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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    Wow, I guess I forgot Escobar was part of the Liriano deal, which means the Pierzynski trade is still alive. That's crazy!
  2. Danchat
    Adding on to the comparisons: Playoffs: Rosario 6 games, .217/.250/.522 (.772 OPS) Buxton 3 games, .167/.167/.167 (.333 OPS) Sano 5 games, .105/.150/.263 (.413 OPS) Kepler 6 games, .056/.320/.375 (.431 OPS) Yuck. And Eddie's is with 0/7 vs the Astros! I'm not all aboard the Rosario train, but he's certainly not a bad player. He should be a 1.5-3 WAR player again in 2021. I wouldn't give him a multi-year extension, but I wouldn't hate it if he was tendered. I would like to get him back if we lose Cruz, but I'm also comfortable with the future of the LF spot with Kiriloff and Larnach close to being ready.
  3. Danchat
    I thought the same thing, but I don't really see much of a loss in losing a defense-only catcher prospect... unless he proves he can hit at a decent level, you can find that kind of guy for very cheap in the free agent market. Jax wasn't added and didn't get claimed last year, don't think he will this year. He's about to turn 26 and isn't regarded as much of a prospect, so we shouldn't lose him.
  4. Danchat
    It depends on if you count the Escobar extension (which was an A+ move by Arizona) - there were reports that the Twins offered Eddie an extension, but he declined, so they traded him. At the time this seemed like an underwhelming deal, but it's been encouraging to see Duran turn into a top 5 prospect. It's still anyone's guess if he pans out, but we needed to get these type of pitching prospects into the system. I think Maciel's ability to make contact and hold a high average will at least get him to the majors. I'd guess De La Trinidad doesn't make the big leagues.
  5. Danchat
    Balazovic should be a given, and I think the rest are unlikely. I could see Rortvedt as a reserve catcher, it'd make sense to have him in AAA as the 3rd or 4th catcher. He's likely major league ready defensively. The others are all likely safe from being drafted.
  6. Danchat
    I like the Ozuna addition. He seems like a guy who can still play in the outfield, which is fine since Buxton is usually hurt. Probably not a CF though. We need a bat like his to replace Cruz. Kluber for $10M?! He was already on the decline once Cleveland moved on from him, then he had shoulder surgery... I don't know if I'd give him anything more than a minor league deal. I would not be a fan of the bullpen if they trot this unit out with zero additions. Smeltzer and Waddell opening in the pen? Yikes.
  7. Danchat
    I like the claiming of Waddell - he looks like the classic starter moved to reliever and got much better results. Once he moved to relieving in AAA in 2019, his K/9 jumped up considerably. He got hurt by the juiced ball of 2019, but they should keep working on him as a reliever and see if he can eventually pan out. He's got 2 options remaining, which is a very nice thing to have. Gibaut looks like a bigger project to me, as he's always been a reliever from his first days in the minors, but he's consistently had problems with walks for a good chunk of his career. He's got one option year left, so that's nice, but it will be difficult to fix him. There's really nothing to lose here with these two, and there's no guarantee they'll be on the 40 man roster all winter/spring. They should certainly not be treated as replacements to Clippard/Romo/May, but more of Littell. And thankfully neither are out of options, so they can be stashed in AAA if need be.
  8. Danchat
    I like Littell, but I'd go with a MILB deal. I don't think he'll be taken in the Rule 5 draft, and even if he was, it wouldn't be a big deal. It was telling that no MLB team claimed him he was DFA'd...
  9. Danchat
    I'd like to try and get Cruz and Clippard back. I do want May back, but multi-year reliever deals so rarely work that I'd be cautious.
  10. Danchat
    Why would the worst team in baseball move a good starter for one year, $10M of Rosario?
  11. Danchat
    In a normal offseason I think Rosario gets tendered, but now it's really hard to see happening. Especially not with 3 1st round OFs nearing MLB readiness.
  12. Danchat
    With how close it was, I don’t think we win the division without Randy and/or Ryan. We don’t use pitcher wins very often here since it’s so heavily linked to run support and wins can be erased by the bullpen (see Maeda’s no hitter bid). Baseball reference has Randy at 0.4 WAR and Ryan at 0.3. It’s certainly a close call between the two.
  13. Danchat
    With Kepler and Polanco's contracts, the Twins would be getting back several players for them, and likely not a single veteran reliever.
  14. Danchat
    I dunno... even when Thorpe was giving up less walks and generated far more strikeouts in 2019, he was still getting hit hard. He simply throws too soft, doesn't have a great breaking ball, and had zero command (2020). I suppose he's a guy they could try moving to the bullpen full-time to see if he can get his fastball up a few notches, but at this point he has to be a DFA candidate. This FO gave up on Stephen Gonsalves rather quickly, and Thorpe might be in the same boat.
  15. Danchat
    I'm not sure what you were measuring there (discipline/swinging at pitches out of the zone), but I thought you flipped 120 for 210 ABs.
  16. Danchat
    He had 210 ABs this year...
  17. Danchat
    Yeah, Robbie Grossman is who I thought of as a comp for Wade. So far he hasn't hit well enough in the majors and has showed very little pop in the bat, so at best he's Grossman-lite. He'll walk a whole lot if given the chance, and appears to be a decent fielder at corner OF, but he's just depth at the moment. Kiriloff and Larnach will likely supplant him in 2021.
  18. Danchat
    I think Rooker will likely end up at 1B, and he's never played 3B/2B/SS before. He's going to be a below average fielder if he does play in LF or RF. I wouldn't count out Larnach making an impact in 2021, as he's done nothing but crush every level he's played at. I see him as a slightly better prospect than Kiriloff, who should also be in contention for a role early on. I wouldn't pencil in Lewis into a utility role to start off, I think he needs to prove he can hit at AAA. I'd like the Twins to sign a veteran who can play SS to replace Adrianza and try out the internal options for Marwin's spot (Blankenhorn, if Gordon is still around).
  19. Danchat
    If we lose Cruz, our offense is definitely going to suffer. Getting that type of production is rare, especially as he was our only hitter doing anything in the playoffs. I will understand the move if they think regression is coming... perhaps they could consider signing Michael Brantley from the Astros? That might be the only way to get a true replacement for him (minus the pop, but could play some LF/RF).
  20. Danchat
    Marwin was abysmal at the plate this year, and his best years in Houston were inflated by cheating. He is a quality defender at several spots, but we can't afford to have another black hole in the lineup. I'd certainly entertain Igelsias as an Adrianza replacement, and then go Blankenhorn/other internal option as a replacement for Gonzalez. (They may have to pay Iglesias a decent amount after he hit like crazy for the Orioles and is a quality fielder at SS. He hit .956 OPS this year even with little power! Impressive.)
  21. Danchat
    We had compiled some very long lists of baffling decisions Molitor has made back in the day. Baldelli's coaching hasn't been all that different IMO, outside of having a quicker hook on starters (Molly, on the other hand, would keep the starters in waaay too long) and resting players more frequently. I do think a manager's impact on the game is overrated, and the players need to go out there and player better. No matter the poor bullpen decisions on Rocco's part, they had no chance of winning that series when their offense scored 2 runs in 18 innings against the mediocre 29-31 Astros.
  22. Danchat
    It was a fun nickname, but it's time to move on. Having strong hitters who can consistently hit HRs is a viable strategy, but when most everyone is swinging for the fences and consistently coming short, then it's a problem.
  23. Danchat
    I didn't like seeing Berrios get pulled so early, but it wasn't the main reason we lost - this offense had no chance of winning this game with the amount of pathetic ABs they took. There were so many hittable pitches that they missed, even Cruz got a meatball right down the middle and he fouled right off. I'd say the players are mostly the issue, these guys aren't hitting when they need to! Other teams' lineups have been jumping all over good pitching so far in the playoffs, yet the Twins hitters don't have a clutch bone in any of their bodies outside of Cruz. Couldn't even hit a single HR, despite their moniker as the bomba squad! Rocco certainly did a poor job managing things, but you can't win ballgames when your offense scores 1 run per game.
  24. Danchat
    Wow, that looks like it took some work to crunch all those numbers. Nice article!
  25. Danchat
    They have some hitters who are close to ready. Kiriloff and Larnach in the OF, Rooker ideally as a 1B, Blankenhorn as a utility guy. Jeffers looks ready. Lewis needs to prove he can hit, but if he takes a step forward in 2021 he will be close. The pitching prospects seem to be a bit further off.
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