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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    There were 12 MLB players last year who scored 100 runs. It's not the norm for a team to have one. Of those 12 prolific run-scorers, the lowest number of Plate Appearances was 682. The closest our Twins had to that was utility guy Willi Castro at 635 and then Carlos Santana at 595. The dropoff in PA was steep after that, with Ryan Jeffers at #3 with 465. (The Yankees alone had 4 guys with more PA than our Castro, and a fifth guy almost.) The Twins' run scoring, slightly above average overall in tenth place in the majors, was spread around due to injuries and minor league demotions. If individual stats are your thing, the first order of business is getting their best players playing a full season. Those individual stats and honors will come.
  2. ashbury
    I could have, and perhaps should have, used Stevenson as the BABIP poster boy instead of Beckham. .383 BABIP in St Paul. .243 BABIP for Minnesota. Things tend to even out over time, but the length of time is often nontrivial, and what you end up with is "he sure laid an egg when he came back up to the majors" when really it was "he's on a hot tear at AAA that will be hard to sustain wherever he is, he's the same guy he always was."
  3. ashbury
    A 4 or 5?? There were only 55 pitchers who went 165 innings last season. That's just under 2 per team (Twins had Ober and Lopez). Not all those 55 pitchers kept their ERA at 4.00 or better, either. You might consider switching to grading on the curve. 😀
  4. ashbury
    Well, we showed our work. 😀
  5. ashbury
    I want to believe in DaShawn Keirsey. But his BABIP at AAA was closer to .400 than to .300, so it worries me that his good AAA numbers will be a mirage if given a legitimate shot in the majors. We saw that with Tim Beckham a couple of years ago, on a smaller scale, gaudy AAA stats followed by a horrific stint with the big club, leading some observers to gloat "you can't trust AAA numbers" while others gloated "just look at the BABIPs for both, the truth about Beckham lies somewhere in between." 😀 I also have a sense that Keirsey's an average CFer, by which I mean he is skilled but the bar at the major league level is set very high. If he doesn't hit, he can't hang on by depriving the opposing teams of runs that another CFer can't prevent. A projected WAR of 2.0 for a full-time player would mean "average major leaguer." That same WAR for a part-timer would be a real asset during his time on the field. Me, I'm afraid I have to take the under. That's a pretty rich projection for a player of his age still trying to establish himself.
  6. ashbury
    I can't quite tell if Bohorquez stands out because of his potential or because the rest of the Twins' arms in the FCL this year were lackluster.
  7. ashbury
    Rocco was a high first-round draft pick He reached the majors at age 21 and played full-time right away He finished third for Rookie of the Year He followed up with similar performance the next year but with injuries He was diagnosed with "channelopathy, a rare metabolic/muscular disorder which causes frequent soft tissue injuries and severe fatigue" (Wikipedia) He never could stay on the field after that and retired a few years later If you think that age 21-22 stats define a player's ceiling, I don't know what to say. He was a really good MLB hitter, and we never got to find out his peak. He wasn't some scrub who just hung on. If you don't like his managing style, fine but there's no reason to gaslight us on his playing days.
  8. ashbury
    Even more than that. If you want to pull the ball, go oppo now and then, like you say, so the opponents know you're not an easy out like that. Then you'll get more of the pitches you do want.
  9. ashbury
    If we're including coaches then Gene Glynn too. The article covered 1991 to the present, but here is the list of guys in the Minnesota era since 1961. The link below has the information like this for each number 0 through 99; I keep it on speed-dial. 13 Bill Tuttle, 1961-62 Rich Reese, 1964-65 John Roseboro, 1968-69 Dick Woodson, 1972-74 Tom Lundstedt, 1975 Mike Pagliarulo, 1991-93 Todd Walker, 1996 Jerry White, 1999-2012 (Coach) Jason Kubel, 2014 Gene Glynn, 2015-18 (Coach) Ehire Adrianza, 2019-20 Travis Blankenhorn, 2021 Trevor Larnach, 2022 Joey Gallo, 2023 Manuel Margot, 2024 https://milkeespress.com/twinsnumbers.html
  10. ashbury
    If you would, would you walk us through a typical day for you, Mr. St. Peter?
  11. ashbury
    Right, because Twins attendance sagged 250,000 when Arraez was unceremoniously shown the door. Attendance in his last season with the Twins, 2022, was 1,801,128, while in 2023 it dropped to 1,974,124. Wait, I may have miscounted something... 😀
  12. ashbury
    Hello Twins front office, if you are lurking, what's happening, ummm, yeah, I'm gonna need you to go ahead and, like, blink twice or something, and confirm that this is about how you see it, m'kay? That would be great. 😀 (Fantastic post.)
  13. ashbury
    I imagine some came close to par for 18 holes. 😀
  14. ashbury
    Most years, the spring headlines are, "Player X Arrives in Best Shape of Career." This year it's shaping up as, "40-Man Roster Arrives in Best Shape in Baseball History."
  15. ashbury
    Still holding out hope for Ricky Nolasco. Yeah, I think he moved out of the area a few years ago, but could come back for a sweet deal such as this.
  16. ashbury
    Always hilarious to me, that on first or second down the officials take a good guess and spot the ball where they feel it makes sense, but then later in the series it becomes necessary to measure with a micrometer and take a timeout for video replay to make sure they spotted it precisely. On fourth and inches, it could well have been the first down running play that was the difference but didn't get pinpointed. Football!
  17. ashbury
    I look at it this way. If a gun were held to his head and he had to vote for Ichiro, he would have filled out his ballot a certain way with 10 candidates. Now, go back to normal and absent the coercion, he leaves Ichiro off the ballot, and a specific Candidate #11 is added. His powers of prognostication are so good, he knows Ichiro will gain election regardless. What do these same mental powers tell him about his pet Candidate #11? Shouldn't they tell him it's a vain effort from the outset? Candidate #11 is never getting in. The HoF process was set up to let these voters choose 10 candidates, already a bit of slight overkill in order to assure no one worthy is not given plenty of opportunity. Enough with the Game Theory hijinks.
  18. ashbury
    I used to complain about the ads TD was subscribing to, until Brock took me aside and gently explained that they merely connect to the ad server, and it's the server checking my laptop's cookies that explains what I see. I stopped my kvetching. 😀 Later on I signed on with the Caretaker program.
  19. ashbury
    A shot, but it would have been a miracle play. The throw was a prayer, the receiver was off-balance. Woulda been one to remember.
  20. ashbury
    False. They drive Fords.
  21. ashbury
    Drake and Kendrick Lamar have nothing on Twins Daily.
  22. ashbury
    His arm isn't adequate for the most demanding positions, and yet the plays that stand out for me involve failings between the ears, and I dislike ever saying that. The AFL double-play ball I mentioned was a little underhand toss. There was a delayed decision on a throw to home this past season that cost a run. Those two stand out to me and I don't have positive memories on defense to balance that out for him.
  23. ashbury
    Gladden to Olson: "Drama Warrior." 😀
  24. ashbury
    They obviously did. However one play, an easy double-play grounder, was enough to convince me otherwise. The experts labored under the heavy disadvantage of having seen more of him. 😀
  25. ashbury
    Hilarity for three long counts at the line of scrimmage.
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