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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Did we win?
  2. ashbury
    Cueva de Jacob, going forward.
  3. ashbury
    Ow! is a word that comes out of nowhere!
  4. ashbury
    How much additional thought did you give to "allegoreality"?
  5. ashbury
  6. ashbury
    I think maybe it's fixed?
  7. ashbury
    Maybe we were in on him though. That has to count for something.
  8. ashbury
    Price for the first game you attend: $229. Free admission to any others you care to see.
  9. ashbury
    I had a great deal of respect for Terry Ryan and still do but it was about the time he uttered those words that I felt the game had passed him by.
  10. ashbury
    "Sometimes you just can't get them to take your money." -- Terry Ryan
  11. ashbury
    Many options for the drive from Denver to Sacramento. Looks like time will be tight. Reach out if you want suggestions other than the minimum time route your GPS will suggest.
  12. ashbury
    Yes, because elite arms are routinely found on the DFA list. We paid a little to jump the line.
  13. ashbury
    Key to such a plan is that the manager really has to manage. There are plenty of hidden pitfalls that I wouldn't be able to guess about but the manager will have to navigate in order to keep the staff healthy, productive and happy. One disgruntled pitcher could throw off the team's vibe.
  14. ashbury
    You're taking a Chance if you try to Tinker with what Evers happening this spring.
  15. ashbury
    $4M guarantee and mention of 40-man issues say to me it's a major league contract.
  16. ashbury
    Sometimes it's smart management to keep a player's sample size small.
  17. ashbury
    "Everybody" can benefit from crypto.
  18. ashbury
    Maybe try posting in a place the admins will see. There are instructions here:
  19. ashbury
    You were there too? How come you didn't stop by to say hello?
  20. ashbury
    Who else do you suppose the Pohlads have chosen as their supplier?
  21. ashbury
    b-ref.com splits page for the player provides another, related point of view. If you divide up his plate appearances between situations where the game is within 4 runs, or not within 4 runs, he racks up immensely more OPS value in the latter instances. Across the majors you might see 4-5% better OPS during garbage time, and that's sort of intuitive. It's not typical for a player to be 50% better. Almost all of Wallner's above-average OPS is built up when the game is more or less decided already. Without those PA he has a below-average OPS. It's statistically amazing, really. He's totaled just under 1000 PA by now, and the garbage time is basically 15%, but it's so off-the-charts that it moves up his overall numbers misleadingly. WPA is the only commonly cited stat I can think of that tips us off to look deeper into his splits. I'm not a hater. I'm a rooter. I'm rooting for Matt Wallner (and his coaches) to figure this out and make the majority of his appearances productive.
  22. ashbury
    He gave up earned runs in five consecutive appearances Sept 10-19, The 10 ER in those five games account for a large proportion of the 36 he gave up all year. He closed out the season with four games of one-inning scoreless ball. Exactly how to cherry-pick the extremely bad stretch, I don't know - it all counts - but for forecasting it suggests more confidence in him going forward than maybe the aggregate season numbers suggest.
  23. ashbury
    Howcum Plouffe didn't sprinkle the pixie dust and wave the magic wand on himself, back in the day?
  24. ashbury
    Those article are coming soon - when players report to camp. All of the Twins will be injury-free for the first time in years, and they all will be reporting In The Best Shape Of Their Life™. Every single one. Enjoy reading about it.
  25. ashbury
    Yeah. You can find relievers that way. Problem is the opportunity cost and the time it takes (measured in seasons) to sift through the candidates. By the time you have identified a few, some of them are approaching free agency and you need to deal them away or lose them. In effect you're doing the rich clubs' dirty work - they skim off the cream of the crop and you repeat the process. Life as a bottom feeder team isn't glamorous.
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