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Everything posted by Cody Christie
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It’s been nearly six years since Byron Buxton entered the offseason with a clean bill of health. Does that position him for an even better 2025 season? Image courtesy of © Jesse Johnson-Imagn Images Byron Buxton and the word healthy are rarely used in the same sentence. Injuries have impacted him throughout his professional career to the point where it has become the main talking point for his detractors. However, he set new milestones in 2024 while also proving that he can still handle the rigors of centerfield. Now, he is heading into one of the most critical offseasons of his career and might be healthy enough to build on his positive momentum from last season. He played in over 100 games for only the second time in his career. His 138 OPS+ is his second-highest total, with only his 2021 season ranking higher. His xSLG, wOBA, and xwOBACON rank in the top 7% among MLB hitters. He also dropped his K% from 31.4% last season (bottom 8% of MLB) to 26.0% in 2024. Among AL center fielders, only Aaron Judge ranked higher than Buxton in wRC+, SLG, and xwOBA. He was a borderline All-Star and provided the Twins with more value than the team likely expected entering the season. Many fans still complain about his lack of availability, but Buxton continues to provide significant value. Minnesota is paying him $15.1 million per season as part of the 7-year, $100 million contract he signed leading into the 2022 campaign. Last season, FanGraphs estimated his value as being worth $29.4 million. He’s been worth over $24 million in every full season since 2019, except 2023, when he was a full-time DH. The Twins have paid Buxton $39.3 million over the last three seasons, and he has provided the team with $62 million in value. Buxton was in a reflective mood with the media as the season ended. He and Carlos Correa had to rush back to try and help the team in the final weeks, but it was too late for the team’s best players to make an impact. It was a disappointing end to the year, but there were personal goals that he reached despite the team’s collapse. “It’s not where we want to be, but I don’t look at it as a negative,” Buxton said. “There’s a lot of positives for me this year. I had goals set for myself, and I achieved them. So it’s all about taking those little small wins and building off of those and just going from there.” So, how can Buxton build off his successes in 2024? This will be the first time in the last six seasons that he enters the offseason without a lingering injury or surgery on the horizon. Some obvious benefits to being relatively healthy entering the winter include better preparation for next season. Based on his 2024 campaign, Buxton can take the necessary steps to reach bigger benchmarks in future seasons. He played 102 games in 2024, so reaching the 115-120 range for games played is a reasonable next step. Defensively, he played nearly 770 innings in center field, the second-highest total of his career, so a goal of 850 innings in center should be attainable. Overall, he likely would have preferred to be on the field more in the second half when the team was collapsing. So, the Twins and Buxton will need to continue to monitor his workload to avoid nagging injuries compiling during the year and keeping him off the field in September. Some of these goals would have seemed outlandish during last offseason, but Buxton is in a different place this winter that can better prepare him for 2025. There are no guarantees when it comes to Buxton’s health, but this season was the first step toward a healthy and more productive center fielder. Buxton is never going to play 150+ games in a season, but fewer than 30 AL players reached that total last season. Even in 100 games, Buxton provided enough value to the Twins to put him in the conversation for the second-best center fielder in the league. The 2025 season was an excellent first step, but Buxton has bigger goals moving forward. What should the expectations be for Buxton in 2025? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Carlos Santana, Willi Castro Named Silver Slugger Award Finalists
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
On Monday, MLB and Rawlings announced the finalists for Silver Sluggers in both leagues. The Twins have two finalists, Carlos Santana (first base) and Willi Castro (utility), who are among the top three vote-getters at their designated positions. So, how do the two hitters stack up to the competition, and will either have an opportunity to walk away with the hardware? AL Silver Slugger Finalists First Base Finalists: Santana, Josh Naylor, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Santana: .238/.328/.420, 109 OPS+, 23 HR, 26 2B, 71 RBI Santana started the year on a sour note with a .621 OPS through the season’s first month. He turned it around, though, with a .777 OPS the rest of the way. At 38 years old, he would be the oldest Silver Slugger winner since 2020, when Nelson Cruz won the award during his second season with the Twins. Of the three candidates, Santana seems the least likely to win the award. Guerrero's season was intimidatingly great. Naylor: .243/.320/.456, 118 OPS+, 31 HR, 27 2B, 108 RBI Twins fans got an up-close view of Naylor this season as he terrorized the AL Central. He led AL first basemen in home runs and RBIs, despite his OPS dropping 66 points compared to the 2023 season. He was a first-time All-Star and helped power the offense of the second-best team in the AL. Will voters give him the advantage because he was on a contending team? Guerrero Jr.: .323/.396/.544, 166 OPS+, 30 HR, 44 2B, 103 RBI Guerrero got off to a slow start, himself, with a .678 OPS in the season’s first month. Over the season’s final five months, he combined for a 1.002 OPS, so he should easily be the choice over Naylor and Santana. Toronto was one of baseball’s most disappointing teams this year, but despite these struggles, Guerrero posted an OPS above 1.100 in July and August. He was one of the league’s best hitters and deserves his second Silver Slugger. Who Should Win? Guerrero Utility Finalists: Castro, Josh Smith, Jordan Westburg Castro: .247/.331/.385, 102 OPS+, 31 2B, 5 3B, 12 HR, 60 RBI, 14 SB Castro was elected to his first All-Star Game this season, after hitting .266/.352/.422 with 34 extra-base hits in the first half. He struggled offensively in the second half, with his OPS dropping to .627. Much of the attention thrown on him this season seems tied to his ability to play a variety of defensive positions. He was the first player in MLB history to appear in at least 25 games at second, third, shortstop, center field, and left field. Smith: .258/.337/.394, 110 OPS+, 30 2B, 1 3B, 13 HR, 62 RBI, 11 SB Smith played half the season at third base, after Josh Jung fractured his wrist early in the season. He’d go on to play nearly 50 games at shortstop, too. His first half was dominant, as he posted a .293/.392/.469 line with 30 extra-base hits in 90 games. His OPS dropped to .565 in the second half, and his strikeout totals jumped (56 Ks in 233 ABs) as the league started to catch up to him. His offensive totals are slightly better than Castro's, but he had less defensive flexibility. Westburg: .264/.312/.481, 129 OPS+, 26 2B, 5 3B, 18 HR, 6 SB Like Castro, Westburg was a first-time All-Star in 2024 after posting an .814 OPS in the first half. His offensive totals look better than the other two players, but he was also limited to 107 games. He only played 18 games in the second half and went 17-for-73 (.233 BA) with seven extra-base hits. Castro and Smith both played over 130 games in 2024. Without factoring in games played, Westburg should win, but the voters will honor someone who played more regularly. Who Should Win? Smith Santana and Castro both played critical roles for the Twins this season. However, neither seems likely to win the Silver Slugger compared to the competition at their position. Fans will have to wait to find out the winners when they are announced on Tues., Nov. 12, at 5 p.m. CT on MLB Network. Do you agree with the above predictions? Leave a comment and start the discussion.- 4 comments
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- carlos santana
- willi castro
- (and 4 more)
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Carlos Santana and Willi Castro were two of the Twins’ best offensive players throughout the season. Does either of them have the résumé to win a Silver Slugger Award? Image courtesy of Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports On Monday, MLB and Rawlings announced the finalists for Silver Sluggers in both leagues. The Twins have two finalists, Carlos Santana (first base) and Willi Castro (utility), who are among the top three vote-getters at their designated positions. So, how do the two hitters stack up to the competition, and will either have an opportunity to walk away with the hardware? AL Silver Slugger Finalists First Base Finalists: Santana, Josh Naylor, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Santana: .238/.328/.420, 109 OPS+, 23 HR, 26 2B, 71 RBI Santana started the year on a sour note with a .621 OPS through the season’s first month. He turned it around, though, with a .777 OPS the rest of the way. At 38 years old, he would be the oldest Silver Slugger winner since 2020, when Nelson Cruz won the award during his second season with the Twins. Of the three candidates, Santana seems the least likely to win the award. Guerrero's season was intimidatingly great. Naylor: .243/.320/.456, 118 OPS+, 31 HR, 27 2B, 108 RBI Twins fans got an up-close view of Naylor this season as he terrorized the AL Central. He led AL first basemen in home runs and RBIs, despite his OPS dropping 66 points compared to the 2023 season. He was a first-time All-Star and helped power the offense of the second-best team in the AL. Will voters give him the advantage because he was on a contending team? Guerrero Jr.: .323/.396/.544, 166 OPS+, 30 HR, 44 2B, 103 RBI Guerrero got off to a slow start, himself, with a .678 OPS in the season’s first month. Over the season’s final five months, he combined for a 1.002 OPS, so he should easily be the choice over Naylor and Santana. Toronto was one of baseball’s most disappointing teams this year, but despite these struggles, Guerrero posted an OPS above 1.100 in July and August. He was one of the league’s best hitters and deserves his second Silver Slugger. Who Should Win? Guerrero Utility Finalists: Castro, Josh Smith, Jordan Westburg Castro: .247/.331/.385, 102 OPS+, 31 2B, 5 3B, 12 HR, 60 RBI, 14 SB Castro was elected to his first All-Star Game this season, after hitting .266/.352/.422 with 34 extra-base hits in the first half. He struggled offensively in the second half, with his OPS dropping to .627. Much of the attention thrown on him this season seems tied to his ability to play a variety of defensive positions. He was the first player in MLB history to appear in at least 25 games at second, third, shortstop, center field, and left field. Smith: .258/.337/.394, 110 OPS+, 30 2B, 1 3B, 13 HR, 62 RBI, 11 SB Smith played half the season at third base, after Josh Jung fractured his wrist early in the season. He’d go on to play nearly 50 games at shortstop, too. His first half was dominant, as he posted a .293/.392/.469 line with 30 extra-base hits in 90 games. His OPS dropped to .565 in the second half, and his strikeout totals jumped (56 Ks in 233 ABs) as the league started to catch up to him. His offensive totals are slightly better than Castro's, but he had less defensive flexibility. Westburg: .264/.312/.481, 129 OPS+, 26 2B, 5 3B, 18 HR, 6 SB Like Castro, Westburg was a first-time All-Star in 2024 after posting an .814 OPS in the first half. His offensive totals look better than the other two players, but he was also limited to 107 games. He only played 18 games in the second half and went 17-for-73 (.233 BA) with seven extra-base hits. Castro and Smith both played over 130 games in 2024. Without factoring in games played, Westburg should win, but the voters will honor someone who played more regularly. Who Should Win? Smith Santana and Castro both played critical roles for the Twins this season. However, neither seems likely to win the Silver Slugger compared to the competition at their position. Fans will have to wait to find out the winners when they are announced on Tues., Nov. 12, at 5 p.m. CT on MLB Network. Do you agree with the above predictions? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
- 4 replies
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- carlos santana
- willi castro
- (and 4 more)
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International age fraud in baseball has occurred for decades, and even more issues were in the spotlight over the weekend. Let’s look back at the Miguel Sanó saga and try to decipher a plan for baseball to avoid these issues in the future. Image courtesy of Elizabethton Twins Over the weekend, ESPN reported that an MLB investigation found that a top prospect in the Dominican Republic had falsified his age. The San Diego Padres verbally agreed to sign the player for $4 million, but discovered he was 19 years old instead of 14. This isn’t the first time this type of issue has impacted baseball, and it will hardly be the last. Here’s a look back at the controversy surrounding Miguel Sanó’s age and how baseball can make changes with the international player signing process. When Sanó signed with the Twins, many questions about his age were swirling. In 2009, MLB completed an investigation into this issue, but the results were inconclusive. Because of the age issues, Sanó lowered his asking price to sign, and some teams were still scared away by his high price tag. The Twins were the team to pull the trigger, and they gave him $3.15 million, which was then the second-highest signing bonus in team history, behind Joe Mauer’s $5.15 million in 2001. Sanó ranked as one of baseball’s top prospects during his time in the minor leagues and played eight years for the Twins. He accumulated 7.6 WAR and posted a 116 OPS+ while being selected to one All-Star team. Inconsistent offensive performance limited Sanó, and he could not reach the superstar status that some had predicted for him at the time of his signing. Perhaps he was older than people thought at the time of his signing, but he still had plenty of opportunities to prove himself at the big-league level. So, why is age fraud an issue in baseball? For players in (especially) the Dominican Republic, there is plenty of pressure to get a slice of teams' international free-agency pies, and age is a key factor in teams' evaluations of prospects. There is a big difference between a 16-year-old signing for millions and an 18-year-old getting tens of thousands of dollars. A player who shows any promise will try and "adjust" their age, to put their family in a better place for the future. Here are some potential solutions that could address this complex issue: 1. Enhanced Verification and Documentation: MLB could partner with government agencies, healthcare institutions, and independent investigators to improve birth certificate verification. A central database of prospect information, created with help from local governments, could track athletes from a young age, making documentation more transparent and difficult to forge. 2. Expanding League-Run Academy System: MLB has already established academies in multiple countries, so expanding these academies could give teams more oversight. It could allow MLB to directly oversee players’ development and documentation. Players enter these academies early in their teens, making verifying ages easier and tracking individual growth while providing consistent training and education. This would have to involve some shift toward a league-sponsored set of academies, though. Right now, teams operate academies individually and try to gain advantages over opponents, and the league has had to maintain rules limiting how much time young people can spend at a team's academy based on age. 3. Uniform International Draft: Transitioning to an international draft would bring more structure to the international signing process, with set eligibility requirements that could include age checks and verified documentation. Teams could allocate resources for thorough background checks as part of the draft process, similar to scouting for domestic players. 4. Incentivizing Age Transparency: MLB could introduce policies that reward players and teams for transparency. For instance, teams could receive international signing pool bonuses for properly verified age documents or for signing players who pass age verification steps. Penalties for violations, such as banning players from signing for multiple years, could also deter fraud. 5. Third-Party Oversight: Hiring independent organizations to verify the identities and ages of international signees would bring an unbiased layer to the process. This could be done through partnerships with companies specializing in forensic document analysis, background checks, and biometrics to build more reliable records. 6. Increased Investment in Education and Awareness: Often, young players and their families are pressured into age fraud by agents who promise financial rewards. MLB and teams could invest in educational initiatives in the Dominican and beyond, explaining the risks and long-term consequences of age fraud and helping families and players make informed decisions. 7. Stricter Penalties for Teams and Agents: MLB could impose stricter penalties on teams and agents caught participating in age fraud schemes, such as restricting signing rights or imposing fines. This would create a more accountable system and pressure teams to conduct thorough background checks and uphold ethical standards. Each of these solutions has its own challenges, but combined, they could help create a more transparent and fair system that protects both teams and international players from exploitation and fraud. The international signing process has improved since Sanó signed with the Twins, but the news over the weekend points to the flaws that still exist in the system. What path should MLB take to reduce age fraud? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Over the weekend, ESPN reported that an MLB investigation found that a top prospect in the Dominican Republic had falsified his age. The San Diego Padres verbally agreed to sign the player for $4 million, but discovered he was 19 years old instead of 14. This isn’t the first time this type of issue has impacted baseball, and it will hardly be the last. Here’s a look back at the controversy surrounding Miguel Sanó’s age and how baseball can make changes with the international player signing process. When Sanó signed with the Twins, many questions about his age were swirling. In 2009, MLB completed an investigation into this issue, but the results were inconclusive. Because of the age issues, Sanó lowered his asking price to sign, and some teams were still scared away by his high price tag. The Twins were the team to pull the trigger, and they gave him $3.15 million, which was then the second-highest signing bonus in team history, behind Joe Mauer’s $5.15 million in 2001. Sanó ranked as one of baseball’s top prospects during his time in the minor leagues and played eight years for the Twins. He accumulated 7.6 WAR and posted a 116 OPS+ while being selected to one All-Star team. Inconsistent offensive performance limited Sanó, and he could not reach the superstar status that some had predicted for him at the time of his signing. Perhaps he was older than people thought at the time of his signing, but he still had plenty of opportunities to prove himself at the big-league level. So, why is age fraud an issue in baseball? For players in (especially) the Dominican Republic, there is plenty of pressure to get a slice of teams' international free-agency pies, and age is a key factor in teams' evaluations of prospects. There is a big difference between a 16-year-old signing for millions and an 18-year-old getting tens of thousands of dollars. A player who shows any promise will try and "adjust" their age, to put their family in a better place for the future. Here are some potential solutions that could address this complex issue: 1. Enhanced Verification and Documentation: MLB could partner with government agencies, healthcare institutions, and independent investigators to improve birth certificate verification. A central database of prospect information, created with help from local governments, could track athletes from a young age, making documentation more transparent and difficult to forge. 2. Expanding League-Run Academy System: MLB has already established academies in multiple countries, so expanding these academies could give teams more oversight. It could allow MLB to directly oversee players’ development and documentation. Players enter these academies early in their teens, making verifying ages easier and tracking individual growth while providing consistent training and education. This would have to involve some shift toward a league-sponsored set of academies, though. Right now, teams operate academies individually and try to gain advantages over opponents, and the league has had to maintain rules limiting how much time young people can spend at a team's academy based on age. 3. Uniform International Draft: Transitioning to an international draft would bring more structure to the international signing process, with set eligibility requirements that could include age checks and verified documentation. Teams could allocate resources for thorough background checks as part of the draft process, similar to scouting for domestic players. 4. Incentivizing Age Transparency: MLB could introduce policies that reward players and teams for transparency. For instance, teams could receive international signing pool bonuses for properly verified age documents or for signing players who pass age verification steps. Penalties for violations, such as banning players from signing for multiple years, could also deter fraud. 5. Third-Party Oversight: Hiring independent organizations to verify the identities and ages of international signees would bring an unbiased layer to the process. This could be done through partnerships with companies specializing in forensic document analysis, background checks, and biometrics to build more reliable records. 6. Increased Investment in Education and Awareness: Often, young players and their families are pressured into age fraud by agents who promise financial rewards. MLB and teams could invest in educational initiatives in the Dominican and beyond, explaining the risks and long-term consequences of age fraud and helping families and players make informed decisions. 7. Stricter Penalties for Teams and Agents: MLB could impose stricter penalties on teams and agents caught participating in age fraud schemes, such as restricting signing rights or imposing fines. This would create a more accountable system and pressure teams to conduct thorough background checks and uphold ethical standards. Each of these solutions has its own challenges, but combined, they could help create a more transparent and fair system that protects both teams and international players from exploitation and fraud. The international signing process has improved since Sanó signed with the Twins, but the news over the weekend points to the flaws that still exist in the system. What path should MLB take to reduce age fraud? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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As the Minnesota Twins gear up for the 2025 season, the focus shifts to their core group of players who form the backbone of the roster. Some of these players have cemented their place as long-term building blocks, while others could find themselves as valuable trade assets. In this article, we rank the Twins' most important pieces at the big-league level, considering both their impact and the likelihood of them being traded before the 2025 season. 5. Joe Ryan, SP Pros: Ryan has established himself as a reliable mid-rotation starter with flashes of being a top-of-the-rotation option. His fastball-heavy approach works when he's locating well, and he's shown an ability to pitch deep into games. In 2024, he set career-best totals in ERA+ (115), WHIP (0.98), and BB/9 (1.5). Ryan's youth and team control make him a valuable piece for the Twins, both now and in the future. Cons: He ended the season on the injured list and has fought through injuries throughout his big-league career. He’s averaged less than 150 innings pitched during his first three full MLB seasons. He can be prone to giving up home runs (30-degree launch angle on his fastball), which might limit his long-term upside. Trade Likelihood: Low-Medium Ryan is a valuable trade asset with a deep pitching prospect pool behind him. However, his trade value might be lower this winter because of his injury to end the 2024 campaign. 4. Byron Buxton, OF Pros: Buxton had a redemption year in 2024, playing over 100 games and returning to center field for the first time since 2022. He still possesses elite speed and defense when healthy, and his leadership remains invaluable. After years of skepticism around his durability, Buxton proved he can still impact games as he combined for a 137 OPS+, his highest total since 2022. Cons: His growing injury history will follow him throughout his big-league career, limiting his overall impact. Minnesota needed him on the field as the team collapsed, but he was among a group of players impacted by injury. Trade Likelihood: Low Buxton might have the lowest trade likelihood on the team. He signed his extension because it has a no-trade clause and he wanted his family to be comfortable growing up in Minnesota. Buxton’s contract and injury history complicate any trade possibilities. He isn’t going anywhere. 3. Carlos Correa, SS Pros: Despite a disappointing finish to his 2024 season due to a foot injury, Correa remained a critical piece for the Twins. Twins Daily voted him the team MVP, even though he was limited to playing in less than 55% of the team’s games. His leadership, defense at shortstop, and ability to perform in high-pressure moments solidify his value. Signed through 2028 (or beyond), Correa is arguably the face of the franchise. Cons: His contract is a significant portion of the team’s total payroll, and his health issues are becoming more of a concern as he enters his 30s. Correa needs to avoid the plantar fasciitis injuries that have plagued him over the last two seasons. Trade Likelihood: Low Correa has a full no-trade clause, so the only way to move him is for him to agree to a trade. Minnesota could convince him that the team is entering a soft rebuild, making him more open to the idea of a trade to a contender. 2. Pablo López, SP Pros: After arriving in the Luis Arraez trade, López proved to be the ace Minnesota needed, posting career-best numbers in 2023. He struggled through parts of the 2024 season but improved significantly in the second half. In his final 81 1/3 innings, he allowed 25 earned runs (2.77 ERA), with his OPS allowed dropping by 40 points compared to the first half. With López under contract through 2027, he offers long-term security at the top of the rotation. Cons: His value likely dipped slightly due to his inconsistent 2024 campaign. It’s also difficult to envision the Twins trading their ace. A blockbuster deal involving López could be on the table if they want to reshape the roster. Trade Likelihood: Medium The Twins are unlikely to shop López, but with young arms on the rise, they could explore moving him for other upgrades if the right deal comes along. He has the second most expensive contract on the team, but his deal doesn’t include a no-trade clause. 1. Royce Lewis, IF Pros: Lewis became one of the Twins’ most exciting players over the last two seasons. He showed signs of breaking out after years of injury setbacks. His mix of power and charisma across multiple infield positions makes him the centerpiece of the team's future. When healthy, Lewis has shown he can hit in the clutch and change the momentum of games. Cons: Injuries are one concern, including multiple ACL surgeries during his professional career. During the 2024 season, he was also vocal about his dislike of moving him to second base during the middle of the season. Lewis also ended the season amidst the worst slump of his career with a .620 OPS in the second half. Trade Likelihood: Medium Lewis looked like a franchise cornerstone, but the Twins might want to trade from their core to alter the team’s future. Trading Lewis might be unpopular, but it could be a necessity to keep the team’s winning window open as long as possible. The Twins have a strong core of building block pieces for 2025, but that doesn’t mean they won’t explore trades to reshape the roster. Players like Correa and Buxton are likely staying put because of their no-trade clauses. However, López, Lewis, or Ryan might be able to bring a strong trade return if the front office wants to make some changes to the core. The offseason will be critical as the front office balances improving the team without disrupting its future success. Will any of the players above be traded this winter? Which player is the most critical building block? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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After a disappointing year in Seattle, the Mariners have declined Jorge Polanco’s team option for 2025. Let’s look back at last winter’s trade to see if either team can be declared the winner. Image courtesy of © Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports On Friday, the Seattle Mariners announced that they were declining the $12 million club option on Jorge Polanco . His lone season in Seattle was a disappointment after the team added him in hopes of bolstering their line-up. In 118 games, he hit .213/.296/.355 (.651) with a 93 OPS+ and a 1.4 rWAR. It was the first time since 2020 that he posted an OPS+ below 112 and averaged a 116 OPS+ since 2018. It was a disappointing year for Polanco, but there may have been reasons for his struggles. His strikeout rate jumped from 25.7% in his final year with Minnesota to 29.2% in his lone season with Seattle. Eno Sarris mentioned that the issues with the Mariner’s batting eye have been “well documented.” He also said he was “striking out more like he normally does late in the season.” This positive sign could indicate Polanco is an above-league-average bat in 2025 if he doesn’t play regularly in Seattle. Polanco also played through knee issues this season and is slated to undergo off-season surgery to repair the patellar tendon in his left knee. Twins fans may remember that the same knee caused him to miss the end of the 2022 season and the beginning of the 2023 campaign. The Mariners acquired Polanco from the Twins last winter in a trade that netted the organization two big-league pitchers (Justin Topa and Anthony DeSclafani) and two prospects (Gabriel Gonzalez and Darren Bowen). Topa and DeSclafani were expected to help the big-league roster last season, but injuries prevented them from impacting the team. DeSclafani never appeared for the Twins after having surgery to repair the flexor tendon in his right arm. Topa suffered a knee injury in spring training and was limited to three appearances with the Twins. He is arbitration-eligible this winter, so there is still an opportunity for him to impact the roster moving forward. Gonzalez was viewed as a borderline top-100 prospect when the Twins acquired him. He spent last season as a 20-year-old at Cedar Rapids, where he was over two years younger than the average age of the competition. In 81 games, he hit .255/.326/.381 (.707) with 19 doubles, five home runs, and a 49-to-23 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He is no longer viewed as a top-100 prospect, but he is still young and has time to develop in the Twins system. Next year will be significant for him as he is projected to spend the majority of the season at Double-A, a level where prospects can sink or swim. Seattle drafted Bowen in the 13th round of the 2022 MLB out of college. He spent the entire 2024 season in Cedar Rapids, where he was slightly old for the level. His on-field performance was inconsistent in his first year in the organization. In 72 2/3 innings, he posted a 6.07 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. Bowen allowed three earned runs or more in 11 of his 18 appearances, and his ten losses were twice as many as any other Cedar Rapids pitcher. Perhaps the Twins can continue to alter some of his mechanics with more time in the organization, or a path to a bullpen role might help with his consistency. Baseball Trade Values posted an interesting assessment of the Polanco trade after Seattle declined his option. At the time of the trade, their trade model rejected the deal because of how much the Mariners were overpaying for Polanco. He was expected to provide Seattle with $9.4 million in surplus value over two seasons, but he provided negative value in one season. Things have failed to go well for the Twins either, but Minnesota is relying on Gonalez to provide value at the big-league level. Topa is expected to make $1.3 million in arbitration next season, so there is no guarantee that the Twins will keep him around at that price point. Polanco is heading to free agency for the first time in his career, and some Twins fans will call for the team to bring back the veteran infielder. As mentioned above, he is a strong contender to be a bounce-back candidate next season, but the Twins have little payroll flexibility. Minnesota is also well aware of his knee issues, and health will continue to be a question mark for Polanco throughout the remainder of his professional career. A reunion would be nice, but it seems unlikely. From Seattle’s perspective, the trade with the Twins looks like a big swing and a miss. Polanco underperformed and was done after one season. Minnesota has some hope of gaining value from other players involved in the trade, but it might be years before the Twins know the full value gained or lost on their end of the trade. Which team won this trade? Does a reunion with Polanco make sense for both parties? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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- jorge polanco
- justin topa
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On Friday, the Seattle Mariners announced that they were declining the $12 million club option on Jorge Polanco . His lone season in Seattle was a disappointment after the team added him in hopes of bolstering their line-up. In 118 games, he hit .213/.296/.355 (.651) with a 93 OPS+ and a 1.4 rWAR. It was the first time since 2020 that he posted an OPS+ below 112 and averaged a 116 OPS+ since 2018. It was a disappointing year for Polanco, but there may have been reasons for his struggles. His strikeout rate jumped from 25.7% in his final year with Minnesota to 29.2% in his lone season with Seattle. Eno Sarris mentioned that the issues with the Mariner’s batting eye have been “well documented.” He also said he was “striking out more like he normally does late in the season.” This positive sign could indicate Polanco is an above-league-average bat in 2025 if he doesn’t play regularly in Seattle. Polanco also played through knee issues this season and is slated to undergo off-season surgery to repair the patellar tendon in his left knee. Twins fans may remember that the same knee caused him to miss the end of the 2022 season and the beginning of the 2023 campaign. The Mariners acquired Polanco from the Twins last winter in a trade that netted the organization two big-league pitchers (Justin Topa and Anthony DeSclafani) and two prospects (Gabriel Gonzalez and Darren Bowen). Topa and DeSclafani were expected to help the big-league roster last season, but injuries prevented them from impacting the team. DeSclafani never appeared for the Twins after having surgery to repair the flexor tendon in his right arm. Topa suffered a knee injury in spring training and was limited to three appearances with the Twins. He is arbitration-eligible this winter, so there is still an opportunity for him to impact the roster moving forward. Gonzalez was viewed as a borderline top-100 prospect when the Twins acquired him. He spent last season as a 20-year-old at Cedar Rapids, where he was over two years younger than the average age of the competition. In 81 games, he hit .255/.326/.381 (.707) with 19 doubles, five home runs, and a 49-to-23 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He is no longer viewed as a top-100 prospect, but he is still young and has time to develop in the Twins system. Next year will be significant for him as he is projected to spend the majority of the season at Double-A, a level where prospects can sink or swim. Seattle drafted Bowen in the 13th round of the 2022 MLB out of college. He spent the entire 2024 season in Cedar Rapids, where he was slightly old for the level. His on-field performance was inconsistent in his first year in the organization. In 72 2/3 innings, he posted a 6.07 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. Bowen allowed three earned runs or more in 11 of his 18 appearances, and his ten losses were twice as many as any other Cedar Rapids pitcher. Perhaps the Twins can continue to alter some of his mechanics with more time in the organization, or a path to a bullpen role might help with his consistency. Baseball Trade Values posted an interesting assessment of the Polanco trade after Seattle declined his option. At the time of the trade, their trade model rejected the deal because of how much the Mariners were overpaying for Polanco. He was expected to provide Seattle with $9.4 million in surplus value over two seasons, but he provided negative value in one season. Things have failed to go well for the Twins either, but Minnesota is relying on Gonalez to provide value at the big-league level. Topa is expected to make $1.3 million in arbitration next season, so there is no guarantee that the Twins will keep him around at that price point. Polanco is heading to free agency for the first time in his career, and some Twins fans will call for the team to bring back the veteran infielder. As mentioned above, he is a strong contender to be a bounce-back candidate next season, but the Twins have little payroll flexibility. Minnesota is also well aware of his knee issues, and health will continue to be a question mark for Polanco throughout the remainder of his professional career. A reunion would be nice, but it seems unlikely. From Seattle’s perspective, the trade with the Twins looks like a big swing and a miss. Polanco underperformed and was done after one season. Minnesota has some hope of gaining value from other players involved in the trade, but it might be years before the Twins know the full value gained or lost on their end of the trade. Which team won this trade? Does a reunion with Polanco make sense for both parties? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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As the Minnesota Twins gear up for the 2025 season, the focus shifts to their core group of players who form the backbone of the roster. Some players have cemented their place as long-term building blocks, while others could be valuable trade assets. In this article, we rank the Twins' most important pieces at the big-league level, considering their impact and the likelihood of them being traded before the 2025 season. 10. Brooks Lee, IF Pros: Lee has shot up the prospect rankings and made his major league debut late in 2024. His bat-to-ball skills and mature approach at the plate make him one of the most promising hitters in the Twins’ system. Lee’s future as a middle infielder or third baseman gives the Twins flexibility, and his potential to develop into an impact hitter at the big-league level is sky-high. Cons: Lee is still unproven at the MLB level, and the team will need to see how he adjusts to major-league pitching. He showed signs of struggling during his rookie season (64 OPS+), but he might have also been playing through an injury. His defensive position is also unclear, as he could end up at third base if Royce Lewis moves to a different position. Trade Likelihood: Low Lee is one of the team’s top young players, and it’s unlikely they will part ways with him before seeing how he develops in 2025. 9. Matt Wallner, OF Pros: Wallner’s power potential makes him a compelling piece for the future. His left-handed bat gives the Twins a middle-of-the-order threat, and his defense in the corner outfield is serviceable, especially with an elite throwing arm. Wallner’s combination of power and athleticism gives him a high ceiling, especially with Max Kepler likely departing in free agency. Cons: Strikeouts are a concern, and his consistency at the plate needs to improve. Minnesota sent him to Triple-A after a brutal start to the 2024 campaign, but he was resilient as he hit his way back to the big-league level. He’s still developing, and the Twins will need to see if he can avoid prolonged slumps in 2025. Trade Likelihood: Medium Wallner is under team control and could be a core outfield player, but his trade value is high enough that the Twins could consider moving him in the right deal. 8. Bailey Ober, SP Pros: Ober was one of the Twins' most consistent starters in 2024 (104 ERA+). His imposing height and ability to locate his pitches make it difficult for hitters to square up. He set a career-high with 9.6 K/9. Ober’s durability improved in 2024 with a career-high 178 2/3 IP, and he’s proven himself as a solid mid-rotation starter with upside. Cons: While Ober has been effective, he has had workload concerns as recently as 2023. The Twins might be cautious about relying on him long-term, especially given the depth of their young pitching prospects. Trade Likelihood: Medium Ober’s breakout makes him an attractive trade piece, especially if the Twins want to add an impact bat. His high value could lead the Twins to explore moving him. 7. Jhoan Durán, RP Pros: Durán is one of the most electric relievers in baseball. His triple-digit fastball, devastating off-speed pitches, and ability to close out games make him an essential part of the bullpen. During his career, he has posted a 2.30 ERA with a 12.3 K/9 in save situations. As a young, cost-controlled closer, Duran is a player the Twins can build their bullpen around for years. Cons: Durán showed some kinks in his armor last season, and his velocity dropped on all his pitches. Relievers can be volatile, and there is always the risk of overuse or injury with such a hard-throwing pitcher. Trade Likelihood: Medium to High Durán seemed untouchable as a trade candidate last winter. However, the Twins may want to capitalize on his remaining trade value before he gets more expensive through the arbitration process. 6. Griffin Jax, RP Pros: Jax was arguably the Twins’ best pitcher during the 2024 season. His ability to handle high-leverage situations and get key outs made him a valuable part of the Twins’ bullpen. In 72 appearances (71 innings), he posted a 2.03 ERA with a 0.873 WHIP and a 34.4 K% (Top 3% of MLB). With his mix of pitches, Jax has the potential to solidify himself among baseball’s top relievers next season. Cons: Like all relievers, long-term success can be fleeting, especially in limited sample sizes. It’s hard to imagine him having a better season than he did in 2024. Like Durán, he will begin to cost more through arbitration and the front office has stayed away from investing in bullpen arms. Trade Likelihood: Medium to High Jax might be one of the most valuable trade assets on the roster. It seems likely for the Twins to try to move either him or Durán this winter before either loses value through injury or ineffectiveness. The Twins have a strong core of building block pieces for 2025, but that doesn’t mean they won’t explore trades to reshape the roster. Lee and Wallner are young, foundational players the team will likely build around, while others like Ober, Duran, and Jax could be moved to fill other needs. The offseason will be critical as the front office balances improving the team without disrupting its future success. Will any of the players above be traded this winter? Which player is the most critical building block? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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Alex Kiriloff was supposed to be the team’s long-term option at first base. So, what is the team’s plan now that injuries forced him to retire? Image courtesy of Rob Thompson, St. Paul Saints (photo of Yunior Severino) With Alex Kirilloff’s unexpected retirement, the Minnesota Twins are left scrambling to find a solution at first base for 2025. After years of projecting Kirilloff as the future of the position, his decision leaves a noticeable gap. The Twins have several internal options or the possibility of bringing in a veteran. Here’s a breakdown of the contenders and what each brings to the table. Carlos Santana: Veteran Presence, Defensive Stability The Twins brought in Santana for his Gold Glove-caliber defense, expecting some offensive drop-off from his prime years. He struggled mightily to start the year, with a .407 OPS in his first 20 games. Over the next 130 games, he hit .253/.342/.460, while being arguably the team’s best defensive player. He also provided valuable mentorship in a clubhouse that’s seen its fair share of younger talent. While Santana’s offense might not carry the weight it once did, re-signing him could make sense, especially if the Twins prioritize defensive stability. Bringing back Santana would also allow flexibility to platoon other players at first and fill the role until some of the internal options discussed below prove they are past their struggles from the 2024 season. Edouard Julien: Betting on a Bounce-Back Julien is coming off a disappointing year after entering the season with high expectations. The Twins were hoping he’d build off his tremendous rookie season, wherein he posted a 130 OPS+ in 109 games. Instead, he struggled offensively with a 74 OPS+ and spent more time at Triple-A than at the big-league level. It was a disappointing season, especially since he failed to produce even when given opportunities at the end of the season. Julien is known more for his bat than his glove, and he has shown defensive flaws at second base. The Twins might be able to live with his glove at first. Julien’s power potential and ability to get on base make him an intriguing option as a full-time first baseman or platoon partner. He can’t be a regular first baseman with the offensive performance he compiled last season. If they turn to him, the Twins will have to bet he bounces back after a sophomore slump. José Miranda: Another Possible Rebound Candidate Miranda’s 2024 season didn’t go as planned, with inconsistent offensive and defensive performance. In the first half, he hit .326/.366/.522, with 21 doubles and nine home runs in 76 games. But like many Twins hitters, he struggled offensively in the second half. In 45 games, he posted a .543 OPS, with seven doubles and no home runs. His season ended early, as he landed on the IL with a lower back strain. But the Twins still believe in his potential. Moving Miranda to first base on a full-time basis could reduce the defensive pressure on him and allow him to focus on regaining his offensive form. He’s shown flashes of power, and a full offseason focused on first-base defense could improve his stock as a reliable everyday player. The Twins' other options have limited him to 12 starts at first over the last two seasons, after playing 77 games there as a rookie. However, given the team’s current roster construction, Miranda is an option the team might be forced to use at first. Yunior Severino: The Wild Card Option Severino is one of the more intriguing internal options, after playing all of last season at Triple-A. He has power and patience at the plate, both common traits in a first baseman. During the 2023 season, he hit 35 home runs and posted an .898 OPS between Double- and Triple-A. He played all of 2024 at Triple-A and saw his OPS dip to .775, but he continued to get on base over 34% of the time. His minor-league numbers suggest he could bring a spark to the position, along with an ability to draw walks and reach base consistently. It's interesting, though, that the team never called him up last season despite injuries and poor offensive performances. Severino’s defense is a bit of a question mark. The Twins need to see if his glove is reliable enough to be an everyday player. In 2024, he played over 750 innings at first and was charged with eight errors in 686 chances. With few surefire first-base options in the system, Severino could emerge as a legitimate candidate to win the job if he performs well in spring training. The Twins have plenty of choices, but no clear-cut solution to replace Kirilloff—who was no clear-cut solution, himself. They’ll need to weigh Santana’s experience and defensive prowess against the upside of younger players like Julien, Miranda, and Severino. With limited payroll flexibility, they’ll likely rely on an internal answer, opting for a low-cost solution that still allows flexibility around the diamond. In the end, the Twins might employ a rotating cast at first base, especially if none of the options seize the position in spring. Kirilloff’s retirement has undoubtedly complicated the team’s offseason, but it also presents an opportunity for one of these players to step up and solidify their place in the lineup. Which option is the best path forward for the Twins? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Twins Face First Base Vacuum After Alex Kirilloff’s Retirement
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
With Alex Kirilloff’s unexpected retirement, the Minnesota Twins are left scrambling to find a solution at first base for 2025. After years of projecting Kirilloff as the future of the position, his decision leaves a noticeable gap. The Twins have several internal options or the possibility of bringing in a veteran. Here’s a breakdown of the contenders and what each brings to the table. Carlos Santana: Veteran Presence, Defensive Stability The Twins brought in Santana for his Gold Glove-caliber defense, expecting some offensive drop-off from his prime years. He struggled mightily to start the year, with a .407 OPS in his first 20 games. Over the next 130 games, he hit .253/.342/.460, while being arguably the team’s best defensive player. He also provided valuable mentorship in a clubhouse that’s seen its fair share of younger talent. While Santana’s offense might not carry the weight it once did, re-signing him could make sense, especially if the Twins prioritize defensive stability. Bringing back Santana would also allow flexibility to platoon other players at first and fill the role until some of the internal options discussed below prove they are past their struggles from the 2024 season. Edouard Julien: Betting on a Bounce-Back Julien is coming off a disappointing year after entering the season with high expectations. The Twins were hoping he’d build off his tremendous rookie season, wherein he posted a 130 OPS+ in 109 games. Instead, he struggled offensively with a 74 OPS+ and spent more time at Triple-A than at the big-league level. It was a disappointing season, especially since he failed to produce even when given opportunities at the end of the season. Julien is known more for his bat than his glove, and he has shown defensive flaws at second base. The Twins might be able to live with his glove at first. Julien’s power potential and ability to get on base make him an intriguing option as a full-time first baseman or platoon partner. He can’t be a regular first baseman with the offensive performance he compiled last season. If they turn to him, the Twins will have to bet he bounces back after a sophomore slump. José Miranda: Another Possible Rebound Candidate Miranda’s 2024 season didn’t go as planned, with inconsistent offensive and defensive performance. In the first half, he hit .326/.366/.522, with 21 doubles and nine home runs in 76 games. But like many Twins hitters, he struggled offensively in the second half. In 45 games, he posted a .543 OPS, with seven doubles and no home runs. His season ended early, as he landed on the IL with a lower back strain. But the Twins still believe in his potential. Moving Miranda to first base on a full-time basis could reduce the defensive pressure on him and allow him to focus on regaining his offensive form. He’s shown flashes of power, and a full offseason focused on first-base defense could improve his stock as a reliable everyday player. The Twins' other options have limited him to 12 starts at first over the last two seasons, after playing 77 games there as a rookie. However, given the team’s current roster construction, Miranda is an option the team might be forced to use at first. Yunior Severino: The Wild Card Option Severino is one of the more intriguing internal options, after playing all of last season at Triple-A. He has power and patience at the plate, both common traits in a first baseman. During the 2023 season, he hit 35 home runs and posted an .898 OPS between Double- and Triple-A. He played all of 2024 at Triple-A and saw his OPS dip to .775, but he continued to get on base over 34% of the time. His minor-league numbers suggest he could bring a spark to the position, along with an ability to draw walks and reach base consistently. It's interesting, though, that the team never called him up last season despite injuries and poor offensive performances. Severino’s defense is a bit of a question mark. The Twins need to see if his glove is reliable enough to be an everyday player. In 2024, he played over 750 innings at first and was charged with eight errors in 686 chances. With few surefire first-base options in the system, Severino could emerge as a legitimate candidate to win the job if he performs well in spring training. The Twins have plenty of choices, but no clear-cut solution to replace Kirilloff—who was no clear-cut solution, himself. They’ll need to weigh Santana’s experience and defensive prowess against the upside of younger players like Julien, Miranda, and Severino. With limited payroll flexibility, they’ll likely rely on an internal answer, opting for a low-cost solution that still allows flexibility around the diamond. In the end, the Twins might employ a rotating cast at first base, especially if none of the options seize the position in spring. Kirilloff’s retirement has undoubtedly complicated the team’s offseason, but it also presents an opportunity for one of these players to step up and solidify their place in the lineup. Which option is the best path forward for the Twins? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.- 39 comments
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4 Ways Twins Can Learn from Dodgers' 2024 World Series Win
Cody Christie posted an article in Minor Leagues
The Los Angeles Dodgers won their first full-season championship since 1988 Wednesday night, clinching the 2024 World Series with a powerhouse roster and the organizational strength that makes them a perennial contender. The Twins, meanwhile, ended their 2024 campaign on a much different note, missing the playoffs after a season of inconsistency. While it's true that the Dodgers operate with a payroll that the Twins can only dream of, there are still valuable lessons to be learned. Here’s a look at the Dodgers’ championship formula and how the Twins can apply similar strategies to build sustainable success. 1. Emphasize Homegrown Talent with Patience and Precision The Dodgers built a formidable core from within. Players like Gavin Lux, Walker Buehler, and Will Smith came through their system. They also find a way to blend in high-impact prospects like Dalton Rushing, Alex Freeland, and River Ryan. Los Angeles has mastered the art of scouting, development, and patience. Because of their veteran depth, they don’t rush their prospects, ensuring they’re fully prepared before hitting the big leagues. Lesson for the Twins: Minnesota's farm system has slowly ascended national rankings in recent years, but the Dodgers’ method shows the value of patience and selective aggression. Minnesota has been aggressive with prospects like Emmanuel Rodriguez and Walker Jenkins. Both players are critical to the Twins' success but need time to develop properly. The Twins should be cautious with these top prospects, resisting the urge to accelerate their timeline and ensuring they’re ready to make an immediate impact when they arrive. 2. Optimize Veteran Players Though they boast a strong farm system, the Dodgers aren’t afraid to fill gaps with proven veterans. They blend savvy veteran signings with their young core, like the recent additions of players such as Freddie Freeman and Teoscar Hernández. Freeman was a World Series hero with home runs in four of the five games on his way to being named MVP. Hernández also came up with big hits all season and posted a 137 OPS+ in 154 games. These veterans bring experience and help younger players transition smoothly while adding stability to the roster. Lesson for the Twins: The Twins are shopping in a very different price range when it comes to free agency, making it critical for them to hit on their signings. They brought in veterans like Carlos Santana for 2024, and he added value on both sides of the ball. A lesson here is to prioritize proven, consistent veterans who fit the clubhouse culture and make an impact in critical situations. Paul Goldschmidt could be a great fit if the Twins look to boost first base for 2025. Finding the right mix of leadership and production is vital in nurturing a competitive environment. 3. Pitching Depth is Non-Negotiable The Dodgers’ pitching depth has been a hallmark of their success for years. Injuries inevitably hit every rotation, but Los Angeles seems to have an endless supply of arms. They rely on a mixture of established starters, promising young arms, and relievers who can step into high-leverage roles. LA won the title with Tyler Glasnow, Tony Gonsolin, and Clayton Kershaw on the injured list. In 2024, their deep rotation ultimately carried them through to the title, demonstrating just how vital a strong pitching infrastructure can be. Lesson for the Twins: The Twins dealt with injuries to Joe Ryan and Anthony DeSclafani and inconsistency across the bullpen, which shows the importance of depth. Developing pitchers like David Festa and Zebby Matthews is essential. Three pitchers are also closing in on the big leagues, which could be significant assets in 2025. However, the Twins need to expand on this approach, investing in talent that can step up when key pitchers go down. Young pitchers can be volatile, but the Twins pitching pipeline is starting to produce live arms on a regular basis. 4. Innovative Front Office Thinking The Dodgers’ front office blends analytics with scouting, finding value in overlooked players while keeping an eye on high-potential stars. They’ve shown a willingness to push boundaries with player development, maximizing each player’s unique strengths. Los Angeles has also used a deep farm system to add critical players through trades. This approach allows them to maintain a competitive edge without exclusively relying on blockbuster signings (although those signings certainly help). Lesson for the Twins: Derek Falvey and the Twins front office has faced scrutiny after a disappointing season, and there are organizational changes on the horizon with Thad Levine’s departure. Whoever is steering the ship must take a page from the Dodgers’ playbook, especially regarding a willingness to trade prospects for big-league additions. Identifying under-the-radar talents or reinventing veterans can bridge the payroll gap. Investing in player development, particularly for hitting under new coach Matt Borgschulte, can optimize production from younger players like Royce Lewis, Jose Miranda, and Trevor Larnach. The Dodgers’ success in 2024 offers a blueprint that doesn’t solely rely on payroll. They’ve cultivated a unique blend of homegrown talent, veteran leadership, and depth that can withstand the rigors of a long season. While the Twins operate on a tighter budget, they can emulate the Dodgers’ philosophies by prioritizing player development and maximizing pitching depth. What is the most essential trait the Twins can take from the Dodgers? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.- 24 comments
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The Dodgers are on top of the baseball world after a dominant performance over the Yankees in the Fall Classic. In what ways can the Twins emulate the newly crowned World Series champions? Image courtesy of © Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images The Los Angeles Dodgers won their first full-season championship since 1988 Wednesday night, clinching the 2024 World Series with a powerhouse roster and the organizational strength that makes them a perennial contender. The Twins, meanwhile, ended their 2024 campaign on a much different note, missing the playoffs after a season of inconsistency. While it's true that the Dodgers operate with a payroll that the Twins can only dream of, there are still valuable lessons to be learned. Here’s a look at the Dodgers’ championship formula and how the Twins can apply similar strategies to build sustainable success. 1. Emphasize Homegrown Talent with Patience and Precision The Dodgers built a formidable core from within. Players like Gavin Lux, Walker Buehler, and Will Smith came through their system. They also find a way to blend in high-impact prospects like Dalton Rushing, Alex Freeland, and River Ryan. Los Angeles has mastered the art of scouting, development, and patience. Because of their veteran depth, they don’t rush their prospects, ensuring they’re fully prepared before hitting the big leagues. Lesson for the Twins: Minnesota's farm system has slowly ascended national rankings in recent years, but the Dodgers’ method shows the value of patience and selective aggression. Minnesota has been aggressive with prospects like Emmanuel Rodriguez and Walker Jenkins. Both players are critical to the Twins' success but need time to develop properly. The Twins should be cautious with these top prospects, resisting the urge to accelerate their timeline and ensuring they’re ready to make an immediate impact when they arrive. 2. Optimize Veteran Players Though they boast a strong farm system, the Dodgers aren’t afraid to fill gaps with proven veterans. They blend savvy veteran signings with their young core, like the recent additions of players such as Freddie Freeman and Teoscar Hernández. Freeman was a World Series hero with home runs in four of the five games on his way to being named MVP. Hernández also came up with big hits all season and posted a 137 OPS+ in 154 games. These veterans bring experience and help younger players transition smoothly while adding stability to the roster. Lesson for the Twins: The Twins are shopping in a very different price range when it comes to free agency, making it critical for them to hit on their signings. They brought in veterans like Carlos Santana for 2024, and he added value on both sides of the ball. A lesson here is to prioritize proven, consistent veterans who fit the clubhouse culture and make an impact in critical situations. Paul Goldschmidt could be a great fit if the Twins look to boost first base for 2025. Finding the right mix of leadership and production is vital in nurturing a competitive environment. 3. Pitching Depth is Non-Negotiable The Dodgers’ pitching depth has been a hallmark of their success for years. Injuries inevitably hit every rotation, but Los Angeles seems to have an endless supply of arms. They rely on a mixture of established starters, promising young arms, and relievers who can step into high-leverage roles. LA won the title with Tyler Glasnow, Tony Gonsolin, and Clayton Kershaw on the injured list. In 2024, their deep rotation ultimately carried them through to the title, demonstrating just how vital a strong pitching infrastructure can be. Lesson for the Twins: The Twins dealt with injuries to Joe Ryan and Anthony DeSclafani and inconsistency across the bullpen, which shows the importance of depth. Developing pitchers like David Festa and Zebby Matthews is essential. Three pitchers are also closing in on the big leagues, which could be significant assets in 2025. However, the Twins need to expand on this approach, investing in talent that can step up when key pitchers go down. Young pitchers can be volatile, but the Twins pitching pipeline is starting to produce live arms on a regular basis. 4. Innovative Front Office Thinking The Dodgers’ front office blends analytics with scouting, finding value in overlooked players while keeping an eye on high-potential stars. They’ve shown a willingness to push boundaries with player development, maximizing each player’s unique strengths. Los Angeles has also used a deep farm system to add critical players through trades. This approach allows them to maintain a competitive edge without exclusively relying on blockbuster signings (although those signings certainly help). Lesson for the Twins: Derek Falvey and the Twins front office has faced scrutiny after a disappointing season, and there are organizational changes on the horizon with Thad Levine’s departure. Whoever is steering the ship must take a page from the Dodgers’ playbook, especially regarding a willingness to trade prospects for big-league additions. Identifying under-the-radar talents or reinventing veterans can bridge the payroll gap. Investing in player development, particularly for hitting under new coach Matt Borgschulte, can optimize production from younger players like Royce Lewis, Jose Miranda, and Trevor Larnach. The Dodgers’ success in 2024 offers a blueprint that doesn’t solely rely on payroll. They’ve cultivated a unique blend of homegrown talent, veteran leadership, and depth that can withstand the rigors of a long season. While the Twins operate on a tighter budget, they can emulate the Dodgers’ philosophies by prioritizing player development and maximizing pitching depth. What is the most essential trait the Twins can take from the Dodgers? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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The Twins’ building block players couldn’t hold the roster together during the team’s historic collapse. Does that mean it’s time to shake up the core heading into 2025? Image courtesy of Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports As the Minnesota Twins gear up for the 2025 season, the focus shifts to their core group of players who form the backbone of the roster. Some of these players have cemented their place as long-term building blocks, while others could find themselves as valuable trade assets. In this article, we rank the Twins' most important pieces at the big-league level, considering both their impact and the likelihood of them being traded before the 2025 season. 5. Joe Ryan, SP Pros: Ryan has established himself as a reliable mid-rotation starter with flashes of being a top-of-the-rotation option. His fastball-heavy approach works when he's locating well, and he's shown an ability to pitch deep into games. In 2024, he set career-best totals in ERA+ (115), WHIP (0.98), and BB/9 (1.5). Ryan's youth and team control make him a valuable piece for the Twins, both now and in the future. Cons: He ended the season on the injured list and has fought through injuries throughout his big-league career. He’s averaged less than 150 innings pitched during his first three full MLB seasons. He can be prone to giving up home runs (30-degree launch angle on his fastball), which might limit his long-term upside. Trade Likelihood: Low-Medium Ryan is a valuable trade asset with a deep pitching prospect pool behind him. However, his trade value might be lower this winter because of his injury to end the 2024 campaign. 4. Byron Buxton, OF Pros: Buxton had a redemption year in 2024, playing over 100 games and returning to center field for the first time since 2022. He still possesses elite speed and defense when healthy, and his leadership remains invaluable. After years of skepticism around his durability, Buxton proved he can still impact games as he combined for a 137 OPS+, his highest total since 2022. Cons: His growing injury history will follow him throughout his big-league career, limiting his overall impact. Minnesota needed him on the field as the team collapsed, but he was among a group of players impacted by injury. Trade Likelihood: Low Buxton might have the lowest trade likelihood on the team. He signed his extension because he wanted his family to be comfortable growing up in Minnesota. Buxton’s contract and injury history complicate any trade possibilities. He isn’t going anywhere. 3. Carlos Correa, SS Pros: Despite a disappointing finish to his 2024 season due to a foot injury, Correa remained a critical piece for the Twins. Twins Daily voted him the team MVP, even though he was limited to playing in less than 55% of the team’s games. His leadership, defense at shortstop, and ability to perform in high-pressure moments solidify his value. Signed through 2028 (or beyond), Correa is arguably the face of the franchise. Cons: His contract is a significant portion of the team’s total payroll, and his health issues are becoming more of a concern as he enters his 30s. Correa needs to avoid the plantar fasciitis injuries that have plagued him over the last two seasons. Trade Likelihood: Low Correa has a full no-trade clause, so the only way to move him is for him to agree to a trade. Minnesota could convince him that the team is entering a soft rebuild, making him more open to the idea of a trade to a contender. 2. Pablo López, SP Pros: After arriving in the Luis Arraez trade, López proved to be the ace Minnesota needed, posting career-best numbers in 2023. He struggled through parts of the 2024 season but improved significantly in the second half. In 81 1/3 innings, he allowed 25 earned runs (2.77 ERA), with his OPS allowed dropping by 40 points compared to the first half. With López under contract through 2027, he offers long-term security at the top of the rotation. Cons: His value likely dipped slightly due to his inconsistent 2024 campaign. It’s also difficult to envision the Twins trading their ace. A blockbuster deal involving López could be on the table if they want to reshape the roster. Trade Likelihood: Medium The Twins are unlikely to shop López, but with young arms on the rise, they could explore moving him for other upgrades if the right deal comes along. He has the second-highest contract on the team, but his deal doesn’t include a no-trade clause. 1. Royce Lewis, IF Pros: Lewis became one of the Twins’ most exciting players over the last two seasons. He showed signs of breaking out after years of injury setbacks. His mix of power and charisma across multiple infield positions makes him the centerpiece of the team's future. When healthy, Lewis has shown he can hit in the clutch and change the momentum of games. Cons: Injuries are one concern, including multiple ACL surgeries during his professional career. During the 2024 season, he was also vocal about his dislike of moving him to second base during the middle of the season. Lewis also ended the season amidst the worst slump of his career with a .620 OPS in the second half. Trade Likelihood: Medium Lewis looked like a franchise cornerstone, but the Twins might want to trade from their core to alter the team’s future. Trading Lewis might be unpopular, but it could be a necessity to keep the team’s winning window open as long as possible. The Twins have a strong core of building block pieces for 2025, but that doesn’t mean they won’t explore trades to reshape the roster. Players like Correa and Buxton are likely staying put because of their no-trade clauses. However, López, Lewis, or Ryan might be able to bring a strong trade return if the front office wants to make some changes to the core. The offseason will be critical as the front office balances improving the team without disrupting its future success. Will any of the players above be traded this winter? Which player is the most critical building block? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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The Twins can’t afford another collapse like the one that transpired in 2024. This forces the front office to reevaluate the team’s building block players and decide whether they should be part of the core or pushed out the door. Image courtesy of Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports As the Minnesota Twins gear up for the 2025 season, the focus shifts to their core group of players who form the backbone of the roster. Some players have cemented their place as long-term building blocks, while others could be valuable trade assets. In this article, we rank the Twins' most important pieces at the big-league level, considering their impact and the likelihood of them being traded before the 2025 season. 10. Brooks Lee, IF Pros: Lee has shot up the prospect rankings and made his major league debut late in 2024. His bat-to-ball skills and mature approach at the plate make him one of the most promising hitters in the Twins’ system. Lee’s future as a middle infielder or third baseman gives the Twins flexibility, and his potential to develop into an impact hitter at the big-league level is sky-high. Cons: Lee is still unproven at the MLB level, and the team will need to see how he adjusts to major-league pitching. He showed signs of struggling during his rookie season (64 OPS+), but he might have also been playing through an injury. His defensive position is also unclear, as he could end up at third base if Royce Lewis moves to a different position. Trade Likelihood: Low Lee is one of the team’s top young players, and it’s unlikely they will part ways with him before seeing how he develops in 2025. 9. Matt Wallner, OF Pros: Wallner’s power potential makes him a compelling piece for the future. His left-handed bat gives the Twins a middle-of-the-order threat, and his defense in the corner outfield is serviceable, especially with an elite throwing arm. Wallner’s combination of power and athleticism gives him a high ceiling, especially with Max Kepler likely departing in free agency. Cons: Strikeouts are a concern, and his consistency at the plate needs to improve. Minnesota sent him to Triple-A after a brutal start to the 2024 campaign, but he was resilient as he hit his way back to the big-league level. He’s still developing, and the Twins will need to see if he can avoid prolonged slumps in 2025. Trade Likelihood: Medium Wallner is under team control and could be a core outfield player, but his trade value is high enough that the Twins could consider moving him in the right deal. 8. Bailey Ober, SP Pros: Ober was one of the Twins' most consistent starters in 2024 (104 ERA+). His imposing height and ability to locate his pitches make it difficult for hitters to square up. He set a career-high with 9.6 K/9. Ober’s durability improved in 2024 with a career-high 178 2/3 IP, and he’s proven himself as a solid mid-rotation starter with upside. Cons: While Ober has been effective, he has had workload concerns as recently as 2023. The Twins might be cautious about relying on him long-term, especially given the depth of their young pitching prospects. Trade Likelihood: Medium Ober’s breakout makes him an attractive trade piece, especially if the Twins want to add an impact bat. His high value could lead the Twins to explore moving him. 7. Jhoan Durán, RP Pros: Durán is one of the most electric relievers in baseball. His triple-digit fastball, devastating off-speed pitches, and ability to close out games make him an essential part of the bullpen. During his career, he has posted a 2.30 ERA with a 12.3 K/9 in save situations. As a young, cost-controlled closer, Duran is a player the Twins can build their bullpen around for years. Cons: Durán showed some kinks in his armor last season, and his velocity dropped on all his pitches. Relievers can be volatile, and there is always the risk of overuse or injury with such a hard-throwing pitcher. Trade Likelihood: Medium to High Durán seemed untouchable as a trade candidate last winter. However, the Twins may want to capitalize on his remaining trade value before he gets more expensive through the arbitration process. 6. Griffin Jax, RP Pros: Jax was arguably the Twins’ best pitcher during the 2024 season. His ability to handle high-leverage situations and get key outs made him a valuable part of the Twins’ bullpen. In 72 appearances (71 innings), he posted a 2.03 ERA with a 0.873 WHIP and a 34.4 K% (Top 3% of MLB). With his mix of pitches, Jax has the potential to solidify himself among baseball’s top relievers next season. Cons: Like all relievers, long-term success can be fleeting, especially in limited sample sizes. It’s hard to imagine him having a better season than he did in 2024. Like Durán, he will begin to cost more through arbitration and the front office has stayed away from investing in bullpen arms. Trade Likelihood: Medium to High Jax might be one of the most valuable trade assets on the roster. It seems likely for the Twins to try to move either him or Durán this winter before either loses value through injury or ineffectiveness. The Twins have a strong core of building block pieces for 2025, but that doesn’t mean they won’t explore trades to reshape the roster. Lee and Wallner are young, foundational players the team will likely build around, while others like Ober, Duran, and Jax could be moved to fill other needs. The offseason will be critical as the front office balances improving the team without disrupting its future success. Will any of the players above be traded this winter? Which player is the most critical building block? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. 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As Matt Borgschulte rejoins the Minnesota Twins organization as the MLB hitting coach, his track record speaks to a unique knack for refining and maximizing young talent. His experience with Orioles top prospect Jackson Holliday (and other young players) provides a blueprint that he can now apply to the Twins’ star-in-the-making, Walker Jenkins. For Twins fans, there's excitement in seeing Borgschulte return to familiar faces, like José Miranda, Ryan Jeffers, and Trevor Larnach. He guided these players during their development at the Twins' alternate site in St. Paul during the 2020 pandemic-shortened season. Borgschulte’s Breakthrough with Jackson Holliday While with the Orioles, Borgschulte helped fast-track Holliday’s rise as one of baseball's top prospects. His work with Holliday focused on two key areas: building a foundation of plate discipline and a mental framework to adjust seamlessly across different levels of competition. Borgschulte encouraged Holliday to work counts and select pitches he could drive. All of these qualities translate directly to Jenkins’s game, as he develops his power potential. “You go through phases of swings,” Holliday said. “I was doing the no stride and I was spinning off balls. Now that I think I’m a little bit bigger and stronger and kind of understand my swing a little bit more, it was easier to go back to that. Last year, I did really well with the swing that I had with the leg kick, and I never really had to pull it out. Here we are now making adjustments in the big leagues.” Borgschulte also cultivated Holliday's mental approach, using game scenarios and simulated at-bats to prepare him for the intense competition at higher levels. When Holliday initially struggled at the big-league level, Baltimore’s hitting coaches put together a plan for him and the minor-league coaches to study and implement. They showed images contrasting the poor swings with his ideal cuts at the ball and suggested drill packages to adopt. He returned to the big leagues later in the season with improved results. In the team’s final eight games, he went 7-for-13 with a double and five walks. Jenkins, known for his raw power and athleticism, can learn to embrace this approach, allowing him to leverage his strengths without sacrificing the selectiveness and mental resilience that top hitters exhibit. Borgschulte’s experience instilling these values with Holliday makes him uniquely suited to develop Jenkins into a balanced, dynamic force in the Twins’ lineup. The Twins selected Jenkins with the hopes that he could become a future cornerstone of the franchise, and Borgschulte’s blueprint offers a promising way forward. With Jenkins, Borgschulte will likely prioritize controlled aggression, similar to what he implemented with Holliday. He will guide him toward choosing pitches he can punish, while avoiding the overzealous hacks that can hinder a developing hitter. Jenkins is known for his keen eye at the plate, as he had a .394 OBP last season with more walks (56) than strikeouts (47). While Jenkins has a strong foundation of natural talent, Borgschulte’s teaching style is well-suited to add nuance to his game. Building on Jenkins’s strengths, Borgschulte can introduce advanced concepts around pitch recognition and situational hitting, reinforcing that power isn’t only about swing mechanics but also about discipline, timing, and understanding the pitchers he’ll face. If he faces big-league struggles (like Holliday), he can formulate a plan that can be implemented at Triple-A to help him quickly return to the Twins. Borgschulte's work with young prospects in the Twins organization was also on display shortly after he left for Baltimore. He worked closely with some of the team’s top prospects (Miranda, Jeffers, and Larnach) during the Twins’ 2020 alternate training site in St. Paul. This trio benefited from Borgschulte’s ability to provide individualized feedback and intensive reps in a unique training environment. With Miranda, Borgschulte worked on unlocking the hitter’s natural contact skills by refining his approach to high-velocity pitches and honing his swing path. The work Miranda did at the alternate site laid the groundwork for his 2022 breakout season (141 OPS+ in 125 games). For Jeffers, Borgschulte focused on developing a more balanced stance that helped him adjust to pitches on the outer half, which has been instrumental in Jeffers's offensive improvements at the big-league level. Larnach benefited from an approach that emphasized plate discipline and power to all fields, areas he continues to work on today. The Twins are betting that Borgschulte’s teaching philosophies, proven track record, and dedication to player development will foster a productive culture for young hitters like Jenkins, much as it did for Holliday in Baltimore. His return to Minnesota brings with it a reunion of trust and familiarity that could be pivotal for the next generation of Twins hitters. For Twins fans, there’s excitement in seeing a coach who elevates individual players and creates a foundation that can help Jenkins, Miranda, Jeffers, and Larnach build upon each other's growth. Can Borgschulte follow the same blueprint he used with Holliday with Jenkins? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
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Minnesota’s new hitting coach, Matt Borgschulte, has a lot to fix with the team’s big-league hitters, but his most important task might be helping the team’s top prospect. Can he use the lessons he learned in Baltimore with Jackson Holliday to help Walker Jenkins? Image courtesy of William Parmeter (Photo of Walker Jenkins) As Matt Borgschulte rejoins the Minnesota Twins organization as the MLB hitting coach, his track record speaks to a unique knack for refining and maximizing young talent. His experience with Orioles top prospect Jackson Holliday (and other young players) provides a blueprint that he can now apply to the Twins’ star-in-the-making, Walker Jenkins. For Twins fans, there's excitement in seeing Borgschulte return to familiar faces, like José Miranda, Ryan Jeffers, and Trevor Larnach. He guided these players during their development at the Twins' alternate site in St. Paul during the 2020 pandemic-shortened season. Borgschulte’s Breakthrough with Jackson Holliday While with the Orioles, Borgschulte helped fast-track Holliday’s rise as one of baseball's top prospects. His work with Holliday focused on two key areas: building a foundation of plate discipline and a mental framework to adjust seamlessly across different levels of competition. Borgschulte encouraged Holliday to work counts and select pitches he could drive. All of these qualities translate directly to Jenkins’s game, as he develops his power potential. “You go through phases of swings,” Holliday said. “I was doing the no stride and I was spinning off balls. Now that I think I’m a little bit bigger and stronger and kind of understand my swing a little bit more, it was easier to go back to that. Last year, I did really well with the swing that I had with the leg kick, and I never really had to pull it out. Here we are now making adjustments in the big leagues.” Borgschulte also cultivated Holliday's mental approach, using game scenarios and simulated at-bats to prepare him for the intense competition at higher levels. When Holliday initially struggled at the big-league level, Baltimore’s hitting coaches put together a plan for him and the minor-league coaches to study and implement. They showed images contrasting the poor swings with his ideal cuts at the ball and suggested drill packages to adopt. He returned to the big leagues later in the season with improved results. In the team’s final eight games, he went 7-for-13 with a double and five walks. Jenkins, known for his raw power and athleticism, can learn to embrace this approach, allowing him to leverage his strengths without sacrificing the selectiveness and mental resilience that top hitters exhibit. Borgschulte’s experience instilling these values with Holliday makes him uniquely suited to develop Jenkins into a balanced, dynamic force in the Twins’ lineup. The Twins selected Jenkins with the hopes that he could become a future cornerstone of the franchise, and Borgschulte’s blueprint offers a promising way forward. With Jenkins, Borgschulte will likely prioritize controlled aggression, similar to what he implemented with Holliday. He will guide him toward choosing pitches he can punish, while avoiding the overzealous hacks that can hinder a developing hitter. Jenkins is known for his keen eye at the plate, as he had a .394 OBP last season with more walks (56) than strikeouts (47). While Jenkins has a strong foundation of natural talent, Borgschulte’s teaching style is well-suited to add nuance to his game. Building on Jenkins’s strengths, Borgschulte can introduce advanced concepts around pitch recognition and situational hitting, reinforcing that power isn’t only about swing mechanics but also about discipline, timing, and understanding the pitchers he’ll face. If he faces big-league struggles (like Holliday), he can formulate a plan that can be implemented at Triple-A to help him quickly return to the Twins. Borgschulte's work with young prospects in the Twins organization was also on display shortly after he left for Baltimore. He worked closely with some of the team’s top prospects (Miranda, Jeffers, and Larnach) during the Twins’ 2020 alternate training site in St. Paul. This trio benefited from Borgschulte’s ability to provide individualized feedback and intensive reps in a unique training environment. With Miranda, Borgschulte worked on unlocking the hitter’s natural contact skills by refining his approach to high-velocity pitches and honing his swing path. The work Miranda did at the alternate site laid the groundwork for his 2022 breakout season (141 OPS+ in 125 games). For Jeffers, Borgschulte focused on developing a more balanced stance that helped him adjust to pitches on the outer half, which has been instrumental in Jeffers's offensive improvements at the big-league level. Larnach benefited from an approach that emphasized plate discipline and power to all fields, areas he continues to work on today. The Twins are betting that Borgschulte’s teaching philosophies, proven track record, and dedication to player development will foster a productive culture for young hitters like Jenkins, much as it did for Holliday in Baltimore. His return to Minnesota brings with it a reunion of trust and familiarity that could be pivotal for the next generation of Twins hitters. For Twins fans, there’s excitement in seeing a coach who elevates individual players and creates a foundation that can help Jenkins, Miranda, Jeffers, and Larnach build upon each other's growth. Can Borgschulte follow the same blueprint he used with Holliday with Jenkins? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
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As the Twins aim to rebound in 2025, they may not have to look far for reinforcements. A promising trio of top prospects (Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, and Luke Keaschall) ended 2024 at Double-A or Triple-A, showing they might be just a step away from impacting the big-league roster. Each player brings a unique skill set and the potential to fill critical gaps for the Twins. Here’s how these talented young players could shape the Twins’ roster as soon as next season. Walker Jenkins: A Potential Star in the Making Since being drafted fifth overall in 2023, Jenkins has lived up to his top-prospect billing, moving swiftly through the system with a mix of raw power and refined hitting ability. Jenkins boasts a powerful left-handed swing and the build of a classic middle-of-the-order slugger. He spent much of 2024 tearing up High-A before finishing in Double-A, where he continued to hit for power and handle advanced pitching. In 82 games, he hit .282/.394/.439 with 32 extra-base hits and more walks (56) than strikeouts (47). He did all of this while facing older pitchers in over 97% of his plate appearances. For 2025, Jenkins could be the answer the Twins need in right field, especially with Max Kepler likely departing in free agency. His bat could bring significant pop, complementing a lineup in need of young, power-driven talent. Jenkins also offers the defensive reliability to fill a corner outfield spot, along with a strong arm that plays well in right. While he may start the season in Double-A, a fast start there could push him to Minneapolis by the season’s second half. If he lives up to his potential, Jenkins could immediately become a middle-of-the-lineup threat for years to come. Emmanuel Rodriguez: Power and Patience Few players in the Twins’ system are as intriguing as Rodriguez. The 21-year-old outfielder possesses a unique blend of power and plate discipline, with a discerning eye that has helped him draw walks at an elite rate throughout his minor-league career. Ending 2024 at Triple-A St. Paul, Rodriguez showed his offensive tools, though his contact rate will need refinement as he faces more advanced pitching. While limited to 47 games, he hit .280/.459/.567 with 25 extra-base hits and a 62-to-51 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Rodriguez’s skill set gives him a high ceiling, particularly as a potential left fielder for the Twins. With Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner currently slated for the corners, Rodriguez could add depth, especially if one of those players is traded or injured. Rodriguez’s left-handed power and patience would be welcome additions, potentially bringing a fresh, disciplined approach to the lineup. If he proves capable of making consistent contact at Triple-A, he could debut in the majors early next season, providing power and on-base skills that could be a game-changer for the team. Luke Keaschall: Versatile Infielder with Speed Taken in the second round of the 2023 MLB Draft, Keaschall quickly became one of the most dynamic players in the Twins’ farm system. The 22-year-old spent time at multiple positions, primarily second and third base, and showcased impressive speed and a strong arm. Ending 2024 at Double-A, Keaschall turned heads with his versatility and high-energy play, proving he could be a valuable utility option. In 102 games, he hit .303/.420/.493 with 37 extra-base hits. His season ended early due to Tommy John surgery, but he’s expected to be back for spring training. The Twins could use Keaschall’s skill set in 2025, particularly with question marks around depth in the infield. As a right-handed hitter with speed and defensive versatility, Keaschall would give the Twins flexibility off the bench, providing an option to fill in at second or third base or in the outfield. If he continues to hit well and play solid defense, Keaschall could fit as a utility player, with the upside of earning regular playing time in a lineup that values positional flexibility. For what was one of the least athletic, slowest teams in baseball last season, he would be a welcome change. The arrival of Jenkins, Rodriguez, and Keaschall could signal a new era for the Twins. Each brings a skill set that could help fill key roster roles: Jenkins with his power and corner outfield potential, Rodriguez with his power/patience combo, and Keaschall with his versatility and speed. In a season that might need new energy and depth from emerging stars, these three could add both excitement and production to the lineup. Which prospect will impact the Twins roster most significantly in 2025? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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Minnesota’s offense fizzled out during their historic collapse. Three top prospects are poised to impact the 2025 roster while infusing new life into the lineup. Image courtesy of Ed Bailey, Wichita Wind Surge (photo of Walker Jenkins) As the Twins aim to rebound in 2025, they may not have to look far for reinforcements. A promising trio of top prospects (Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, and Luke Keaschall) ended 2024 at Double-A or Triple-A, showing they might be just a step away from impacting the big-league roster. Each player brings a unique skill set and the potential to fill critical gaps for the Twins. Here’s how these talented young players could shape the Twins’ roster as soon as next season. Walker Jenkins: A Potential Star in the Making Since being drafted fifth overall in 2023, Jenkins has lived up to his top-prospect billing, moving swiftly through the system with a mix of raw power and refined hitting ability. Jenkins boasts a powerful left-handed swing and the build of a classic middle-of-the-order slugger. He spent much of 2024 tearing up High-A before finishing in Double-A, where he continued to hit for power and handle advanced pitching. In 82 games, he hit .282/.394/.439 with 32 extra-base hits and more walks (56) than strikeouts (47). He did all of this while facing older pitchers in over 97% of his plate appearances. For 2025, Jenkins could be the answer the Twins need in right field, especially with Max Kepler likely departing in free agency. His bat could bring significant pop, complementing a lineup in need of young, power-driven talent. Jenkins also offers the defensive reliability to fill a corner outfield spot, along with a strong arm that plays well in right. While he may start the season in Double-A, a fast start there could push him to Minneapolis by the season’s second half. If he lives up to his potential, Jenkins could immediately become a middle-of-the-lineup threat for years to come. Emmanuel Rodriguez: Power and Patience Few players in the Twins’ system are as intriguing as Rodriguez. The 21-year-old outfielder possesses a unique blend of power and plate discipline, with a discerning eye that has helped him draw walks at an elite rate throughout his minor-league career. Ending 2024 at Triple-A St. Paul, Rodriguez showed his offensive tools, though his contact rate will need refinement as he faces more advanced pitching. While limited to 47 games, he hit .280/.459/.567 with 25 extra-base hits and a 62-to-51 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Rodriguez’s skill set gives him a high ceiling, particularly as a potential left fielder for the Twins. With Trevor Larnach and Matt Wallner currently slated for the corners, Rodriguez could add depth, especially if one of those players is traded or injured. Rodriguez’s left-handed power and patience would be welcome additions, potentially bringing a fresh, disciplined approach to the lineup. If he proves capable of making consistent contact at Triple-A, he could debut in the majors early next season, providing power and on-base skills that could be a game-changer for the team. Luke Keaschall: Versatile Infielder with Speed Taken in the second round of the 2023 MLB Draft, Keaschall quickly became one of the most dynamic players in the Twins’ farm system. The 22-year-old spent time at multiple positions, primarily second and third base, and showcased impressive speed and a strong arm. Ending 2024 at Double-A, Keaschall turned heads with his versatility and high-energy play, proving he could be a valuable utility option. In 102 games, he hit .303/.420/.493 with 37 extra-base hits. His season ended early due to Tommy John surgery, but he’s expected to be back for spring training. The Twins could use Keaschall’s skill set in 2025, particularly with question marks around depth in the infield. As a right-handed hitter with speed and defensive versatility, Keaschall would give the Twins flexibility off the bench, providing an option to fill in at second or third base or in the outfield. If he continues to hit well and play solid defense, Keaschall could fit as a utility player, with the upside of earning regular playing time in a lineup that values positional flexibility. For what was one of the least athletic, slowest teams in baseball last season, he would be a welcome change. The arrival of Jenkins, Rodriguez, and Keaschall could signal a new era for the Twins. Each brings a skill set that could help fill key roster roles: Jenkins with his power and corner outfield potential, Rodriguez with his power/patience combo, and Keaschall with his versatility and speed. In a season that might need new energy and depth from emerging stars, these three could add both excitement and production to the lineup. Which prospect will impact the Twins roster most significantly in 2025? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Grading the Twins’ Most Recent Trades with the 2024 World Series Teams
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
As the Yankees and Dodgers prepare to square off in the 2024 World Series, it’s a perfect time to evaluate how two recent trades with these perennial contenders have played out for the Twins. While the trades differed in size and scope, each sent notable talent in both directions, aiming to address the needs of all teams involved. Let’s look back to see how each team has benefited (or not) from these deals. March 13, 2022: Twins Dump Donaldson on the Yankees In the spring of 2022, the Twins sent Josh Donaldson, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, and Ben Rortvedt to the Yankees. In return, Minnesota received two veteran players, Gary Sánchez and Gio Urshela. The Yankees were making a push for additional depth, hoping Kiner-Falefa could hold down the shortstop position while Donaldson added pop to the middle of their lineup. Minnesota was searching for a way to get out from under the Donaldson contract. Impact on the Yankees For New York, this trade has had mixed results. Donaldson initially provided a power boost and brought leadership to the Yankees' infield. However, injuries and declining performance took a toll, and the Yankees released him by the end of the 2023 season, leaving them without a return on his remaining contract. Kiner-Falefa was a useful addition to their lineup for his defensive versatility, but his limitations at the plate kept him from being a long-term solution for the Yankees at shortstop. Rortvedt, meanwhile, spent most of his time in the minors, providing little impact at the MLB level. The Yankees’ investment in Donaldson didn’t bring the hoped-for championship. Impact on the Twins The Twins also received mixed returns from the players involved, but moving the Donaldson contract allowed the team to add Carlos Correa that winter. Urshela quickly became a fan favorite in Minnesota, posting one of his best offensive seasons in 2022 (119 OPS+). His steady glove and consistent bat helped stabilize the left side of the infield, and his leadership provided stability during a challenging season. Urshela was eventually traded to the Angels before the 2023 season but left a positive mark in Minnesota. Sánchez, a high-risk, high-reward acquisition, didn’t quite fulfill expectations. While he provided flashes of power, he struggled defensively and couldn’t find consistency at the plate, leading to a one-and-done season with Minnesota. He posted an 88 OPS+, and the team was forced to use him as a catcher too often due to other injuries. While the trade may not have yielded long-term stars, the trade leaned slightly in Minnesota’s favor because of the long-term impact on the payroll. February 26, 2024: Twins Add Margot For Outfield Depth Fast forward to 2024, and the Twins struck another deal, this time with the Dodgers. The Twins acquired Manuel Margot, a proven outfielder with a reputation for strong defense and speed, and minor league prospect Rayne Doncon. In exchange, the Dodgers received Twins shortstop prospect Noah Miller, a solid defender with potential as a utility player but still developing his offensive game. This trade was more about adding depth to the Twins’ outfield while giving Los Angeles an intriguing, glove-first infield prospect. Impact on the Dodgers For the Dodgers, Miller split the season between High- and Double-A, showing consistent defensive skills and flashing some hitting potential. In 134 games, he .244/.318/.315 (.633) while being over three years younger than the average age of the Double-A competition. The Dodgers believe his high baseball IQ and versatility could help him emerge as a solid utility infielder. While he’s still a few seasons away from making an MLB impact, Miller’s development path fits with the Dodgers’ knack for cultivating infield talent. His glove-first profile may suit their needs if he continues to progress with his bat. Impact on the Twins The Twins had higher immediate hopes for Margot as a potential roster replacement for Michael A. Taylor. Known for his defensive abilities, the Twins quickly realized that Margot had lost a step and couldn’t handle center field. He posted a -0.6 WAR for the season with a career-low 76 OPS+. Minnesota was forced to continue using him to fill the gap left by injuries and defensive lapses among the Twins’ corner outfielder. Doncon, meanwhile, has shown potential in the lower minors, though he’s still raw. In 94 games, he posted a .773 OPS with 24 doubles and 11 home runs. If Doncon can develop, he may prove to be a valuable future asset for the Twins. Trade Grades: Twins-Yankees Trade Grade - Yankees: C - Twins: B The Yankees added defensive depth and leadership in Donaldson and Kiner-Falefa but saw little lasting return on their significant investment. For Minnesota, the trade provided short-term stability in Urshela and a gamble on Sánchez. Urshela’s success in Minnesota and Donaldson’s eventual release by New York tipped the scales slightly in the Twins’ favor. Twins-Dodgers Trade Grade -Dodgers: C -Twins: C This deal seems like a push with Margot struggling and neither prospect taking the next step. Fans can watch closely as Miller and Doncon move up the organizational ladder, but neither prospect is expected to be a significant contributor at the big-league level. These trades demonstrate Minnesota’s balanced approach in negotiations with baseball’s elite franchises. Each trade had specific goals, and the Twins gained serviceable pieces who contributed to their roster. As the Yankees and Dodgers battle it out on the biggest stage, the Twins’ front office can reflect on a couple of recent deals that, at least in part, worked out in Minnesota’s favor. How would you grade the trades? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.- 16 comments
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The Yankees and Dodgers are locked in a World Series grudge match. So, let’s look back at the most recent trades between the Twins and these two powerhouse clubs. Image courtesy of Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports As the Yankees and Dodgers prepare to square off in the 2024 World Series, it’s a perfect time to evaluate how two recent trades with these perennial contenders have played out for the Twins. While the trades differed in size and scope, each sent notable talent in both directions, aiming to address the needs of all teams involved. Let’s look back to see how each team has benefited (or not) from these deals. March 13, 2022: Twins Dump Donaldson on the Yankees In the spring of 2022, the Twins sent Josh Donaldson, Isiah Kiner-Falefa, and Ben Rortvedt to the Yankees. In return, Minnesota received two veteran players, Gary Sánchez and Gio Urshela. The Yankees were making a push for additional depth, hoping Kiner-Falefa could hold down the shortstop position while Donaldson added pop to the middle of their lineup. Minnesota was searching for a way to get out from under the Donaldson contract. Impact on the Yankees For New York, this trade has had mixed results. Donaldson initially provided a power boost and brought leadership to the Yankees' infield. However, injuries and declining performance took a toll, and the Yankees released him by the end of the 2023 season, leaving them without a return on his remaining contract. Kiner-Falefa was a useful addition to their lineup for his defensive versatility, but his limitations at the plate kept him from being a long-term solution for the Yankees at shortstop. Rortvedt, meanwhile, spent most of his time in the minors, providing little impact at the MLB level. The Yankees’ investment in Donaldson didn’t bring the hoped-for championship. Impact on the Twins The Twins also received mixed returns from the players involved, but moving the Donaldson contract allowed the team to add Carlos Correa that winter. Urshela quickly became a fan favorite in Minnesota, posting one of his best offensive seasons in 2022 (119 OPS+). His steady glove and consistent bat helped stabilize the left side of the infield, and his leadership provided stability during a challenging season. Urshela was eventually traded to the Angels before the 2023 season but left a positive mark in Minnesota. Sánchez, a high-risk, high-reward acquisition, didn’t quite fulfill expectations. While he provided flashes of power, he struggled defensively and couldn’t find consistency at the plate, leading to a one-and-done season with Minnesota. He posted an 88 OPS+, and the team was forced to use him as a catcher too often due to other injuries. While the trade may not have yielded long-term stars, the trade leaned slightly in Minnesota’s favor because of the long-term impact on the payroll. February 26, 2024: Twins Add Margot For Outfield Depth Fast forward to 2024, and the Twins struck another deal, this time with the Dodgers. The Twins acquired Manuel Margot, a proven outfielder with a reputation for strong defense and speed, and minor league prospect Rayne Doncon. In exchange, the Dodgers received Twins shortstop prospect Noah Miller, a solid defender with potential as a utility player but still developing his offensive game. This trade was more about adding depth to the Twins’ outfield while giving Los Angeles an intriguing, glove-first infield prospect. Impact on the Dodgers For the Dodgers, Miller split the season between High- and Double-A, showing consistent defensive skills and flashing some hitting potential. In 134 games, he .244/.318/.315 (.633) while being over three years younger than the average age of the Double-A competition. The Dodgers believe his high baseball IQ and versatility could help him emerge as a solid utility infielder. While he’s still a few seasons away from making an MLB impact, Miller’s development path fits with the Dodgers’ knack for cultivating infield talent. His glove-first profile may suit their needs if he continues to progress with his bat. Impact on the Twins The Twins had higher immediate hopes for Margot as a potential roster replacement for Michael A. Taylor. Known for his defensive abilities, the Twins quickly realized that Margot had lost a step and couldn’t handle center field. He posted a -0.6 WAR for the season with a career-low 76 OPS+. Minnesota was forced to continue using him to fill the gap left by injuries and defensive lapses among the Twins’ corner outfielder. Doncon, meanwhile, has shown potential in the lower minors, though he’s still raw. In 94 games, he posted a .773 OPS with 24 doubles and 11 home runs. If Doncon can develop, he may prove to be a valuable future asset for the Twins. Trade Grades: Twins-Yankees Trade Grade - Yankees: C - Twins: B The Yankees added defensive depth and leadership in Donaldson and Kiner-Falefa but saw little lasting return on their significant investment. For Minnesota, the trade provided short-term stability in Urshela and a gamble on Sánchez. Urshela’s success in Minnesota and Donaldson’s eventual release by New York tipped the scales slightly in the Twins’ favor. Twins-Dodgers Trade Grade -Dodgers: C -Twins: C This deal seems like a push with Margot struggling and neither prospect taking the next step. Fans can watch closely as Miller and Doncon move up the organizational ladder, but neither prospect is expected to be a significant contributor at the big-league level. These trades demonstrate Minnesota’s balanced approach in negotiations with baseball’s elite franchises. Each trade had specific goals, and the Twins gained serviceable pieces who contributed to their roster. As the Yankees and Dodgers battle it out on the biggest stage, the Twins’ front office can reflect on a couple of recent deals that, at least in part, worked out in Minnesota’s favor. How would you grade the trades? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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As the Twins prepare for the 2025 season, the spotlight will inevitably turn toward the club's emerging prospects. Three pitchers (Connor Prielipp, Marco Raya, and Andrew Morris) are set to play pivotal roles in shaping the future of the Twins' pitching staff. While each brings a unique set of skills, their impact could range from rotational depth to bullpen dominance, making them must-watch players for the upcoming season. Connor Prielipp: The Bullpen’s Secret Weapon? Prielipp, a left-handed pitcher with electric stuff, could be the Twins’ breakout bullpen arm in 2025. Drafted in the second round of the 2022 MLB Draft, Prielipp was once considered one of the top pitching talents in his draft class before undergoing Tommy John surgery, which slowed his development. He was limited to two outings in 2023 before another elbow shut him down, and this time, he had an internal brace put in to repair the faulty UCL. After spending the last couple of seasons refining his mechanics and regaining his pre-injury form, Prielipp now looks poised to take the next step. While the Twins initially viewed him as a starting pitcher, Prielipp’s dominant fastball-slider combination could make him an elite reliever. His fastball velocity consistently sits in the mid-90s, and when paired with a devastating, sharp-breaking slider, it gives him the type of swing-and-miss stuff teams crave in late-inning situations. The move to the bullpen might also help mitigate any durability concerns that stem from his injury history. Prielipp could become a weapon to neutralize left-handed hitters while also holding his own against righties. Last season, he made nine starts and posted a 2.70 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP and 15.8 K/9. His strikeout potential makes him especially valuable in high-leverage situations, and his ability to go multiple innings could provide much-needed depth for the Twins’ relief corps. Marco Raya: A Rare High School Success Story Drafting high school arms hasn’t been a focus for the current front office, but Raya is one outlier in the team’s farm system. He has slowly been climbing the prospect ranks since being drafted by the Twins in 2020. Though undersized for a prototypical starter at 6’0”, Raya’s command and fastball movement make him a candidate for a spot in the Twins' rotation sooner rather than later. He spent most of 2024 at the Double-A level and finished the year with one Triple-A start. In 97 2/3 innings, he posted a 4.07 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP with 9.5 K/9. He only faced younger batters in 41 plate appearances this year and held them to a .502 OPS. Raya's fastball sits in the mid-90s, but his ability to change speeds and locate his secondary pitches has helped him climb the organizational ladder. His slider has the potential to be a plus offering, giving him a strikeout weapon that can keep hitters off balance. While there are questions about whether Raya will develop into a full-time starter at the big-league level, his progress in 2025 will determine if he can break through as more than just a spot starter or long reliever. The Twins have dealt with injuries in their starting rotation over the past few seasons, so having a pitcher like Raya waiting in the wings could provide crucial depth. He may not break camp with the big league club, but look for Raya to get the call if injuries arise or as a second-half addition once he gains more consistency in Triple-A. Andrew Morris: The Next College Success Story Last season, the Twins saw college draft picks like David Festa and Zebby Matthews impact the big-league level, and Morris looks like the team’s next college success story. He doesn’t have the same prospect pedigree as some of the Twins' other arms, but he’s quietly putting together a resume that could land him in Minnesota’s starting rotation in 2025. Drafted out of Texas Tech in 2022, Morris has steadily worked his way through the system, and 2024 saw him take a significant step forward while moving from High-A to Triple-A. At 6’2”, 200 pounds, Morris has the frame to log innings, and his four-pitch repertoire—featuring a fastball, curveball, slider, and changeup—gives him plenty of options to attack hitters. Last season, he posted a 2.37 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. What makes Morris stand out is his durability and pitch efficiency. He has a knack for inducing weak contact and limiting walks (2.2 BB/9 in 2024), which will serve him well as he competes for a back-end rotation spot. The Twins may view Morris as an ideal sixth starter or someone who can shuttle between Triple-A and the majors. Given how frequently the Twins have dipped into their pitching depth in recent years, Morris could find himself making several starts during the 2025 season. He has quickly been rising on the team’s top prospect list because of his reliability and solid pitch mix make him a valuable asset. As the Twins enter 2025, they will rely on both established veterans and emerging talents to form a competitive roster. Prielipp could become a dominant force in the bullpen, while Raya and Morris offer intriguing options for rotational depth. With their varying skill sets, these three pitchers could play crucial roles in Minnesota’s pitching staff, helping build a bridge between the present and the future. Keep an eye on their progress because 2025 could be the year they make their mark at Target Field. Which pitching prospect will have the most significant impact on the Twins in 2025? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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Minnesota’s pitching pipeline continues to grow, with potential impact arms closing in on Target Field. Here are three pitching prospects to watch in 2025. Image courtesy of John Vittas- Fort Myers Mighty Mussels (Photo of Connor Prielipp) As the Twins prepare for the 2025 season, the spotlight will inevitably turn toward the club's emerging prospects. Three pitchers (Connor Prielipp, Marco Raya, and Andrew Morris) are set to play pivotal roles in shaping the future of the Twins' pitching staff. While each brings a unique set of skills, their impact could range from rotational depth to bullpen dominance, making them must-watch players for the upcoming season. Connor Prielipp: The Bullpen’s Secret Weapon? Prielipp, a left-handed pitcher with electric stuff, could be the Twins’ breakout bullpen arm in 2025. Drafted in the second round of the 2022 MLB Draft, Prielipp was once considered one of the top pitching talents in his draft class before undergoing Tommy John surgery, which slowed his development. He was limited to two outings in 2023 before another elbow shut him down, and this time, he had an internal brace put in to repair the faulty UCL. After spending the last couple of seasons refining his mechanics and regaining his pre-injury form, Prielipp now looks poised to take the next step. While the Twins initially viewed him as a starting pitcher, Prielipp’s dominant fastball-slider combination could make him an elite reliever. His fastball velocity consistently sits in the mid-90s, and when paired with a devastating, sharp-breaking slider, it gives him the type of swing-and-miss stuff teams crave in late-inning situations. The move to the bullpen might also help mitigate any durability concerns that stem from his injury history. Prielipp could become a weapon to neutralize left-handed hitters while also holding his own against righties. Last season, he made nine starts and posted a 2.70 ERA with a 0.90 WHIP and 15.8 K/9. His strikeout potential makes him especially valuable in high-leverage situations, and his ability to go multiple innings could provide much-needed depth for the Twins’ relief corps. Marco Raya: A Rare High School Success Story Drafting high school arms hasn’t been a focus for the current front office, but Raya is one outlier in the team’s farm system. He has slowly been climbing the prospect ranks since being drafted by the Twins in 2020. Though undersized for a prototypical starter at 6’0”, Raya’s command and fastball movement make him a candidate for a spot in the Twins' rotation sooner rather than later. He spent most of 2024 at the Double-A level and finished the year with one Triple-A start. In 97 2/3 innings, he posted a 4.07 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP with 9.5 K/9. He only faced younger batters in 41 plate appearances this year and held them to a .502 OPS. Raya's fastball sits in the mid-90s, but his ability to change speeds and locate his secondary pitches has helped him climb the organizational ladder. His slider has the potential to be a plus offering, giving him a strikeout weapon that can keep hitters off balance. While there are questions about whether Raya will develop into a full-time starter at the big-league level, his progress in 2025 will determine if he can break through as more than just a spot starter or long reliever. The Twins have dealt with injuries in their starting rotation over the past few seasons, so having a pitcher like Raya waiting in the wings could provide crucial depth. He may not break camp with the big league club, but look for Raya to get the call if injuries arise or as a second-half addition once he gains more consistency in Triple-A. Andrew Morris: The Next College Success Story Last season, the Twins saw college draft picks like David Festa and Zebby Matthews impact the big-league level, and Morris looks like the team’s next college success story. He doesn’t have the same prospect pedigree as some of the Twins' other arms, but he’s quietly putting together a resume that could land him in Minnesota’s starting rotation in 2025. Drafted out of Texas Tech in 2022, Morris has steadily worked his way through the system, and 2024 saw him take a significant step forward while moving from High-A to Triple-A. At 6’2”, 200 pounds, Morris has the frame to log innings, and his four-pitch repertoire—featuring a fastball, curveball, slider, and changeup—gives him plenty of options to attack hitters. Last season, he posted a 2.37 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. What makes Morris stand out is his durability and pitch efficiency. He has a knack for inducing weak contact and limiting walks (2.2 BB/9 in 2024), which will serve him well as he competes for a back-end rotation spot. The Twins may view Morris as an ideal sixth starter or someone who can shuttle between Triple-A and the majors. Given how frequently the Twins have dipped into their pitching depth in recent years, Morris could find himself making several starts during the 2025 season. He has quickly been rising on the team’s top prospect list because of his reliability and solid pitch mix make him a valuable asset. As the Twins enter 2025, they will rely on both established veterans and emerging talents to form a competitive roster. Prielipp could become a dominant force in the bullpen, while Raya and Morris offer intriguing options for rotational depth. With their varying skill sets, these three pitchers could play crucial roles in Minnesota’s pitching staff, helping build a bridge between the present and the future. Keep an eye on their progress because 2025 could be the year they make their mark at Target Field. Which pitching prospect will have the most significant impact on the Twins in 2025? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Losing Points: What Moments Cost the Twins the 2024 Season?
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
By the end of the 2024 season, the Minnesota Twins found themselves watching the playoffs from home. After a promising start, injuries and critical failures piled up, derailing what could have been a division-winning campaign. These moments, in particular, stand out as the turning points that cost the team a chance to defend their AL Central crown and return to October baseball. Opening Day Omen Every team starts the season with high hopes, but the Twins’ dreams took a gut punch right out of the gate when Royce Lewis suffered a right quad injury on Opening Day. The disappointment was amplified because he had homered in his first at-bat of the season. After an electrifying 2023 season, Lewis was expected to be a centerpiece of the lineup and one of the most dynamic players in the division. Minnesota got off to a terrible start to the 2024 season with a 7-13 record, and one has to wonder if that ghastly stumble cost the team the playoffs. Lewis’s injury left a gaping hole at third base, disrupting the lineup’s balance. The Twins tried to patch things together, but the ripple effect was felt for months. Without Lewis’s bat and energy, Minnesota's offense struggled to find consistency, setting an ominous tone for the year. Losing the Team’s MVP Carlos Correa had been Minnesota’s heart and soul through the first half of 2024. His first-half performance was All-Star-caliber, potentially the best stretch of his career, reminding fans why the Twins made him their highest-paid player. He hit .308/.377/.520 with 16 doubles, three triples, and 13 home runs in 75 games. But just days before the All-Star break, Correa went down with plantar fasciitis, which sidelined him for two months and effectively killed the Twins’ momentum heading into the second half. His initial self-prognosis was positive, and there was some discussion about how quickly he could return to the field. However, the injury lingered, and Correa was forced to undergo painful treatments while also trying to find a cleat that worked with his injury. The Twins lacked a capable replacement and limped into and out of the break without their franchise player, their record slipping in the process. Ryan’s Late-Summer Setback Despite the above injuries, Minnesota played like one of baseball’s best teams after the rough start to the year. The rotation took its biggest hit at the beginning of August, when Joe Ryan was placed on the injured list with right triceps tightness. Ryan had been the team’s best starter for much of the season, with a career-best ERA+ (115) and WHIP (0.99). Other pitcher injuries to Anthony DeSclafani and Chris Paddack forced the team to turn to younger internal options, and that can result in volatility. Without Ryan, the Twins’ rotation depth was exposed. David Festa and Zebby Matthews were called upon, but the team limited their workload. This forced the bullpen to face more strain, and the team couldn’t find the same rhythm. Ryan’s injury came at the worst possible time, right when the Twins were pushing to stay in contention, and the pitching staff’s cracks began to show. Alcalá’s Meltdown in Texas Later in August, the Twins had a chance to finish off a four-game sweep against the Texas Rangers. After taking the first three games, they held a commanding 4-0 lead in the series finale, looking to head on to the next leg of their road trip riding high. But in a disastrous seventh inning, Jorge Alcalá allowed five runs, letting the Rangers storm back to take the lead in under 15 minutes. At the time, it was a bad loss, but it became the tipping point that started their second-half spiral. This blown game symbolized the bullpen’s inconsistency throughout the season. Alcalá, who had been entrusted with high-leverage innings, failed to deliver. That loss deflated the team, as they never fully regained their footing in the following weeks, dropping series to division rivals and losing ground in the standings. Buxton’s Second Half Absence Byron Buxton has long been a player who can change a game on his own, but staying healthy has been his bugaboo. Buxton managed to play over 100 games in 2024, silencing some doubters, but injuries once again marred his second half. A leg injury in late July limited his availability, and he spent much of August and September on the injured list. Minnesota missed Buxton’s offensive punch in the lineup and his tremendous defense in center field. Before the injury, he had posted an .862 OPS, with 42 extra-base hits in 90 games. Buxton and Correa returned to the lineup for the final fortnight, but it was too late. The Twins had fallen apart without their two stars, and the Tigers roared past them into playoff position. A Season Defined by “What Ifs” The 2024 season will be remembered as one filled with "what ifs" for the Twins. What if Lewis hadn’t been injured on Opening Day? What if Correa had stayed healthy all year? What if Alcalá hadn’t imploded in Texas? What if Ryan and Buxton could have made it through the second half unscathed? Each of these injuries compounded the team’s struggles, and despite flashes of brilliance, the Twins couldn’t keep up with the competition. Minnesota entered 2024 with expectations of reclaiming the division title, but these critical moments and injuries proved too much to overcome. Instead of playing in October, the team and its fans are left to wonder what could have been. As the offseason begins, the Twins must address the durability issues that haunted them this season. They have the talent to compete in the AL Central, but 2024 served as a harsh reminder that even the best-laid plans can be undone by the unpredictable nature of the game. Which moment is the biggest reason the Twins didn’t make the playoffs? Leave a comment and start the discussion.- 30 comments
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David Festa’s 2024 season positioned the tall righty as a long-term member of the Minnesota Twins' rotation. A promising arm in the minors, Festa leapt the big leagues with high expectations. While he showed flashes of brilliance, clear lessons were learned about his game and areas that need attention if he is to be a consistent presence in 2025. Strikeout Potential on Display One of the most exciting aspects of Festa’s game in his rookie season was his strikeout rate. Festa punched out nearly 35% of the batters he faced during his time at Triple-A in 2024, but there were still questions about whether or not he would be able to get swings and misses from MLB hitters. He put those to bed, though, with a terrific 27.8% strikeout rate in 64 1/3 big-league innings. He brought the type of swing-and-miss stuff that the Twins have been searching for in their rotation. His fastball velocity was a key weapon, sitting in the mid-to-upper 90s, and his slider and changeup flashed as legitimate out pitches. His changeup coaxed a 39.4 Whiff%, while his slider had a 29.1 Whiff%. Opposing hitters often found themselves off-balance, especially when Festa was ahead in the count. However, his overall effectiveness was tempered by an inconsistent ability to locate his breaking pitches, leading to more extended at-bats and missed opportunities for early strikeouts. Refining his command in the strike zone will be critical if Festa hopes to take a step forward in 2025. Struggles with the Long Ball For all of his strikeout prowess, Festa was plagued by an alarming home run rate. He surrendered 1.3 HR/9 at both Triple-A and the MLB level, which kept him from finding sustained success. A significant contributor to this issue was his occasional tendency to leave his fastball over the middle of the plate when working in hitter-friendly counts. When Festa’s command faltered, hitters made him pay. Adjustments in pitch sequencing and sharpening his offspeed pitches could help Festa mitigate his home run struggles. Developing confidence in his changeup could give him another weapon to keep hitters off his fastball. His changeup produced the lowest exit velocity (85.9) and the lowest xSLG (.332) of any of his pitches. The actual slugging percentage allowed on his changeup was over 130 points higher than his xSLG, so improving that pitch might help his overall home run total. Given the shape of his fastball and the way he attacks, though, he will probably always give up some homers. The Five-Inning Wall Perhaps Festa's biggest challenge in 2024 was his inability to pitch deep into games. Of his 14 starts with the Twins, only one saw him pitch into the sixth inning. Consistently getting through five innings was a tall task, and Festa frequently ran into trouble by the time opposing hitters saw him for the third time through the order. His efficiency issues stemmed from working deep into counts, leading to a high pitch count early in games. To become more reliable in 2025, Festa will need to focus on improving his efficiency. Throwing more first-pitch strikes and trusting his defense could help Festa cut down on his pitch count, allowing him to pitch deeper into games and giving the Twins a much-needed innings-eater. Minnesota might also trust him more, since he will be in his sophomore season. As Festa enters 2025, the talent is evident, but there’s a clear blueprint for growth. Lowering his home run rate will be vital, and learning how to mix his pitches more effectively could prevent hitters from sitting on his fastball. If Festa can also make strides in his ability to go deeper into games, there’s no reason he can’t cement his place in the Twins’ rotation for years to come. The Twins should feel encouraged by Festa’s potential, but his development in 2025 will hinge on improving consistency. If he can refine his command, limit the long ball, and pitch deeper into games, David Festa has the tools to be a key figure in the Twins’ future success. What stood out from Festa’s rookie season? What is his ceiling moving forward? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

