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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. Julien is never going to be able to play defense as well as Kody Clemens.
  2. I really enjoyed TwinsTV this season where I could pay a flat fee to watch all the games. Now we're in the playoffs and the Wild Card games are on ESPN - which I don't have. The next round is on TBS - which I might have depending on whether HBO MAX decides to show the games (sometimes they do, sometimes they don't). Other games are split between FOX/FS1 which is a weird combo platter of obviously having the game and not having the game (does FS1 even have a streaming option?) but not knowing which games will be on FOX until a day ahead of time. I'm assuming FOX will not preempt NFL or college football to show playoff baseball games. It is a lot less exciting to follow playoff baseball when I'm looking at the prospect of a playoff game here and there until the World Series starts. I know fragmenting the playoffs across multiple networks makes the league the most money but it's a pain in the ass for baseball fans.
  3. The Brewers are a fun team to watch with players who are easy to root for. I also like a lot of players on the Phillies. The Mariners are probably my team to root for in the American League.
  4. I saw today that the reported debt is $500M. Just a couple months ago it was reported at $400M. Not sure how they lost another $100M in a matter of months after cutting payroll by $30M. Each team starts with over $200M in shared revenue. They have never come close to spending that much on payroll. There are never any details on where the money was spent or who it is owed to so I will continue to be a skeptic. They could be competitive in 2026 with a payroll around $125M. If they choose to tank with an $80M payroll they shouldn’t be surprised if attendance craters.
  5. Congratulations to Dashawn Keirsey on passing 100 plate appearances as a Twin. That’s means he’s officially the worst hitter in franchise history with 100 or more plate appearances.
  6. Fitzgerald will likely survive the 40-man roster purge and get penciled into next year as the 28th person on the depth chart. He would be available whenever there is an injury, which happens often. He has two years worth of options left.
  7. 113 steals, 33 caught stealing for the season. That’s about 14 extra bases worth of added value or 5 runs above 0 SB and 0 CS.
  8. How many extra outs did they run for into? An out cancels out 3 steals.
  9. Those are basically the only players who should be stealing bases regularly. Wallner and Clemens can pick their opportunities. Everyone else is sorta bad at it. SB by notable Twins minor leaguers Player name SB CS SB% Kyle Debarge 66 8 89% Kyler Fedko 38 8 83% Yasser Mercedes 36 3 92% Angel Del Rosario 32 8 80% Kalai Rosario 32 7 82% Dameury Pena 28 5 85% Payton Eeles 27 8 77% Brandon Winokur 26 4 87% Kaelen Culpepper 25 4 86% Walker Jenkins 17 4 81% Emmanuel Rodriguez 10 3 77% And on the other end of the scale Gabriel Gonzalez 8 3 73% Hendry Mendez 4 3 57% Billy Amick 1 2 33% Now I am understanding converting Mendez to 1B.
  10. It might take a little more. 4 more seasons like this and he's in the group with Willie Davis, Vada Pinson, Torii Hunter, Al Oliver, Dave Parker, Dale Murphy, and Andrew McCutchen.
  11. I don't understand why anyone would give this front office 3 more seasons to try to win before they get fired. It is not that hard to rebuild. They aren't that much worse than Cleveland or Detroit.
  12. I am still not sure if they will protect Klein this offseason. He's on the bubble.
  13. Everyone has a plan to get their work in, and it might not be ideal for winning that game. Players are promoted to a level where they are challenged, not left at a lower level to win games.
  14. Nobody is really trying to win in the minor leagues. Player development is the first priority.
  15. If Ober was a lefty, writers would call him crafty. Great job today, but when he has a bad day he’s a pinball machine. Very little room for error.
  16. I would like to see Twins Daily actively campaigning to get Byron Buxton some MVP votes. I don’t think he is the overall MVP but I also think Raleigh and Judge will clean up all the #1 and #2 votes. Buxton has an MVP bonus in his contract and I would rather see the money in his pocket than in the pocket of one of Carl Pohlad’s grandchildren.
  17. One walk in September
  18. Royce Lewis seems to have developed an allergy to walks. Just 1 walk vs 21 strikeouts in September.
  19. Now look at runs allowed. Does RBI tell the whole story of why teams win games or is there more?
  20. Spreading the saves around is the penny-pincher's approach because saves still mean money in arbitration. My guess is they sign a cheap free agent and give them the infrequently used closer role with the hope of trading them at the deadline.
  21. In case anyone wants to look at the SABR numbers, here's Twins ranked by RBat + RBaser + RDP. That's batting plus baserunning, plus double-play avoidance. Buxton 30 Keaschall 10 Bader 6 Wallner 4 (a very mediocre number) Castro 3 Martin 2 Pereda 1 Jeffers 0 Fitzgerald 0 Clemens -1 McCusker -2 Larnach -3 Outman -3 Correa -4 Lewis -4 Roden -4 Miranda -4 Bride -5 France -6 Julien -7 Gasper -7 Keirsey -11 (in just 86 plate appearances!) Lee -12 Vazquez -12
  22. Comparing a rate stat to a counting stat is usually a terrible idea. What you're really pointing out is how linear weights are necessary to fully measure offensive performance. In other words, sabermetrics. If we want to look at sabermetrics - Wallner has an RBat of 6, which isn't great, but it's 3rd on the 2025 Twins after Keaschall (8) and Buxton (22). He's had a down year, which everyone agrees with. That's not the problem with the Twins offense. The big problem is fourteen other players with a negative contribution on offense including Keirsey (-12), Vazquez (-11) and Lee (-11). If you look at just RBI it will tell you that Brooks Lee was the 2nd best batter on the Twins when he's actually one of the worst. Scoring more runs than you allow wins games, not RBI. The Athletics are 6th in the AL in RBI.
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