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Danchat

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Everything posted by Danchat

  1. Danchat
    I'd non-tender Tonkin, he's the type of guy I'd rather have on a minor league deal. Decent chance he'll be available later in the season on waivers anyways.
  2. Danchat
    What did he ever do to me? Well, he disappointed me by failing to live up to the hype of being a legitimately good reliever in 2013-17. So yeah, I guess I do have some beef with Tonkin! 😉
  3. Danchat
    Ed Donatell deserves some credit after Jones torched his defense two times in the last month of the 2022 season. Hopefully he got a thank-you card in the mail or something.
  4. Danchat
    Interesting, Nick had 10% odds on Adams getting protected, but now that I further examine the numbers I can see the logic behind it. He was solid his second time around in Wichita, and with his stuff hitting 97 MPH, I could also see him being a weapon if converted to the pen. And he's actually been durable, unlike a good chunk of our pitching prospects! I get not protecting Rosario, he could get claimed in a Baddoo-like situation but I think he's a year away from needing to be added. Methinks Olivar is also a year away. I don't see the worry with losing Moran, I'm surprised he wasn't a minor league free agent. He could have been claimed on waivers when he was outrighted. Not a big deal at all if we lose him, though they need to start adding lefty relievers in this organization. For that reason, it'd be nice to keep MacLeod.
  5. Danchat
    A lottery ticket by definition isn’t a “legit” prospect, the odds of Gil panning out were slim. And it’s not as if Cave was acquired to just be a bench player, he accrued 2.5 WAR over 530 PAs his first two years. The wheels started to come off after that but I can’t blame the front office for trading a low-odds prospect who won’t have his rookie season for another 6 years for a player who can help the current team. They lose the trade in hindsight, but the process is fine in my opinion. I’d greenlight the front office to acquire a MLB ready 4th outfielder prospect at the cost of a 19 year old non top 20 pitching prospect again.
  6. Danchat
    Big problem for the offense is no Darrisaw, they aren't run blocking the same without him. The run game hasn't been what it was since that early stretch, and they can only lean on the passing game so much. Defensively, they're legit (average of 9 points per game being allowed over the past 3 games), they have some issues in the secondary but they can mostly cover that up with their ability to shut down the run and rush the passer. I don't see them beating the buzzsaw that is Detroit but they can play a close game against any of the other NFC contenders right now. They are due for a letdown at some point as it's wild they are 8-2. My early guess is they lose next week to the Bears because they often slip up at Soldier Field and the Bears might be able to do something offensively now that they fired their OC. But nobody on the schedule really scares you, the Seahawks and Cardinals are decent teams and the Falcons are far more fraudulent than us. Packers run hot and cold.
  7. Danchat
    Nice guess, you were close. I predicted 23-9 and nearly had it.
  8. Danchat
    Yup, fully agree with the article. Varland belongs in the pen and the odds of Canterino or Prieplipp being able to build up to being starters are so low that they should be converted to relievers immediately. They're not starting depth if they can't go a few innings without getting rocked or don't have the durability to pitch 50 innings a season.
  9. Danchat
    It goes to show that they didn't believe that much in Severino and possibly were dissuaded by his middling season at AAA. There were opportunities to call him up at several points. My guess is the front office had already decided to cut bait at some point mid-season, so a few dozen PAs wasn't going to change that decision.
  10. Danchat
    It's been pretty astounding what Washington has been able to do on offense given how poor their receivers outside of McLaurin are and some shaky pieces on their OL. I would expect they swoon in the second half and address a bunch of their weaknesses in the offseason. Seems like the Eagles go hot or cold and they are hot right now, but as was mentioned if Hurts has to throw the ball consistently they will get exposed. I wonder if the hot or cold version of them shows up for the playoffs.
  11. Danchat
    Irvin made a poor decision signing a deal with a Korean team then, because back end starters still get a nice chunk of money on the open market these days. His numbers aren't terrible, but his situation is telling.
  12. Danchat
    The second half of your post explains why I care about Jax's first handful of starts - his stuff was far more hittable when he was trying to go multiple innings. I'm sure he has improved and tweaked his pitches in other respects, but the whole concept of "airing it out 1 inning at a time" and "adrenaline" is the reason why so many AAAA starters become good to great relievers. There is some recent precedent to relievers going back to being starters - Lugo and Littell (a guy who looked just like Jax as a starter) come to mind - but it's risky. Especially when we know that this team isn't going to sign a bullpen replacement in free agency.
  13. Danchat
    Why mess with success? Jax was an unmitigated disaster in the rotation and he was our best reliever last season. The bullpen needs more talent in it, not less. Feels like they might be prepping for trading one of their starters away.
  14. Danchat
    I saw a clarification on Fangraphs - Winder, Severino, Blewett, and Duarte all elected to hit free agency, whereas Dobnak returned to AAA.
  15. Danchat
    I thought they’d hold onto Winder and work on him as a reliever. He’ll definitely be back in the majors sooner than later for someone. Not shocked by Severino, they clearly don’t believe in him as they never called him up despite being on the 40 man. Probably is a AAAA hitter with no defensive home.
  16. Danchat
    He's getting maybe $10/12M a year in free agency, not getting $50M. He's a passable left tackle, but he didn't live up to the deal Jacksonville paid him and they knew they had no interest in bringing him back for a reason. Might have to settle for a one year deal.
  17. Danchat
    Same, both of those guys are free agents. I meant the free agent market, not the trade market.
  18. Danchat
    There are a couple passable names on the market - Charles Leno Jr and DJ Humphries would be fine placeholders. He's been a gameday inactive every week this year, so I think his first step forward would be as the swing tackle on gameday. I'm not opposed to him getting a chance, but I wouldn't throw him into the fire right away.
  19. Danchat
    They blitzed 55% of the snaps against the Lions, Goff was just as good against it as when they didn’t. Metellus played basically the whole Lions game at LB next to Pace and it looked like he did vs the Rams too. They need to get him back to his Swiss Army knife role when Cashman is back. Pace is also proving to be challenged as an every down player, he’s clearly more fit to be a rotational chess piece. And the there is the concerning usage of Dallas Turner, who might be looking at a best case scenario of a Year 2/3 breakout. Not surprising given he’s only 21 years old but it’s not a good look seeing Verse being top 10 in pressures and being taken 2 picks later. It helps that he is 24 and had a lot more college experience than Turner.
  20. Danchat
    I didn't see this kind of game from the defense coming - only 3 pressures from them IN THE ENTIRE GAME! Compared to 5 penalties from 1st downs. Hard to tell if scheme was the issue, just looked to me like they were out of gas after playing 4 days ago. The CBs looked bad, but that's kinda how it goes when you face 2 elite WRs and your pass rush blows. But it doesn't help that Gilmore and Murphy can't tackle. Gilmore looked like he was making business decisions on some of those attempts. The offense is frustrating as they continue to look amazing on scripted drives and then sputter out (6 points in 3 quarters is unacceptable). Darnold has been wringed for all of the talent he has, but deep down he is a middling starter. Getting in the plays late and all of the pre-snap penalties are beyond frustrating, O'Connell has to crack the whip. How Bradbury screws up so many times despite being a veteran is unfuriating. Despite this loss, I expect the Vikings to play .500 football down the stretch which still means 10/11 wins. The Colts/Jags/Titans aren't good and they're likely going to win 2 of the next 3 games. This team is poised for a first round playoff exit, I can smell it all the way from October to January.
  21. Danchat
    I recall hearing that they have one of the bigger analytic departments on payroll, for what it's worth.
  22. Danchat
    Seems like he is fairly qualified. There was quite a debate about Popkins when he was hired, and it seems the doubters were right, given that he didn’t seem qualified to be a major league hitting coach.
  23. Danchat
    My answers to these questions: 1) Bet on Duran rebounding. It's not weird for relievers to have off-years like this. 2) Do not count on Stewart being healthy for most of the season. If he is, consider it a nice bonus but don't plan around him. 3) Move Varland to the pen full-time as a one inning reliever and see what happens. Start him at AAA if necessary.
  24. Danchat
    Wow, didn’t think this would happen for a while. Clearly they’ve been thinking about this for a long time and evidently made up their minds this summer. Good riddance and hopefully we end up with an ownership that genuinely wants to build a perennial contender. Not asking for a miracle worker here, even average owners would be fine.
  25. Danchat
    Here's hoping his health holds up.
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