jmlease1
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Everything posted by jmlease1
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I think one of the biggest challenges in the minors this year is going to be deciding on mid-season promotions. There might be a bit of a logjam as they try to work through everyone coming off a non-season. Normally, someone like Javier might be really pushing to move up to better competition at AA now that he's showing something in high A at 22...but finding room is a big tougher.
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Game Recap: Twins 5, Astros 2
jmlease1 replied to Lucas Seehafer PT's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Nice game by the Twins. Actually got some hits with runners in scoring position! If you can't root for Nick Gordon right now, you have no soul. Love seeing him seize the opportunity he's getting right now and really happy he's healthy again. Good for him. I got nervous when Berrios gave up the second dinger. Looked like he was mad at himself for giving up the first one and didn't get himself locked back in. Those kind of lapses are what will keep Berrios from taking the next step as a pitcher, but I think he can still figure it out. I would not trade Berrios (even if the offers are huge) unless he's made it clear that he will leave in free agency. He should be an anchor for this pitching staff for the next 5 years, IMHO. -
Game Recap: Astros 6, Twins 4
jmlease1 replied to Thiéres Rabelo's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
dang, reading this thread the Twins should just cut everybody it sounds like. I get that everyone is frustrated and disappointed in this team (I am too), but there's a level of overreaction going on that's just silly. The team is bad. The bullpen has been bad all year, but they're not the only problem, not by a long shot. You've got a ton of injuries, horrid defense (and this team by any assessment should have improved on D), problematic pitching (worst ERA+ in baseball; it's not just the bullpen), and an unlucky offense (they're 12th in runs scored but 3rd in OPS+). That's a total breakdown that's frankly not predictable. This should have been a good team, but instead it's trash because literally everything that could go wrong has gone wrong. That doesn't take anyone off the hook for their personal performances but it also means you have to be careful about overreacting. Is firing the manager really going to do anything? (doubtful, because firing Rocco won't get anyone off the injured list) Is cutting Shoemaker going to help? (marginal at best; he only stuck in the rotation as long as he did because of injuries and it's not like there's much left to replace him in the 'pen until more people get healthy) Ober did a solid job last night, but let's not pretend he wasn't hittable; dude gave up 7 hits in 5 innings. More importantly, he's barely pitched in the last two years. only 16 innings in the minors this year, none last year (not even in the Saint Paul camp). So pulling him at 75 pitches was hardly outrageous. Alcala had been death against RHB all season...and he gives up a HR. another move that didn't work out. But do you blame Rocco for going to him against a righty? Lefties have been his problem and where he's been homer-happy. Leaving in Shoemaker for a second inning in a tied game makes sense considering the bullpen option and the fact that you're looking at a potential 10th inning if the team doesn't score. Even if we were using a traditional closer role, I'm not sure you see your closer come in at that point. It didn't work out, but in a vacuum it's not an unreasonable decision. It just didn't work out. Like damn near everything this year. Hell Kirilloff ripped the ball hard a couple of times and it ended up running right at guys. But he only got 1 hit, so maybe we should cut him too. -
Game Recap: Twins 7, Yankees 5
jmlease1 replied to Matthew Taylor's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I am so happy for Nick Gordon. He's had some really rough breaks the last two seasons, and it's great to see him get a shot to play in the majors and take full advantage of it. Did a nice job in CF, I thought, and if he can be a legitimate fill-in there his value goes up substantially. The question for me was never whether Gordon could play in MLB, it was really just whether he could get/stay healthy and how high his ceiling was. Really fun watching him show what he can do. (not thrilled to see another bloody injury, though. Hopefully this is relatively minor for Kirilloff) -
I'm a big fan of Alcala, but he's a guy who is still learning how to pitch (not unusual, really). He's got a great fastball and the slider plays very nicely too but he's still learning how to set up hitters to get the K. He's got the stuff to get it done and I think he has the mentality as well. If he can develop the change as the off-speed offering to throw at lefties to play off his excellent fastball, then I think he'll be a terrific weapon in the late innings.
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- taylor rogers
- jorge alcala
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All I want for Cavaco this season is for him to just play a lot. If we get these kinds of flashes, then great, but I just want him playing every damn day. Nice outing by Sands. He's an interesting prospect, should be fun to evaluate him later this summer to see where he's progressing. Miranda seems to have unlocked something. Team officials have been high on him for a while, so this is nice to see.
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- minnesota twins
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Defense Has Been Indefensible for Twins
jmlease1 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I still think Donaldson will net positive by the end of the year, assuming he plays enough, but seeing him make defensive mistakes is surprising. The OF defense has been disgusting. Injuries are responsible for a lot of it (Buxton makes everyone look better, and a healthy Kepler is more than reliable) but holy cow. And it seems like any time they've asked someone to step in they immediately make a bad botch (Blankenhorn, Celestino, et al) and so many of their errors have been impactful. Are any of the pitchers fielding their position well? Polanco has been pretty good at 2B, that move made sense and works. But this team should be quality on D and they've been trash. It's been a huge part of why this is such a disappointing team.- 7 replies
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- minnesota twins
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Minor League Report (6/6): Salvaging the Sweep
jmlease1 replied to Nash Walker's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Gleeman has reported a couple of times that Miranda is the prospect name that always comes up when he asks for a guy in the minors that people should get to know. Twins staff has been high on him for a while. Real possibility that his tools have come together in a way that applies on the field. Still early, but he's setting himself up to rise (eventual 3B replacement for Donaldson?). If he's able to control the strike zone and do damage on balls in the zone while limiting Ks like this, he'll be a nice prospect. Curious about his D. -
Week in Review: Still Sinking
jmlease1 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Why? Broxton has been bad in Saint Paul to date, has little to no future at 31, and simply can't hit. Celestino probably isn't ready to face MLB pitching, but he's a legit prospect with a good upside. Broxton isn't going to help the Twins out of this funk or save the season, so they're better off giving ABs to real prospects than guys who aren't good and aren't on the 40-man. celestino (despite his rough start) is a quality defensive player. let's see what he's got.- 43 replies
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- nick gordon
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Week in Review: Still Sinking
jmlease1 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's one thing to endure a season where the team stinks. We've been through that before. But usually that comes in a year where you looked at the team at the start of the season and needed rose-colored glasses to see them as competitors. Usually, you've known when they weren't likely to be any good. This team should have been good. The moves made sense. They didn't have a lot of holes. They appeared to have depth. They had a track record of success. They had a cadre of young, rising players. And yet, they stink. The starting pitching is a mess, the bullpen is incredibly unreliable, the lineup can't score late, the injuries are lengthy, and basically every bad thing that can possibly happen seems to be happening. I really thought this team was going to be a contender, and they're trash. And that's what's really hard to watch.- 43 replies
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- nick gordon
- matt shoemaker
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Minor League Report 6/5 Jordy Blaze Debuts
jmlease1 replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Great to see Balazovic hit the field. Sucks to see Canterino head to the IL. Cabezas is off to a nice start in A+; normally I would think 24 is a little old for the level, but this is an odd year with no minor league ball last year. Like to see the K-rate come up a bit more, but the H/9 is certainly good enough and his control looks solid. Be interesting to see if he becomes an emerging prospect this season -
It says something about this team that right now I see them give up a hit in the 9th and I'm immediately convinced they're gonna blow the lead. Not a lot of confidence in the bullpen these days...which I thought for sure was going to be solid going into the year. Hope the dinger from Sano is the start of another hot run for him.
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Trade or Extend? The Michael Pineda Conundrum
jmlease1 replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd extend him if you can get a reasonable deal. It's all well and good to say "trade him and re-sign him in the off-season" but that doesn't always work. (Escobar, anyone?) Consistent starting pitching is hard to find and it's good to have some veterans in the mix as you develop your young players. Pineda has been good for the Twins. the complicated thing on giving up on this season and making deals is are you rebuilding or reloading when you do it. The Twins have a bunch of young talent on the cusp of the majors (Kirilloff, Larnach, Duran, Jeffers, etc), which makes a full-on tear down more difficult. Most of the prospects the Twins will get back in any deal, even a good deal, are going to be at A-ball. that's just a reality. Are you better off trying to do a reset on a year where the team is let down by the bullpen and decimated by injuries or throw the early, cheap years of some of those young guys out the window by ensuring the team isn't a contender in 2022 and likely not in 2023 either? Pineda is the perfect example of where this is a challenge: he's a veteran, but he's not old (i.e., Happ). he's got value, but as a pending FA the return is a more limited because he's a rental with no guarantees. If you don't think he's part of the future, if you don't think he's needed as a bridge for guys like Duran, Canterino, et al, and you think you can get real talent for him...trading makes sense. I would go the other way. -
Examining Minnesota's Center Field Depth
jmlease1 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I still think Buxton is back and gets plenty of CF time, but Celestino will get a good look now that he's up. I doubt we see Broxton, Whitehead, or even Kerrigan. Frankly, I think there's more likelihood of seeing Nick Gordon in CF than any of these guys who are not on the 40-man right now. Celestino can defend out there and do it well; the question is whether his bat can stand up to quality pitching or if he's just an auto-out who can defend right now. But I feel good about his future. I still think the Twins stick with Buxton, but Celestino will definitely be a serious contender for the OF next season as his defense plays off the bench even if his bat doesn't develop as fast as we'd hope. Not seeing Royce Lewis get converted to OF yet, especially not coming off a significant injury. Seems foolish to ask someone to learn another position while trying to comeback from injury and not playing in real competition in 2 years.- 20 replies
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- gilberto celestino
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Twins Daily Minor League Hitter of the Month - May 2021
jmlease1 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Great month for Miranda, who is setting himself up to potentially replace Donaldson in the future. I especially like seeing the BB/K numbers he put up; if he can keep from being a K machine while doing damage on pitches in the zone he's going to be a heck of hitter. he's been one of those players I was really worried missing a year was going to harm, but so far he's rising to the challenge. good for him! AA can be where guys really separate themselves as players and he's off to a very nice start. I'm curious about Whitefield; the D must be there if he can compete for Celestino for time in CF and even get an emergency call-up to MLB, but those K's make me nervous. he had a solid month at the plate but that's a LOT of whiffs. -
Game Recap: Twins 3, Orioles 2
jmlease1 replied to Nate Palmer's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Because they'll still be on the hook for another $18M+ over this year and next (including the buy-out for 2023) and get absolutely nothing for it? Sano is playing poorly again at the plate, but it's not like he's blocking anyone from getting ABs they need with all the other injuries. You have to try to get what you can out of him. hells bells, even going badly he still takes some walks. -
5 Most Disappointing Minnesota Twins Players in May
jmlease1 replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'd have Duffey in above Alcala. Duffey had rotten control in April and followed it up by being too hittable in May. Alcala is still giving up too many dingers and hasn't become the dominant, shut-down righty we've been hoping for (yet), but he hasn't been bad and at least he's still only 25. Duffey has regressed badly and looks like just another guy out there. -
Game Recap: Royals 6, Twins 3
jmlease1 replied to David Youngs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So I got to see this one from CF, which was nice, even if the bats were mostly silent and the weather didn't warm up until the 9th, but any day at Target Field is a good one even when the good guys lose. Really surprised to see an error given to Shoemaker on a pickoff; from my vantage point it looked like Sano closed the glove early and dropped it (which was a shame, because he had the guy nailed). But Shoemaker being fine through 4 and coughing it up in the 5th is not a good outing. He was very hittable today , even with the clean sheets in innings 2-4. Twins showed good patience at the plate, but once they got guys on base the heart of the order just couldn't get it done. Sano is going to get hammered (and looked slow on his swing) but Cruz was bad too and Refsnyder looked like he might be turning back into a pumpkin. Kirilloff was one of the only people who consistently looked good at the plate today when swinging the bat. The ducks were hilarious, especially seeing Jarrod Dyson's bemused reactions. -
Game Recap: Twins 6, Royals 5
jmlease1 replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
the goal for the Twins right now is just to win series and get healthy and see where they're at come the All-Star break. Scrappy win like this is a necessity. Larnach is off to a nice start; his track record in the minors always suggested he would be a plus offensive player and he's living up to it right now. It will be interesting to see how well he adjusts in response to changes from upcoming pitchers: now that teams are going to have some MLB tape on his, things could get a bit tougher for him. It's that readjustment that kinda shows what a guy will do. But this is why we took a pass on over-paying Rosario. -
I just wonder if Jax will be able to get it done as a starter with only 2 pitches in MLB. When you can sit on the fastball and react to curve or vice versa, good hitters can really punish you. (see also, Buxton comma Byron) I'm a fan of his, but I wish he had one more pitch that he could effectively use to keep people off the slider and fastball. I'm ok with pitch counts on minor league pitchers in development, but 60 pitcher for Canterino is getting near the limit? Seems awfully low for the end of May, weather or no.
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Patience Important for On-Base Machine Edouard Julien
jmlease1 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Interesting player. I think the real key for him is going to be when he makes the leap to AA and starts facing more advanced pitchers, but with the minor league season not happening at all last year it's going to probably take longer to shake out who are real breakout prospects and who isn't. Julien's approach at the plate is impressive and it'll be fun to watch him progress. Strike zone recognition is an important skill and if he can can keep that up while doing damage on pitches in the zone, we will find a spot in the lineup for him. -
Game Recap: Twins 3, Orioles 2
jmlease1 replied to Andrew Thares's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I was happy to see Pineda get out of that jam in the 3rd, because he was only in because the home plate umpire was squeezing the plate on him. (I appreciated LaTroy & Dick calling it out; frustrating when they pretend it's not happening). Not a strong game behind the plate from that guy, definitely inconsistent. -
Game Recap: Twins 7, Orioles 4
jmlease1 replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Joking around with Bremer about nightcrawlers and Bremer's fishing? When LaTroy tries yukking it up with Bremer about that stuff it usually feels forced, isn't terribly funny, and isn't as interesting as maybe he thinks it is. I'm not going to be one of those "stick to baseball" people, but you can tell when LaTroy is going for the laugh line and it's a distraction from his good analysis (especially about pitching). There's no doubt that LaTroy is a more natural presence on the mic than Morneau and that he's more animated. But the attempts at the laugh lines were one of the worst things about late-period Blyleven, and I'd hate for LaTRoy (who is talented) to go down that road with forced jokes. He's funny and personable without going for the forced line. -
Miguel Sano’s Consistent Streakiness
jmlease1 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Sano has had a terrible March/April and a good May, but there's also some weird stuff in there to date. He's always been a player with pretty even splits, but this year he's gotten utterly destroyed by LHP, which has never been a problem before. Norm that out and his season looks a lot better. Contact levels and BA are low all over MLB, so in context Sano still looks frustrating to Twins fans but clearly there's plenty more where he came from. He's going to be a streaky hitter: it's who he is. But you can survive that. The contract the Twins signed with Sano is actually a smart one, because once he gets deep into his 30's and that bat speed slows down, he's almost certainly going to have longer cold streaks and shorter hot ones. But for now, he should be able to adjust and be a low-average, good on-base, great power performer who can play a solid 1B and cover you at 3B if needed. That's pretty good value. Yes, the K's can be maddening. But that's also part of the game right now. But he takes really good ABs, so it's not like he's flailing around. If they can find a way to keep him in a position to do damage on fastballs in the strike zone consistently...he's going to finish the year as an above-average 1B and an important power-producer in the Twins lineup. Will Kirilloff be ready to replace him? Sure, but as we've seen this year, you need depth. Trading Sano doesn't get you a lot in terms of MLB-ready talent; you're gonna get guys who are in A-ball with upside that will need time to develop. It makes no sense to me to trade Sano unless you think the team is a total disaster and needs a total tear-down, and I'm not convinced of that.

