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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Which, after revenue sharing, ends up being a $7.5M drop in local revenue. That will probably be offset by the additional revenue sharing from teams that are paying higher luxury taxes. Local revenue stays mostly the same, payroll goes WAY down. The Pohlads make more money and fewer people watch the games on TV.
  2. DJL44
    So the Twins negotiated a bad TV deal with a TV channel that nobody can actually access. What's the good news?
  3. DJL44
    Duarte has an option left according to Fangraphs.
  4. DJL44
  5. DJL44
    I agree with the broken promise but I'm not shocked at all at by how badly this negotiation was botched by the Twins. There's a reason they had the worst TV deal of any team prior to this season.
  6. DJL44
    I am always skeptical of amateur radar gun readings. There is a big difference between hitting max velocity in a showcase and doing it over the course of an MLB season while hitting your spots consistently.
  7. DJL44
    I don't expect either of them to be really good at hitting LHP just due to natural platoon splits but they shouldn't be as bad as they were in 2023.
  8. DJL44
    Since I left cable several years ago, I have only been able to watch Twins games at home on Apple TV. I am hopeful that there will be an option to subscribe to MLB.tv and see the Twins this season at a reasonable cost ($20/month or less). I have no interest at all in going back to Dish/Cable or a cable-similar streaming package like YouTubeTV.
  9. DJL44
    Assuming there are no injuries they will need to move someone (Julien or Kirilloff) when Lee comes up. Lee is going to start every day, not sit on the bench.
  10. DJL44
    Making decisions based solely on spring training sample sizes is rarely a good idea. That said, if Gordon looks terrible, he'll end up on waivers. If not, he'll hang around a while. Injuries will make the roster decisions.
  11. DJL44
    The latest rumors have Blake Snell likely to go to the Angels and Jeff Montgomery waiting for Texas to finalize a new TV deal. That would make each rotation very lefthanded. The Angels have three lefties in their rotation already (Detmers, Sandoval and Anderson) and the Rangers have two (Heaney and Bradford). Both organizations would likely be willing to deal from their new starting rotation depth if they add to the top.
  12. DJL44
    Never front load a contract. Understanding the Time Value of Money (investopedia.com)
  13. DJL44
    He wouldn't have made $90M because he was cost controlled through arbitration most of those seasons. It was more of a choice between $26M now and a possible $50M later. It is interesting how everyone has pretty much forgotten his PED suspension. Does that keep him out of the Twins Hall of Fame?
  14. DJL44
    Right now the depth chart at Fangraphs has Willi Castro starting at DH. There's room for a bat.
  15. DJL44
    No, he turned down 1 year $13M. Two years $26M would be better.
  16. DJL44
    Another factor is they already have someone like Duvall on the 40-man roster: Austin Martin. They don't have anyone like Soler with his 1.080 OPS against LHP. That was an sOPS+ of 186 (he hit lefthanded pitching 86% better than league average).
  17. DJL44
    Career numbers: Soler is +11 RBat and -10 RField over 162 games. Duvall is -2 RBat, +10 RField over 162 games. 2022-23 numbers: Soler is +17 RBat -6 RField (89 games fielding). Duvall is -1 RBat and -7 RField (170 games fielding). Duvall gets dinged mostly because he can't handle CF anymore, he's still average in the corners. 36-year-old Duvall is still likely to be a better fielder than 31-year-old Soler. It matters how you deploy them. If you're looking for a bench outfielder then you probably want Duvall. If you want someone full time and more for DH you want Soler. The Twins need another bat more than they need another glove.
  18. DJL44
    Merrifield doesn't hit lefties much better (OPS below 700) than any of our LH batters. They already have Willi Castro to be a utility guy. They need someone who can hit for power off lefthanded pitching. I also don't see many relievers left to add. They're pretty picked over and what's left won't cost much anyway.
  19. DJL44
    There aren't many suitors. Early in free agency Boston, Seattle, Arizona and Toronto were rumored. Seattle traded for Haniger and signed Garver. Arizona signed Pederson and Gurriel. Toronto signed Justin Turner. Latest On Jorge Soler's Market - MLB Trade Rumors Duvall was looking at the Red Sox and the Angels. The Angels signed Hicks after this article was published and are rumored to be interested in JD Martinez. MLB Rumors: Adam Duvall Down to Red Sox, Angels as 'Likely' Free-Agent Landing Spots | News, Scores, Highlights, Stats, and Rumors | Bleacher Report If Duvall re-signs with the Red Sox then Soler's market is basically the Twins. I don't think it will take 3 years $45M to sign Soler. I think 2 years $26M with some sort of option gets it done.
  20. DJL44
    There are also trade possibilities. JD Davis might get moved if San Francisco signs Chapman. Someone mentioned Connor Joe of the Pirates as a good fit. Neither one would cost much for prospects.
  21. DJL44
    Streaming rights are negotiable. The Twins made more money in 2023 from Diamond Sports by guaranteeing there would be no local streaming competitor. They would make less money from Diamond Sports if they sold them cable/satellite rights but did allow fans to stream games locally elsewhere (MLB.tv). I think part of the problem with returning to Diamond Sports is they did such a terrible job actually getting the games delivered to fans. Half the cable/satellite packages didn't have BSN as an option. I think their survey said only 15% of homes in MN had Twins games available.
  22. DJL44
    They have a two year need for this kind of player (there is no RH power bat OF in AAA) so a 2-year contract doesn't bother me. It will take more than just the $8M saved in the Polanco deal to get Soler but they're about $40M below last year's payroll at the moment so the money shouldn't be a problem unless they have a high-priced starting pitcher they're targeting for a potential trade. There are a lot of free agent options for a RH bat (Soler, Pham, Duvall, Martinez, Merrifield, Grichuk, Solano). Picking the right one is important. Soler is the youngest option and an offense-first option. He's also the one you would want to use as a full-time starter rather than just a bench player.
  23. DJL44
    St. Louis definitely did. Detroit, Arizona, Cincinnati, Milwaukee and even the Royals added free agent pitching. This isn't a new strategy for acquiring talent.
  24. DJL44
    There's still room in the bullpen.
  25. DJL44
    Meka Morris - Executive Vice President, Chief Revenue Officer | Minnesota Twins (mlb.com) That's who owns this situation right now.
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