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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    13 at a minimum these days.
  2. ashbury
    I think it's also a clue that a trade for Dylan Cease isn't how 40-man spots will be opened
  3. ashbury
    Fair point. I think my purpose was more to explore the best case scenario, and show that even it isn't all that hot.
  4. ashbury
    Rocco (and/or the front office) will likely give him the chance to be that, nonetheless.
  5. ashbury
    The problem with playing platoon games is if you bat your righty 8th or 9th, he may get only one crack at the LHP before the opposing manager brings in the RHP long man from the bullpen in the fourth inning, to face precisely the batter you have in there to deter lefties. Is Bader good enough to lead off when a southpaw is starting? Questionable, even if he gives way to Larnach or Wallner by mid-game. He's better against lefties, but not actually "good."
  6. ashbury
    Get ready also for the Darth Bader jokes, unless I missed one in somebody's post already.
  7. ashbury
    Yikes indeed. This does reduce my enthusiasm. It's our Big Off-season Signing? Well, I wasn't expecting one anyway. I do expect Bader will contribute more than Margot did. Bader hit better in 2024 as a substitute than as a starter, so that already is auspicious.
  8. ashbury
    Much better than signing Canha.
  9. ashbury
    A waste of scarce financial resources. Just no.
  10. ashbury
    Um, Spring Training. Pretty sure .
  11. ashbury
    AKA the Margot Line. "To pinch hit, you must be hitting better than the guy you are replacing."
  12. ashbury
    Hardly any different than for batters. Be productive against opponents from one side, don't be unplayable against those from the other.
  13. ashbury
    Okay, anyone reasonably available. 😀 Trading a starter for Casas would approximately negate the win that I think the Arraez trade was.
  14. ashbury
    My impression is Casas isn't a very good fielder. I'm not sure there is a DH in the world I'd trade a major rotation arm for.
  15. ashbury
    In regard to the suggestions of using the 60-day IL, I believe that list remains dormant until the beginning of Spring Training. Might be as early as Pitchers and Catchers Report Day, but not today. Someone needs to be traded or DFAed to make room.
  16. ashbury
    PECOTA's guiding philosophy is this: if present trends continue, things will remain much as they are. It's not a bad way to base forecasts, but it isn't going to notice some player about to break out suddenly either. Look at their forecast for Brooks Lee as an example. (Not that I'm ready to declare him a 5 WAR player either.)
  17. ashbury
    If you like WHIP then why not go the next step and Include power, namely OPS-against or something similar?
  18. ashbury
    Yeah, no chance this offer gets outbid by one of the big boys such as the Mets who are also said to be kicking the tires on Cease. 😀
  19. ashbury
    Probably, but.
  20. ashbury
    "I'll gladly pay you Tuesday."
  21. ashbury
    I suppose if you analyze any team, and focus solely on the transactions made after Feb 1 each season, you could conclude that the team only picks up the scraps that are left over.
  22. ashbury
    If Solano is the best "bang for the buck", put me down for just maximum "bang". You can't build a winning roster $2M at a time, so a signing like this is nothing more than filler when a hole in the roster is perceived.
  23. ashbury
    If my salary affects my employer's bottom line, either I am very fortunate indeed or I need to be on the hunt for a new employer. 😀
  24. ashbury
    Unplayable against lefties, not a difference maker against righties, meager contribution on defense. Little wonder if he's on the verge of losing his 40-man spot. Hard pass.
  25. ashbury
    Yes, there is a lot of circularity to the analysis. Getting sent down to AAA, as Wallner managed to do, presents a real handicap toward getting the RBIs. (The missed time of course, but also the poor performance while he was up for this first stint. Once he was back up, his RBI rate was pretty good.) Hit well, stay healthy, take your chances on the counting stats at season's end. Not exactly a revolutionary recipe for success, eh?
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