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Jocko87

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Everything posted by Jocko87

  1. Jocko87
    Brent Rooker is on pace for 42 homers. A's on pace for 35 wins.
  2. Jocko87
    Another thing to keep in mind is that he doesn’t project as someone who’s stuff gets better going to the pen. His first time with the Dodgers he was just a really good pitcher who happened to also be good in the pen. There is a good chance he’ll never be that pitcher again. I’m much more comfortable with him figuring it out in the bullpen and being used in positive matchups while he gets right. When that move also frees up a rotation spot for Ober it becomes a lot more tempting.
  3. Jocko87
    Forever! When it’s not even the start of his third year of major league action. Had he not had some injuries we would know a lot more about him but forever is a long time. I’m fine with sending him down to solve a short term crunch but I don’t think he’s going to prove he can hit breaking balls at AAA. Hit straight ball very much!
  4. Jocko87
    While I agree that his track record as a starter is solid it doesn't exempt him from age and performance issues coming back from an injury. I think you are right at about 10 starts but the eye test is kinda telling for where we are heading. In the scenario that he goes to the bullpen it drastically improves the talent level throughout the staff. He's not necessarily just a long guy out of the pen and I think the rotating long guy still exists. If the net of change is Ober and the prospect rotation replacing say, Alcala and Pagan it would be very hard to not make that move for me.
  5. Jocko87
    I was wondering if they could get someone with a similar skill set that bats right handed and has options. Probably have to throw a prospect in to get the options but they could kill two birds with one stone here. It would cost quite a bit more than just Gordon but the Red's store has a Nick Senzel with three options possibly available. Former top 2 pick, plays all over, hits right handed and has not been good. Great comp for Gordon now that I think about it. I expect Castro to be on an Uber platinum subscription plan between Target and CHS field all year. That's the role he signed up for. I think his first trip will come when AK forces his way up. It would make sense to me that they can absorb a short term left handed overload rather than make that tough call on Gordon for at least a few weeks. After Cortes on Tuesday its another long stretch of righties. They might be able to make this dance work with Larnach and AK for a few weeks after Farmer comes back but once Lewis and Julian start beating the door down something significant will have to happen.
  6. Jocko87
    I agree 100%. Except I think you got the names backwards.
  7. Jocko87
    I'd have to think a rehab assignment would be warranted at a minimum. Maybe he can feel comfortable in simulated ABs but I'd hate to take my first swings back in the big leagues after that. That could get close to 60 days total and give a lot of flexibility on the rest of the roster. I have to assume that within a month he will be ready to play somewhere. For the overall roster the crunch is about to get real if Kirillof keeps hitting. Farmers absence eases it a bit but we start running into skillset issues as all the lefty corner bats are looking healthy. I would assume Castro for Kiriloff but after that it might be time for a tough decision on Gordon. I have a tough time keeping up with which long reliever/spot starter is up as I don't much care. Ober, Varland, SWR, Headrick, Winder and a bunch of bullpen names are on auto-rotate based on pitch counts etc. and I don't look at that as a roster crunch per se. We are a few root canals away from a real roster crunch where someone looses a job of the hitter side.
  8. Jocko87
    Noted power hitter Micheal A Taylor. Also noted the back brace/heat pad/massager thing on Correa lower back during one of the home run celebrations. Gotta keep it loose...😑
  9. Jocko87
    His key has always been power the other way. When he does that he's been a monster. All good signs but I wouldn't be surprised if they waiting a few more days just to see how he feels playing several in a row.
  10. Jocko87
    Aren't we all 😂
  11. Jocko87
    Taylor has been a pleasant surprise. I like him much better off the bench where Rocco can set matchups and pitch run or play late inning D. Maybe its how poor the rest of the lineup has been but for the most part he had passed the eye test for me. A solid player as expected. Then I few days ago I looked at his numbers and whoof. I will say I lean towards Buxton going to CF for the mental aspects for him. Agreed that there's no hurry to get someone else ABs. He seems the type that needs to distract himself between at bats and help defensively when he's not hitting to keep on the level. It may get him going but it doesn't fix anything for the rest of the lineup, although hitting is contagious I hear. Looked back at the prime Degrom years with the Mets. I don't remember how touted they were but yuck for hitters for the most part. Stars and scrubs with the stars fading or not developed. There are far too many capable hitters still in the mix here to struggle too long. The up the middle guys will hit-if they don't its a long year all around. Then the corner spots have options that can be rotated based on performance. Its about the best roster construction we could hope for and a really low probability that no one hits. I just hope they aren't as patient as they have been with lower performance but a manager is only as faithful as his options. I believe Rocco/FO will have a quicker hook this year for hitters.
  12. Jocko87
    Agreed but he can’t say the Twins haven’t given him every chance to start. Now in his last year here the Twins have the leverage.
  13. Jocko87
    I don't know that he was unhappy in the bullpen, the contract was heavily biased towards starting and he would certainly want to try to maximize that. No one will be able to say the the Twins didn't give him every chance to be a starter but after an excellent short season, a long TJ recovery and now fatigue its time to have the conversation. He has to perform, especially when there is very stiff competition. He can be a weapon out of the bullpen and Ober can get in the rotation. There is no such thing as too much pitching but there can be too much of the wrong type grouped at the wrong time. It puzzles me how the Marlins and the Reds can stink on ice but be like Oprah passing out pitching to everyone. I would be on the lookout for a trade from our starting pitcher reserves somewhere this year. Mahle more likely than Maeda but also Ober, Varland and SWR as the return would be much higher. Hell, throw a couple young starters, Kepler and Gordon at the Pirates for Bryan Reynolds and low prospects. Varland for a Burnes rental? A guy can dream.
  14. Jocko87
    This is true, but those guys in the 2 and 4 hole have to hit too. He's always hit when healthy at a very high level. If this procedure doesn't work we may be screwed and he may go the way of so many promising prospects before him. Meanwhile, we aren't waiting for a Ben Revere type to bloom. He will probably stay at AAA for awhile and not come up until he's raking again. I'm fine with that as it helps with the roster crunch issue as well. A month from now if he's OPS .900+ and driving the ball to left center we will forget we had this discussion. If not, maybe he's a tantalizing trade piece mid year.
  15. Jocko87
    37 games at AAA with an 1.145 OPS is prime Kiriloff. This is a different class as well. He earned every bit of patience he is getting and winning the bet gets you the L/H 3 hole hitter between Correa and Buxton for the next 4+ years. I'll wait.
  16. Jocko87
    Crazy that this is considered a long term deal but for the Twins it is. They should still be wary of the 7 year variety but this is right in the sweet spot of risk/reward that they should do every time. Had there been someone similar in the org previously we would likely have seen something like this before.
  17. Jocko87
    Highly unlikely that we see Paddack this year. Its his second Tommy John and with the Twins track record for caution plus the below quote from Paddack after signing the extension would all indicate hes not back this year. The depth helps here also, if there are so many injuries that he slots right in the season is probably lost already. Full health to start 2024 camp. “It’s a blessing,” Paddack said. “You put yourself in my situation, it takes a lot of pressure off of me. There’s a lot of weight lifted off of my shoulders. I don’t have to be that hero that has to come back in August or September that potentially could be risking my career [by] coming back early from an injury like this.”
  18. Jocko87
    Even players that only cost money have hidden costs. Now that money can't be used to sign someone else that might fall in your lap. As for Arreaz, its the relative value that matters most. In the Twins org he has much less value than the Marlins
  19. Jocko87
    Probably partially, as others mentioned Joe seems to be in it for the baseball rather than the business, and although he will still need to run a good business seeing the value of this move is probably much more obvious then to Jim as a busy billionaire doing other things. The FO has been trying to do these type things but they were stuck in the dollar store. The change is palpable and while still working hard for good value they are now at least in the Dior outlet store.
  20. Jocko87
    I was just wondering the same thing. There has been a noticeable difference over the past year that could be partly attributed to the Correa/Boras effect but this move seems like all owner. Makes me think Joe has been pretty involved behind the scenes and willing to do what it takes to maximize this window.
  21. Jocko87
    Very nice, and timely!
  22. Jocko87
    I firmly believe that down the road we will get more of the Mets story and it will make the front office look like geniuses. I would love to have a beer with Falvey and ask him when they figured out what the Mets were actually doing. Short version, Cohen is a hedge fund/asset guy who likes nothing more than a distressed asset that he can get value on. He understands you never negotiate with a distressed asset against the open market. The $315m could have been $400m and it never would have mattered. They were always going to renegotiate in the due diligence process based on the ankle. The poison pills we saw in their offers prove it to me. Plenty of luck involved to be sure but they already deserve a heck of a lot of credit for staying tuned and working it through the holidays. Nobody would have blamed them if they tuned out and took a long Christmas. It makes me think they knew something. There is also plenty that can't be said about the negotiations for quite a while. Lets just say I'll be watching the Mets and Boras clients closely going forward.
  23. Jocko87
    This was also Falvey's pattern in Cleveland for the most part.
  24. Jocko87
  25. Jocko87
    Very good summation. I posted a while back that they are on the cusp of the good luck/good work multiplier and coming on something really good. They have made a lot of the situations for the good luck as well with the patterns you described.
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