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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    True. OTOH many denizens of the 'pen are there because management has decided, "we're going to cut down your workload from your starter days, just go out there one inning at a time and bear down on every pitch." So I have a little less patience with a reliever who regularly catches too much of the heart of the plate. (That hanger Josh Hader served up to Miranda the other day is an example of what the top relievers do really, really infrequently.) Ditto for relievers who walk a lot of batters, in the name of avoiding those fat pitches. The tasks are less similar than might at first be assumed. And the difference between success and failure may hinge less on the ability to execute, and on the frequency of doing so. As you say, one bad pitch can take a while to counteract in the stats sheet, but those need to be infrequent in the first place, for the pitchers you hope to be difference-makers.
  2. ashbury
    Though we never thought that we could lose, there's no regret. If I had to do the same again, I would, my friend,. Fernando!
  3. ashbury
    Thinking of this Simpsons guy?
  4. ashbury
    That's a remarkably balanced outlook. Prepare for dissent from all sides.
  5. ashbury
    That's the idea. The homer was exciting, but three runs didn't make the win count more. Said another way, the value of something may be unrelated to the probability of it happening. And the value of the same event may differ based on the situation. There is some value in getting the job done then and there, rather than say a walk or a scratch single that leaves it to the next guy, and the guy after that if he fails, which WPA probably captures only in part, but that's getting pretty esoteric.
  6. ashbury
    Didn't mean to dismiss Miranda's accomplishment. He himself said in his interview that the pitcher hung one. The slo-mo was a thing of beauty to watch. I don't know Hader's arsenal to understand what he was trying to accomplish with a more successful version of the same pitch, but that one surely wasn't how the plan was drawn up.
  7. ashbury
    Disconcur. 8-year olds might be okay behind the plate with that assistance, but they haven't learned yet to hit the curveball.
  8. ashbury
    I forgot to set my watch. Thanks for the annual Jaime Garcia trade deadline article.
  9. ashbury
    Getting men on is a positive for WPA; failing to drive them in and making outs in the process are a negative. But teamwise it all balances out, just as though they'd gone down one-two-three. You can only score 0 runs once per inning. WPA won't satisfy anyone's lust for vengeance, I'm afraid.
  10. ashbury
    I doubt if Hader makes many pitches, over the course of a season, fatter than that one to Miranda .
  11. ashbury
    No-brainer if he falls.
  12. ashbury
    If I'm reading this thread right, here's the consensus: Convert Wallner To Umpire Who's with me?
  13. ashbury
    It was a kindness to the readership, though. I LOLed at least.
  14. ashbury
    But all things in moderation, amirite?
  15. ashbury
    Concur, which is why I was a little surprised you even went to 30.
  16. ashbury
    Made me look. In this most recent string of success, in 10 games his ERA of 0.00 is built on an OPS-against of .493. Surely that's not a level of performance that is sustainable; but I note that his batting average on balls in play is a very conventional .303 which does not by itself suggest a sequence of nothing but at'em balls.
  17. ashbury
    Since you went to all the trouble to map this out to 30 picks, I'm curious what would have been the result to go a few picks further and reach the Twins' second round choice. They haven't forfeited it, have they?
  18. ashbury
    I don't know what the threshold of excitement has to be. What's more important is whether he keeps learning, at each level. Some prospects hit a wall and can't keep progressing, others keep right on improving during their early to mid 20s. If he graduates to a new level each season and applies enough learning to keep up with his peers and maintain these same numbers you disdain, all while dodging injury, well, at age 25 he'd be in the majors and putting up league-average performance, with maybe a little room for more growth through the rest of his 20s. That would be a starting pitcher of significant value. And that's enough reason to be excited, while remaining cautiously optimistic; these are fuzzy terms (which often is the ultimate source of intractable disagreement) and aren't mutually exclusive. As with hurricane path tracking, the farther out you have to try to predict, the wider the range of outcomes - maybe Hurricane Cade makes landfall, maybe it doesn't. The article didn't claim that this young pitcher is a finished product; it implied that projection is exciting if you take the best case. I don't see a reason to push back. He's one among several who could be exciting, or more likely will fizzle. If you like following the minors, enjoy the excitement and let any eventual fizzle take care of itself. I was once keen on Anthony Slama, and I survived the disappointment when his hurricane turned seaward.
  19. ashbury

    Sano Situation

    ashbury commented on Doc Munson's blog entry in Fantasy GM

    Both the players suggested by the article are major leaguers, meaning that room for them both must be made on the 40-man roster. It's hard enough to figure out how to add Sano himself back to the 40 (he's off because of being on the injured list) - so I think any trade speculation needs to include the roster implications at the same time. What two current players get dropped from the 40-man to make room? (And I don't think they can both be pitchers, because I don't see our FO dropping a pitcher to add a hitter.) And then if room is made on the 40, you still have to decide whom to remove from the 26-man major league roster - a few of our current major leaguers have minor-league options but most either can't be sent to St Paul or else are performing too well for us to want to. I don't have a good answer to these questions and thus I don't see the proposed trade as solving anything practical.
  20. ashbury
    I had to go look. Somehow thought that BB must have been named as a substitute by the manager some year earlier. Fans vote for established names, but the manager sometimes give the nod to talent. But apparently the timing was never right, to match his admittedly short bursts of performance, to the midsummer classic. Ah well, I'm glad he got the recognition. And of course Arraez should enjoy the stamp of approval that he has arrived, too.
  21. ashbury
  22. ashbury
    Son Stashbury attended this and yesterday's game as part of his roadtrip. Seeing as how we witnessed one of the losses at Detroit with him as well, I think we need to ban him from attendance at any further games until we figure out the cause of this jinx. A depressing photo from the second inning, after the Calhoun home run had already been hit: Little did he realize that it would become more depressing later on.
  23. ashbury
    There is no reason to trade Jeffers just to bring in someone better. DFA Godoy to make room for Catcher X onto the 40-man roster Option Jeffers to St Paul Add Catcher X to the major league squad ???? Profit!
  24. ashbury
    Correct. He passed that threshold during the current season, in fact.
  25. ashbury
    Mays, McCovey, Marichal, Perry. 1962-1971. Pretty good core to base an extended run upon. We will struggle to find a core this good.
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