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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    I hate to agree with you but given all the pitchers coming up that seem to have better stuff I think we are going to need that roster space. They can do the 60 day DL etc for this season but by seasons end I don't think there is going to be room on the 40 man for a guy that is still an unknown with limited upside. Maybe if the Twins trade a bunch of pitching for Montas that changes things somewhat but it is looking harder to see a future for Dobnak past this year.
  2. Dman
    Yeah I am wondering if the Twins are going to need to Zag on Montas. I can't imagine what the hold up is on Oaklands end. Either they aren't getting the return they want for Montas or teams keep trying to outdo each other to grab him. If the bidding is getting high might be time to go with Manea unless of course they are making it a package deal. There must be other teams out there that the Twins could deal with if the Oakland deal falls through. Like I said I don't know what the holdup is. Billy has traded everyone else except the two pitchers that multiple teams are interested in. Thorpe with 4 K's in his first two innings of work. Did anyone get a chance to see how he looked? I know it is small samples size and he was facing the equivalent of AAA starters but still that looked like a nice outing. While I don't have a ton of faith I am pulling for him. Still shocked the Twins managed to get Correa so who knows what else they might be able to do.
  3. Dman
    Thanks I did not understand the structure of the contract. That is a bit of bummer as then the Twins are likely going to have to give up quite a bit of talent to get that deal done.
  4. Dman
    That is a good point. Andrus's salary this year in only around 7M. If Correa splits after this year paying him 15M next year wouldn't hurt that much. Hopefully Oakland makes a decision today so we don't have to keep wondering.
  5. Dman
    It is going to be interesting to see what Oakland gets for Montas and Manea. I really think they will want to tie Andrus's salary to any deal. Given what we just shelled out for Correa and the fact we don't need Andrus even in a utility role gives me less hope on getting Montas. Maybe Oakland is fine eating Andrus's salary since they have purged so much money already but if they want to rid themselves of the 15M he is owed next year then they will likely need to tie it to Montas. If the A's split those pitchers up then I could see the Twins getting Manea. There is a lot of competition for Montas and no one has over payed yet or the A's would have pulled the trigger. Billy knows how to get value and is soaking this for everything he can get. Will be interesting to see who pays up.
  6. Dman
    Yeah I think given Correa's history with Houston 5/160 didn't sit well at least if that was the final offer. After seeing 10\300 for similar level players that would be selling himself short IMO. With the Twins deal he falls in line to maintain that 30M per year AAV and with the opt outs if he has a tough year next year or gets injured he is still getting 100M with chances every year to opt out and try for a longer term deal. This is a sweetheart deal for Correa and probably hard for other teams to match because of the opt outs. Hard to plan for the future when the next year the player might be gone. While it is not an ideal contract situation for the Twins it covers their main point of risk. Don't do long term High AAV contracts as it kills payroll flexibility especially in the end of deal dead years. It gives this years team a much better chance to compete with a player motivated to have his best season. It gives this team time to see what they have in younger players. If Correa does have some weird career ending injury they only have this deal for a few years while their core is pretty young. It seems like a deal very few teams could live with but for the Twins it gives them a chance to do something special this year. Lots of baseball to played and winning the offseason means nothing but this signing sure generates excitement and gives us hope for a good year this year.
  7. Dman
    I woke up late today and thought I must have still been dreaming. I did not see this deal coming. There is absolutely no precedent for it. With my earlier comments I will be eating crow for weeks. As Jaime put it, in the end they did out Yankee the Yankee's. This deal is brilliant for the Twins on a number of levels. They have one of the best shortstops in the sport motivated to have the best year of his career to play for a longer term contract. They replaced Donaldson with Urshela who will be solid at third base and leave room for Miranda should he force his way onto the team. They are getting Correa in his absolute prime and there should be no dead years at the end of this contract. Second base and utility are covered by Polanco and Arraez. Lewis can still slip into that spot in the future and this buys the Twins time to see where his bat is at. This signing just fixes so many things. It does feel like we are a top of the rotation starter away from a truly competitive team but I am just shocked that the Twins FO was capable of making a move like signing Correa. Way to go FO, way to go.
  8. Dman
    Pineda to Tigers on Twins like salary as well. He came cheap. I sure hope they get Montas or they are going to have to rely on the young guys this year.
  9. Dman
    The plan might not have been Story they still might be in on Montas or Montas and Manea taking on the Andrus salary from the A's. Still there appears to be a lot of competition for Montas as well so no sure thing. If they miss on both then it looks like an Urshela, Polanco, maybe Palacios or Gordon type rotation at short. That would hurt for sure so I hope they manage to get another deal done.
  10. Dman
    If you read the article and read between lines in Story's quote as Trade Rumors does. It seems he has come off that stance. I would think the Mariners could still have a chance as well as their payroll is in good shape but I just can't see the Twins doing what needs to be done to get him as they won't want to pay for the declining years (i.e. Josh Donaldson).. "It should be noted that while the words “short-term” don’t necessarily mean that Story is open to a short-term deal just yet. For instance, the general expectation is that Red Sox shortstop Xander Bogaerts will opt out of the final three years of his contract following the 2022 season. Story could technically sign a long-term deal in Boston, play second base for one season, and then slide over as the everyday shortstop if an when Bogaerts departs. That’s an entirely speculative scenario, to be clear, but one that is fairly easy to envision."
  11. Dman
    Yeah I think the Red Sox have this one locked up. Twins are allergic to these kinds of deals. The only one they ever made was the two team bid for Donaldson versus Atlanta and Atlanta was smart enough to move on from that deal leaving the Twins to actually win the "bidding" war if you can call it that. In the end it looks more like we lost but whatever. Anyway I just don't see the Twins grabbing Story away from a club that will likely give him more years and has a greater ability to pay more per year.
  12. Dman
    Chi Chi's last good year was 2015 and his K9 has never been good ever. With his 6+ Era the last 3 years I don't see him having much of an option at the MLB level. Not sure we really need that many pitchers for AAA either given the glut we have at the top. Maybe the Twins are planning on unloading a few guys in trades? Right now they have Josh Winder, Drew Strotman, Cole Sands, Devin Smeltzer, Jhoan Duran at AAA and Balazovich could also be at that level if they want him to be. At AA any of these guys could probably move up as well since they have more arms than spots at that level. Matt Canterino, Chris Vallimont, Louie Varland, Ben Gross, Kody Funderburk, Austin Schulfer, Simeon Woods-Richardson, and Ronny Henriquez. I would choose to move any the guys I just mentioned to MLB ball before Chi Chi. So not sure what the play is here just yet.
  13. Dman
    I think those remaining pitchers are waiting to see who loses out on Montas to see if they can up the dollars teams might be willing to spend to add them to the roster. If the Twins are in on Montas and Pineda would like to pitch for the Twins then he likely has to wait and see if the Twins do manage to get Montas. If they do then my guess is big Mike signs elsewhere if they don't then I assume he will be looking for another multi-year deal. Probably the same for the other pitchers as well. When the Montas trade is done things should start moving real fast for the rest of the free agent pitchers left on the market.
  14. Dman
    Honestly that satire hits a little bit too close to home for me. While I might not be that over the top just yet. I certainly am plenty agitated.
  15. Dman
    Hamilton started off well in the minors last year but then regressed significantly in the second half of the season. I still have hope that he can make it as a backup catcher. We will have to wait and see if Cardenas or Winkler can change things but they are a ways a way. I sure hope Jeffers is the real deal as they have pretty much bet the catcher position on him for the next couple of years as best I can tell. There is still time to make changes but time is running out. Catcher is not a position to skimp on IMO. I hope they find more depth before the season starts.
  16. Dman
    I think Spencer Steer opened some eyes with the power he added to his game. He could be plus defensively at 2nd and 3rd as well so lot's to like there. He definitely deserved to be moved up. His plate discipline seemed to slip a bit after he got moved up to AA but in general his eye at the plate has been good. Will be interesting to see how he does this year. If he keeps that OPS in the mid 800's the Twins are going to have find room for him. I don't know what to think about Raya and they must be going off scouting reports to move him up but it all seem premature to me. He looks good but it has to translate to games as well. Nice to see him move up and hopefully he proves the analysts right. Sabato needed to come down. When a player can't even connect with the ball at the Rookie level he needs to drop. Maybe some reflection in his time off will help him. I hope so but a drop was expected after how his season started. Same for Vallimont. The K's were there but so were the walks. The WHIP and ERA were bad. If he can't find find the strike zone he will be a non-prospect very soon. Personally I think he will clean things up but he has to prove it this year or likely find another team. The Twins can't afford to keep him of the 40 man if he can't produce.
  17. Dman
    Yeah they look like pretty similar players at least right now. Godoy actually looks better at the dish at this point as well. At least the Twins found someone left handed for that up and down spot. While I don't think Ben will be a "special" hitter and likely not even average at the MLB level most catchers aren't. I do think, however, his bat could end up better than someone like Godoy in time but since that ship has sailed I am actually happy about this move. The FO didn't have to trade to get this guy and the production looks like it will be similar on offense and defense. It makes me feel a little bit better now that Ben II is in place. I hope there are even better moves to come.
  18. Dman
    He deserves that money for carrying the Braves on his back to the World Series. I think he was crazy good in that Dodgers series and that was where I thought Atlanta would lose for sure. Eddie came up big. I would say this is getting paid after the fact but good for him. He deserves it. Always loved his passion and his bat when hot.
  19. Dman
    I too am interested to see if Thorpe can rebound. I can't say that I trust his stuff but as others have said he is a lefty and if can get some of that velocity back then I think he can make it. If not there are a ton of arms behind him that should be ready to step up later this year. I like Jax better in the pen than as a starter. He also should be a guy that could go two innings or long relief if needed. Hoping he does well because I have always like him and his stuff.
  20. Dman
    I just hate getting fleeced and beaten by the Yankee's all the time. I feel pretty much the same way. They didn't want Sanchez or Urshela anymore and got the better 3rd baseman and catcher in the deal and to top it off took our shortstop as well. I don't see how the FO makes this hurt less but I will wait and see. Right now it isn't sitting well.
  21. Dman
    He might do better in Minnesota simply because he gets to face a less competitive division. The East with Boston, Tampa and Toronto can make it tough sledding. Granted pitching in the central appears to be picking up as well so might be easier said than done. After a certain point in time hitters are generally who they are and catchers are notoriously streaky because they get injured so much. I kind of think Sanchez is who he is at this point. The Yankees brought in one of the better Catcher coaches (stolen from Minnesota) and it doesn't look like Sanchez improved behind the plate so again what exactly would be the plan to make him better at this point? Maybe Bean or someone else can take a deeper dive and get some stats to tell us if there if much hope for changes for the better.
  22. Dman
    And remember they sloughed off another 10M or so with the trades they made at the deadline so they never had to spend all that opening day money in the end anyway.
  23. Dman
    I don't necessarily disagree and you dig into the stats far more than I do. Still the OP was based on the Trade Values site and I based his value there into the discussion. Not that the A's would be interested but he has value and would be someone that I feel could be used without hurting the Twins too much. Although he looked absolutely lost by the end of his time at MLB ball, I mean he couldn't even seem to hit fastballs in the end or have an idea what the ball was going to do at the plate. It was his first crack and I think he will do better but will have to wait and see. The majors is a hard level lot's of guys sink instead of swim.
  24. Dman
    Agreed it would take more than Larnach and one pitcher to get Montas but I would try and use Larnach as my headliner. On the trade values site he has as much value as Lewis because Lewis is an unknown especially with the bat. Still Lewis is the only player even close that can potentially play shortstop for the Twins. Could be a bad idea to keep him if the bat never comes around but I think it will. Probably not elite status like Martin but hopefully a mid 700's OPS as he does have power. The A's might not like Larnach for the headliner without even more added so they might say no way to that deal it is just I hate to give away the only guy in the system that play short anytime soon. I wouldn't want to give up Martin either which is why I try and use Arraez as a headliner. He might not fit the A's plans maybe he does. Don't know for sure but they have value on the chart and are guys I would look to move first.
  25. Dman
    The Twins did just that with Berrios. No one really thought Martin a shortstop right?
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