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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    I've never met you but I love you, Madre Dos.
  2. ashbury
    Molitor's just keeping the seat on the bench warm for Torii.
  3. ashbury
    I am not givin' back my prize, if that is what you are hintin' at. / and I am not disputin' Chief's actual point
  4. ashbury
    Not a deal breaker, but when you move a player down the defensive spectrum, it means he's now competing for a job with players who are there more for their bat. Guys who can track a ball in the outfield, say, but lack the elite speed/vision/arm to play CF. Better defense in LF may play a small role in roster decisions, but not like it would have in CF. I don't think anyone is saying Rosario should change his batting approach if he's in LF; he should do whatever works best. But his batting skills may not be elite enough, compared to other options of players for that same position. And power will be one of the big difference makers. That's the sense I take such statements as "That means he’ll have to show he can hit for power." Not so much he should change, but can he do it? As for table setters for the power hitters who follow, I'll be happy to see the team solve that problem once it proves to be one.
  5. ashbury
    Sure hope that's not the case with Meyer. Indeed Meyer's being closer to the majors makes it harder to rank them, because perceived ceiling might not be the same as trade value, might not be the same as floor, might not... you see what I mean. I rank them for ceiling as Stewart, Berrios then Meyer. But that's colored a bit by the view that a #1 type often reaches the majors by an early age, and Meyer has passed that age threshold already. But it doesn't mean he can't or won't be really good. And by trade value, Meyer might be highest, depending on the trade partner and their wish for a MLB-ready starter.
  6. ashbury
    What I find interesting is that the Forbes survey of MLB team finances shows the Twins and Padres pretty closely matched for franchise value and annual revenue and profit. If they can do it, I'm hoping an off-season soon for the Twins will be like this, when the core has arrived.
  7. ashbury
    They should put that play on more often. I kind of like it. Catch the pitcher napping. As for the topic, I do want to cut out the reciprocal problems of batters stepping out constantly, and pitchers standing there so long the batter eventually calls time. But I also hate to think of some batter getting hurt by an inside pitch when he got something in his eye but couldn't step out to fix it and instead tried to tough it out. I selectively recall Mauer stepping out and doing the winky-blinky thing a lot, for example, and I don't think he's a guy who just messes around on the job.
  8. ashbury
    Contracts are forward looking documents, so past performance is interesting but irrelevant once negotiations begin. Well, if he's a guy you really really want to sign (as was the case with Mauer), there's some give and take in recognition of contributions so far. But, baseball's a business, and everyone in the business understands that young players are underpaid and you hit pay dirt several years in, and the pay dirt reflects estimated contributions going forward. The sums relevant to this discussion start at year 2010, IMO. Of course, left out of Fangraphs' dollar values are side issues like concession sales (jerseys with the name on the back) and butts-in-seats.
  9. ashbury
    bb-ref's main page shows it a little above that now, a $107.5M estimate.
  10. ashbury
    You re-posted that link just to get us to see this gem: NO, they should not trade Wilson Ramos, at least not for something as insignificant as a relief pitcher like Heath Bell! I see right through you.
  11. ashbury
    Somehow, it seems the opposite to me: that when the cupboard is bare of really top prospects it's the time to take chances, and when a wave is visibly on the way you want to make sure you come away with at least something.
  12. ashbury
    The Twins move to New Orleans, the Vikings follow suit to LA, the Timberwolves are contracted, the Twin Cities become a cold Omaha, 3M and Target go out of business as a result... Joe! Put that football down, I'm telling you!
  13. ashbury
    If, as you say, it's becoming a gray area in the entire industry, then maybe it's a topic for another book, but not an intentional misrepresentation in a book about GMs through history, as the word disingenuous suggests. And in that light... Moderator's note: Let's tone down the personal accusations, please.
  14. ashbury
    But we may be facing him in Game 7 this fall.
  15. ashbury
    WHAAAAAAAAAAT?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!
  16. ashbury
    Too many imponderables, so I'll go with Mauer and Hughes. / edit - missed that two names were wanted
  17. ashbury
    Give or take.
  18. ashbury
    IMO it's clearly a mechanism for batters to make sure they are composed and ready for each pitch. By now it's become simply a crutch, and/or evidence to a coach who has been on his case that his head is in the game. If the rules forbade it, they would all find a different mechanism instead (popping oneself on top of the helmet, for instance), and the game would move faster with no loss of focus by the batters. Ditto for pitchers who have developed similar routines between pitches, pawing at the mound and so forth. It's gotten out of hand on both sides, baseball has the ability to add a rule when things get out of hand, no big deal.
  19. ashbury
    From the article: “There was a six-pack of Falstaff in the refrigerator. We sat at the kitchen table, drank two beers apiece, and I haven’t had a drink since.” Two Falstaffs in a row could cause me to swear off beer too.
  20. ashbury
    Depends on what you think the purpose/meaning of a list like this is. Who was the best in 2014? Who will be the best in 2015? Who will be the best for longer than that? Who would return the most in trade? Who will... well, if they call it Top Ten Right Now!, right now it's February, so maybe they are predicting who will look best doing drills in sunny climes.
  21. ashbury
    I didn't try to say it wasn't useful. Just that it comes from a different perspective than a fan of the team might have, and might not have the interests of the team foremost. You can still glean something from it, and maybe understanding the difference in perspective forestalls a pointless argument about some conclusion drawn there.
  22. ashbury
    Forecasting is hard, whether it's done by eyeballing or by using a set procedure. I'm just saying that it's a judgement call at the moment whether to view 2014 as the outlier, when maybe in 2017 we'll look back and view 2013 as his sophomore jinx or something. It's a reason I've gotten less and less interested in ranked lists of this type.
  23. ashbury
    I guess it's obvious after you start reading it, but this article is written from a fantasy standpoint. Since it's all about relievers, it's mostly on an equal footing, one player and another. But it's looking at things strictly from a 2015 stats perspective, I believe, and thus bigger-picture issues such as giving playing time to guys like Pelfrey are not considered.
  24. ashbury
    A career high WAR by a 24 year old. Imagine that.
  25. ashbury
    Wouldn't be the first off-by-one bug I ever introduced.
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