Cory Engelhardt

I think Adames has a LOT more value than Polanco, for what it's worth. But Polanco still has value.

It really does depend on the return in my opinion. It certainly won't at all be a salary dump, and I have to think someone will be coming back that will show it isn't just a completely sell-off. I'm curious if they do pair Polanco with a prospect, or if something comes back JUST for Polanco. Again, this offseason will be fascinating. :)

It's certainly not a perfect fit salary wise. But he is a full year removed from tommy john, and SHOULD be plenty motivated to reach free agency in 10ish months. The Twins would have to trade capital that would amount to equal what they think he would produce for them in 2024, along with knowing that they would get a pick once he leaves after receiving the QO next offseason (assuming that.) It's not substantial if you are comparing it to an arm with his kind of talent who has 3 years team control remaining, but it still would cost a bit. I'd be in favor of Glasnow being a Twin in 2024.

Carlos Baerga on instagram is reporting that Ohtani to the Blue Jays is done. I don't know if that is enough of a report, but it might be close. And it sure would be cool to see him in Toronto

Matthew, I know you say the Twins PROBABLY aren't in on any of those 4 names (I don't at all see Bieber or Cease, mostly for in-division trades of that level just aren't common) but if you had to guess, what type of names could you see them in on? Thanks for sharing your thoughts on the past decade as well. Your writing is very much appreciated. Have a great day!

I think this also shows that they need at least one starter, if not another 1 or 2 to start at St. Paul. BUT To me there is a LOT of potential for some of these guys to really be entrenched in the rotation by sometime early 2025. That's exciting :)

I do wish someone could help me understand; India is not as good a player as Polanco, so I have a hard time understanding the draw for a team who needs a 2b. If the choices are Polanco and India, the decision (to me) is an easy one, and it's Polanco. But yes, the front office will need to be creative in terms of how they acquire players this offseason.

It's exciting how Wichita will look this season, and there are a ton of guys that should fit this category. Good times in the organization. I'll add Pierson Ohl here too, but for THIS list, Festa and Cory Lewis are who I would bet on (not that I'm not betting on others.)

Farmer and Castro, probably, to start the year. Unless they KNOW they need more help with centerfield, then I can totally see Martin be up even opening day. I also think Martin, of the 3 you listed with Farmer, will get the most plate appearances out of these 4 listed in 2024. Good to have depth that can play multiple positions.

Luzardo would be incredible here. I don't know that they would trade him, but he is who I would shoot for here.

This is great Seth. Thanks!

Tigers lose Rodriguez. Arizona signs him for 4/80. Always thought he was pretty good. Good for the twins to get him out of the central

I wonder if Hoskins would also get time at dh and left field, to platoon with Miranda and Kirilloff. Especially if Kepler is traded and Wallner moves to right, I can’t say I know who is out there. But Kirilloff or Hoskins out there could work right, along with Martin or Castro. They certainly could use a legit power bat.

So Bobby Nightengale mentioned that Rhys Hoskins was connected to the Twins, as did Roy Smalley/Lavelle Neal on their chin music podcast. Just throwing this out, I do think getting a middle of the order bat would help transform this lineup. Thoughts? View full rumor

Could be 5. Their 1st, (21) the pick they got for Gray (33 or so) their 2nd (60ish) and a comp pick after the 2nd round (75ish) and then whenever their 3rd round pick would be. The numbers, other than 21, are just guesses

Absolutely. It's hard to count on him all the time based on what has happened almost every year of his career. But even him at 90% or 80% is a very good player. I'd be open to the idea of him (if healthy) moving to a corner outfield spot in time. But for now, today, he is healthy. And that's a good thing. Thanks!

I checked spotrac, and I had the wrong 2024 number for Margot. He is actually making 10 million, not 14. That brings my 2024 payroll number down closer to 137. Plus Margot is certainly very good insurance for CF. I also see I listed Jorge Alcala in the bullpen. I'm not expecting that necessarily. I do think they will have one of the bullpen spots be a rotating arm (Josh Winder, Brent Headrick, et al) that will act as a long arm.

1) Trade for Tyler Glasnow and Manual Margot. Most likely it will only be guys who are not currently on the 40 man, so probably something like Yasser Mercedes, one of the many young pitchers who will start at AA, and another lottery ticket. Taking on this salary from Tampa is agreed on and helps Tampa too. Getting one more year of Bally money helps pull the trigger on this deal. Both are only signed for 2024, and Glasnow should at minimum get the QO after 2024. 2) Trade Max Kepler to the Dodgers for 2 prospects, pitcher Maddux Bruns and OF Kendall George, their 17 and 14 prospect respectively. 3) Trade Jorge Polanco to Seattle for 2 prospects, including Cole Phillips (#15) and Michael Morales (#21.) 4) Trade Nick Gordon to Miami for a ptbnl. Give him a chance for a change of scenery. 5) Sign Ryne Stanek, 1 year 3.5 million. Former experience with the Rays and the Astros, along with a VERY good fastball, will be a welcome addition to the bullpen. 6) I do think they will be aggressive in the minor league contract phase, to get 1-2 starters added on incentive laden minor league deals. Someone like Eric Lauer (formerly Milwaukee) and Brad Keller (formerly KC) to help with depth at St. Paul. I do very much love the depth that is starting at Wichita, but they will need guys who can help right away if/when injuries occur. 7) I am going in here that Buxton and Miranda will both be healthy and ready to play. I don't know what the means for the full season, but if they are healthy and ready to contribute to CF and 1B, that REALLY helps the team. Kirilloff as well. Austin Martin and Willi Castro can handle/backup any position outside of 1b and catcher. 8) I keep Kyle Farmer on the roster because he is a great option to platoon with Julien at 2B, he has the ability to play SS, and he crushes lefties. My guess is, when Brooks Lee is ready is when a Farmer trade happens. 9) I keep Vazquez. Catching depth is important. I do think Camargo will get a chance at some point this year, as it's really difficult to predict to get through another year using only 2 catchers, so Vazquez is here for now too. 10) I really do like Varland, and I think for right now he profiles really well as a strong setup caliber arm. Maybe eventually, as a need comes about, he can shift back to the rotation. But he is a weapon in the bullpen, and that's where I think he goes. 11) The opening day payroll is still lower than 2023, but is closer to 140 million instead of 125. That's my guess on number. C: Ryan Jeffers ($2.30M) 1B: Alex Kirilloff ($1.70M) 2B: Eduoard Julien ($0.77M) 3B: Royce Lewis ($0.77M) SS: Carlos Correa ($33.33M) LF: Matt Wallner ($0.77M) CF: Byron Buxton ($15.00M) RF: Manual Margot ($14.00M) DH: Jose Miranda ($0.77M) 4th OF: Willi Castro ($3.20M) Utility: Austin Martin ($0.77M) Utility: Kyle Farmer ($6.60M) Backup C: Christian Vazquez ($10.00M) SP1: Pablo Lopez ($8.25M) SP2: Joe Ryan ($0.77M) SP3: Bailey Ober ($0.77M) SP4: Chris Paddack ($2.53M) SP5: Tyler Glasnow ($25.00M) RP: Jhoan Duran ($0.77M) RP: Brock Stewart ($0.77M) RP: Griffin Jax ($0.77M) RP: Jorge Alcala ($1.00M) RP: Caleb Thielbar ($3.00M) RP: Ryne Stanek ($3.50M) RP: Louie Varland ($0.77M) RP: Kody Funderburk ($0.77M) Payroll is 2.63% over budget

I mean, the majority of baseball is saying the same thing right? I feel like the winter meetings were a much bigger deal before there was social media and everyone had zoom and cell phones. It's still a really nice job fair, but it's not really a thing anymore that teams have their only chance to meet face to face with other organizations or with players/agents like it used to be. I'd imagine things pick up in the next 2 weeks, take a lull during the holidays and new years, and start again early-ish January, not just for the Twins but all teams.

It'll be interesting to see how much draft bonus pool money the Twins end up with, now having pick #21, a pick for Gray signing elsewhere for over 50 million, and a comp B pick after the 2nd round. They certainly can make some waves in the draft, and that's certainly a fun follow.

Which is why creativity is important right?

I've had a couple of thoughts over the last few days, and I just wanted to share them in this thread to get others' opinions. 1) Erick Fedde; I could see the Twins in on this. I know rumors are that it's down to the White Sox and Mets. I wouldn't be shocked if it is or is not the Twins, but I could see this. I also say this as I wouldn't at all expect it to be the primary addition this offseason. IF they get Fedde, I could absolutely see them rolling with a 6 man rotation to help watch the innings of Ober and Paddack, among others. Maybe less so Ober, but still, he had BY FAR his career high innings total in 2023, so I could see them not wanting him to blow past that number. I could be wrong. 2) With adding a pitcher, I keep coming back to, IF they truly are looking to add a front-line starter, to me that would spell more going after a guy who is currently a front-line starter, not someone who is a tweak away from potentially being that. So the YOUNGER Seattle guys (Woo, Miller) or some of the Marlins pitching (Cabrera) this wouldn't apply to. It also makes me think that Burnes or Glasnow, or even someone else not in trade rumors (Framber Valdez, Nestor Cortes, I'm just spitballing names) is more the hope for the way that was worded. The hope is to get someone who immediately starts game #2 in a playoff series over Joe Ryan (who in his own right was VERY good pre-injury 2023.) Am I crazy (don't answer that.) But I think that's what their goal is this time around. Worry less about the team control JUST for 2024, and worry more about filling the need of a playoff level starter. Thoughts?

I can see a scenario where he is picked yes. That said, hard to say if they will regret it or not without seeing the finished 40 man roster for this offseason. If he does get a chance with another organization, wish him well :)

This kind of move, if we were to trade for Paraedes (and Glasnow) would have me be fine having Julien go back. Lewis, I think, can then move to 2b, and Brooks Lee is probably more of a 3b than 2b anyway. Have Parades keep 3b warm until Lee is ready, and then have 1b/3b covered. I don’t know if the value is there though if we aren’t also bringing Glasnow in a deal like this. I can’t say I want to trade major trade assets for a hitter right now