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Doctor Gast

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Everything posted by Doctor Gast

  1. Doctor Gast
    For us having Correa, Lopez & the core that we had & not win, is reason enough for this FO to be out the door but not Falvey, he got a promotion! What good paying Correa & Lopez big bucks if Falvey can't field a competitive team by making the right trades?
  2. Doctor Gast
    What I hope will happen & what I expect will happen are 2 completely different ideas. Although our core to start this offseason isn't as good as last year, it's still pretty good. So a couple of minor essential trades like last offseason would fix it but like last offseason, I don't expect them to viably address these needs. I expect them to trade players we need to afford players we don't need just to say they did something & to feed the hype. I'd hope they let our in-house players to grow in the less essential positions (cOF & 1B) & trade for at least a cheaper middle-of-the-rotation inning-eating SP to replace Paddack ($7.5M), 2 would even be better. $7.5M is cheap for Paddack so I'd hope they'd get something good for him even with the Fire Sale sign out. He'd be the easiest player to salary dump. I'd also push CO hard to convince them they could use Dobnak ($4M). A LHRP would also be nice & we desperately need a very good young MLB-ready catcher. We have the players & prospects we need to trade so let's do it. I don't expect them to do any of this. Falvey is absolutely terrible to initiate trades. But he's also the luckiest, that players do fall into his lap. Outside a miracle of Roki Sasaki fall into our laps or some FO offer a mutually beneficial trade, I expect maybe even worse than last year if they move Vazquez, and for years to come because the Twins has absolutely no foundation at catching. So what I expect even with a very promising core to again be out of contention but this time before the deadline. If we can't compete so why pay Correa & Lopez's salaries? We just as well blow everything up & add to an already bloated farm.
  3. Doctor Gast
    The best bat is Hays but $6.4M is the same price that many complained about Castro's. IMO there's no comparison. Everybody here are saying the same thing that I was going to say. I'll just add stop looking for another expensive Margot that nobody wants to pay for, like last season, while the best solution is in-house. (RH) Buxton we have (LH) Keirsey, to cover the corners we have (BH) Castro & (RH) Martin. We have (RH) Martin, Helman & Keaschal that we can rotate from AAA to MLB, to cover the few LHPs that we face. Again I'll say I'd rather have no action than a bad action. Last offseason I'd rather them do nothing than the actions they did do.
  4. Doctor Gast
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ijr9gTviMl0 Finally, someone who shares the same opinion as me. Last deadline I suggested Frankie Montas as a SP option. I stated that Montas was the same formula as Sonny Gray. Good years with OAK, bad years with NYY, rebound with CIN & like Gray surge with MN. Montas was traded to MIL, his ERA was up & down but his K/9 was very interesting. I was blasted for suggesting Montas much like NYM was for signing Montas now. NYM was able to take another former good OAK SP that was floundering SP Sean Manaea & was able to rejuvenate him. IMO Montas is close to 100% & is able to add a few extra clicks on his fast with a team like MN & become a very good pitcher. I predict Montas to have a very good season. Now I didn't expect MN to sign Montas for what he got but I was hoping that like last year, Montas wouldn't be signed right away & settle for a much lower salary.
  5. Doctor Gast
    Yes absolutely make a serious move on Roki Sasaki. He can add a lot to this rotation w/o affecting our payroll plus just think of the ridiculous added Japanese revenue! We have a friendly atmosphere (just ask Maeda), top pitching development, a great core that needs a pitcher like him to launch them deep in the playoffs, & he doesn't have to be overshadowed by a slew of other players. I wouldn't trade Lopez unless we are ready to blow this all up. Which if we get Sasaki that won't be the case. It doesn't make sense to unload a needed reasonably affordable team-friendly frontline SP for older expensive gambles who probably don't want to come here.
  6. Doctor Gast
    WOW! 63 That's young, what a pity. Zimmerman was much better than WAR shows. WAR is a terrible way to measure a catcher's worth. But IMO Jeffers has been our best backup catcher, when used in this backup catcher role his #s are great, The more Jeffers was used as a starting catcher the worse his numbers got.
  7. Doctor Gast
    The poster child Duran, was great in '22 & '23 with LOB. In '24, this could be explained by early injury & normal regression. But it could also be an overall drop in chemistry & some discouragement on Duran's part for not being considered for SP duties. Duran has been used strictly as an unglamorous yet very important fireman role. IMO we should stop looking at players as #s on a spreadsheet. IMO we should elevate Duran solely as a more glamourous closer. It makes sense both statically low LOB, & esteem wise for Duran to regain more of that fire & little skip that he once had especially with the talk that Jax is considered for SP. This down click has added fire to trading Duran during this Twins proclaimed Fire Sale. IMO for our & Duran's sake we don't do this. If handled right Duran can at least regain most of his former glory.
  8. Doctor Gast
    What I mean by patience is seeing a need & a potential player who can fill that need & having the patience to let the player grow into that position. I'm absolutely against hoarding a certain type of player like Rooker, by all means, trade redundant players. I have no patience for this.
  9. Doctor Gast
    I love your article, Tom. You're spot on. People can twist stats around to get them to say anything they want them to say. IMO, many stats are biased, and even if they don't like what they say, they can even manipulate them to accommodate their philosophy. If they are Sano-type hitters, they are very unlucky, but if they are Arraez-type hitters, they are very lucky. IMO what is important is the stat Wins/ Losses. A team that wins close games isn't necessarily lucky. It means that the team has clutch players who can come through when the game is on the line. Many believe that if they hit a bunch of HRs & that those HRs = wins. Not so. Odds are that those who focus on hitting HRs will do so when it doesn't matter & make an out when it does. You might be strong & have the technique but unless a pitcher gives you a pitch to mash you're out of luck. IMO performing in the clutch is an ability not necessarily luck (things like chemistry might enter in). You have players when the game is on the line they come alive. They may be average or even poor during the season but watch out when the lights come on. You might show the stats that the Twins weren't so bad. But IMO the Twins lacked the chemistry to generate clutch performances especially when it mattered the most. We had chemistry in '23, we messed with that in '24. "Weird" analytics where defense at 1B was much more important than offense & offense was much more important at catching than defense, odds of Margot finally getting a pinch-hit hit was enormous, prevailed. Analytics has its place but it shouldn't replace the heart & soul of the game.
  10. Doctor Gast
    I'm in favor of pushing back the starting time for MN back. That they even start their season in warm places & delay their Target field season opener. Because it's too cold for the team to really get going. Why don't they take that into consideration when establishing the schedule? IMO rest days aren't necessary, a smart manager should be able to manage that. I applaud your idea of trying to improve the game.
  11. Doctor Gast
    I wasn't in favor of the trade but it wasn't because of Rooker, It was because the organization was full of big bats, and poor gloves. & the BP desperately needed Rogers. Rooker left the Twins' approach to a more favorable one. Sano didn't adjust, fortunately, Rooker did. Also a lot should be said of having patience & opportunity. A lesson any team should learn.
  12. Doctor Gast
    Great logic Topgun. And you put a lot of thought into it. Besides Jax, I agree with you about our need for a very good young MLB-ready catcher. Some avenues like LAD, SEA, MIL & BAL have these types of catchers who are blocked. I really like Duran & SWR but I'm open to moving them if it lands a Teel. While others like BOS, COL & maybe AZ we'd need to offer Jeffers as a veteran replacement for the catcher we are targeting along with any other players offered. IMO we shouldn't give up on Roki Sasaki. He has a lot of potential in many ways & we have a lot to offer. We can be winners while he is with us, we have very good pitching development. Maeda did well here. he has less people to share the spotlight with and does anyone knows how much money we have allotted for the International Draft? IMO he'll go to SD but we need to at least try.
  13. Doctor Gast
    We are nowhere close to having too many SPs. We have 3 established veteran SPs, who are not immune to injuries, the rest relying on rookie SP isn't sound. Most logical spot of cutting is Paddack & I still doubt that he can't give you more innings than Jax. Jax is where he is because he works hard. is determined & is regimented. IMO Jax can make that transition. There have been a few that have been successful in that attempt. One that I know that did not was AJ Pukk. MIA gave him a short shot at SP, it didn't work out exactly the way they wanted, they put him back in the BP & was better then ever. IMO a target should not be placed on Jax. Putting 150 innings as a standard is stupid. The goal should be getting the most quality innings as we can from him. IMO the risk of Jax of becoming discontent is greater than him not making it as a SP & flounder. If he wants to be a SP, he should be given that chance. Jax & Duran made that transition from SP to high leverage RP. IMO there are others out there who also could do that for us. If Jax believes he can, we need to trust that.
  14. Doctor Gast
    IMO for trades it's best to see what we need & go out there right away before the feeding frenzy that comes after teams don't get what they want. Although Falvey loves FA & wait out everybody until everything is gone & settle for scrapes, IMO it's not a favorable way for a team especially with a budget problem.
  15. Doctor Gast
    Hi Nash, we have a great core like last season. Our biggest hole is at GM who can make viable & essential trades.
  16. Doctor Gast
    I was thinking the same thing but I didn't have the info really to form an opinion. So thank you Eric for providing that. IMO Sandoval would be a good fit for MN. Since he'll be used as basically as a RP in '25 IMO we should offer him $2M like Cody suggested & then $5M in '26 to prove it. I hate to trade Lopez but if that's in the cards we could have an option for '27. Just like you said he could really benefit in his development here in MN. I really don't like paying SP full price while they are rehabbing as they did with Pineda & Paddack.
  17. Doctor Gast
    When I look at him I can't help but see a young LH Aaron Judge. I like the idea of the Twins have 1st started him out as being a good hitter & developing his swing instead of making him into a SO machine. The HRs will come.
  18. Doctor Gast
    Last offseason there was a lot of hype that Paddack was replacing Gray & that he'd pitch 140+ innings & DeSclavani was our answer. All that was based on the unrealistic hope that their arms weren't going to fall off. & IMO we were fortunate that only DeSclvani, Paddack & Ryan went down. & if we had gone into the postseason we'd go into it with a tired Lopez & Ober & totally gassed Simmy (how extensively they used him I'm awed that he didn't end up with arm problems). Twins & many fans had given up on Simmy but he saved us from a more embarrassing season. I really like our rotation. Our top 3 have established themselves (Ryan isn't a middle-of-the-rotation SP. he's top-end). I'm a big fan of Simmy, I didn't ever give up on him but being realistic he might have to do some readjusting to the league adjusting to him. That takes some time but he'll plow through that. Paddack will be one more year removed from his TJ & he has value but he's the easiest avenue to cut the budget & easiest to replace. I'm surprised too that he hasn't been traded already (he can fit into any competing rotation that has some money) so we can more efficiently plan for '25. Although we have an established top 3, we are not immuned to injuries, & IMO being so dependent on a sophomore SP & a bunch of rookies for our depth is foolhardy. Last season we started it on unrealistic hopes that was doomed to fail. We are not that deep in dependable SPs (yes a lot of upside but not dependable) haven't completely filled the Gray hole & we need to fill the Paddack hole. IMO we need at least another good dependable SP to begin the season & that should be our main focus.
  19. Doctor Gast
    Emma & Julien had simular approaches. Julien was ignored while in the MiLB. So he got by, by not having to adjust & had success his rookie season. His sophomore year the league was ready for him & he had a lot of trouble adjusting. Everybody knows Emma, they'll be ready for him when he comes up. So he'll have to make those changes now, that's the name of the game, adjusting. Umpires won't be easy on him.
  20. Doctor Gast
    Sooner or later he'll have to make that change at the MLB level. IMO sooner is better even if it delays his calling up. Larnach? has adjusted, Wallner? kind of, Julien? no, Emma? IMO he can adjust & still have the power. Looking forward for him to make that final adjustment & make a big splash for the Twins this year.
  21. Doctor Gast
    I don't have much hope for Julien at 2B, but Lewis could be starting there, that leaves Lee, Castro & IMO Martin, Helman & later Keuschal could do the the job. We have Lee, Castro, Lewis & Miranda at 3B. We have Correa, Lee, Castro & maybe Lewis (?) at SS, I don't think we need Tena. I'd like someone a little better than Lee at SS but we can manage.
  22. Doctor Gast
    There is without a doubt for a GM priority is to put together a great group below him that can do great unbiased & individual player evaluations & development. To keep everything internal, especially for smaller markets is a very good goal. I'm also all in for all viable in-house young players to get a chance to prove themselves. Any team is bound to have weak points that needs to be strengthen especially if there is a competitive window. IMO & pertaining to this thread the best way to do that is via trade using the surplus expendable young players we have opposed to expensive FA. IMO it makes much more sense to develop a top defensive catcher opposed to signing one in FA.
  23. Doctor Gast
    I'm not talking about some weird "inner workings" of a MLB FO. I'm talking about the basic function of a GM or whatever you want to call him. A GM picks people under him who can abide by his ideas & he sets what his ideals should be. They do the analytics, scouting, evaluations & etc. into this format & bring them before the GM. The GM then decides what he wants to do with the information. The GM in trades (negotiations), people under him see a need & they send that info up the chain of command. The GM again decides whether to respond to that info & approach another GM to initiate a trade or to sit on it. It's not rocket science. I was a big fan of Flavine when I joined TD. Shortly after I joined, I slightly criticized Flavine, & some here made a big deal out of it, twisted what I said. & said shut up & sit down you have no idea what you are talking about. From that time forward I started to smell something fishy on why are people running interference for Flavine & started to scrutinize Flavey by seeking out viable, nontainted articles & podcasts. Flavey has done a good job of finally getting the pitching pipeline flowing & tweaking some pitchers. But I disagree with his focus on analytics based on weird philosophy. I agree that analytics have a valuable place in MLB but I agree more with many true baseball people that say this modern day analytics has sucked the heart & soul out of baseball. IMO a GM with a good staff behind him would be great if he only was good at initiating necessary trades (negotiations). This area Falvey has failed
  24. Doctor Gast
    So you are telling me all these guys except the GM contact these other guys except the GM & they work out a trade w/o any actions from the GM? Of course not, Yes, GMs have all these guys doing all the leg work. But the trade is the negotiations between the GMs. These other guys have nothing to do with the actual negotiations, although he might have an assistant sit-in. That's what I'm referring to, please don't detract from the meaning of what I said.
  25. Doctor Gast
    IMO you're correct. Gregory is tackling every aspect in chunks. IMO it's a good way to look at & evaluate each aspect.
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