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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Santana is basically the same as playing Polanco at 1B, which was suggested by several here, but at half the cost.
  2. DJL44
    I would keep them out of the plans until May, barring injury.
  3. DJL44
    I would plan on Santana taking 1B since he rates much higher on defense than Miranda or Kirilloff.
  4. DJL44
    What does his arbitration schedule look like without an extension? That's essentially a team option every season for the next 5 years. The best 3B make $30M a season but those are free agent prices. Austin Riley is a better comp than Witt and he's getting 10 years $212M. He signed that deal closer to free agency than Royce and with better health and production in the seasons leading up to the deal. 10 years $180M would be my offer. That accounts for the extra season of pre-arbitration control the Twins have compared to Riley and the injury history.
  5. DJL44
    Jim Fregosi was a helluva ballplayer. The projections are right to expect Correa, Buxton and Lewis to drive this offense. It is more optimistic about Kirilloff than I am.
  6. DJL44
    I'm expecting Kirilloff to get those DH starts.
  7. DJL44
    I see Martin gets a 55 grade for speed which is about 28 ft/s. That's about as fast as Wallner and Royce Lewis and slower than Buxton and Castro.
  8. DJL44
    Taylor is going to have to decide whether he wants to be a starter for (for example) the Pirates or a backup for (example) the Twins. The money will probably be the same.
  9. DJL44
    It isn't what it used to be, it's considerably more.
  10. DJL44
    I don't think any team has a single day where all 26 players at the top of the depth chart are healthy.
  11. DJL44
    Eventually the teams that value marginal wins at $10M run out of roster spots. Then you have to go to the mid-market teams that value marginal wins at $7-8M. Finally, you end up with teams that put little value on marginal wins because they aren't trying to win this year but are willing to sign free agents to 1-year deals hoping they can be moved for future value at the trade deadline.
  12. DJL44
    Boras auctions the players off one at a time. This allows him to maximize the dollars spent by not undercutting the top free agent with a different player who is a better value. Dutch auction - Wikipedia
  13. DJL44
    Plenty of off-days to start the season. I wouldn't worry about having a long reliever until the 4/11 road trip at the earliest.
  14. DJL44
    With most pitchers ERA projecting better than FIP it must be assuming good defense behind these pitchers.
  15. DJL44
    I remember some discussion that his growth plate in his elbow might not have completely fused. That may be just speculation. He is still really young and is probably not maxed out physically.
  16. DJL44
    I saw Balazovic and Duarte on the NRI invite list for spring training. I assume that means they cleared waivers.
  17. DJL44
    Why would the top of the rotation pitcher have to cost very little? The Twins would have $35M of payroll space available. I grant that it isn't easy to find a match. The Twins would have to find a team with a big budget, a hole at SS and a desire to rebuild quickly. The Giants and Red Sox fit that description. They would need to get Correa to approve the trade. Then they would need to either allocate that money to a free agent like Snell or Montgomery or find a team who wants to trade an expensive, top of the rotation starter. This all goes back to Brooks Lee. The Twins have a potential solution for a 2025 starting SS in AAA. They don't have anyone to take that spot at the top of the rotation sitting in the minor leagues.
  18. DJL44
    I saw another evaluator before the draft use Kyle Tucker as a comp. I think Jenkins is producing better than Tucker at the same age.
  19. DJL44
    Let someone else make that mistake. Brandon Woodruff is a 30 year old pitcher with a serious shoulder injury. Ask Glen Perkins how that works out.
  20. DJL44
    Then he's really not as good of a player as everyone says he is. You can't have it both ways. Either Correa is an elite talent or he's not. If he's not worth a highly paid #2 starting pitcher in trade then he's not an elite talent.
  21. DJL44
    I vote for November, 6 2001.
  22. DJL44
    There is essentially no difference between #4 and #5 on a prospect list.
  23. DJL44
    I think Correa is terrific. He's also taking up 25% of the Twins' tiny budget and is one of the few players who would return elite starting pitching talent in a trade.
  24. DJL44
    DH or 1B, I agree. The other option is to trade another infielder next winter.
  25. DJL44
    What is your minimum acceptable performance vs LHP? 700 OPS? You would want at least 50% confidence that he's performing at or above that level. That's (guessing, didn't look these up) 1000 OPS after 30 at-bats or 900 OPS after 60 at-bats. 800 OPS after 120 at-bats in AAA would give you good confidence that he can hit with a 700 OPS in MLB.
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