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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    right, every team wants to add another quality proven young starter. That’s why the free agent market for Cole was 9 years 324 mil.... Now that trade is the only option, it’s going to cost significant trade assets to out bid other teams. The cost of poor forecasting....
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    agreed, tons of back end depth for 20, but very thin at the top of the rotation. Injuries will happen and having all that depth for starters 4-10 is great! It raises the floor. Having a solid chance win the 5th game as opposed to an automatic L is how you win the regular season. Need to add a starter to the 1-3 range (preferably 1, but understand the difficulty/cost) to raise the ceiling. Having a 3rd high-end starter is how you win in the post season.
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    Adrianza and Gonzalez are better fielders than whom? Rosario, Arraez & Polanco - probably. TBD on Sano, but plausible at first. I would say not better than Kepler in right. I doubt they are better fielders than Donaldson at 3rd.
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    Too funny!
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    one more season, maybe... it would require a big step up from 4. Yeah, the ending was clearly an “oops, we need a tidy bow on this right now” moment.
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    when the FO trades for a front of the rotation type starter you’ll be way low
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    The word that comes to mind: “bludgeon” The other one is WOO!
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    Wooo!
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    I agree with this almost entirely except to add a “yes, but” It is possible to offer a lower total contract at more attractive terms. If for instance Donaldson’s offer from the Nats was 4 years 100M but half of the contract is deferred out over 12 years, while the Twins offer of 4 years 90 all during the 4 years, the Twins would be the better deal by time value of money. But yeah, it still needs to be a better deal for the player.
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    Others have brought this up, and I’ve finally come around to it. If not Donaldson, I’d rather the Twins get a SS and move Polanco to 3B.
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28469819/sources-browns-plan-hire-vikings-oc-kevin-stefanski-head-coach Looks like Stephanski will be looking for a new job this time next year...
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    I think this is an over-simplification. The World Series isn’t won in the offseason, and why I think this offseason is a failure has more to do with goals. I do not want the FO to mortgage the future, but do want the FO to acquire a significant difference maker on the fielding side and the pitching side. Free agency when it is targeted and well timed, holds on to cheap future assets. Success rates of prospects are low, it takes a lot of them to develop just a few. They can still make moves that make a significant impact on 2020 (and beyond) but not without giving up assets for future success. There’s nothing wrong with what they’ve done, it just isn’t (and can’t be) successful, unless they somehow swindle another team in a trade. That doesn’t happen... As to “how much is too much?” Cole wasn’t gonna happen and that banana-pants money would have crippled the Twins. I’m glad they didn’t do it. But what Wheeler or Ryu got or even more would have been no real hardship.
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    it’s certainly possible, and I hope they do... but how did you determine odds here? Why are you so confident?
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    the evolution of defensive metrics is trending in the right direction. I’m encouraged by the possibilities of measuring range, reaction and optimum routes to gain more objective determination of what a “good defensive player” and “good defensive play” really are. I still don’t think the fielding side of metrics is at the same level as hitting, but it’s catching up.
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    http://m.startribune.com/bob-mcclure-joins-rocco-baldelli-s-coaching-staff-with-twins/566887312/ Notably Bob McClure as bullpen coach and Rudy Hernandez got a promotion to hitting coach. Curious how it works to have co-hitting coaches with Edgar Varela having the same title.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    Falvey clearly didn’t make decisions 10 years ago and can’t time travel, but this offseason was his to make. Sustainability is not a reason to miss on free agents. In current state, free agents are all but done in ways that can meaningfully improve the team. Going forward, trades are the option left, and that hurts the sustainability of the team. So if sustainability is the goal you can’t still meaningfully improve the team.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    Twins go to Arb w/ Berrios over $375k. Fascinating....
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    Wow, Sano was not the player I expected to be extended this winter... Very curious about the dollars
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    this exactly why so many of us are upset at the offseason-to-date “failure”...The Twins are on their way down the red carpet in a Canadian Tuxedo because they’re too cheap buy a Black one. The Twins could have made a black tuxedo starting 7-10 years ago, but that train has sailed.
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    options is the rub. The Twins could use another swing man, especially in the first half of the season. Hate to lose another valuable 40 man spot to a guy you’ll prolly end up DFAing at some point in the season anyways.
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    that depends on if in this scenario, the Seahawks get healthy and lose to the Packers anyways. If the Seahawks are still banged up and manage to eek out a win again an inconsistent (yet still awesome) Packers team, that might be a better bet for your Vikes. Wilson and the rest of the team might still be hobbled, but shouldn’t be overlooked. That has been LaFleur’s Achilles Heel.
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    Kepler’s home runs per fly ball increased in part because he started pulling the ball more. Prior to 2019 he pulled fly balls 24% to 33%. In 2019 he pulled fly balls 41% of the time. Kepler’s average home run distance in 2019 was 392 feet. The right field fence is 328 feet. Even if he lost 5% of the distance traveled with a non-juiced ball 372 feet is plenty if he keeps pulling the ball 41%. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/max-kepler/12144/splits-tool?position=OF&splitArr=12&strgroup=season&statgroup=3&startDate=all&endDate=all&filter=&statType=player&autoPt=true&players=&sort=NaN,1 https://www.mlb.com/player/max-kepler-596146 I’m not convinced Kepler will be as heavily impacted as the OP states.
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    hmmm math might disagree with you...
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    assuming Donaldson goes elsewhere, the top free agents are off the board. What should the FO do next?
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    http://twinsdaily.com/topic/32303-article-a-guide-to-and-plea-for-attending-twins-spring-training/?fromsearch=1
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