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Cory Engelhardt

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Everything posted by Cory Engelhardt

  1. I do like the idea of zagging as a concept. I’m not sure it would be via the free agent route, but I like the thought process
  2. He is 26, and I would absolutely trade Lee to get Luzardo
  3. Ok, so Joe Ryan numbers I can pull. I HOPE I get this right :) Hard hit percentage 2021 = 29.2 2022 = 30.6 2023 = 32.6 so you are right, this has gone up each season. But he is still MUCH lower than either Gilbert or Kirby in this regard. See below. Homerun rate, which is that homerun percentage of flyballs? 2021` = 11.8 2022 = 9.5 2023 14.9 The 2023 number is crazy. Through June he was at 10.4 percent, and July onward he was 21.2%^ Get him back to the 10.4 percent, and that is a solid number. For comparisons, Logan Gilbert had this hard hit percentage 2021 = 44.6 2022 = 45.6 2023 = 44.6 Homerun rate for him 2021 = 10.9 2022 = 9.2 2023 = 13.3 George Kirby Hard hit rate 2022 = 38.0 2023 = 40.9 Homerun rate 2022 = 9.0 2023 = 10.7
  4. It's a measurement that Eno Sarris came up with in the Athletic. It combines your command and your pitch movement (someone correct me here) to show how overall your stuff plays. He was top 4 or 5 in all of AAA last year in terms of this ranking. Also, he did have a good run to really finish the year in St. Paul. Starting June 1 through the end of the season (14 starts) he was 7-1 with a 3.65 era, and in 79 innings he gave up only 61 hits, he did have 44 walks (that's really high?!?!) and had 68 k's. Get him to driveline this offseason, get his average fastball to 93-94, and I think you have something.
  5. So I started digging into the numbers a bit, and I got distracted. His 2nd half of 2023 was really bad, but his first half and his 2022 were about league average, even with his 2nd half of 2022, at least in terms of the homerun rate and the hard hit rates. I'll try to pull up numbers later tonight or tomorrow. Stupid work getting in the way of fun :)
  6. The swoon was a LOT worse this year, but that is fair.
  7. I do appreciate the creativity :)
  8. And see, pre-injury Ryan is better than he was in the postseason, no?
  9. His strikeout stuff is better than everyone you listed here.
  10. Here are 3 pitchers, through June of last year. Gilbert, 26 years old, 5-5, 92 1/3 innings, 93 k's, 12 homeruns, 19 walks, 79 hits, 4.19 era, 3.58 fip. Kirby, 25 years old, 6-7, 94 innings, 79 k's, 10 homeruns, 7 walks, 94 hits, 3.26 era, 3.24 fip Ryan, 27 years old, 8-5, 96 2/3 innings, 105 k's, 13 homeruns 15 walks, 79 hits, 3.44 era, 3.36 fip Healthy Joe Ryan was every bit as good as either of the other two last year through the end of July. IF he is healthy again, I have no reason to think that Ryan is a step below either of them. Ryan is a really good pitcher.
  11. This article makes me think Lopez would very much be in favor of a reunion. https://www.fishstripes.com/2023/4/5/23671102/pablo-lopez-jesus-luzardo-miami-reunion
  12. I guess I don’t see the twins trading Ryan or Ober personally. I certainly like their 2024 more than I like the Mariners young guys just for 2024. I very well could be wrong. I would absolutely have Festa go instead of one of them to Miami, but we will see if something unfolds here :)
  13. Great point. Pablo would be great to work with whoever they acquire. But a former teammate, that information would be invaluable
  14. I mean, if it takes Wallner and Julien, I bite that bullet. Or at least the parameters to that. Other pieces could be added on both sides in some ways, but Luzardo's arm talent is ace level. Is Luzardo a good teammate? I haven't heard anything to the contrary, but his ability is high end.
  15. IF, what Bobby Nightengale quoted, the Twins are pushing for a "high impact arm" to add to the rotation this offseason, I don't know that the players you mentioned fit that description. Possibly Garrett, but I wouldn't immediately put any of them otherwise ahead of Ryan and Ober. Luzardo I would.
  16. I just don't see the Twins moving Jeffers right now. That's all. Julien, I can see that.
  17. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2023/12/jesus-luzardo-drawing-trade-interest.html This isn't a specific Twins rumor, but I wanted to share this one and get people's thoughts; To me, getting Luzardo would give the Twins a HOMERUN offseason. His arm talent is undeniable. I'm certain the package would start with Lee or Julien, but he is the type of arm I would move a LOT for. Thoughts?
  18. I think SWR gets some starts even with another starter. They'll need 9 guys minimum to make starts this year. That's pretty typical across baseball, unless things go wrong, for a season.
  19. Good for the Royals and Tigers to add. They still have a ways to go
  20. SWR, I think he will get time in the majors, and frankly I like him as a STARTER more than I do Varland or Festa.
  21. Dan Hayes' article this morning did note that of Polanco, Kepler and Farmer, expect 2 of them to be traded this offseason. My guess is he has been told this. Now I'm just curious who of the 2 he is talking about? I ALMOST think it could be BOTH Kepler and Polanco then, but who knows.
  22. I hadn’t thought about Delmon for quite a while. Is he still getting in trouble? I’m nervous to Google it :) Also, I appreciate your writing. Thanks!
  23. Thank you for laying it out this way. I do see how it's arguable that Julien is at his peak value right now, which is why I would listen on him too. IF you can get a really good pitcher for him, I also really like your idea of Lee at 3b with Lewis moving to 2b (or at least, keeping Lewis on the infield.)
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