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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    He can probably sit with the team in the dugout, if that's the kind of playoff experience you want to give him. There are a few costs -- chiefly, one less 40-man spot to protect another player or claim/sign someone this winter. Also would make it more likely an option is used on Kirilloff in 2020. An offseason or spring training injury (a non-negligible risk with Kirilloff) could require him to go on the MLB DL and collect service time. Nothing insurmountable, if the guy is a ready phenom, but I have my doubts about that at the moment. Even if he quickly manages 2019 Cave/Schoop/Arraez/Adrianza level performance, but parks one of those guys on the bench, you haven't really gained anything.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't know -- there's a huge difference between AA (even playoffs) and MLB, especially the MLB postseason. And we're not to the point of starting LaMarre in the playoffs yet or anything -- I know everybody seems banged up right now, but I'd expect Cave to be back, at least. And Arraez can play the outfield with Schoop taking over 2B, and Adrianza as a capable reserve. (And I'd still expect one of Kepler, Buxton, and Marwin to make it back too.) Edit to add: we also may need a spot for Carved when Castro starts behind the plate... Are we really expecting Kirilloff to make some adjustment to be meaningfully better than Cave, Arraez, Schoop in just 3 weeks? By facing Detroit and KC pitchers, no less? I remember Kubel dominating multiple levels in 2004, including AAA, and even looking pretty good in his September MLB debut, only to get exposed pretty badly in ALDS Game 2 vs the Yankees...
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    I don't think so -- his minor league IL time doesn't count toward the 60: "time spent on a minor league 7-day Injured List or minor league 60-day Injured List does NOT count toward the minimum number of days a player must spend on an MLB Injured List if a player is recalled from an optional assignment" https://www.thecubreporter.com/book/export/html/3538 Basically, you can't recall a minor league player and then make their MLB IL placement retroactive. (Poppen last pitched in the minors on August 6 too, so even if it could be retroactive, he wouldn't be eligible to return until Oct. 6, two days after the start of the ALDS.)
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    True, but we only really have one at the moment (an eligible injured player to replace -- Gordon). Of course, any of Buxton, Marwin, Dyson, etc. could go on the IL too and become eligible for replacement -- but I'm guessing we want those guys in the postseason mix!
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Yankees hit 3 home runs yesterday, in their 144th game -- now up to 268...
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    I wouldn't think so -- Ober only had 78.2 innings this year, versus 75 innings last year.
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    No, they do not.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    Carlos Torres:
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    We're at home vs Washington, with the DH this week. Unless you are looking head to a possible World Series matchup!
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    It's not bad (121 wRC+), but it's not all that notable either. For example, De Aza had a .352/.432/.609 (165 wRC+) for Rochester in the same league.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    The spot could have been playoff eligible if they used it on a guy who was in the org on August 31st, and petitioned to replace an injured postseason eligible player like Gordon. (Like they would have to do for Miller or Graterol to make them postseason eligible, as neither was added to the 40-man until Sep. 1st.)
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    SteelDodo, you are correct, and Seth is incorrect. Rooker doesn't need a 40-man spot this winter, as he is not Rule 5 eligible until December 2020. Raley and Wiel at AAA are both Rule 5 eligible this winter, though. (Wiel was already eligible last winter and went unclaimed -- I wouldn't expect him to be protected this winter.)
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    Poppen is ineligible, since he just went on the 60-day DL on Sep. 1st.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    That post was incorrect. Pineda is eligible for the 2020 postseason. In fact, because his suspension was reduced, he would have even been eligible for the 2019 postseason if he had been able to serve his full 60 game suspension before then. Page 44 here: http://www.mlb.com/pa/pdf/jda.pdf "2. Any Player who is suspended for a violation of Sections 7.A, 7.E, 7.F, or 7.G.2 involving a Performance Enhancing Substance, or Section 7.B.3 or 7.B.4 involving a Stimulant, shall be barred from participating in the post-season (including, without limitation, being in uniform during his Club’s post-season games) during the season in which his suspension commenced even after completion of his suspension. A Player who began serving a 162-game suspension for a violation involving a Performance Enhancing Substance on the first day of a championship season also will be ineligible to participate in any tie-breaker games during that season after the completion of his suspension. Any Player who is suspended for a violation of the Minor League Drug Program involving a Performance Enhancing Substance that is also banned under the Program and is subsequently promoted to the 40-man roster is barred from participating in the Major League post-season that follows the season in which his suspension under the Minor League Drug Program commenced, even after completion of his suspension. Notwithstanding the foregoing, a Player will be permitted to participate in the post-season during the season in which his suspension commenced if the Arbitration Panel reduced the length of a Player’s suspension pursuant to Section 8.B.4 below based on its determination that the Player’s positive test result was not the result of his significant fault or negligence."
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    I think the postseason ineligibility only applies to the season in which the suspension starts. (This Twitter link to the agreement says "commenced") https://twitter.com/dohyoungpark/status/1170444742833954816?s=20 Although since he had the suspension reduced, he actually could have been eligible for this postseason, if he was able to serve his 60 days prior. Apparently the extra postseason ineligibility only applies to full 80 game, non-reduced suspensions?
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Severino will be in the pen, or a short starter (opener type). Although they have the bullpen quality to perhaps make up for that, especially if Betances comes back strong too -- although they're running out of time to find out, as both are just now making their season debuts in minor league rehab games.
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    In modern MLB, you might need that many relievers. Especially if a game goes extra innings.
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    Well, it's only been a little over a month that we've had Romo. I don't deny Rogers is our closer, and I don't think matchups will determine his usage much, except perhaps if/when Rogers enters in the 8th inning. But I think if Rogers goes 4+ outs in a game, or if (heaven forbid) Rogers struggles in a game, we might see Romo in a save opportunity the next night.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    Interesting. I know that comment came after a minor league game, but Graterol has yet to reach 100 MPH in either of his MLB appearances so far, per Gameday (Statcast). Topped out at 99.6 vs Detroit, then 99.5 last night vs Boston. Brooks Baseball (PitchF/X) has him hitting 100.0 exactly in his first and last pitches in the Detroit game, averaging 99.4, but only reaching 99.6 vs Boston with an average of 98.8. http://www.brooksbaseball.net/pfxVB/pfx.php?s_type=3&sp_type=1&batterX=0&year=2019&month=9&day=04&pitchSel=660813.xml&game=gid_2019_09_04_minmlb_bosmlb_1/&prevGame=gid_2019_09_04_minmlb_bosmlb_1/
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    I agree with this. The SP will probably get pulled even more aggressively in the postseason, leaving more innings for the bullpen.
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    FWIW, Romo has 3 saves since we acquired him, including one where Rogers pitched the 8th inning ahead of him.
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    So I assume the extra-innings-runner-starts-on-second rule doesn't apply to the minor league playoffs?
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    The Yankees actually have a higher HR rate on the road this season -- and the Twins have a much *lower* HR rate at home. But the biggest mitigating factor, by far, is that the Yankees don't have any more games remaining vs Baltimore! They had 7 in the last 30 days. Using their non-Baltimore rate from the last 30 days, they are still gaining on the Twins, but at a much, much lower rate, which projects them to still finish 9 back.
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    Well, the Yankees trail in HR by 10. But over the last 30 calendar days, the Yankees have out-homered the Twins by 20. Even accounting for the 2 extra games, they could make that up over the remaining 26 days. They don't have a tough schedule either. I guess I'd agree it's unlikely, but maybe not "very" unlikely. If those last-30-days HR rates continue over the remaining games, it could basically be a photo finish! (Twins 319, Yankees 317)
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    I'll echo the others, thanks for the minor league reports!
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