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Jocko87

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Everything posted by Jocko87

  1. This is his greatest chance at a serviceable major league career. If he was functional at all other levels, the lack of confidence would indicate there is something there to tap. It can unlock both defense and offense. I don't see stud upside, but he was never that player type. He was a top 5 pick because he was just a pretty darn good ballplayer everywhere. He has to play at full speed to make that work. Make mistakes at full speed. We can't be forgetting how many outs there are. In many ways, he is emblematic of the entire failing last year. A little too much assuming and not enough of the grinding that got us here.
  2. The Twins have absolutely notified Sasaki that they are interested. Gotta shoot your shot, however slim it might seem. Something like 20 teams made a presentation to him which prompts the question, what the heck are those other teams thinking? Naw, we good?
  3. I think you've answered your own questions in this one simple statement. Why did they stop yanking starting pitching after two times through? Quite simply, they believed the talent had developed to the point they could handle it. This entire discussion really comes down to this-they don't believe the young hitters are good enough to regularly not be platooned. Thats it. Blame them for not developing hitters beyond AAAA, blame the hitters for not showing them what they want to see, it all comes back to this simple fact. If Rocco believed Wallner was ready to succeed against MLB left handed pitching, he would have been in there. Wallner currently has the best chance of taking Keplers spot as the sacrificial lefty, but he was also completely lost for a good part of last year. Kepler (and most lefties) was never great against lefties, but he wasn't going to pee down his leg. I think it's really that simple.
  4. Profar is the model, at least pre 2024 Profar. $1m signed in late February, had a great year. We don't want anything do with paying him this year. We don't want to pay $12m for Santana either. So what to do? Pick the best cheap veteran bat that kinda fits and make the kids beat him out. Unfortunately, the kids haven't really made Solano or Santana sweat for at bats. Nothing really matters if the kids don't forcibly take the playing time.
  5. I’d never heard Caleb described as a “tall boy” before. I had to check as it didn’t fit my visual memory. I didn’t realize I also qualified as a tall boy. Good for him getting another big league chance. They were sticking with him for a reason last year. Wishing him luck.
  6. What he said. Just because there isn't much news, does not mean we have to make what little news we have into big news. Also applies to life.
  7. Do we? Do we know this with any remote level of certainty to state it as gospel fact so strongly? We do not. We know nothing of the sort. Editorial standards are more important than editorializations.
  8. This is 1000% correct. “Dirty” books just represents an issue a buyer will need to address after a sale. As a debt/mess is passed on, so is the cost to fix that issue (if the buyer is savvy, that is). The entire point of an escrow period is for the buyer to identify any issues they need to have rectified or be compensated for prior to final closing. It’s no different than selling a house, just a much grander scale. Correa is like a very, very nice pool. Ripping that out would cause the buyer a bit of bother. As in, I don’t want this house anymore type bother. An Anthony Rendon is like the crumbling, moldy cesspool thing that used to be a pool. Ripping that out would be looked upon very favorably by a buyer. One good or bad player contract won’t do a ton to the overall value of the sale of a sports team so maybe a pool is too large of an example, but good examples are generally exaggerations. Ever wonder why franchises always sell for more than the last one? Rest assured that the Orioles sale had the Chris Davis contract was calculated into the price. That was small enough to be a rounding error but consider the sale of a franchise in financial trouble. These are the deals where MLB kicks in stadium money or something to entice the higher market price and maintain their values. It becomes a circle jerk at some point.
  9. I been sayin... This is a business discussion, not a baseball discussion. New owners of anything are delighted to take on long term spend if the terms are in their favor. Carlos Correa gets cheaper every year going forward. Replacement cost being what it is, not trading Correa, Buxton or Lopez would be a condition of my continuing interest in the purchase.
  10. That would imply that the regular articles are serious? That’s what we are pointing out, when the regular articles are chock full of sensationalization about nothing, tongue in cheek has no meaning. It’s not a comment on this article, it’s a comment on the editorial bent.
  11. The worst part is that it’s the editorial bent of the crack writing staff and not the actual fan base stirring it up.
  12. Elite mustache game. He’ll be a great coach someday.
  13. Journeyman reliever minor league free agents aren't really the same thing. He exercised an option in his contract for the release if I remember correctly so not much to be done. I wish the Red Sox luck on this one. Bold move.
  14. For him to go on a 2nd half run with someone else. TwinsDaily would have your head forever. It is a good premise though and had he been able to stay near that level there would have been several profitable exit options. It's a fickle thing and the player deserves as much blame as Falvey. If the best guy that got away got a 1 year basically veteran prove it deal to be a good defensiverole player, that ain't bad. I'm sure it's less than Max had envisioned as some point.
  15. TLDR- it was never a thing, in spite of our best efforts to make it so. Here are the reasons why it was never a thing, please click.
  16. Agreed Bregman is the top level comp, I see more than stats in the comp and can't think of a good one just a smidgen lower. Yes and no, 10 years under 2 WAR and like 9 teams. If he were at the level of "good" player he would have many less team hats. Argue with fangraphs if you like but they would have him between a role player and solid starter. Replacement level is kinda crappy.
  17. Bregmans 8-9 WAR years were 18-19, where Kelper was 4 WAR. What Lee could do in a juiced ball year would be interesting. He's the perfect player type that 20 doubles turn into home runs, in the Crawford boxes no less. I like my Bregman comp a lot. Big league regulars have career years too. Per fangraphs WAR definitions, 3-4 WAR is a "good" player, 4-5 is an all star. I think Lee settles is as a "good" player with upside for a big year or two.
  18. I think we agree completely on this but where I differ with alot of folks (not sure of you) is that a big league regular is enormous upside and not a failure to launch that many treat it. Not many Trouts out there. Folks, a big league regular is a lineup lock 3-4 WAR player. That puts him solidly are top 50-75 in the game. All of MLB. At 24 in his 3rd year of pro ball where he struggled initially at every level. My comp has always been Alex Bregman. I'll take it. Brooks will be just fine. In fact, all three will be just fine if they settle in as big league regulars. The dichotomy is that with all the fanfare Royce Lewis has received, he still has to prove he is a big league regular. My eternal hope is that Brooks Lee remains underrated in a Joe Mauer kind of way. Big league regular over a 15 year career is hall of fame stuff. I'll take it if that's what we call limited upside.
  19. I think the premise of this article is close but don’t think it applies to the Twins or pre-debut players nearly as much as presented. The recent baseball precedent that matters are named Shohei and Soto. True free agency in players primes is going the way of the dodo. Baseball just can’t afford billion dollar guaranteed contracts. Witt will be the way. There will certainly be more pre debut contracts passed out but the real market will be the sweet spot of major league extensions. 2nd year players are going to start getting a lot more extension interest. To me, it’s the sweet spot of knowing if someone is worth the investment. Pre-debut deals are pretty risky. It really highlights Falveys pitching and probably overall draft strategy. The selection of college players makes sense for a lot of reasons but mainly because you control the prime years and cut them loose on the long side of 30. Maybe a small extension to buy an extra year if it makes sense. They don’t do a ton of international 16yo probably for the same reason. When a Walker or Erod falls in your lap it’s a good problem but it’s a tough market to be deep in without deep pockets.
  20. But the leagues are also different animals in that this hasn’t been tried in a league where good seats are always available. The NFL and NBA are all technically sellouts, I’m fascinated to see how this works in baseball where attendance is desperately needed and capacity is abundant. If it drives the slightest bit of attendance on top of the volume increase it would be a home run.
  21. This is correct, it’s not that the Pohlads don’t want to step up, it’s that the cost to step up has increased exponentially at a time when their main businesses are flat at best. It’s the whole reason they are selling. They are priced out.
  22. Did I say something that would indicate I don’t understand the concept? There is a reason I’ve been advocating for it. And this is not a crappy once a week itsy bitsy dollar weenie. It’s a philosophy change.
  23. Mostly because bored media types need something to talk about. That’s it. We don’t know that the sudden change in payroll is related to a sale. They say it’s TV related which is believable but more believable is that it’s both. One or the other might not have done it but both at the same time make it unavoidable. A short term debt load has a much higher cost when part of the sale computations. A sale of any business is going to put a huge damper on major moves. An obvious easy decision is not a big deal, the MLB TV partnership already being a done deal is small potatoes-signing up for or moving on from a $150m contract is not. It’s my belief the sale has been in the works far longer than publicly stated and that simply puts the brakes on many things. It’s the same reason the Correa trade discussions are inane garbage. You don’t tear out the pool when you sell your house. Err, the new parts to assemble your pool are in that shed over there…have fun. That’s not what I bought.
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