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Everything posted by Cody Christie
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When he first broke into the big leagues, Ryan Jeffers was touted for his pitch-framing skills. Now, he ranks among the game’s worst framers. What happened? Image courtesy of Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports Ryan Jeffers has been a crucial part of the Twins' defense since his debut during the 2020 season. Known for his strong defensive skills, particularly his pitch framing, Jeffers has helped his pitchers get the benefit of the doubt on close calls at the edges of the strike zone. However, a noticeable decline in his pitch-framing ability has emerged in the 2024 season, raising questions about the underlying causes. Pitch framing is a subtle yet vital skill for catchers, making borderline pitches appear as strikes to the umpire. This skill can significantly impact a pitcher's performance and, by extension, the outcome of games. In recent years, catchers have been evaluated heavily on their framing metrics, with top framers often adding significant value to their teams. A Look at Jeffers's Framing Metrics Jeffers has historically been known for his above-average framing skills. During the 2021 season, Baseball Savant ranked him in the 72nd percentile for framing. He continued to perform at that level in 2022 (70th percentile), but the 2023 season is when his numbers nose-dived. In over 500 innings, Jeffers’s framing was worth -3 runs, ranking in the 25th percentile. That poor performance was only the start of his decline. In 2024, his framing metrics took an even steeper downturn. According to Statcast data, Jeffers's strike rate on borderline pitches has decreased, leading to fewer called strikes on pitches that, in previous seasons, he might have successfully framed. He’s been worth -5 runs, ranking in the 10th percentile. Becoming one of baseball’s worst pitch framers is quite the contrast to his early big-league career. Potential Causes of the Decline Changes in Pitching Staff: One factor that could be contributing to Jeffers's decline in framing is the turnover in the Twins' pitching staff. Catchers develop a rhythm and understanding with their pitchers over time, which is crucial for effective framing. New pitchers or changes in pitching styles can disrupt this rhythm, making it more challenging for Jeffers to frame pitches as effectively as before. Increased Focus on Offense: Jeffers has shown improvement at the plate, with his offensive production becoming more consistent. This increased focus on offense may affect his defensive preparation and performance. Catchers who balance both offense and defense often have to make trade-offs, and Jeffers's increased attention to batting may have led to a slight decline in his defensive sharpness, particularly in framing--a detail-oriented, difficult, granular task. Changes in Umpire Strike Zones: The human element of umpiring plays a significant role in pitch framing. If there are changes in how umpires call the strike zone or if Jeffers has been assigned to games with umpires with smaller or more inconsistent zones, this could impact his framing metrics. Umpires’ tendencies can vary widely, and a catcher might see a decline in framing success simply due to a change in the strike zone interpretation. Injury or Fatigue: Catchers endure significant physical strain throughout a season, and any underlying injuries or fatigue can affect their performance behind the plate. Even minor injuries (or the cumulative effect of catching many games) can lead to a decline in reflexes and precision, which are crucial for effective pitch framing. Strategic Changes: Earlier this season, Parker Hageman wrote about why Jeffers is declining regarding pitch framing. His premise at the time was that the Twins had focused on Jeffers providing a target in the middle of the plate. By doing so, he loses out on the opportunity to steal strikes from the edges of the zone. Minnesota’s pitching staff is also throwing more fastballs in the upper half of the zone, whereas previous staffs were throwing near the bottom of the zone, making it easier to steal strikes. He’s trying to help his pitchers get into favorable counts, but it hurts his overall framing metrics. While the decline in pitch framing is a concern, it doesn’t overshadow Jeffers's overall contributions to the team. His leadership behind the plate and his offensive improvements ensure that he remains a valuable asset for the Twins. However, regaining his framing form could elevate his game and give the Twins a competitive edge as they push for postseason success. Should the Twins be concerned with Jeffers’ framing metrics? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
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Minnesota’s bullpen has seen mixed results from many of the team’s bullpen arms. However, one arm has consistently performed at an elite level. Here’s how he did it. Image courtesy of Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports As the 2024 MLB season progresses, Griffin Jax has emerged as one of the most dominant relief pitchers in the game. Jax has always been a reliable arm out of the bullpen, but he has taken his performance to a new level this season. Here’s how he has become an even more elite weapon in 2024. 1. Increased Strikeout Rate One of the most significant improvements in Jax’s game this season is his elevated strikeout rate. A key factor behind this uptick is his refined pitch mix, particularly his lethal combination of a sweeper and fastball. His sweeper produced a 28.6 Whiff% last season, but he’s increased that to 42.2% in 2024. Opponents have been held below a .180 batting average against four of his five pitches. Over the offseason, Jax worked tirelessly on perfecting the tunneling effect of these pitches, making them virtually indistinguishable to hitters until it’s too late. This enhanced deception has left batters guessing, often swinging at pitches they can’t fully commit to. As a result, Jax has seen a noticeable increase in swings and misses, especially in high-leverage situations where strikeouts are at a premium. His 32.8 K% and 11.6 K/9 are both career highs. This ability to overpower hitters has made him a go-to bullpen option for Rocco Baldelli when he is looking to shut down rallies and preserve leads. 2. Improved Command and Control Another area where Jax has made remarkable strides is in his command and control. Historically, walks have been among the few blemishes on his otherwise impressive resume, with a BB% above 7% for his career. However, in 2024, he significantly reduced his walk rate (6.0 BB% and 2.1 BB/9), a testament to his improved command. Jax’s ability to consistently hit his spots has allowed him to challenge hitters confidently, getting ahead in counts and dictating at-bats. This newfound precision has limited free passes and forced hitters to swing at his pitches rather than waiting for mistakes. By keeping hitters off-balance and avoiding unnecessary baserunners, Jax has navigated the most critical moments of games with poise and efficiency. 3. Enhanced Pitch Efficiency In addition to his increased strikeout rate and improved command, Jax has also become more efficient in his pitch usage. This season, he has mastered the ability to induce early contact, often generating weak ground balls and soft pop-ups with fewer pitches. He's had just eight at-bats where he has fallen behind 1-0 in the count, and only one of those plate appearances went to a 2-0 count. When Jax is ahead in the count, he has held batters to a .312 OPS with 43 strikeouts in 83 at-bats. This pitch efficiency has multiple benefits. First, it allows Jax to extend his outings when needed, giving his team more innings of high-quality relief. Second, it enables him to pitch on consecutive days without a significant drop in effectiveness, making him a more versatile and reliable option for his manager. Of his 53 appearances, 29 have come with one or fewer days of rest. Finally, by keeping his pitch count low, Jax has minimized wear and tear on his arm, ensuring he remains fresh throughout the season's long grind. Jax’s evolution into an elite reliever in 2024 results from his relentless work ethic and commitment to refining his craft. By increasing his strikeout rate, improving his command, and becoming more pitch-efficient, Jax has solidified his role as one of the premier arms in the bullpen. As the season continues, expect him to play a crucial role in his team’s success, shutting down opposing offenses and proving that he belongs among the game’s best. What stands out most about Jax’s performance in 2024, for you? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
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3 Ways Griffin Jax Elevated His Game to Elite Status in 2024
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
As the 2024 MLB season progresses, Griffin Jax has emerged as one of the most dominant relief pitchers in the game. Jax has always been a reliable arm out of the bullpen, but he has taken his performance to a new level this season. Here’s how he has become an even more elite weapon in 2024. 1. Increased Strikeout Rate One of the most significant improvements in Jax’s game this season is his elevated strikeout rate. A key factor behind this uptick is his refined pitch mix, particularly his lethal combination of a sweeper and fastball. His sweeper produced a 28.6 Whiff% last season, but he’s increased that to 42.2% in 2024. Opponents have been held below a .180 batting average against four of his five pitches. Over the offseason, Jax worked tirelessly on perfecting the tunneling effect of these pitches, making them virtually indistinguishable to hitters until it’s too late. This enhanced deception has left batters guessing, often swinging at pitches they can’t fully commit to. As a result, Jax has seen a noticeable increase in swings and misses, especially in high-leverage situations where strikeouts are at a premium. His 32.8 K% and 11.6 K/9 are both career highs. This ability to overpower hitters has made him a go-to bullpen option for Rocco Baldelli when he is looking to shut down rallies and preserve leads. 2. Improved Command and Control Another area where Jax has made remarkable strides is in his command and control. Historically, walks have been among the few blemishes on his otherwise impressive resume, with a BB% above 7% for his career. However, in 2024, he significantly reduced his walk rate (6.0 BB% and 2.1 BB/9), a testament to his improved command. Jax’s ability to consistently hit his spots has allowed him to challenge hitters confidently, getting ahead in counts and dictating at-bats. This newfound precision has limited free passes and forced hitters to swing at his pitches rather than waiting for mistakes. By keeping hitters off-balance and avoiding unnecessary baserunners, Jax has navigated the most critical moments of games with poise and efficiency. 3. Enhanced Pitch Efficiency In addition to his increased strikeout rate and improved command, Jax has also become more efficient in his pitch usage. This season, he has mastered the ability to induce early contact, often generating weak ground balls and soft pop-ups with fewer pitches. He's had just eight at-bats where he has fallen behind 1-0 in the count, and only one of those plate appearances went to a 2-0 count. When Jax is ahead in the count, he has held batters to a .312 OPS with 43 strikeouts in 83 at-bats. This pitch efficiency has multiple benefits. First, it allows Jax to extend his outings when needed, giving his team more innings of high-quality relief. Second, it enables him to pitch on consecutive days without a significant drop in effectiveness, making him a more versatile and reliable option for his manager. Of his 53 appearances, 29 have come with one or fewer days of rest. Finally, by keeping his pitch count low, Jax has minimized wear and tear on his arm, ensuring he remains fresh throughout the season's long grind. Jax’s evolution into an elite reliever in 2024 results from his relentless work ethic and commitment to refining his craft. By increasing his strikeout rate, improving his command, and becoming more pitch-efficient, Jax has solidified his role as one of the premier arms in the bullpen. As the season continues, expect him to play a crucial role in his team’s success, shutting down opposing offenses and proving that he belongs among the game’s best. What stands out most about Jax’s performance in 2024, for you? Leave a comment and start the discussion. -
When I wrote the article, Dobnak was already on the roster so that's why I didn't include him in the article. To your second point, there are always ways to find spots on the 40-man roster if they need to add another player.
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Though well-positioned at the moment, the Twins are teetering on the brink of disaster, with many of the organization’s big-league-caliber arms already on the roster. So, what’s left in the minor leagues, should the team need more pitching depth? Image courtesy of Ed Bailey, Wichita Wind Surge The Twins opted not to trade for starting pitching at the 2024 trade deadline, a decision influenced by several factors. The front office believed in the strength and depth of in-house options. Additionally, the trade market was highly competitive, with steep prices for top-tier pitchers, making it challenging to find a deal that aligned with the Twins' long-term goals without sacrificing significant prospects. Consequently, the team chose to rely on its existing stockpile of arms, banking on their talent and the potential for improvements from within the organization to carry them through the season's second half. Minnesota has already been forced to add many young starters to the big-league roster, including Simeon Woods Richardson, David Festa, Zebby Matthews, and Louie Varland. So, what’s left in the minor leagues, if the team is forced to dig deeper down their organizational depth chart by yet another injury? Andrew Morris, RHP Current Level: Triple-A Morris is an intriguing right-handed pitching prospect, known for his competitive edge and advanced pitch mix. A product of Texas Tech, Morris has a fastball that consistently sits in the mid-90s, paired with a solid slider and a developing changeup. His ability to attack hitters with a diverse arsenal has allowed him to post strong strikeout numbers in the minors. Though still refining his command, Morris's performance has forced the Twins to promote him from High-A to Triple-A this season, following closely in the wake of Matthews. His aggressive approach on the mound and ability to generate swings and misses make him a potential asset for the big-league squad as they seek to bolster their pitching depth. Caleb Boushley, RHP Current Level: Triple-A Other names on this list are more exciting than Boushley. Still, his veteran status might be something the Twins are forced to rely on in the coming weeks. A right-handed pitcher with experience as both a starter and reliever in the minors, Boushley provides valuable flexibility. His ability to pitch multiple innings could be crucial in long relief roles, especially when the bullpen is taxed due to short outings by starters or extra-inning games. Additionally, Boushley’s consistent performance and ability to limit walks make him a potential option for spot starts or to fill in for injured pitchers. Brent Headrick, LHP Current Level: Triple-A Headrick is a left-handed pitcher who has been on the injured list since the season's first month. He has started working his way back by pitching in the instructional league, making him a potential second-half option. He was expected to impact the Twins’ roster this season, but his forearm issues have hindered his ability to return to action. His solid strikeout rates and low walk totals at the minor-league level suggest a readiness to contribute at the big-league level, potentially as a versatile arm in the bullpen or as a spot starter. Headrick's poise on the mound and ability to adapt could give the Twins a valuable depth option as they navigate the demands of a long season, if he proves to be asyptomatic as he rehabs. Marco Raya, RHP Current Level: Double-A Raya has been one of the organization’s top pitching prospects in recent years, known for his electric arm and advanced pitchability at a young age. His ability to generate high spin rates on his pitches adds to his potential, making him a strikeout threat (26.1 K% in 2024). Raya's poise and maturity on the mound are impressive for his age, and he has shown the ability to handle more advanced hitters as he progresses through the system. The Twins have been careful with his usage, limiting his innings and pitch counts. While he is still refining his command and building durability, his upside is significant. Cory Lewis, RHP Current Level: Double-A Last season, Twins Daily named Lewis the organization’s Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Year. He posted a 2.49 ERA with a 1.06 WHIP and 10.5 K/9 in over 100 innings between Low- and High-A. Lewis was sidelined to start the 2024 campaign due to a shoulder injury, but he has made nine appearances at Double-A since coming off the IL. What makes Lewis particularly intriguing is his feel for pitching and his ability to mix pitches effectively. With his polished approach and advanced understanding of how to attack hitters, Lewis has the potential to move quickly through the system and could eventually develop into a reliable middle-of-the-rotation starter for the Twins. Will the Twins need to rely on any of these arms before the season ends? Who is the next player to get the call? Which pitcher has the highest upside? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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The Twins opted not to trade for starting pitching at the 2024 trade deadline, a decision influenced by several factors. The front office believed in the strength and depth of in-house options. Additionally, the trade market was highly competitive, with steep prices for top-tier pitchers, making it challenging to find a deal that aligned with the Twins' long-term goals without sacrificing significant prospects. Consequently, the team chose to rely on its existing stockpile of arms, banking on their talent and the potential for improvements from within the organization to carry them through the season's second half. Minnesota has already been forced to add many young starters to the big-league roster, including Simeon Woods Richardson, David Festa, Zebby Matthews, and Louie Varland. So, what’s left in the minor leagues, if the team is forced to dig deeper down their organizational depth chart by yet another injury? Andrew Morris, RHP Current Level: Triple-A Morris is an intriguing right-handed pitching prospect, known for his competitive edge and advanced pitch mix. A product of Texas Tech, Morris has a fastball that consistently sits in the mid-90s, paired with a solid slider and a developing changeup. His ability to attack hitters with a diverse arsenal has allowed him to post strong strikeout numbers in the minors. Though still refining his command, Morris's performance has forced the Twins to promote him from High-A to Triple-A this season, following closely in the wake of Matthews. His aggressive approach on the mound and ability to generate swings and misses make him a potential asset for the big-league squad as they seek to bolster their pitching depth. Caleb Boushley, RHP Current Level: Triple-A Other names on this list are more exciting than Boushley. Still, his veteran status might be something the Twins are forced to rely on in the coming weeks. A right-handed pitcher with experience as both a starter and reliever in the minors, Boushley provides valuable flexibility. His ability to pitch multiple innings could be crucial in long relief roles, especially when the bullpen is taxed due to short outings by starters or extra-inning games. Additionally, Boushley’s consistent performance and ability to limit walks make him a potential option for spot starts or to fill in for injured pitchers. Brent Headrick, LHP Current Level: Triple-A Headrick is a left-handed pitcher who has been on the injured list since the season's first month. He has started working his way back by pitching in the instructional league, making him a potential second-half option. He was expected to impact the Twins’ roster this season, but his forearm issues have hindered his ability to return to action. His solid strikeout rates and low walk totals at the minor-league level suggest a readiness to contribute at the big-league level, potentially as a versatile arm in the bullpen or as a spot starter. Headrick's poise on the mound and ability to adapt could give the Twins a valuable depth option as they navigate the demands of a long season, if he proves to be asyptomatic as he rehabs. Marco Raya, RHP Current Level: Double-A Raya has been one of the organization’s top pitching prospects in recent years, known for his electric arm and advanced pitchability at a young age. His ability to generate high spin rates on his pitches adds to his potential, making him a strikeout threat (26.1 K% in 2024). Raya's poise and maturity on the mound are impressive for his age, and he has shown the ability to handle more advanced hitters as he progresses through the system. The Twins have been careful with his usage, limiting his innings and pitch counts. While he is still refining his command and building durability, his upside is significant. Cory Lewis, RHP Current Level: Double-A Last season, Twins Daily named Lewis the organization’s Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Year. He posted a 2.49 ERA with a 1.06 WHIP and 10.5 K/9 in over 100 innings between Low- and High-A. Lewis was sidelined to start the 2024 campaign due to a shoulder injury, but he has made nine appearances at Double-A since coming off the IL. What makes Lewis particularly intriguing is his feel for pitching and his ability to mix pitches effectively. With his polished approach and advanced understanding of how to attack hitters, Lewis has the potential to move quickly through the system and could eventually develop into a reliable middle-of-the-rotation starter for the Twins. Will the Twins need to rely on any of these arms before the season ends? Who is the next player to get the call? Which pitcher has the highest upside? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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Four young pitchers for the Twins are being thrust into more prominent roles due to injuries. How would these prospects rank if they were all still eligible for top prospect lists? Image courtesy of Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports The Minnesota Twins have cultivated a promising group of pitching prospects, each with unique strengths and developmental paths. Ranking them involves considering their present abilities and their potential to impact the major leagues in future years. Let's analyze David Festa, Zebby Matthews, Simeon Woods Richardson, and Louie Varland, ranking them based on current performance and potential ceiling. 1. David Festa (Age: 24) 2024 Performance: Festa is perhaps the most intriguing arm among the Twins' prospects due to his raw stuff. He boasts a mid-to-upper 90s fastball with impressive movement, paired with a sharp slider and a developing changeup. His strikeout numbers in the upper level of the minors have been impressive, but he still needs to refine his command and secondary pitches to reach his full potential. Over his last four appearances, he has allowed four earned runs in 17 2/3 innings with a 64% strike rate. Festa’s upside is significant, and he has the potential to be a top-of-the-rotation arm if he continues to develop. Out of this group, he has the highest ceiling, which puts him at the top of the list. 2. Zebby Matthews (Age: 24) 2024 Performance: Matthews is a wild card in this group, especially after his meteoric rise through the Twins system this year. An eighth-round draft pick, he has exceeded expectations, quickly rising through the lower levels of the minors. Matthews has a mid-90s fastball, a solid slider, and a changeup that he uses effectively against left-handers. His pitchability and competitive nature have helped him succeed at each level he’s been at. Many viewed Matthews as a back-of-the-rotation starter or a long reliever at the major league level, but his performance changed that narrative this season. He is a top-100 prospect and has a chance to impact the team during the division race, while his rapid development makes him an intriguing prospect to watch 3. Simeon Woods Richardson (Age: 23) 2024 Performance: Woods Richardson has been a highly regarded prospect since his days in the Toronto Blue Jays system. After coming to Minnesota in the José Berríos trade, he has continued developing into a potential middle-to-back-of-the-rotation starter. In 2023, Woods Richardson showed flashes of his potential and displayed the inconsistencies typical of young pitchers. He’s looked like a completely different pitcher this season by providing the Twins with over 100 innings of a 3.78 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP. However, there are still questions about whether or not he can sustain this performance in the long term. For now, he is proving to be a reliable starter in the big leagues. 4. Louie Varland (Age: 26) 2024 Performance: Varland has served in multiple roles with the Twins, showcasing his ability to compete at the highest level. His most significant issues have been his propensity for allowing home runs (2.1 HR/9 over the last two seasons) and his inability to put away batters when he gets to two strikes. Varland has the tools to be a solid mid-rotation starter. While his ceiling may not be as high as some of the other prospects on this list, Varland still has an opportunity to impact the Twins’ rotation this season because of injuries to other players. His long-term role might be in the bullpen, but Minnesota has to be thankful that he can continue to be used as a starter this season. The Twins’ farm system is rich with pitching talent, and while Woods Richardson and Varland started the year closer to the majors, Festa and Matthews rose through the system. Each of these pitchers has the potential to contribute to the Twins' rotation in the coming years. For Twins fans, the future looks bright on the mound. How would you rank these four players? Who has the highest ceiling? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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Rare are the seasons in which a pitcher climbs stepwise all the way from the Midwest League to the American League. How did Zebby Matthews become one of baseball's fastest-rising pitching prospects? Image courtesy of Rob Thompson, St. Paul Saints The Minnesota Twins have always prided themselves on developing homegrown talent, and their latest pitching gem, Zebby Matthews, is no exception. The young right-handed pitcher has been making waves throughout the organization, and his recent call-up to the big-league roster is a testament to his hard work, perseverance, and exceptional talent. Draft and Professional Debut When the Twins selected Matthews in the eighth round of the 2022 MLB Draft, he was relatively unknown to many baseball fans. A product of Western Carolina University, Matthews didn't have the same level of exposure as some of his peers from larger schools. However, what he lacked in fame, he more than made up for with his skill set and potential for development based in openness to change. From the moment Matthews stepped onto the field in the minor leagues, it was clear that the Twins had found a diamond in the rough. Minnesota had him get his feet wet after signing with the club in 2022, making two appearances with the organization’s affiliates in Fort Myers (FCL Twins, Fort Myers Mighty Mussels). Matthews made it through those appearances without allowing a run, and the Twins were already working on his mechanics to improve his velocity and pitch mix. Climbing the Organizational Ladder Matthews's journey through the minor leagues has been nothing short of meteoric. In Fort Myers, he posted a 2.56 ERA, with a 35.3 K% and a 3.3 BB%. Minnesota promoted him to Cedar Rapids after eight starts, and he faced older competition for the first time in his career. Matthews had one terrible start with the Kernels (8 ER in two-thirds of an inning), but settled in nicely with a 3.75 ERA and a .680 opponents OPS in his final 12 starts. In his first full season with the Twins organization, he posted impressive numbers across two levels, showcasing his ability to adapt and thrive against increasingly difficult competition. The Twins had Matthews begin the 2024 season at High-A, where he finished last season. In four starts, he dominated, with a 33.3 K% and no walks allowed. His performance in Double-A was particularly eye-catching. Facing some of the best young hitters in the game, Matthews maintained an ERA under 2.00 and consistently racked up strikeouts (30.1 K%) while limiting walks (2.9 BB%). His ability to command the strike zone and keep hitters off-balance with his off-speed pitches was critical to his success. By the time Matthews reached Triple-A, there was little doubt he was on the cusp of something special. Despite the higher level of competition, he continued to overwhelm hitters, with a 28.4 K%. He only made four starts for the Saints after being promoted near the middle of July. It was clear from that point that Minnesota was letting him get a taste of the organization’s highest minor-league level before getting his big-league call-up. Pitching Arsenal and Future His fastball sits comfortably in the mid-90s, but he can occasionally amp it up to the high 90s. Matthews relies on an upper-80s slider to generate swings and misses (43.9 Whiff%). Additionally, his cutter is an average pitch that sits in the low 90s. He mixes in a curveball and a changeup to keep batters guessing. His poise on the mound and his ability to mix pitches effectively made him a standout prospect in a farm system that has been forced to rely on multiple rookie pitchers this season. As the Twins gear up for a playoff push, the addition of Matthews to the pitching staff could be a game-changer. His presence gives the team another weapon in what has already been a strong rotation filled with young starters. Fans of the Twins have every reason to be excited about Matthews. He represents the next wave of young talent that will help define the franchise's future, and if his minor-league success is any indication, the future is bright, indeed. What stands out about his minor-league résumé? What are Matthews's realistic expectations as he gets his first taste of the majors? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
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Minnesota Twins Prospect Retrospective: Zebby Matthews
Cody Christie posted an article in Minor Leagues
The Minnesota Twins have always prided themselves on developing homegrown talent, and their latest pitching gem, Zebby Matthews, is no exception. The young right-handed pitcher has been making waves throughout the organization, and his recent call-up to the big-league roster is a testament to his hard work, perseverance, and exceptional talent. Draft and Professional Debut When the Twins selected Matthews in the eighth round of the 2022 MLB Draft, he was relatively unknown to many baseball fans. A product of Western Carolina University, Matthews didn't have the same level of exposure as some of his peers from larger schools. However, what he lacked in fame, he more than made up for with his skill set and potential for development based in openness to change. From the moment Matthews stepped onto the field in the minor leagues, it was clear that the Twins had found a diamond in the rough. Minnesota had him get his feet wet after signing with the club in 2022, making two appearances with the organization’s affiliates in Fort Myers (FCL Twins, Fort Myers Mighty Mussels). Matthews made it through those appearances without allowing a run, and the Twins were already working on his mechanics to improve his velocity and pitch mix. Climbing the Organizational Ladder Matthews's journey through the minor leagues has been nothing short of meteoric. In Fort Myers, he posted a 2.56 ERA, with a 35.3 K% and a 3.3 BB%. Minnesota promoted him to Cedar Rapids after eight starts, and he faced older competition for the first time in his career. Matthews had one terrible start with the Kernels (8 ER in two-thirds of an inning), but settled in nicely with a 3.75 ERA and a .680 opponents OPS in his final 12 starts. In his first full season with the Twins organization, he posted impressive numbers across two levels, showcasing his ability to adapt and thrive against increasingly difficult competition. The Twins had Matthews begin the 2024 season at High-A, where he finished last season. In four starts, he dominated, with a 33.3 K% and no walks allowed. His performance in Double-A was particularly eye-catching. Facing some of the best young hitters in the game, Matthews maintained an ERA under 2.00 and consistently racked up strikeouts (30.1 K%) while limiting walks (2.9 BB%). His ability to command the strike zone and keep hitters off-balance with his off-speed pitches was critical to his success. By the time Matthews reached Triple-A, there was little doubt he was on the cusp of something special. Despite the higher level of competition, he continued to overwhelm hitters, with a 28.4 K%. He only made four starts for the Saints after being promoted near the middle of July. It was clear from that point that Minnesota was letting him get a taste of the organization’s highest minor-league level before getting his big-league call-up. Pitching Arsenal and Future His fastball sits comfortably in the mid-90s, but he can occasionally amp it up to the high 90s. Matthews relies on an upper-80s slider to generate swings and misses (43.9 Whiff%). Additionally, his cutter is an average pitch that sits in the low 90s. He mixes in a curveball and a changeup to keep batters guessing. His poise on the mound and his ability to mix pitches effectively made him a standout prospect in a farm system that has been forced to rely on multiple rookie pitchers this season. As the Twins gear up for a playoff push, the addition of Matthews to the pitching staff could be a game-changer. His presence gives the team another weapon in what has already been a strong rotation filled with young starters. Fans of the Twins have every reason to be excited about Matthews. He represents the next wave of young talent that will help define the franchise's future, and if his minor-league success is any indication, the future is bright, indeed. What stands out about his minor-league résumé? What are Matthews's realistic expectations as he gets his first taste of the majors? Leave a comment and start the discussion. -
Rumors swirled about the Twins needing a left-handed reliever at the trade deadline. Caleb Thielbar showed signs of improvement in recent weeks before a poor performance on Sunday. Can the Twins trust him? Image courtesy of Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports As the MLB trade deadline passed on July 30th, the Minnesota Twins made headlines for their inactivity. The Twins stood pat despite speculation and the apparent need to bolster their bullpen, particularly with a left-handed relief pitcher. Many fans wondered how the team would address its late-game pitching challenges as the season progressed. However, one player’s performance was trending in the right direction. That player is Caleb Thielbar. A Season of Ups and Downs Caleb Thielbar has struggled through much of the 2024 campaign before recently showing some signs of improvement. After dealing with some early-season oblique injury, Thielbar attempted to rediscover the pitching arsenal that previously made him one of the team’s best left-handed relievers. Thielbar, now 37, isn’t new to the big leagues. His career began with the Twins in 2013 and has been a tale of perseverance and adaptation. After a few years bouncing between the majors and minors and even spending time in independent baseball, Thielbar rejoined the Twins in 2020, where he found moderate success. But 2024 has been a different story. Thielbar's significant issues this season are tied to his command. His walk rate jumped from 5.0 BB% last season to 9.5 BB% in 2024. His strikeout rate has dropped by nearly 5% as batters can lay off some of his offerings and get ahead in the count. Batters are barreling up the ball against him at the highest percentage of his career. The curveball, which has always been Thielbar’s go-to pitch, has seen an uptick in effectiveness this year. Opponents are hitting just .136 against the pitch, and it has become a reliable weapon for getting out of tough jams. Batters have accumulated a 44.0 Whiff% versus his curveball, a 6.5% jump from last season. His fastball has caused the most issues. In 2023, he held batters to a .197 BA against his four seamer, which has jumped above .300 during the current campaign. Entering play on Sunday, Thielbar made some strategic changes to make his fastball more effective. He dropped the usage of his four seamer by 8.0% and started using his curveball more regularly (+5.5%). He was also using them more regularly on his arm side and up in the zone. This location helps his curveball to be more effective because batters see the pitches coming in on a similar plan and have a more challenging time adjusting to the offspeed offering. Since that adjustment, he allowed five earned runs across 16.0 innings (2.81 ERA) while holding batters to a .562 OPS. Filling the Void When the trade deadline passed without the Twins acquiring any bullpen help, it was clear that the front office had confidence in their existing roster, particularly in Thielbar. While it was a gamble, given his inconsistency earlier in the season, Thielbar’s shown the ability to make in-season adjustments. He must take on a more prominent role, providing the stability and reliability the Twins desperately needed from the left side. His impact extends beyond just statistics. Thielbar has become a veteran presence in the clubhouse, mentoring younger pitchers and helping to guide the team through the ups and downs of a long season. His experience and leadership have been invaluable, particularly in the stressful post-deadline stretch where every game counts. In a season full of surprises, Caleb Thielbar has the potential to be one of the team’s best stories, and his contributions will be a critical factor in their pursuit of a division title and beyond. Has Thielbar convinced the team that he can be a reliable left-handed option in late-inning situations? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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The Twins farm system is rising on national rankings, giving even more attention to the team’s top prospects. Here are two names to watch over the next calendar year, as they begin to crack into national top-100 lists. Image courtesy of William Parmeter Minnesota’s front office has been criticized for their lack of moves at the trade deadline. However, hanging onto top prospects can pay dividends for an organization’s future. The Twins are attempting to keep their winning window open for as long as possible, and trading away key prospects for rental players is a strategy that rarely results in long-term winning. Only one team can hoist the World Series trophy at the season’s end, and every team has a chance to win in October. The Twins have one of baseball’s best farm systems, especially after retaining the team’s top prospects at the deadline. Many of their highest-ranked names are already considered top-100 prospects (or are borderline), including Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, Luke Keaschall, and Zebby Matthews. Both players below—marked by their distinctive strengths and undeniable potential—represent a potential cornerstone for the Twins. As they inch closer to the major leagues, the excitement around their development grows, making it clear that their names will soon grace the top of the prospect charts. Charlee Soto, RHP Current TD Prospect Rank: 8 The Twins drafted Soto with the 34th overall pick in the 2023 MLB Draft out of a high school in Florida. Minnesota’s current front office has tended to shy away from high-school pitchers in the high-priced ranges of the Draft, because of the volatility of this player type. The team showed confidence in Soto by pushing him in 2024. He didn’t make his professional debut until this season, and the Twins sent him to the Florida State League, where he is over four years younger than the average age of the competition. Soto started the year slowly as he adjusted to pro ball, with a 7.31 ERA, and opponents compiled a .934 OPS against him in ten starts. He’s settled in nicely over his last six appearances, though, with a 3.07 ERA, .532 OPS allowed, and 32 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings. Soto is doing a better job at throwing strikes regularly (71.1 K% in his last four starts), allowing him to avoid some of the big innings that haunted him early in the season. His five-pitch mix and high velocity make him one of baseball’s most intriguing pitching prospects. Andrew Morris, RHP Current TD Prospect Rank: 11 Minnesota took Morris with their fourth-round pick in 2022, from Texas Tech University. He was the second college pitcher the Twins took in that draft (after Connor Prielipp), and moved swiftly through the organization. Last season, he combined for 84 1/3 innings at Low- and High-A with a 2.88 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Minnesota sent him back to the Midwest League to start the 2024 season, and he posted video-game numbers in seven starts, allowing nine runs in 37 2/3 innings and improving his strikeout rate to 10.3 per nine frames. He’s continued to pitch well at Double-A, with a 1.90 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9 in 61 2/3 innings. Nearly two-thirds of his at-bats have come against older batters, whom he has held to a .487 OPS. His fastball comes from a unique angle, making it challenging for batters to pick up out of his hand. He can regularly hit in the mid-to-high 90s with his fastball, which has good movement. His slider is a strikeout weapon, and his curveball and changeup can also be used to keep batters off-balance. He has shown an ability to throw strikes, and his strikeout totals have increased this season. Morris has a chance to be next season’s David Festa. Morris and Soto are at different places in their prospect journeys. Morris will likely pitch at Double- and Triple-A next season, before making his big-league debut. Soto has multiple levels left at which to find success before reaching Target Field. Both players showcase how the Twins drafting and development process can lead to long-term success. Which Twins farm hands have a chance to be top-100 prospects in the second half of next season? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article
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Minnesota’s front office has been criticized for their lack of moves at the trade deadline. However, hanging onto top prospects can pay dividends for an organization’s future. The Twins are attempting to keep their winning window open for as long as possible, and trading away key prospects for rental players is a strategy that rarely results in long-term winning. Only one team can hoist the World Series trophy at the season’s end, and every team has a chance to win in October. The Twins have one of baseball’s best farm systems, especially after retaining the team’s top prospects at the deadline. Many of their highest-ranked names are already considered top-100 prospects (or are borderline), including Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, Luke Keaschall, and Zebby Matthews. Both players below—marked by their distinctive strengths and undeniable potential—represent a potential cornerstone for the Twins. As they inch closer to the major leagues, the excitement around their development grows, making it clear that their names will soon grace the top of the prospect charts. Charlee Soto, RHP Current TD Prospect Rank: 8 The Twins drafted Soto with the 34th overall pick in the 2023 MLB Draft out of a high school in Florida. Minnesota’s current front office has tended to shy away from high-school pitchers in the high-priced ranges of the Draft, because of the volatility of this player type. The team showed confidence in Soto by pushing him in 2024. He didn’t make his professional debut until this season, and the Twins sent him to the Florida State League, where he is over four years younger than the average age of the competition. Soto started the year slowly as he adjusted to pro ball, with a 7.31 ERA, and opponents compiled a .934 OPS against him in ten starts. He’s settled in nicely over his last six appearances, though, with a 3.07 ERA, .532 OPS allowed, and 32 strikeouts in 29 1/3 innings. Soto is doing a better job at throwing strikes regularly (71.1 K% in his last four starts), allowing him to avoid some of the big innings that haunted him early in the season. His five-pitch mix and high velocity make him one of baseball’s most intriguing pitching prospects. Andrew Morris, RHP Current TD Prospect Rank: 11 Minnesota took Morris with their fourth-round pick in 2022, from Texas Tech University. He was the second college pitcher the Twins took in that draft (after Connor Prielipp), and moved swiftly through the organization. Last season, he combined for 84 1/3 innings at Low- and High-A with a 2.88 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Minnesota sent him back to the Midwest League to start the 2024 season, and he posted video-game numbers in seven starts, allowing nine runs in 37 2/3 innings and improving his strikeout rate to 10.3 per nine frames. He’s continued to pitch well at Double-A, with a 1.90 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and 9.2 K/9 in 61 2/3 innings. Nearly two-thirds of his at-bats have come against older batters, whom he has held to a .487 OPS. His fastball comes from a unique angle, making it challenging for batters to pick up out of his hand. He can regularly hit in the mid-to-high 90s with his fastball, which has good movement. His slider is a strikeout weapon, and his curveball and changeup can also be used to keep batters off-balance. He has shown an ability to throw strikes, and his strikeout totals have increased this season. Morris has a chance to be next season’s David Festa. Morris and Soto are at different places in their prospect journeys. Morris will likely pitch at Double- and Triple-A next season, before making his big-league debut. Soto has multiple levels left at which to find success before reaching Target Field. Both players showcase how the Twins drafting and development process can lead to long-term success. Which Twins farm hands have a chance to be top-100 prospects in the second half of next season? Leave a comment and start the discussion.
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Minnesota’s front office was put into a difficult situation this winter, with ownership requiring the club to drop payroll by $30 million. To make significant additions, Derek Falvey and Thad Levine were forced to be creative in finding a trade that would give the team some salary relief. Enter the Seattle Mariners, who were looking for veteran players to reach the playoffs after narrowly missing out on last year’s postseason. The Twins sent IF Jorge Polanco to the Mariners for a package that included RHP Anthony DeSclafani, RHP Justin Topa, and prospects Gabriel Gonzalez (OF) and Darren Bowen (RHP). Minnesota had depth at second base and needed pitching depth. This trade represents a strategic pivot for both teams, addressing specific needs while adding depth and potential future stars. Here's an analysis of each side’s gains and losses: Minnesota Twins Acquisitions Gabriel Gonzalez (OF) Pros: Gonzalez is a highly touted prospect with a promising bat and potential for significant impact. His combination of power and speed makes him an intriguing addition to the Twins' system. If he develops as expected, he could be a key piece for the future. From Minnesota’s perspective, he was the key piece in the trade because of his potential long-term value. Cons: He is still raw, and a lot can impact a top prospect on their way to the big leagues. He’s struggled in his first season in the Twins organization with a .711 OPS in 53 games at High-A. Most of his power came in the first month of the season when he had 10 of his 18 extra-base hits. His struggles this season have caused him to drop on Twins prospect rankings. Justin Topa (RHP) Pros: Topa was supposed to provide immediate bullpen depth. He’s shown the ability to handle high-pressure situations and could offer stability to the Twins' relief corps. Minnesota needs him to add depth to the bullpen for the stretch run. Cons: Unfortunately, Topa suffered a knee injury during spring training that will likely require surgery. However, he has been pulled off his recent rehab and there is no guarantee he will join the team’s bullpen for the stretch run. His performance has been inconsistent in the past, so the Twins hope he can pitch through his knee issues. Darren Bowen (RHP) Pros: Bowen brings a live arm and the potential to be a future asset, whether he is a starter or reliever. He posted a 13.8 K/9 in his final collegiate season in a relief role. Cons: His control issues may lead to some growing pains. Most of his innings have come as a starter during his pro career. He’s started 14 games for Cedar Rapids this season with a 5.90 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and 8.5 K/9. Anthony DeSclafani (RHP) Pros: DeSclafani was supposed to bring a veteran presence to the back of the Twins' rotation. Cons: DeSclafani has faced injury challenges in the past, which has continued with the Twins. He will never throw a pitch in Minnesota after undergoing season-ending surgery to repair the flexor tendon in his right (pitching) arm. Seattle Mariners Trade Acquisitions Jorge Polanco (IF) Pros: Polanco adds a proven bat to the Mariners' infield. He’s a switch-hitter with a solid track record of offensive production and can provide stability and experience. His versatility allows him to play multiple infield positions, which adds depth to the Mariners' roster. Cons: Polanco’s injury history was a concern, and his defensive metrics have been somewhat inconsistent. He has hit .207/.291/.338 (.629) with an 85 OPS+ in 78 games. Polanco has a $12 million team option for next season that likely won’t be picked up by the Mariners. For the Minnesota Twins, this trade was a move towards building for the future while also shedding salary. Adding Gonzalez and Bowen provides them with potential long-term assets that could develop into key contributors. Topa gives them bullpen help in his return from the injured list. The Twins are banking on the growth of young talent, while the Mariners are seeking a veteran addition for the near term. Seattle is getting little value from Polanco, so the Twins might be the long-term winners of this trade. Which team won this trade? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.
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Last winter, the Twins sent Jorge Polanco to the Seattle Mariners in a deal meant to help both teams. With two months left in the season, can either team be declared the winner of this trade? Image courtesy of Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports Minnesota’s front office was put into a difficult situation this winter, with ownership requiring the club to drop payroll by $30 million. To make significant additions, Derek Falvey and Thad Levine were forced to be creative in finding a trade that would give the team some salary relief. Enter the Seattle Mariners, who were looking for veteran players to reach the playoffs after narrowly missing out on last year’s postseason. The Twins sent IF Jorge Polanco to the Mariners for a package that included RHP Anthony DeSclafani, RHP Justin Topa, and prospects Gabriel Gonzalez (OF) and Darren Bowen (RHP). Minnesota had depth at second base and needed pitching depth. This trade represents a strategic pivot for both teams, addressing specific needs while adding depth and potential future stars. Here's an analysis of each side’s gains and losses: Minnesota Twins Acquisitions Gabriel Gonzalez (OF) Pros: Gonzalez is a highly touted prospect with a promising bat and potential for significant impact. His combination of power and speed makes him an intriguing addition to the Twins' system. If he develops as expected, he could be a key piece for the future. From Minnesota’s perspective, he was the key piece in the trade because of his potential long-term value. Cons: He is still raw, and a lot can impact a top prospect on their way to the big leagues. He’s struggled in his first season in the Twins organization with a .711 OPS in 53 games at High-A. Most of his power came in the first month of the season when he had 10 of his 18 extra-base hits. His struggles this season have caused him to drop on Twins prospect rankings. Justin Topa (RHP) Pros: Topa was supposed to provide immediate bullpen depth. He’s shown the ability to handle high-pressure situations and could offer stability to the Twins' relief corps. Minnesota needs him to add depth to the bullpen for the stretch run. Cons: Unfortunately, Topa suffered a knee injury during spring training that will likely require surgery. However, he has shown an ability to pitch through the injury on his recent rehab and will rejoin the team’s bullpen for the stretch run. His performance has been inconsistent in the past, so the Twins hope he can pitch through his knee issues. Darren Bowen (RHP) Pros: Bowen brings a live arm and the potential to be a future asset, whether he is a starter or reliever. He posted a 13.8 K/9 in his final collegiate season in a relief role. Cons: His control issues may lead to some growing pains. Most of his innings have come as a starter during his pro career. He’s started 14 games for Cedar Rapids this season with a 5.90 ERA, a 1.35 WHIP, and 8.5 K/9. Anthony DeSclafani (RHP) Pros: DeSclafani was supposed to bring a veteran presence to the back of the Twins' rotation. Cons: DeSclafani has faced injury challenges in the past, which has continued with the Twins. He will never throw a pitch in Minnesota after undergoing season-ending surgery to repair the flexor tendon in his right (pitching) arm. Seattle Mariners Trade Acquisitions Jorge Polanco (IF) Pros: Polanco adds a proven bat to the Mariners' infield. He’s a switch-hitter with a solid track record of offensive production and can provide stability and experience. His versatility allows him to play multiple infield positions, which adds depth to the Mariners' roster. Cons: Polanco’s injury history was a concern, and his defensive metrics have been somewhat inconsistent. He has hit .207/.291/.338 (.629) with an 85 OPS+ in 78 games. Polanco has a $12 million team option for next season that likely won’t be picked up by the Mariners. For the Minnesota Twins, this trade was a move towards building for the future while also shedding salary. Adding Gonzalez and Bowen provides them with potential long-term assets that could develop into key contributors. Topa gives them bullpen help in his return from the injured list. The Twins are banking on the growth of young talent, while the Mariners are seeking a veteran addition for the near term. Seattle is getting little value from Polanco, so the Twins might be the long-term winners of this trade. Which team won this trade? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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The Twins are in the middle of the season’s most important games, and their starting rotation was just dealt a scary blow. Which players can step up in Ryan's prospective absence, and which need to be managed carefully? Image courtesy of Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports As the Minnesota Twins navigate the second half of the MLB season, the team faces critical challenges concerning player workload management. With the intensity of late-summer games ramping up, several vital players grapple with the physical and mental strains of a long, grueling schedule. Balancing performance with preservation becomes crucial, as the team aims to maintain its competitive edge while avoiding injuries and burnout. Ensuring that the right players are fresh and ready for pivotal moments will be a delicate dance for the Twins’ coaching staff and medical team. Among the players under the microscope are some standout performers, who have been shouldering heavy loads on the mound and the field. For pitchers, the high number of innings pitched and the frequency of appearances could lead to fatigue or strain. Position players, too, are at risk, as extended playtime can lead to wear and tear. Managing these workload concerns effectively will be essential, not only for the team’s immediate success, but also for sustaining their performance through the crucial stretch of the season. Each of these guys fills a role that will not be easily replaced if they land on the injured list, especially if Joe Ryan has to be shelved in the wake of his injury Wednesday. Therefore, it's important to be proactive in their maintenance. Simeon Woods Richardson, SP Woods Richardson is a rookie getting his first extended taste of the big leagues, saving the back half of the Twins’ rotation. Like many young pitchers, there is a balancing act between getting a solid on-field performance while managing workload. In his professional career, his career high in innings pitched was last season, when he finished the year with 118 1/3 innings. So far, in 2024, he has accumulated 108 2/3 innings in his 22 starts between the MLB and Triple-A levels. His last two starts have made him look a little more human, as he allowed nine earned runs while failing to pitch more than four innings in either appearance. Minnesota may need to give him extra time off, as his innings count continues to rise. That just got harder to finagle, though. David Festa, SP Like Woods Richardson, Festa is a rookie starting pitcher getting a chance at the MLB level. In his professional career, there has only been one season where he passed the 100-inning threshold, and that was two seasons ago. In 2024, he's pitched 60 1/3 innings at Triple-A and 24 1/3 innings with the Twins. Last season, he tossed 92 1/3 innings between Double- and Triple-A, so he’s getting close to that mark. The Twins didn’t add starting pitching depth at the trade deadline. Instead, the club will be forced to rely on internal options like Festa. His presence is even more critical to the rotation with questions about whether or not Chris Paddack will be able to return this season. Festa’s last start against the Cubs was the best of his career, and the Twins hope to see more of that from him down the stretch. If Ryan's injury turns out to be severe, Festa would be in position to make a playoff start--but that means keeping some starts short down the stretch, so he still has some bullets left come October. Ryan Jeffers, C The Twins try to walk a fine line with their catching duo, to keep them healthy and performing at the highest level. Jeffers started the season as one of the AL’s best hitters, before a midseason slump that impacted his overall numbers. There have been a few, scattered positive signs, but he has a measly .527 OPS in his first 13 games of the second half. Jeffers is on pace to play over 100 games for the first time in his career, after playing a career-high 96 games last year. The Twins have given him more time at DH this season to try and keep his bat in the line-up. Minnesota will continue to use their catching rotation, but it will be critical for Jeffers to rediscover the offensive approach that made him so successful in the season’s early months. What other Twins players have workload concerns? Which player above will be watched most closely by the team? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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In Wake of Joe Ryan Injury, Which Other Twins Carry Workload Concerns?
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
As the Minnesota Twins navigate the second half of the MLB season, the team faces critical challenges concerning player workload management. With the intensity of late-summer games ramping up, several vital players grapple with the physical and mental strains of a long, grueling schedule. Balancing performance with preservation becomes crucial, as the team aims to maintain its competitive edge while avoiding injuries and burnout. Ensuring that the right players are fresh and ready for pivotal moments will be a delicate dance for the Twins’ coaching staff and medical team. Among the players under the microscope are some standout performers, who have been shouldering heavy loads on the mound and the field. For pitchers, the high number of innings pitched and the frequency of appearances could lead to fatigue or strain. Position players, too, are at risk, as extended playtime can lead to wear and tear. Managing these workload concerns effectively will be essential, not only for the team’s immediate success, but also for sustaining their performance through the crucial stretch of the season. Each of these guys fills a role that will not be easily replaced if they land on the injured list, especially if Joe Ryan has to be shelved in the wake of his injury Wednesday. Therefore, it's important to be proactive in their maintenance. Simeon Woods Richardson, SP Woods Richardson is a rookie getting his first extended taste of the big leagues, saving the back half of the Twins’ rotation. Like many young pitchers, there is a balancing act between getting a solid on-field performance while managing workload. In his professional career, his career high in innings pitched was last season, when he finished the year with 118 1/3 innings. So far, in 2024, he has accumulated 108 2/3 innings in his 22 starts between the MLB and Triple-A levels. His last two starts have made him look a little more human, as he allowed nine earned runs while failing to pitch more than four innings in either appearance. Minnesota may need to give him extra time off, as his innings count continues to rise. That just got harder to finagle, though. David Festa, SP Like Woods Richardson, Festa is a rookie starting pitcher getting a chance at the MLB level. In his professional career, there has only been one season where he passed the 100-inning threshold, and that was two seasons ago. In 2024, he's pitched 60 1/3 innings at Triple-A and 24 1/3 innings with the Twins. Last season, he tossed 92 1/3 innings between Double- and Triple-A, so he’s getting close to that mark. The Twins didn’t add starting pitching depth at the trade deadline. Instead, the club will be forced to rely on internal options like Festa. His presence is even more critical to the rotation with questions about whether or not Chris Paddack will be able to return this season. Festa’s last start against the Cubs was the best of his career, and the Twins hope to see more of that from him down the stretch. If Ryan's injury turns out to be severe, Festa would be in position to make a playoff start--but that means keeping some starts short down the stretch, so he still has some bullets left come October. Ryan Jeffers, C The Twins try to walk a fine line with their catching duo, to keep them healthy and performing at the highest level. Jeffers started the season as one of the AL’s best hitters, before a midseason slump that impacted his overall numbers. There have been a few, scattered positive signs, but he has a measly .527 OPS in his first 13 games of the second half. Jeffers is on pace to play over 100 games for the first time in his career, after playing a career-high 96 games last year. The Twins have given him more time at DH this season to try and keep his bat in the line-up. Minnesota will continue to use their catching rotation, but it will be critical for Jeffers to rediscover the offensive approach that made him so successful in the season’s early months. What other Twins players have workload concerns? Which player above will be watched most closely by the team? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.- 73 comments
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Updated Injury Return Timelines for Carlos Correa, Other Key Twins
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
The Twins added one middle relief pitcher (Trevor Richards) at the trade deadline, forcing the team to rely on internal options for the stretch run. Are any key players nearing a return? What players will be expected to step in if extended injury timelines exist? Let’s examine the team’s roster and the organizational depth chart. Carlos Correa, SS Injury: Plantar fasciitis The Twins placed Correa on the 10-day IL on Jul. 20, as he deals with plantar fasciitis in his right heel. Last season, his left heel had the same injury, significantly impacting his performance. He had a platelet-rich plasma (PRP) injection to help with the injury. Correa has started to ramp up his baseball activities by working in the batting cages, running on the field, and taking ground balls. His next steps are to attempt to sprint without pain. The Twins plan to send Correa on a short rehab assignment to ensure his timing is back before returning to the big-league level. Brooks Lee and Willi Castro have filled in for Correa at shortstop in his absence. Return Timeline: Mid-to-Late August Brock Stewart, RHP Injury: Right shoulder strain In his most recent return from the IL, Stewart was limited to two appearances. He struggled in those outings and was placed back on the IL with a recurrence of the right shoulder issue that caused him to miss nearly three months. Stewart has been one of the AL’s most dominant relief pitchers when healthy. However, he has been limited to fewer than 16 innings this season. There is a chance that his season is done, but the Twins will likely try to ramp him up in a few weeks to see what his shoulder can endure. Minnesota has made it through most of the season without Stewart, as Griffin Jax and Jorge Alcalá have filled his late-inning role. Return Timeline: Potentially Mid-to-Late September Kody Funderburk, LHP Injury: Left oblique strain Funderburk has been on the IL since Jul. 21, after he felt his oblique bother him while playing catch. He told reporters the expected timeline for his injury was six to eight weeks. Caleb Thielbar and Steven Okert have been the team’s main left-handed bullpen options. Minnesota was rumored to be in the market for a lefty at the trade deadline, but added Richards, a righty with reverse splits, instead. Minnesota needs more bullpen depth, and Funderburk will get an opportunity before the season ends. Return Timeline: Late September Chris Paddack, RHP Injury: Right forearm strain Paddack was expected to be the veteran at the back of the rotation, but injuries have impacted his return from his second Tommy John surgery. He was placed on the IL after feeling tightness in his elbow while throwing during the All-Star break. In early July, he missed time with a dead arm and shoulder fatigue. Young pitchers like Simeon Woods Richardson and David Festa have stepped into the rotation in Paddack’s absence. There are no guarantees that Paddack will pitch again this season, and it might need to be in a bullpen role. Return Timeline: Potentially Mid-to-Late September Kyle Farmer, IF Injury: Right shoulder strain Farmer dealt with a shoulder issue throughout much of the first half, before being placed on the IL on Jul. 11. His offensive performance was greatly impacted in the first half, so getting him fully healthy might help the team for the stretch run. The Twins have used other players around the infield, like Lee, Castro, and José Miranda. He's already on a rehab assignment with Triple-A St. Paul, so expect Farmer back soon. Return Timeline: Mid-August Justin Topa, RHP Injury: Left patellar tendinitis Topa is on the brink of returning to the Twins. He’s made multiple successful rehab appearances with the Saints. He is pitching through a partial tear of a muscle in his knee that could require surgery in the future. Last season, he was a critical late-inning bullpen option for the Mariners, so he could be one of the key reasons the Twins didn’t overpay for a reliever at the trade deadline. Return Timeline: Early August Which player will return from injury first? Which injury return will significantly impact the roster for the stretch run? Leave a comment and start the discussion.- 24 comments
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- carlos correa
- justin topa
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Randy Dobnak Has Beaten the Odds to Make it to the Twins... Twice, Now
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
Randy Dobnak's high-school career in Pennsylvania didn’t necessarily scream “future MLB player.” He wasn’t heavily recruited to play college ball, and went undrafted after graduating. Instead of taking a direct path to professional baseball, Dobnak took the road less traveled. Dobnak attended Alderson Broaddus University, a small school in West Virginia. In four seasons, he posted a 2.61 ERA, with a 1.17 WHIP and a 284-to-79 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 272 1/3 innings. His collegiate career was solid, but being at a small school made it even less likely that he’d be on the radar of major-league scouts. He wasn’t selected in the MLB Draft; some players would likely hang up their cleats and find a job outside the sports world at that point. Instead, in 2017, Dobnak signed with the Frontier League’s Schaumburg Boomers, a low-level independent league team. He was working part-time jobs to support himself, including his famous gig as an Uber driver. His dedication and strong performances on the mound did not go unnoticed, though. The Minnesota Twins signed him to a minor-league contract after he allowed nine earned runs in 35 innings (2.31 ERA) for Schaumburg. Dobnak’s performance in the minors was impressive. He quickly ascended through the Twins’ system, showcasing an effective blend of control, grit, and a unique demeanor on the mound. He pitched the entire 2018 season in Cedar Rapids, where he posted a 3.14 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP. Dobnak’s 2019 season seemed like a movie plot. He began the year at High-A and finished the season starting a playoff game for the Twins at Yankee Stadium. It was the first of his unlikely trips to the big leagues. He pitched admirably in his first two seasons in the majors, with a 3.12 ERA in 19 appearances, including 15 starts. Entering the 2021 season, the Twins signed Dobnak to a unique contract extension to buy out his arbitration-eligible years and give Minnesota more years of team control. In March 2021, Dobnak agreed to a five-year, $9.25 million contract extension, with three club options. The deal had a chance to max out at $29.75 million, with the options having escalators associated with them. This contract was seen as an investment in Dobnak's potential, reflecting the Twins' belief in his future contributions. It also provided Dobnak with financial security and an opportunity to prove himself over several seasons. The structure of the deal was relatively rare for a player with Dobnak's experience level at the time, making it a noteworthy example of how teams and players can negotiate creative contract terms. However, since signing that deal, health has greatly impacted Dobnak’s performance, to the point where he likely didn’t know if he’d be back at the big-league level at all. Dobnak has had issues with a finger injury in recent seasons. Specifically, he’s dealt with a right middle finger injury that has significantly impacted his performance and availability. He’s had multiple surgeries and been forced to reinvent himself as a pitcher, with a new pitch mix. This injury, which affected his grip and control on the mound, led to a series of struggles with both effectiveness and health. The injury first became a notable issue during the 2021 season and has persisted, affecting his ability to contribute consistently. Finger injuries for pitchers are particularly challenging, because so much of the craft lies in their positioning, strength, and delicate pressure adjustments that happen right at the fingertips, right at release. For Dobnak, this has meant a series of rehab stints and overhauls, which have unfortunately hampered his ability to return to his previous form. Dobnak likely thought he’d be relegated to a Triple-A role for the remainder of his professional career. He settled into the Saints' rotation this season, but his performance made it tough for the Twins to ignore him. In his last 15 Triple-A appearances, he posted a 2.80 ERA while holding batters to a .371 SLG in 74 innings. These totals are even more impressive considering the inflated offensive environment in the International League. Minnesota needed pitching depth, and Dobnak was the next man up on the organization’s depth chart. Dobnak hasn’t found success around every corner. He's had to seek it out, over and over. He embodies the narrative of hard work paying off, against the odds. His story resonates as an inspiring example of how determination, combined with a bit of luck and opportunity, can lead to achieving dreams that seemed out of reach. -
3 Questions Facing the Minnesota Twins Following the Trade Deadline
Cody Christie posted an article in Twins
As the dust settles from the MLB trade deadline, the Minnesota Twins find themselves at a critical juncture. With a mix of veteran talent and young potential, the Twins are eyeing a postseason run. However, several questions loom as they navigate the season's final stretch. Here, we delve into three pressing concerns for the Twins: the durability of their rotation, the reliability of their bullpen, and the health of their lineup. Can the Rotation Hold Up? The success of the Twins’ season hinges significantly on the performance of their starting rotation. That group, a blend of seasoned veterans and promising newcomers, has shown flashes of brilliance and moments of vulnerability. At the forefront is Pablo López, the staff ace since being acquired from Miami. Joe Ryan and Bailey Ober are the two pitchers who would currently round out the top of the team’s expected playoff rotation. However, there are question marks behind that trio, and many games remaining in the season. Simeon Woods Richardson has performed admirably during his rookie season, and David Festa has seen some positive results in limited action. At Triple-A, Louie Varland and Zebby Matthews are next on the depth chart if another injury occurs. Minnesota failed to acquire any splashy starting pitching at the deadline, instead relying on internal depth. This decision places added pressure on the current rotation to stay healthy and effective. However, banking on unproven talent in a playoff race is a risky proposition. The rotation’s ability to hold up under the strain of a pennant chase will be crucial to the Twins’ postseason aspirations. Does the Bullpen Have Enough High-Leverage Arms? The Twins' bullpen is another area of both promise and concern. The relief corps has been a mix of dominant performances and frustrating inconsistency throughout the season. Jhoan Durán, with his triple-digit fastball and wicked offspeed offerings, has even shown some cracks in his armor. However, the bullpen must have more than one high-leverage arm. Griffin Jax and Jorge Alcalá have been reliable options, but beyond them, the bullpen depth becomes murky. Cole Sands has been the pleasant surprise. Caleb Thielbar and Steven Okert have shown flashes, but have struggled with control and consistency. The deadline acquisition of middle reliever Trevor Richards provided depth, but did not address the need for additional high-leverage arms. In the pennant race, reliable bullpen arms are essential. The Twins will need their bullpen to step up, especially in close games where one mistake can be the difference between victory and defeat. Manager Rocco Baldelli’s ability to manage and deploy his bullpen effectively will be scrutinized. The question remains whether the current bullpen configuration has enough firepower to navigate the intense pressure of playoff-caliber games. Can the Lineup Stay Healthy? When fully healthy, the Twins’ lineup boasts a potent mix of power and speed. Byron Buxton, Carlos Correa, and Royce Lewis are the linchpins, providing dynamic offense and solid defense. However, this trio of players has struggled with injuries in the past, and their ability to stay on the field is paramount to the Twins’ success. Buxton, in particular, is a game-changer when healthy. His combination of speed, power, and defensive prowess makes him one of the most exciting players in the league. However, his injury history is in the back of every fan’s mind. Keeping Buxton healthy and productive will be a critical factor in the Twins’ playoff push. Similarly, Correa’s presence in the lineup provides stability and leadership. His bat and glove are critical to the Twins’ success, and any extended absence would be a significant blow. Then again, the team needs him to handle his plantar fasciitis responsibly, to ensure that he's at 100 percent whenever he returns. Lewis has missed multiple chunks of the 2024 season, but he can change a game with one swing of his bat. The supporting cast, including players like Max Kepler, Willi Castro, and Ryan Jeffers, must also avoid the injury bug, because the depth behind them in the organization has eroded. Depth is always a concern, and the Twins will rely on a mix of veterans and young players to fill in when needed. Players like Matt Wallner and José Miranda have shown they can contribute, but asking them to carry the load in the event of significant injuries is a tall order. The Twins’ ability to keep their lineup healthy will be a determining factor in their playoff fortunes. The Minnesota Twins face a challenging yet exciting road ahead as they chase a postseason berth. While the team has the talent to compete, the answers to these questions will ultimately determine whether they can make a deep playoff run or fall short of expectations. As the season progresses, Twins fans will be hoping for a combination of skill, strategy, and a bit of luck to carry their team to October glory. Which question is most important to the team’s second-half success? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.- 12 comments
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- byron buxton
- carlos correa
- (and 5 more)
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Every team faces injuries at one of the season’s most critical junctures. When can fans expect some key players to return for the Twins? Image courtesy of John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports The Twins added one middle relief pitcher (Trevor Richards) at the trade deadline, forcing the team to rely on intern options for the stretch run. Are any key players nearing a return? What players will be expected to step in if extended injury timelines exist? Let’s examine the team’s roster and the organizational depth chart. Carlos Correa, SS Injury: Plantar fasciitis The Twins placed Correa on the 10-day IL on July 20 as he is dealing with plantar fasciitis in his right heel. Last season, his left heel had the same injury, significantly impacting his performance. He had a platelet-rich plasma (PRP) injection to help with the injury. Correa has started to ramp up his baseball activities by working in the batting cages, running on the field, and taking ground balls. His next steps are to attempt to sprint without pain. The Twins plan to send Correa on a short rehab assignment to ensure his timing is back before returning to the big-league level. Brooks Lee and Willi Castro have filled in for Correa at shortstop in his absence. Return Timeline: Mid-to-Late August Brock Stewart, RHP Injury: Right shoulder strain In his most recent return from the IL, Stewart was limited to two appearances. He struggled in those outings and was placed back on the IL with a recurrence of the right shoulder issue that caused him to miss nearly three months. Stewart has been one of the AL’s most dominant relief pitchers when healthy. However, he has been limited to fewer than 16 innings this season. There is a chance that his season is done, but the Twins will likely try to ramp him up in a few weeks to see what his shoulder can endure. Minnesota has made it through most of the season without Stewart, as Griffin Jax and Jorge Alcalá have filled his late-inning role. Return Timeline: Potentially Mid-to-Late September Kody Funderburk, LHP Injury: Left oblique strain Funderburk has been on the IL since July 21 after he felt his oblique bother him while playing catch. He told reporters the expected timeline for his injury was six to eight weeks. Caleb Thielbar and Steve Okert have been the team’s main left-handed bullpen options. Minnesota was rumored to be in the market for a lefty at the trade deadline but added Richards, a righty with reverse splits. Minnesota needs more bullpen depth, and Funderburk will get an opportunity before the season ends. Return Timeline: Late September Chris Paddack, RHP Injury: Right forearm strain Paddack was expected to be the veteran at the back of the rotation, but injuries have impacted his return from his second Tommy John surgery. He was placed on the IL after feeling tightness in his elbow while throwing during the All-Star break. In early July, he missed time with a dead arm and shoulder fatigue. Young pitchers like Simeon Woods Richardson and David Festa have stepped into the rotation in Paddack’s absence. There are no guarantees that Paddack will pitch again this season, and it might need to be in a bullpen role. Return Timeline: Potentially Mid-to-Late September Kyle Farmer, IF Injury: Right shoulder strain Farmer dealt with a shoulder issue throughout much of the first half before being placed on the IL on July 11. His offensive performance was greatly impacted in the first half, so getting him fully healthy might help the team for the stretch run. The Twins have used other players around the infield, like Lee, Castro, and Jose Miranda. Initially, the Twins expected Farmer to return by late July, so his return could be imminent. Return Timeline: Mid-August Justin Topa, RHP Injury: Left patellar tendinitis Topa is on the brink of returning to the Twins. He’s made multiple successful rehab appearances with the Saints. He is pitching through a partial tear of a muscle in his knee that could require surgery in the future. Last season, he was a critical late-inning bullpen option for the Mariners, so he could be one of the key reasons the Twins didn’t overpay for a reliever at the trade deadline. Return Timeline: Early August Which player will return from injury first? Which injury return will significantly impact the roster for the stretch run? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
- 24 replies
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- carlos correa
- justin topa
- (and 4 more)
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Randy Dobnak’s baseball journey is a story of perseverance and a bit of serendipity, marked by unconventional turns and a remarkable rise from obscurity. Image courtesy of Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports Randy Dobnak was born in Pennsylvania and attended South Park High School. His high school career didn’t necessarily scream “future MLB player”—he wasn’t heavily recruited and went undrafted after graduating. Instead of taking a direct path to professional baseball, Dobnak took the road less traveled. Dobnak attended Alderson Broaddus University, a small school in West Virginia. In four seasons, he posted a 2.61 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a 284-to-79 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 272 1/3 innings. His college career was solid but being at a small school made it even less likely that he’d be on the radar of major league scouts. He wasn’t selected in the MLB Draft, and some players would likely hang up their cleats and find a job outside the sports world. In 2017, Dobnak signed with the Frontier League’s Schaumburg Boomers, a low-level independent league team. He was working part-time jobs to support himself including his famous days as an Uber driver. His dedication and strong performances on the mound did not go unnoticed, though. The Minnesota Twins signed him to a minor league contract after he allowed nine earned runs in 35 innings (2.31 ERA). Dobnak’s performance in the minors was impressive. He quickly ascended through the Twins’ minor league system, showcasing an effective blend of control, grit, and a unique demeanor on the mound. He pitched the entire 2018 season in Cedar Rapids where he posted a 3.14 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP. Dobnak’s 2019 season seemed like a fictional story. He began the year at High-A and finished the season starting a playoff game for the Twins at Yankee Stadium. It was a meteoric rise for the former independent league signee. It was the first of his unlikely trips to the big leagues. He pitched admirably in his first two seasons in the big leagues with a 3.12 ERA in 19 career appearances, including 15 starts. Entering the 2021 season, the Twins signed Dobnak to a unique contract extension to buyout his arbitration eligible years and give Minnesota more years of team control. In March 2021, Dobnak agreed to a five-year, $9.25 million contract extension with three club options. The deal had a chance to max out at $29.75 million with the options having escalators associated with them. This contract was seen as an investment in Dobnak's potential, reflecting the Twins' belief in his future contributions. It also provided Dobnak with financial security and an opportunity to prove himself over several seasons. The structure of the deal was relatively rare for a player with Dobnak's experience level at the time, making it a noteworthy example of how teams and players can negotiate creative contract terms. However, since signing that deal, health has greatly impacted Dobnak’s performance to the point where he likely didn’t know if he’d be back at the big-league level. Dobnak has had issues with a finger injury in recent seasons. Specifically, he’s dealt with a right middle finger injury that has significantly impacted his performance and availability. He’s had multiple surgeries and been forced to reinvent himself as a pitcher with a new pitch mix. This injury, which affected his grip and control on the mound, led to a series of struggles with both pitching effectiveness and staying healthy. The injury first became a notable issue during the 2021 season and has persisted, affecting his ability to contribute consistently. Finger injuries for pitchers are particularly challenging because they can influence grip, control, and overall pitching mechanics. For Dobnak, this has meant that he’s had to navigate a series of rehab stints and adjustments, which have unfortunately hampered his ability to return to his previous form. Dobnak likely thought he’d be relegated to a Triple-A role for the remainder of his professional career. He settled into the Saints rotation this season, but his performance made it tough for the Twins to ignore him. In his last 15 Triple-A appearances, he posted a 2.80 ERA while holding batters to a .371 SLG in 74 innings. These totals are even more impressive considering the high offensive environment in the International League. Minnesota needed pitching depth and Dobnak was the next man up on the organization’s depth chart. Dobnak hasn’t found success around every corner, embodying the narrative of hard work paying off against the odds. His story resonates as an inspiring example of how determination, combined with a bit of luck and opportunity, can lead to achieving dreams that seemed out of reach. Dobnak’s journey from the independent leagues to the big leagues exemplifies how unconventional routes can lead to success in the world of sports, proving that talent, resilience, and a bit of serendipity can pave the way to inspiring stories. Which big league trip has been more unexpected? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
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The Twins are facing the season’s most important time. What questions are facing the team at this critical juncture? Image courtesy of Matt Blewett-USA TODAY Sports As the dust settles from the MLB trade deadline, the Minnesota Twins find themselves at a critical juncture. With a mix of veteran talent and young potential, the Twins are eyeing a postseason run. However, several questions loom as they navigate the season's final stretch. Here, we delve into three pressing concerns for the Twins: the durability of their rotation, the reliability of their bullpen, and the health of their lineup. Can the Rotation Hold Up? The success of the Twins’ season hinges significantly on the performance of their starting rotation. The rotation, a blend of seasoned veterans and promising newcomers, has shown flashes of brilliance and moments of vulnerability. At the forefront is Pablo López, the staff ace since being acquired from Miami. Joe Ryan and Bailey Ober are the two pitchers who would currently round out the top of the team’s expected playoff rotation. However, there are question marks behind that trio and many games remaining in the season. Simeon Woods Richardson has performed admirably during his rookie season, and David Festa has seen some positive results in limited action. At Triple-A, Louie Varland and Zebby Matthews are next on the depth chart if another injury occurs. Minnesota failed to make a significant splash in acquiring starting pitching at the deadline, instead relying on internal depth. This decision places added pressure on the current rotation to stay healthy and effective. However, banking on unproven talent in a playoff race is a risky proposition. The rotation’s ability to hold up under the strain of a pennant chase will be crucial to the Twins’ postseason aspirations. Does the Bullpen Have Enough High-Leverage Arms? The Twins' bullpen is another area of promise and concern. The bullpen has been a mix of dominant performances and frustrating inconsistency throughout the season. Jhoan Duran, with his triple-digit fastball and wicked offspeed offerings, has even shown some cracks in his armor. However, the bullpen must have more than one high-leverage arm. Griffin Jax and Jorge Alcalá have been reliable options, but beyond them, the bullpen depth becomes murky. Cole Sands has been the biggest surprise in a bullpen group searching for depth. Caleb Thielbar and Steven Okert have shown flashes but have struggled with control and consistency. The deadline acquisitions of middle relievers provided depth but did not address the need for additional high-leverage arms. In the pennant race, reliable bullpen arms are essential. The Twins will need their bullpen to step up, especially in close games where one mistake can be the difference between victory and defeat. Manager Rocco Baldelli’s ability to manage and deploy his bullpen effectively will be scrutinized. The question remains whether the current bullpen configuration has enough firepower to navigate the intense pressure of playoff-caliber games. Can the Lineup Stay Healthy? When fully healthy, the Twins’ lineup boasts a potent mix of power and speed. Byron Buxton, Carlos Correa, and Royce Lewis are the linchpins, providing dynamic offense and solid defense. However, this trio of players has struggled with injuries in the past, and their ability to stay on the field is paramount to the Twins’ success. Buxton, in particular, is a game-changer when healthy. His combination of speed, power, and defensive prowess makes him one of the most exciting players in the league. However, his injury history is in the back of every fan’s mind. Keeping Buxton healthy and productive will be a critical factor in the Twins’ playoff push. Similarly, Correa’s presence in the lineup provides stability and leadership. His bat and glove are critical to the Twins’ success, and any extended absence would be a significant blow. Lewis has missed multiple chunks of the 2024 season, but he can change a game with one swing of his bat. The supporting cast, including players like Max Kepler, Willi Castro, and Ryan Jeffers, must also avoid the injury bug. Depth is always a concern, and the Twins will rely on a mix of veterans and young players to fill in when needed. Players like Matt Wallner and Jose Miranda have shown they can contribute, but asking them to carry the load in the event of significant injuries is a tall order. The Twins’ ability to keep their lineup healthy will be a determining factor in their playoff fortunes. The Minnesota Twins face a challenging yet exciting road ahead as they chase a postseason berth. The rotation’s durability, the bullpen’s reliability, and the lineup’s health are three critical factors shaping their destiny. While the team has the talent to compete, the answers to these questions will ultimately determine whether they can make a deep playoff run or fall short of expectations. As the season progresses, Twins fans will be watching closely, hoping for a combination of skill, strategy, and a bit of luck to carry their team to October glory. Which question is most important to the team’s second-half success? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. View full article
- 12 replies
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- byron buxton
- carlos correa
- (and 5 more)
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The Twins have two paths to the playoffs. The AL Central title is still in reach, but the club can also qualify as one of the three Wild Card teams on the junior circuit. Minnesota has been behind Cleveland in the division for most of the season, but the Guardians showed some weaknesses in July. However, Cleveland isn’t the only team that Twins fans need to keep their eye on in the coming weeks. Let’s break down the AL Central and Wild Card race. AL Central Race (Record, Games Ahead/Behind the Twins) Cleveland Guardians (65-42, +6.5) Trade Deadline Additions: OF Lane Thomas, RHP Alex Cobb Cleveland continues to outshoot their expectations with the AL’s best record. The Twins have played well since their terrible 7-13 record to start the season, but continue to be behind the Guardians. Cleveland has an even tighter payroll than the Twins, making adding impact players at the trade deadline difficult. Their farm system has dropped on national rankings, and Twins fans might have hoped that the Guardians would go all-in by the deadline. However, that didn’t happen, and now it looks like a three-team race for the division title. Kansas City Royals (59-49, 0.0) Trade Deadline Additions: RHP Michael Lorenzen, RHP Lucas Erceg, SS Paul DeJong Kansas City surprised many by spending big this winter on Michael Wacha, Seth Lugo, Will Smith, Hunter Renfroe, Chris Stratton, and Garrett Hampson. This was a team that lost 106 games last season, and these additions would only slightly move the needle. Instead, Kansas City started the season on a hot streak by winning over 60% of their games in April and May. Adding the players above helps with Kansas City’s depth, and it could move the needle in the AL Central race--or at least keep them in the Wild Card hunt. AL Wild Card Race (Record, Games Ahead/Behind the Twins) New York Yankees (64-45, +4.5) Trade Deadline Additions: OF Jazz Chisholm Jr., RHP Enyel De Los Santos, RHP Thomas Balboni Jr., RHP Mark Leiter Jr. New York missed the playoffs last season, which the front office wanted to avoid in 2024. The Yankees made the most significant trade of the winter, acquiring Juan Soto in his final year before free agency. Yankees GM Brian Cashman addressed some of the team’s weaknesses by acquiring the players listed above at the deadline. Can New York hunt down Baltimore and win the AL East? Otherwise, the Twins might be forced to go to Yankee Stadium for a Wild Card match-up. Boston Red Sox (56-50, -2.0) Trade Deadline Additions: RHP Quinn Priester, RHP Luis García, RHP Lucas Sims Boston is in third place in the AL East, but only one game behind Kansas City for the final playoff spot. Many projection models had the Red Sox pegged as the worst team in the division, especially since the team finished 23 games out of first place in 2023. Jarren Duran has played at an MVP level, and other players have compiled surprise performances to keep Boston in the race. There will be some key AL East games in the weeks ahead to decide who wins the division and who earns a Wild Card spot. Seattle Mariners (57-52, -2.5) Trade Deadline Additions: OF Randy Arozarena, RHP Yimi Garcia, DH Justin Turner, RHP JT Chargois Seattle made aggressive moves early in the trade deadline cycle to bolster the outfield and pitching staff. Last season, the Mariners missed the playoffs despite boasting a better record than Minnesota's. Clearly, the front office is trying to avoid last season’s shortcomings. Seattle has struggled since the All-Star Break, but is clearly in the mix for the last Wild Card spot. Tampa Bay Rays (55-52, -3.5) Trade Deadline Additions: INF Christopher Morel, RHP Hunter Bigge, OF Dylan Carlson, Tampa Bay is close to a Wild Card spot, but they traded away multiple big-league pieces, including Isaac Paredes, Randy Arozarena, Zach Eflin, and Jason Adam. The Rays have been run like this for quite some time, with the front office trading away MLB pieces to rebuild the farm system. It will be interesting to see if Tampa Bay can stay in the race with new faces populating their roster. Which teams are the biggest threats to the Twins? What will it take for Minnesota to track down Cleveland for the AL Central title? Leave a comment to start the discussion.
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MLB’s Trade Deadline has passed, and some contenders have made blockbuster moves while other clubs are focused more on internal options to improve their rosters. Let’s examine the AL’s ever-changing playoff picture to see how the Twins stack up. The Twins have two paths to the playoffs: the AL Central title is still in reach, or the club can qualify as one of the three Wild Card teams. Minnesota has been behind Cleveland in the AL Central for most of the season, but the Guardians showed some weaknesses in July. However, Cleveland isn’t the only team that Twins fans need to keep their eye on in the coming weeks. Let’s break down the AL Central and Wild Card race. AL Central Race (Record, Games Ahead/Behind the Twins) Cleveland Guardians (65-42, +6.5) Trade Deadline Additions: OF Lane Thomas, RHP Alex Cobb Cleveland continues to outshoot their expectations with the AL’s best record. The Twins have played well since their terrible 7-13 record to start the season but continue to be behind the Guardians. Cleveland has an even tighter payroll than the Twins, making adding impact players at the trade deadline difficult. Their farm system has dropped on national rankings, and Twins fans might have hoped that the Guardians would go all-in by the deadline. However, that didn’t happen, and now it looks like a three-team race for the division title. Kansas City Royals (59-49, 0.0) Trade Deadline Additions: RHP Michael Lorenzen, RHP Lucas Erceg, SS Paul DeJong Kansas City surprised many by spending big this winter on Michael Wacha, Seth Lugo, Will Smith, Hunter Renfroe, Chris Stratton, and Garrett Hampson. This was a team that lost 106 games last season, and these additions would only slightly move the needle. Instead, Kansas City started the season on a hot streak by winning over 60% of their games in April and May. Adding the players above helps with Kansas City’s depth and it could move the needle in the AL Central race. AL Wild Card Race (Record, Games Ahead/Behind the Twins) New York Yankees (64-45, +4.5) Trade Deadline Additions: OF Jazz Chisholm Jr., RHP Enyel De Los Santos, RHP Thomas Balboni Jr., RHP Mark Leiter Jr. New York missed the playoffs last season, which the front office wanted to avoid in 2024. The Yankees made the most significant trade of the winter by acquiring Juan Soto in his final year before free agency. Yankees GM Brian Cashman addressed some of the team’s weaknesses by acquiring the players listed above at the deadline. Can New York hunt down Baltimore and win the AL East? Otherwise, the Twins might be forced to go to Yankee Stadium for a Wild Card match-up. Boston Red Sox (56-50, -2.0) Trade Deadline Additions: RHP Quinn Priester, RHP Luis Garcia, RHP Lucas Sims Boston is in third place in the AL East but only one game behind Kansas City for the final playoff spot. Many projection models had the Red Sox pegged as the worst team in the division, especially since the team finished 23 games out of first place in 2023. Jarren Duran has played at an MVP level, and other players have compiled surprise performances to keep Boston in the race. There will be some key AL East games in the weeks ahead to decide who wins the division and who earns a Wild Card spot. Seattle Mariners (57-52, -2.5) Trade Deadline Additions: OF Randy Arozarena, RHP Yimi Garcia, DH Justin Turner, RHP JT Chargois Seattle made aggressive moves early in the trade deadline cycle to bolster the outfield and pitching staff. Last season, the Mariners missed the playoffs even with a better record than Minnesota. Clearly, the front office is trying to avoid last season’s shortcomings. Seattle has struggled since the All-Star Break but is clearly in the mix for the last Wild Card spot. Tampa Bay Rays (55-52, -3.5) Trade Deadline Additions: INF Christopher Morel, RHP Hunter Bigge, OF Dylan Carlson, Tampa Bay is close to a Wild Card spot and traded away multiple big-league pieces, including Isaac Paredes, Randy Arozarena, Zach Eflin, and Jason Adam. The Rays have been run like this for quite some time, with the front office trading away MLB pieces to rebuild the farm system. It will be interesting to see if Tampa Bay can stay in the race with new faces populating their roster. Which teams are the biggest threats to the Twins? What will it take for Minnesota to track down Cleveland for the AL Central title? Leave a comment to start the discussion. View full article
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After a quiet deadline, the Twins face lingering questions about relief depth and matchup options. Can an internal option be the team’s left-handed bullpen upgrade? Image courtesy of William Parmeter Minnesota had multiple needs heading into the 2024 MLB trade deadline, but there were more buyers than sellers, making it difficult for teams to find a deal. Instead, the Twins must rely on internal options for the second consecutive season. This strategy was successful in 2023, when the team won its first playoff series in two decades. Now, the front office is hoping their luck continues in 2024, but the road to the playoffs may be tougher than in previous seasons. One need for the team was adding a left-handed reliever. Caleb Thielbar and Steven Okert have served as the team’s primary lefties out of the bullpen, but their performances have been below expectations. Thielbar has made 34 appearances with a 5.96 ERA with a 21.8 K%. Okert has only been slightly better than Thielbar, with a 4.60 ERA and a 21.1 K%. Kody Funderburk is another internal option, but he has also struggled with a 5.61 ERA in 26 appearances. It seems unlikely for the Twins to trust any of these arms to get important outs in October. With his reverse platoon splits, Trevor Richards partially fills the role, but sometimes what you want is the traditional platoon advantage. Some lefty batters are very uncomfortable with the physical looks of lefty pitchers, and are less affected by even very good right-handed changeups. The Twins have a left-handed pitcher on the 40-man roster who might be the team’s best option to provide an upgrade in the second half. Brent Headrick was in the running for the team’s final bullpen spot in spring training. He made two starts for the Saints to begin the season but suffered a forearm injury and was placed on the 60-day IL. Headrick hasn’t pitched in a game since Apr. 6, but he has been ramping back up as part of the Florida Instructional League. Minnesota drafted Headrick from Illinois State University in the 9th round of the 2019 MLB Draft. The front office has shown a tendency to draft college pitchers from lesser-known schools in the draft’s later rounds, in hopes of working with the player on slight mechanical adjustments to improve velocity and pitch mix. Headrick only sits in the low 90s with his fastball, but he has a good slider that can get swings and misses from lefties and righties. “For me, fastball has always been a strength, slider has always been good," Headrick told Twins Daily's John Bonnes during spring training. "And now this year, we’re trying to promote the splitter a little bit more to give that third weapon.” Headrick hasn’t been able to use his splitter regularly this season because of his limited innings, so there is a chance it will help separate him from other lefties on the roster. Last season, he posted a 4.68 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and 10.0 K/9 at Triple-A in a hitter-friendly league. With the Twins, he was asked to pitch multiple innings in half of his appearances, but he continued to strike out more than ten batters per inning. His biggest issue was keeping the ball in the park, with seven home runs allowed in 25 2/3 innings. Adding an improved splitter can help him to keep batters more off-balance and improve his big-league performance. Headrick has been on a slow path back to the mound this season, but he might be getting healthy at the season’s most critical juncture. He must prove himself in multiple rehab outings before the Twins give him a chance at the big-league level. However, the team is desperate for a left-handed upgrade, and he might be the team’s best option for October. Can Headrick provide the Twins with a left-handed upgrade? Will one of the other left-handed options show improved performance in the season’s stretch run? Leave a comment and start the discussion. View full article

