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If Ober starts the season barely throwing 90 and struggling, I would probably move him to the bullpen to see if I can get the velocity bump that makes him effective.- 37 replies
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- grant hartwig
- dan altavilla
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The Twins should have been thrilled to go 2 years $34M for Murakami. That's a pillow contract.
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How the Twins Can Still Save the Carlos Correa Trade
DJL44 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I would go back to the original deal. Houston agrees to pay the $30M on Correas contract and the Twins pay Walker $40M over two seasons. That’s effectively a 2-year $10M commitment for Christian Walker. Then I’d try to flip him again at the deadline to dump the contract on someone else.- 37 replies
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- carlos correa
- christian walker
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December's Baseball Card Market Update
DJL44 replied to Alex Boxwell's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I used to collect baseball cards when I was a kid. Stopped collecting but I have a bunch of 1990s junk wax. I actually think collecting is more fun when the cards are worthless. After all, they're just pictures of baseball players. Anyone can make a picture of a baseball player.- 3 replies
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- kaelen culpepper
- byron buxton
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The Opportunity (and Cost) of a Wide-Open Bullpen
DJL44 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
All the trades of relief pitchers last season should teach them that relievers are easy to trade at the deadline. Free agent relievers are not just help for this season, they’re an opportunity to participate at the trade deadline.- 37 replies
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- grant hartwig
- dan altavilla
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I wonder if there is an aging veteran starting pitcher who wouldn't mind moving to the bullpen to extend his career. Frankie Montas, Jon Gray, Tyler Anderson, Griffin Canning, Jose Quintana, Martin Perez, etc.
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He could be one of the team's best relievers by May.
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Minnesota’s Next Wave is Built on Infield Versatility
DJL44 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That would be awesome. Move him to first base and he can lock that position down for 5 years.- 76 replies
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- brooks lee
- luke keaschall
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Twins Sign Dan Altavilla To Minor League Contract
DJL44 replied to East Coast Twin's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Welcome to the Saints! -
Minnesota’s Next Wave is Built on Infield Versatility
DJL44 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Thinking back to the original article, I'm surprised nobody has suggested moving Royce Lewis back to SS. He was drafted as a SS and played a lot of games there. His statcast metrics are better than Brooks Lee. He had a good season at 3B, and I understand wanting to build on that success, but the best defensive alignment might be Lee at 3B and Lewis as the starting SS.- 76 replies
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- brooks lee
- luke keaschall
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Too bad. Their chances look a lot better with the projections.
- 17 replies
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- bailey ober
- byron buxton
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If that pitcher is 19 years old and throwing in the upper 80s, maybe. If he's 30, probably not. Do you really think Brooks Lee's problem is bad footwork? He grew up with a college baseball coach as a parent and has been coached on proper footwork his entire life. His problem is he's less athletic than every other MLB SS - he runs slower and he throws the ball slower than all of them. I think Brooks Lee has been maxed out on defense and he doesn't have the range to play middle infield. Defense peaks early - ages 22-25. Do you think the Twins can gain an advantage in coaching footwork and arm slot over all the other major league baseball teams? Is this some special secret sauce that the Dodgers and Yankees don't know about? When the Twins grab rejects from other systems off the waiver wire, can they be confident that the player was coached poorly by another organization and when the Twins coaches are finally able to work their secret magic, they will unlock the potential that was overlooked by everyone else? Was Josh Bell coached poorly by the Nationals, Diamondbacks, Marlins, Guardians and Pirates or is he less athletic than other first basemen and declining athletically as he ages?
- 107 replies
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- josh bell
- edouard julien
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Joe Ryan Set to Take the Ball for Team USA Again
DJL44 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Would you also turn down all the money ESPN is paying to air the games? -
Joe Ryan Set to Take the Ball for Team USA Again
DJL44 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Good for Ryan and Buxton. Hope they get some chances to make memories. -
One other way the defensive metrics get fooled by a first baseman standing that close to the base is they tend to take the ball to first base on their own instead of flipping to the pitcher. That means fewer assists and more putouts, which can fool some defensive calculators.
- 52 replies
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Teams usually pay a premium for less risky players, not more risky players. Bell has averaged -0.1 WAR over the last 3 seasons so I was giving the benefit of the doubt that he can produce 0.5 WAR. Plus, it makes the math easier if I'm not using 0 WAR as the divisor. His defensive value is non-existent so he's going to have to do it all with his bat. His 80% projection is what he did in Arizona: a 120 OPS+, 1.5 WAR season. The Twins are paying him like that performance is a lock. Nobody has found Bell attractive in the trade market. The Nationals weren't able to trade him last season. Arizona gave up nothing to Miami the previous season to obtain him. He returned a grade C utility outfielder prospect the season before that. This isn't surprising. Contenders are looking for good players to improve their chances of winning, not stopgaps who are barely worth a roster spot. Pushing a big chunk of his salary into the option buyout will make him more difficult to trade since the cost is backloaded. Do you think he'll be more or less attractive than he was last season with an extra $1M commitment?
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The Twins can't afford to pay players $14M per WAR.
- 52 replies
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This is where a LH throwing 1B has an advantage. They'll naturally be better going to their right - where their glove is. Stand on the line and you never have to worry about fielding a ball with your backhand.
- 52 replies
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Partly because balls down the line turn into doubles and triples while balls between 1B and 2B turn into singles, especially with the shallow RF in Target Field. They are maximizing the run value of their defense.
- 52 replies
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I will take the under on the projections of 1.3 WAR for Outman, 1.2 WAR for Julien, 1.1 WAR for Keirsey and 1.0 WAR for Gasper. For reference, Royce Lewis has a 1.4 WAR projection. It is interesting that ZIPS thinks Emmanuel Rodriguez is a better player on offense and defense than Outman. Kody Clemens projects as the best glove on the entire team. I think they're too pessimistic on Austin Martin (0.3 WAR).
- 17 replies
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- bailey ober
- byron buxton
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