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MGX

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Everything posted by MGX

  1. I could see it being more of a platoon situation with Jackson playing vs LHP which would free up Jeffers to play 1B/DH vs LHP. Either way Jackson likely won't get more than a couple hundred PA's. You may be right on Vazquez, he just doesn't offer much going forward.
  2. In 3 seasons with the Twins Vazquez posted an OPS+ of 64, 60 & 52, absolutely horrible. His first two seasons his defense was good, but last season even that fell off. No way should they have brought Vazquez back. They traded for Jackson to be a backup C, he's been solid defensively & showed signs of improvement at the plate last season. All of that at a lower salary than what Vazquez will likely get. For what it is, a backup Catcher, it's a good trade.
  3. I make a lot of trades, keeps it interesting.
  4. I've played OOTP, but have been in Strat-o-matic leagues for many years & made some good friends who also enjoy Baseball.
  5. Agree 100%. Additionally, the O's have plenty of position players & were already in need of pitching.
  6. Informative article. My takeaway is still that there is plenty of money to spend. Based on the numbers provided - $324M in revenue & $154M in payroll for 2025. It's also noted on average it's $20M for the coaching staff, so that's $174M leaving $150M to cover other expenses for the business. While I'm not qualified to guess what the other expenses in the business amount to, I have to imagine 2025 was a profitable season for the Twins. If that's the case why does it feel like we may be looking at a sub $100M payroll for 2026? If they could have $154M or even $140M for payroll they should be able to build a competitive & entertaining team.
  7. My post above was simply pointing out that just looking Batting Average gives you a limited view of a players production when compared to other stats like OPS, wOBA & wRC. If you disagree with that I don't know what to tell you. I don't need to research the fact that his production was lower in 2025, as I already stated that in one of my previous posts. It seems you've made up your mind on Wallner & that's fine it's your opinion.
  8. Different players produce offense in different ways. Batting average is a limited stat when compared something like OPS, or better yet wRC or wOBA.
  9. I did say to this point he's been a more productive "offensive" player. Joey Gallo was a good defensive player I wouldn't say otherwise. With that said both are/were corner OF's, offense first positions. The main thing for Wallner is how productive he is as FT player. If he is producing an .800 OPS or better going forward, I'd rather have that with his D than the other way around. If he doesn't produce like that on offense than he won't be as good as Gallo.
  10. Core or out the door 1. Cole Sands - Neither - For the 2026 team it wouldn't make any sense to trade Sands as we have plenty of spots to fill in the bullpen currently & his trade value would be very low. If he is to be a core contributor a big step forward is needed otherwise he'll be easily replaced. 2. Royce Lewis - Unsure - Trading him now would be selling low & 2026 gives him an opportunity to get his career back on track. This is a prove it season for Lewis. 3. Brooks Lee - Unsure - If he could be packaged in a deal to get us a SS then I'd trade him. It's hard to see him as part of the core going forward. He needs to improve his offensive production & find a defensive home, which I don't believe is SS. 4. Bailey Ober - Trade - He is the starter I'd be looking to trade. He has enough of track record to interest some teams & is very inexpensive. 5. Matt Wallner - Both - Along with Buxton they are the power source for this team. So far in his career vs RHP he has 767 PA's & slashed - .245/.362/.519 for .881 OPS with 44 HR's. In 2025, which was his least productive season overall, he was given 97 PA's vs LHP & he had a .790 OPS. As a full time player he has 35+ HR potential. I'm sure other teams see the potential so he could bring something really useful in a trade. Either way Wallner can provide value to this team.
  11. Agree with you that Gallo had some good seasons & overall a productive career. Comparing their career numbers... Joey Gallo - 3043 PA's - .194/.319/.456 for a .775 OPS & as you said 14.9 WAR Matt Wallner - 972 PA's - .231/.344/.485 for a .829 OPS & 4.6 WAR To this point Wallner has been a more productive offensive player. Even in 2025 which was Wallner's least productive season he had a .776 OPS.
  12. Agreed. If the Twins end up with a RH utility player who can platoon with Clemens this works a bit better as he OPS'd .782 vs RHP & 33 XBH's in just 270 AB's. It could be worse, in fact it was in 2025, when France was our 1B & OPS'd .678 with the Twins.
  13. Admittedly, I was hoping we'd sign O'Hearn to play 1B & have Clemens in a utility role. At least with Clemens he played well defensively & he's consistently improved his offense throughout his career. Last season was the first season he's had 150+ PA's & he had his best season yet. With that said it was still below MLB average which is why I think he was better suited to a utility role. Hopefully, he takes another step forward because 1B is an offense first position & we really need above average production there.
  14. Agree with this. If we're trying to win, Ryan O'Hearn would be a nice addition & Clemens would be a useful utility player. If we're rebuilding, then let Clemens play 1B until someone takes the position from him.
  15. You may be right, I'm not sure what the value would be on Lopez. I know the Marlins need pitching badly as they were bottom 5 in runs allowed last year. With the other 4 teams at the bottom I didn't think we could get a SS from them (Rockies - Tovar, Nationals - Abrams, Angels - Neto & A's - Wilson). Depending on what would need to be added I'd do it. Lopez adds much improved D at both 2B & SS, speed & he was a productive hitter VS RHP. That would help cover SS in 2026 & still offers a lot of flexibility going forward.
  16. This is inaccurate - OPS by month March/April - .348, May - .985, June - .625, July - .805, August - .536 & Sept./Oct - .770. With that said I'm hoping we sign an FA to play 1B (Ryan O'Hearn) as I think Clemens should be a utility player on this roster. Who are the kids that are going to play & learn? If they deserve a spot on the ML roster then they should be there if not they can continue developing in the minors until they have earned it.
  17. Thanks, I'll adjust.
  18. Every player on the roster could regress/improve. Of the four mentioned Buxton is the most likely to regress simply because last year was one of, if not his best season & 2026 will be his 12th season. If he does "regress" he'll still be one of the most valuable players on the team. Kody Clemens has improved his offensive production every season since he's been in the league & last year was his first with with over 150 PA's. He could regress just because it's hard to continue improving your production every season, but it doesn't make him a candidate any more than another player. SWR - Is 24 & has shown signs of being a solid starting pitcher at the MLB level. In September he was the best pitcher on the staff. That doesn't point to regression to me. Joe Ryan did fall off in the 2nd half so I guess you could say that points to a regression, but his stats fell off a bit in the 2nd half of 2024 & a lot in 2023. In 2025 he had a career high in IP & had one his best seasons. The real question for him is can he stay strong for an entire season.
  19. MGX 2026 Payroll Blueprint 1. Trade Bailey Ober & Brooks Lee to Miami for Otto Lopez & prospect Karson Milbrandt 2. FA signing Ryan O'Hearn 2 years $26M 3. FA signing Pete Fairbanks 1 year $9M 4. FA signing Ryan Helsley 2 years $24M C: Ryan Jeffers ($6.60M) 1B: Ryan O'Hearn ($13.00M) 2B: Luke Keaschall ($0.80M) 3B: Royce Lewis ($3.00M) SS: Otto Lopez ($0.80M) LF: Austin Martin ($0.80M) CF: Byron Buxton ($15.15M) RF: Emmanuel Rodriguez ($0.80M) DH: Matt Wallner ($0.80M) 4th OF: Alan Roden ($0.80M) Utility: Ryan Fitzgerald ($0.80M) Utility: Kody Clemens ($1.10M) Backup C: James McCann ($1.10M) POS: Add Dead Money Here ($0.00M) SP1: Pablo Lopez ($21.75M) SP2: Joe Ryan ($5.80M) SP3: Taj Bradley ($0.80M) SP4: Simeon Woods Richardson ($0.80M) SP5: Zebby Matthews ($0.80M) RP: Ryan Helsley ($12.00) RP: Pete Fairbanks ($9.00M) RP: David Festa ($0.80M) RP: Cole Sands ($1.30M) RP: Connor Prielipp ($0.80M) RP: Mick Abel ($0.80M) - Keep stretched out RP: Kody Funderburk ($0.80M) RP: Marco Raya ($0.80M) POS: Add Dead Money Here ($0.00M) Payroll is 9.9 % under budget
  20. I'd rather have Lee competing at other positions, since I'm not sure about him staying at SS long term. With that said the alternatives on the FA market aren't providing an upgrade. Why waste whatever FA $$$ we have when it won't even upgrade the team. Let Lee & Culpepper compete for the spot in the Spring & if Culpepper needs more time in the minors than Fitzgerald is the backup until Culpepper is ready. Let's use whatever FA $$$ we have to sign O'Hearn at 1B.
  21. With the current players on the roster - short answer is Buxton. Below would be my lineups vs LHP Martin Keaschall Buxton Jeffers Wallner Lewis Lee 1b -? Roden vs RHP Martin Keaschall Buxton Wallner Jeffers Clemens Lewis Lee Roden If we added a FA 1B like O'Hearn that would boost both lineups & our bench.
  22. To me a plyer being "blocked" by another involves two good players & with good players there is usually a good solution. A recent example is a player that's been talked about as someone the Twins should trade for - Tyler Soderstrom. He came up as a Catcher, but the A's already had Langeliers so I guess you could say he was blocked. In reality Soderstrom didn't produce in his rookie season. He earned another chance the following season & was moved to 1B. This time he produced so he stayed in MLB. Then the A's drafted Nick Kurtz & he also produced & was promoted. Initially he didn't get a lot of PT, but still played & when he produced they found a way to get both him & Soderstrom in the lineup by moving Soderstrom to LF. The point of all of that, is if you produce teams will find a way for you to play.
  23. How does a player get blocked by a mediocre veteran. Either your good enough to take the playing time or your not. When players are presented with an opportunity it is on them to take advantage of it. I would tend to agree with the point on roster utilization - if you have 13 position players on the roster make sure they're all getting playing time so you know what you have.
  24. If it's a mediocre veteran that certainly isn't going to stop Culpepper, assuming he continues to prove himself. Anyways, as I said in my original post we don't know if they're rebuilding or competing. If they're rebuilding they have no need for any FA's of note. If they decided to compete I hope they wouldn't hold back on signing an FA who can help out, because of worry about "blocking" a prospect.
  25. If there good enough to push there way on to the roster then great, if not I'm not worried. Either way their not blocked. Whatever SS the Twins could sign as an upgrade isn't going to keep Culpepper from developing & if he keeps proving himself, playing for the Twins. Even if we signed Bichette (which there is no way we would) he wouldn't block Culpepper. If the Twins as a franchise ever get to the point where they have so much talent that we're blocking prospects that would be nice problem to have.
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