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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Veteran innings eater in the bullpen. That is worth $1.5M.
  2. DJL44
    Not worse, just cheaper. Though actual Manny Margot is probably signing for league minimum this offseason.
  3. DJL44
    I would be shocked if Sasaki gave up tens of millions of dollars in endorsement money to sign with the Twins instead of the Yankees or Dodgers.
  4. DJL44
    This seems quite high for Winokur. He ranks 31 for Fangraphs and 16 for MLB.com. He is a toolbox but lots of questions about whether his bat will keep up as he moves up levels and also whether the Twins will be able to put him at a defensive position where he will find success. Travis Adams and Adrian Bohorquez should have made the top 30.
  5. DJL44
    I hadn't thought of that. How about Dobnak and $5M in international bonus money to the Dodgers for C Hunter Feduccia. The Dodgers get $5M to offer Sasaki and a $3M salary that doesn't count toward the luxury tax. The Twins get a backup C for negative $8M in 2025. Bonus - Ryan Jeffers gets to hit LHP again. This allows them to send Vazquez to the Cubs for a grade 40 prospect. $18M cleared from the 2025 budget.
  6. DJL44
    They can't trade him unless they acquire a young catcher to take his place. Saving $10M on Vazquez only to spend $7M of it on Danny Jansen is just moving deck chairs around.
  7. DJL44
    Apparently the Cardinals are also looking for RH outfield bat and one of their fans put together an article listing potential fits. Most of the players make money and therefore won't be a fit for the Twins but there were a few interesting cheap options at the end of the article. An .842 OPS vs LHP is not great for a player who spends that much time at Coors Field. Also, not the glove I would be looking for. Would be interesting as a minor league free agent but not someone I would like to put on the 40-man roster. Also, a reason why Kalai Rosario is unlikely to get selected in the Rule 5 draft when players like this are freely available. Interesting. I would have to lean on the scouts pretty heavily here. Sounds like a bargain basement Manny Margot to me.
  8. DJL44
    It's really just 3 spots. Every team carries two catchers and the second catcher is expected to play 40% of the games. Nobody has room to carry a position player they don't want to play.
  9. DJL44
    I expect Culpepper's development will not happen at an accelerated pace. Full season at High-A this year, Double-A next season. If he misses some time due to injury, he'll make his Twins debut in 2028 at age 25.
  10. DJL44
    If you add up these odds it puts the over/under at adding 4.5 players to the roster. I will take the under on that. They're not going to fill the roster with Double-A players when they have so many needs at the MLB level. With the exception of Raya, divide all those numbers by two (or more).
  11. DJL44
    I will go with just Raya. The Rule 5 draft is overhyped every year. Almost nobody gets picked and out of the players who get picked its mostly relief pitchers who are kept. Almost every team has their own marginal prospects like Rosario and Olivar. Additionally, many teams have someone who is out of options that they want to keep on the MLB roster. With the expanded playoffs almost everyone is trying to contend. There is no room on an MLB roster for a position player who can't play when you only have a 3-man bench. The Twins made their position player moves in September when they added Helman and Keirsey. Looking around the league the focus is on Boston, who has a full 40-man roster. They signed Michael Fulmer to a 2-year minor league contract last season while he rehabbed from ligament replacement surgery and now they don't even have room to add him to the roster. I wouldn't be surprised to see Boston make a couple trades today.
  12. DJL44
    I would rather keep Willi Castro at $6M than give Josh Bell $7M. Castro out-hit Bell both of the last two seasons and Castro can actually play infield. Josh Bell is a downgrade on Miranda at 1B. Your roster still needs an outfielder and a second baseman.
  13. DJL44
    I think the Twins should buy out Jeffers' arbitration years with a 3 year contract and 4th year option.
  14. DJL44
    Not just the Padres and Royals - every team in baseball besides Oakland. Oakland only gave him a shot because they didn't have any better options than what everyone thought Rooker was at that time. Absolutely nobody thought Rooker would have a season like the one he just had, including Oakland. If you want to feel smarter than everyone else, go ahead. If you really feel confident you should be putting some money on your predictions. Is TwinsDaily going to write a hundred articles mad at the Twins because they didn't add Adolis Garcia when he was available to any team in baseball? That's just as big of a miss but people (especially on this website) seem to focus much more on the players in the organization than the players outside of the organization. Loss aversion is real.
  15. DJL44
    If they keep Rooker then maybe they don't have room to add Willi Castro. Maybe Larnach gets cut instead. There are ripple effects. and you're always balancing winning now with winning later.
  16. DJL44
    Brent Headrick, Travis Adams, Christian MacLeod. They need to send Dobnak down to Double-A to give these guys innings.
  17. DJL44
    Randy Dobnak and Cole Irvin were both available on waivers last season. Dasan Hill has a lot more upside than "an up and down arm". If the ceiling is "barely a major leaguer" then the floor doesn't matter.
  18. DJL44
    What does he need to work on to be successful? Location. He's a junkball pitcher so he needs to be able to pitch strikes while avoiding the middle of the strike zone. I don't know how that translates into being a top 10 prospect. That's freely available on the waiver wire.
  19. DJL44
    That is the key, though I don't ever expect Jax to go 7 innings. If he moves to the rotation, he will be a 5-inning pitcher for the first season.
  20. DJL44
    If Jax moves to the rotation you have Duran, Alcala, Sands, Stewart/Topa (you'll get a half season out of each) Mike Tonkin Ronny Henriquez (he's out of options so they'll keep him all season) Two slots for unproven rookies and pitchers other teams didn't want.
  21. DJL44
    The key for 2025 is how much better he is than rookie Festa or sophomore Woods-Richardson. If Jax can provide as much value in the rotation as he did in the bullpen AND either of those pitchers would provide 0 WAR, then it's a good move. If Festa and Woods-Richardson would be fine in the 4-5 slots OR Jax can't pitch to a 4.20 RA9 (or better) in the rotation, then it's going to be a downgrade for the team in the short term. In the long-term, if they can convert Jax to a decent starter they can trade him off for a much bigger haul at the trade deadline or next offseason.
  22. DJL44
    Winder had shoulder injuries and struggled to pitch as well out of the stretch as he did with a windup. He was terrible at holding baserunners. Severino has a decent enough bat, but his glove limited him to 1B/DH. If he could play 3B or 2B he'd still be in the system.
  23. DJL44
    Pitchers who should be top 30 prospects who you haven't mentioned yet Charlee Soto, Andrew Morris, Marco Raya, Adrian Bohorquez, Cory Lewis, Travis Adams Players in the top 10 you haven't mentioned yet: Emmanuel Rodriguez, Walker Jenkins, Luke Keaschall, Kaelen Culpepper. Looks like Bohorquez got overlooked.
  24. DJL44
    Bad defense and baserunning really limits his upside. He's going to need to hit like Josh Willingham.
  25. DJL44
    Last time we saw Canterino he was walking nearly 6 batters per 9 innings in Double-A. He's never pitched in AAA. I would recommend he start there to pitch with the automated strike zone.
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