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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. I Was Today Years Old when I first heard of the NFL rule called unfair acts.
  2. It's even worse, by a few months, than you say, because when they sent him to the Arizona Fall League the off-season after they acquired him, he still was playing the majority of his innings at SS, with only 5 games in CF. This mistake is seared into my memory because it was one of the years I made the trip. Next season begins in October, for the prospects. It's frustrating for a long-time fan like me, who has very little inside-baseball knowledge, to feel like the professional talent evaluators were slower to reach the right conclusion. I would love to know what they were thinking - what they were seeing that I didn't. Better than the average human being at the necessary skills, sure; but good enough compared to other candidates?
  3. It's entirely possible he and his agent decide he's money ahead to accept the QO and then try for the multi-year contract a year hence; he'll get slightly better offers without the burden of the draft pick attached to him. This would be in a case where the agent estimates that the free-agency offers AAV will be somewhere in the neighborhood of the QO value, or of course lower. (The logic would not apply to someone expecting 6@$30M+ for instance.) Then you're paying top-dollar for a singles hitter for another year.
  4. Similar numbers with better defense (not that Castro is a Gold Glover at SS or anywhere else) means not similar players. Not sure why you're bringing up Willi, though. The question was why Arraez, with his lofty BA, doesn't score more runs. Especially given the dismissal of his low RBIs as not being part of his game and thus not even worth holding against him as a player overall. BA is important. It's what makes Luis Arraez a legitimate major leaguer. But BA is not the only measure of a player's offense.
  5. Season, after season, after season. Sign me up for trading for a player who's a little luckier than him.
  6. Look at their minor league results at similar ages. Neither comp is especially close with the bat I'm one of the bigger ERod skeptics at this site, and I was woofing for Kepler from the start, but Max was much less compelling as a prospect.
  7. I don't need to reach consensus on an exact amount. Another poster suggested something like 6/$200M, which is along the lines I was thinking, as the Buy It Now Price like on EBay to shut out all other buyers before the auction takes place. I just mostly wanted to make sure this angle is included in the overall thought process. I don't believe an extension would be team-friendly like 2 years for $20M apiece - not that anyone has mentioned that figure, but the conversation had seemed pretty sunny and casual on what "an extension" would mean to make a trade worthwhile. Even with new owners, a one-time splurge of another $30M per year on an extended contract would be a record setter for a pitcher for this franchise, and might be the limit of even their generosity, so it needs to be carefully considered by Falvey, in relation to other big-splash moves he might want to make instead. And I can't imagine the Pohlads signing off for $200M, until the new buyer has in turn signed off for their $2B or whatever. Trading for Cease now might have to happen without an extension in place.
  8. Folks keep saying this. What do you think are the basic outlines (years, AAV) of a contract offer that Dylan Cease would actually accept, one year away from free agency, from a new team like the Twins with whom he has no established relationship except as a divisional rival?
  9. Almost as though they had someone else's best interests at heart than the Twins. That's why you have to offer Vazquez as a sweetener along with Paddack.
  10. Yes. 😀 Not going to respond line by line, but on this one: the Twins got out-bid by Cleveland, who offered him $12M and he took it. Would you have gone to $13M to try to retain Santana? The player does have some say in the matter, once they earn rights to free-agency.
  11. Can't-miss prospects Byron Chourio and Jose Salas going to the Pads would carry a certain poetic symmetry. 😀
  12. Don't forget subpar performance and resultant demotions to the minors for extended periods.
  13. Has he learned to hit left-handed pitchers any better than when he was here? No he has not. This past season Manuel Margot did better against lefties than Luis did - almost exactly the same BA plus a little more pop - and Margot wasn't actually good. The Twins already have too many players who need to improve against LHP. Arraez isn't a good fit for the current roster, leaving us too vulnerable to the other manager's strategies.
  14. In unrelated news, I do not recommend visiting Kansas City when Riverbrian is in town.
  15. So... a market inefficiency for our team to exploit!!!1! 😀
  16. I hope you invested the $5.151M that b-r.com says you earned in your career, wisely, and are ready to step up to the next level!
  17. One of my favorite stadiums - the family-friendly energy in the concourse is infectious for me even though I'm well past the child-rearing stage of life. See this ballpark again while you can.
  18. Depends on whether you are Small Hall or Large Hall for the Cooperstown HoF. Depends on whether you think a local HoF should be as selective as the national one. Depends on whether you favor guys who proved their stardom via longevity, or by shining exceedingly brightly. Depends on whether you think there is one particular path to the HoF or that all kinds can coexist. Depends on whether stats should decide things or whether it's the person who is inducted. Answering these questions (and there are others - this isn't an exhaustive set) will help explain why there can be differences of opinion. Broadly, I'm a Large Hall guy, and when it comes to a particular team I'm even more expansive; let's celebrate our sport's and team's heritage rather than constantly denigrating really good players as "not good enough," and I would love there to be an additional tier called "Inner Circle." I tend to lean toward the guys who starred even if briefly (thus I look first at Wins Above Average on b-r.com, rather than Wins Above Replacement). I'm okay with including players that other people favor, at least to a certain extent. And finally I am very inclined to give extra "points" to a player for things not quite captured in the stats, even on the flimsy grounds that a guy was famous (in a good way of course) because it's a hall of FAME. People who disagree with me on these points aren't going to find agreement with me on the players I pick either. That's fine, otherwise it would be a boring world to have everyone in lockstep. So with that said, kudos to the Twins for choosing Corey, and congratulations to him! His career was a bit on the short side, but he excelled while here.
  19. While I don't fully subscribe to your assertion, I meant the latter anyway. Some deeper-pocketed team, that values prospects less than we have to, will raise whatever bet Falvey puts on the table.
  20. Um, yes? That was my point in providing the links. I think this is where I came into the discussion.
  21. Pretty sure this is not what "analytics" is saying. Pretty sure.
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