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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    That’s obvious…….they get way more leash if being paid. Capabilities and track record have to come into play though. A guy that hit .280 in AA shouldn’t displace a veteran that may come around ….. i.e. Carlos Santana last year - horrible start - pretty decent season. The lynch mob was calling for his head along with Vazquez & Margot, early in the season & sometimes well into the season. Gallo, as bad as he was at the plate gave them a guy that could play 1B & OF “well” and nobody else was a lock health wise through the second half of season. Buxton - Correa - Lewis all hurt & out big chunks in ‘23. Not liking a guy or ignoring things he does that help doesn’t rationalize bring guys up “to see what they can do”. What were Margot’s splits? What did he hit against LH pitching (the role he was supposed to have)…………take away the 0-35 or whatever he was as a PH and he’s not terrible. Hung on to the fantasy that he was going to “break through” as a PH waay too long - agreed! 4th or 5th outfielders going into a season aren’t ever great or seldom average players or they would be starting as a top 3 guy. IMO, Margot rose to the level of everyday due to injuries and serious lack of performance from others - guys sent down that were ahead of him on depth chart April 1.
  2. JD-TWINS
    Were the guys not hurt? None of the games missed by this half dozen guys is fiction. Wallner & Julien failed the team for quite a big chunk of the season. They didn’t intend on Wallner not being able to hit - Julien being able to hit for only a month - etc. - Correa being out for couple months. Lee - Correa - Lewis were all out months not days. Castro was the leading OF candidate to fill in with Larnach hurt & Wallner being in St. Paul for extended periods……..he was on the dirt by necessity. Who are these other effective options that were healthy & available last year? They certainly believed in his right handed bat as they relentlessly sent him to the plate in more than 30 games to Pinch Hit, (which sucked) even though they most often just got trumped by a RH reliever & Margot went 0 - all at bats.
  3. JD-TWINS
    Ryan’s health is a key concern………can Coulombe pitch anywhere near his last 2 years numbers…….can SWR pitch near the same level as 2024? As the article states, there are 26 question marks just like all other 30 teams in MLB. Some of the question marks just have to be assumed as small or non-issues. If the 3 guys I mentioned are OK the Team should be successful. Can group any 3 guys I guess, but to me, these are the real question marks and with low performances from them, it would really sting.
  4. JD-TWINS
    I just do not see any benefit in trading Paddack at the deadline. If he’s hurt or not pitching well the return is zero. If he’s healthy, the Twins can use him over the remainder of the season. If he’s healthy and Twins are out of the race, they have little leverage and get back some A ball flyer prospect. I don’t have a problem with him in the rotation in April. He has a maximum of maybe 110 effective innings, IMO. Let him start while things go well for 50-60 days and the young guys sharpen up in St. Paul. Then a “tired arm” IL break in June. He comes back in mid-July and throws a couple times a week out of the bullpen……maybe 4 innings. That’s 55 innings through May & another 40-45 innings out of the Pen in 2nd half………..maybe a couple 3-4 inning spot starts in August-September? He stays fresh and effective and is available late in the year for max effort help out of the Pen. A good value at $7M.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Bad things need to happen to other’s health for Bader to get to 500 AB’s. If he works out there is no buyout and he’s back for a 2nd year.
  6. JD-TWINS
    My impression is that he hits LH pitching much better than Larnach or Wallner - right? He’ll start 30-60 games in CF depending upon how healthy Buxton stays and how well Kiersey hits. 40 starts v. LH pitching in corner OF ………….as infielders get healthy Castro will start in the other corner OF spot v. LH pitching. Bader also late inning defense replacement in LF, routinely with a lead.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Bader will sit behind a healthy Larnach - Buxton - Wallner……….if people get hurt the depth guys have to play more and behave like depth guys. Margot played a bunch because Larnach had a foot problem off & on ………..Julien couldn’t hit so Castro played 2B, removing him from OF consideration………Lewis was hurt for long stretches also taking Castro out of OF consideration……….Lee couldn’t play with back injury to start the season taking Castro out of OF consideration………Wallner went down for nearly 3 months because he couldn’t hit thus pushing playing time on to Margot’s plate………Kepler & Buxton were both nicked a couple times. Margot played a bunch due to availability - he, just like Santana, played way more often than was the intent when they were signed.
  8. JD-TWINS
    Buxton & Kepler were exceptional when healthy ………. most of a decade.
  9. JD-TWINS
    IMO, Jeffers is strong enough to drive the ball if he just barrels it up. I think he should use his two strike, contact approach, all the time. He’d hit 35 doubles playing 55% of the time.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Why would Baldelli play him v. RH pitching more than he needs to - do not understand what, in his history, leans that way? Larnach & Wallner will both start 110 games in OF without injury. Wallner may start 125 games. Larnach will DH some for semi-rest days. To me, Bader & Castro play corner spots v. LH pitching with Buxton in CF …….Bader starts 15-20 games in LF v. RH pitching & 50 starts in CF v. RH pitching. Maybe Kiersey gets in the mix in CF & LF?
  11. JD-TWINS
    Larnach isn’t a butcher in LF. Him playing OF allows a potentially effective Julien to DH often with Castro - Lee - Keaschall at 2B. I wouldn’t mind Kiersey as the guy who platoons with Buxton 80 games (Buxton starts 85 games in CF & 30 games at DH)……Bader gets maybe 35 of those starts? Castro - Buxton - Bader in OF v. LH pitching.
  12. JD-TWINS
    To me, it seems clear that Castro will start at 2B 75% of the time until there’s a better option (Keaschall - Lee) by mid May. Julien’s at bats are at DH pretty regularly. Isn’t this a better option on the dirt?
  13. JD-TWINS
    He played 158 games last year and was an All-star after the first half, plus. Lee - Keaschall aren’t out for the season. Pretty sure Willi will be OK into May/June without breaking down. Not really on the same page with your statement about Castro’s strength being “a defensive replacement”. His flexibility is big but he’s had 450 - 400 - 400 - 635 at bats the last 4 seasons ………hardly just a glove guy.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Rostering either one of Keaschall or Martin doesn’t preclude Castro & Miranda playing nearly every day. Not sure why Martin’s lack of hitting and Keaschall’s arm injury are a managerial issue? Keaschall being rostered, if he can’t safely throw, isn’t going to happen. I’ve been a proponent for him at 2B or 1B all winter……can’t roster a guy that can’t play defense unless he’s a Nelson Cruz level guy.
  15. JD-TWINS
    ………so he got pulled & rested before he could foul out……that’s great.
  16. JD-TWINS
    Miranda’s ills in ‘24 was due to his back……his shoulder was fine from end of ST forward. Castro will play 2B with Lee hurt and maybe with Lee healthy. Castro - Lee (initially at AAA) - Gasper - Julien ………maybe even Keaschall? All these guys are ahead of Martin at 2B as of today. Martin needs to go to St. Paul and hit more effectively - if he does that he can play LF as they face LH pitching - can pinch hit - can pinch run - can play as Larnach needs rest
  17. JD-TWINS
    Gasper, with relatively even splits, seems to be a PH guy & RH guy at DH. Julien will get a bunch of DH at bats and will play 2B when Castro goes to 3B or takes the once a month day off. Kiersey could be the guy to rest Buxton in CF when there’s a RH pitcher on the mound. Pinch runner - LH bat as PH?
  18. JD-TWINS
    Training staff is out smoking dope and playing hacky sack or cards while Lewis lifts weights endlessly and while Tonkin & Stewart & Lee blow off any stretching regimen - it’s obvious!!
  19. JD-TWINS
    Headline is SATIRE, so that leads one to believe it’s intended at humor. Many at TD think Lewis lifts weights all day w/o any training staff being involved & “that’s why he’s hurt all the time” …… etc. Nobody pays attention to Brock Stewart’s habits - they ignore Lee’s back issues and on and on……
  20. JD-TWINS
    Starting an inning and shutting the opposition down for 3 outs would be a great compliment to Alcala & Sands and company! Team isn’t desperate for multiple inning guy……..15-18 pitches per outing (3 outs) would be a nice habit for him to get into in middle innings. I agree - he could be a guy that evolves into a stopper role pretty quickly……get an out or two to get out of a pinch and then a follow-up inning. He’ll have some rough spots but I don’t see him not being effective out of the Pen in general.
  21. JD-TWINS
    I don’t have a bunch of stats but he did seem to be effective in a few relief appearances at end of ‘23 - at least a couple in prime time situations. Note from above calls out 12 relief innings late in ‘24 with 17-1 strikeout to walk ratio. Seems to me there should be a bit of optimism with Varland throwing to guys that only get to see him once in an outing. He comes off as a touch wild occasionally & he looks like he’s on speed in most of his outings - can’t make hitters very comfortable! I think his attention span plays better in one inning outings as well - his personality just seems to thrive in the one inning, let it fly, situations.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Thanks - seems his AB’s were routine and have now just stopped. Maybe he’s optioned to AAA already? Will have to look. Hoping he’s a big piece of our right side of infield or at least an option in 2nd half.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Making a conscious decision to move him to DH & 1B & emergency 3B is a way to handle time missed without disrupting the IF. Shifting to this type of “decentering” helps stabilize the defense while still maximizing Lewis bat potential when healthy. Future with Lee/Miranda - CC - Keaschall/Julien - Lewis/Miranda is a good infield at the plate and middle of the road defensively.
  24. JD-TWINS
    Can’t argue with this logic. Gasper as the last guy or two on the 26 man with a couple guys out injured seems to make a lot of sense due to reasons you state.
  25. JD-TWINS
    If that foul stat is right that’s hilarious! …..people thought his buddies were calling him “Hatch” but it was actually “Hack”😉
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