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tony&rodney

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Everything posted by tony&rodney

  1. tony&rodney
    Hindsight is 20-20. I agree that Polanco had a poor year for the Mariners. As far as the money goes .... stated several times already .... the Twins brought back Kyle Farmer ($6.75M) knowing they were trading Polanco, paid DeSclafani ($4M), Topa (@$1M), and also paid some peanuts to Gonzalez and Bowen. The maths say keeping Polanco would have cost less by a minimal amount. FWIW, one should not bet that Topa does better than Polanco in 2025. The Polanco trade totally failed in making the Twins a better team in 2024. The addition of Santana does not come from any savings according to the maths above.
  2. tony&rodney
    Agree that Seattle does not really match up with Minnesota, but one never knows. On another note, ignore BTV. That site is merely entertainment for fantasy looks. No team pays any attention to their values. There may be some similarity on the odd occasion but mostly BTV is off the mark.
  3. tony&rodney
    Something to consider is that the Twins may trade several players where the pitching staff is realigned (replace one traded out for one acquired) at the same time as a position player or three get moved in an attempt to balance the roster while improving team speed and defense. One move will not fix the roster.
  4. tony&rodney
    This list is the same as yesterday. The Twins may have some players that other teams could use to improve their team and those teams may have some players that could improve the Twins roster. The trick is in completing transactions. I would think that a healthy Correa and Buxton are difficult to improve upon and their histories plus the no trade contracts reduce the odds of either being traded. Wallner seems like a lock, for now, in right field. The remainder of the position players are largely fungible. The pitching looked pretty good and I'm considerably more optimistic about Festa, Matthews, and Morris than most. There could be both additions and subtractions to the pitching staff depending on how other teams view the Twins organization. The defense, base running, and general athleticism needs to be improved. Trades can and should be made, but this is totally up to Falvey. Rolling out the same roster in 2025 would be a tough sell.
  5. tony&rodney
    I'm still a Twins fan (since 1961) and still like the Mariners too. You might remember that we had some good back and forths on the Polanco situation last offseason. If I recall you suggested a Lewis for a SP too. Well, the Twins and Mariners are back at it and one wonders whether a Lewis and Paddack for Miller might work this year? Seattle might find a better team for trades this time though.
  6. tony&rodney
    Harmony, your'e back. How did the year go for Seattle fans?
  7. tony&rodney
    Cleveland has players who can catch the ball, run the bases, put the bat on the ball, and they are a younger team. FWIW, they also hit more home runs than the Twins and they had many more injuries to their pitching staff. Going into the 2024 season I picked the Twins and Guardians to both win 83-87 games. Their young players developed more than expected. C-Jeffers/Vazquez, 1B-Miranda, 2B-Lee/Julien, 3B-Lewis, SS-Correa, LF-Larnach, CF-Buxton, RF-Wallner with Castro and Martin plus whomever as utility. They could potentially hit but the defense would continue to bleed and the slog around the bases would remain the same too. Of course we can always hope for everything to go perfectly and we do, but it doesn't seem like much of a plan. I am pretty high on the pitching staff though.
  8. tony&rodney
    Four players and money is a win no matter who the players are sounds like a judgement to me. Either way, we totally disagree which is fine -no hard feelings .... it's in the past and I shouldn't even have responded.
  9. tony&rodney
    I try to see most everything in life in a positive way. We both know that looking back is pointless. I accept that you believed Polanco was worthless. However, Seattle really wanted Polanco. Falvey could have added Julien and Paddack or others (Varland?) to pry away Bryce Miller. I have defended Julien more than anyone on Twins Daily but he has never been a complete player and had a strong rookie campaign making him a useful player to trade. The fact is that Falvey has struggled to identify talent in trades. His trade for Trevor Richards was inconsequential but also left a guy like A. J. Puk go elsewhere. Of course people were disappointed by a reduction in payroll but it is noteworthy that last offseason there really wasn't any players that Falvey would have signed. Topa may still contribute but it is just as likely that Polanco has a better year. Don't bet on either. The trade was inconsequential but I would contend there were options. Whatever. Will Julien be the starting second baseman this coming year?
  10. tony&rodney
    I have only seen Eeles on several occasions which makes me a poor judge of his talents. Nevertheless, I'm willing to give him the same shot at earning the 2B job in Spring Training as anyone else currently in the organization. His numbers last season sure put him in the picture. Why not Payton Eeles?
  11. tony&rodney
    I work on not looking back too much but I believe that last offseason was the worst work of the Falvey tenure.
  12. tony&rodney
    I'm not sure what you read or look at but Ober, Jax, and Wallner all have significant value across the league. This I can tell you. There are so many ways to evaluate a player. Bailey Ober was #5 in MLB for WHIP and #8 in BA against. Jax is among the top relievers in baseball. Wallner is among the leaders in hard hit rate and a slugger, which most any team likes. The type of return can be discussed but there are a few Twins with solid value. If anything, TopGunn#22 has proposed trades that swing in favor of the other teams. Maybe Miami just doesn't want Vazquez but all of the other ideas would go through from the view of the other teams. I do not believe the Twins make those deals.
  13. tony&rodney
    Wallner should have decent value to any number of teams. The size of the park is relatively irrelevant for him due to his ability hit the ball well over any MLB wall. Boston is short down the line (Pesky Pole) but very deep in right center and in centerfield. I'm not sure which teams are asking about Wallner. The Red Sox are deep in outfielders though and their sole offseason search is for pitching. Boston has a young catcher at AAA, Kyle Teel, that would be of interest to the Twins and perhaps the Red Sox would trade an outfielder or Casas (1B) as well if the pitcher returned interested them.
  14. tony&rodney
    We tend to agree that some changes need to occur, thus I like to read your ideas even if I might see things slightly differently. Some ideas I have thought about but am not married to: * Brooks Lee for Jeferson Quero, with a thought of adding Ryan Jeffers for Devin Williams. * Jhoan Duran for Jordan Lawler, with. a thought the Twins may need to add a little. I have played around with some other scenarios as well and fully realize that most people would reject some of these suggestions. Among them are a Royce Lewis and Chris Paddack for Bryce Miller deal. I also like the thought of taking a shot at Miami's guys, Alcantara or Luzardo. Wallner for Alcantara? Ober or Ryan for Kyle Teel? It is the offseason and time to push forward some thoughts.
  15. tony&rodney
    I'm not sure where people on Twins Daily sit regarding the 2025 roster. A few (myself included) of us believe the team needs change, although there will certainly be differences in those change. Others believe Falvey only needs to add a couple of fringe relievers or something, although with minimal change to the roster. Either way, it is just an exercise because Falvey will pick his club. In other words, I don't think people, myself included, should get too worked up over any comments.
  16. tony&rodney
    Knowing who can be acquired this offseason is nearly impossible. We all know that pitching is always important. My belief is that the Twins put out a below average defense on the field. This hurts the pitchers in multiple ways, particularly with increased pitch counts as outs become hits due to a generally weak defense. Thus my optimum trades would improve the team's ability to turn batted balls into outs. The Twins simply do not have anyone on their 26 person roster that is off limits. This offseason, with the value of multiple players lower than last winter, may be more difficult to complete transactions. However, it doesn't look promising to roll back the same crew and hope for a different result. The key will be in matching up another organization's needs with ours. While I have no idea how Falvey evaluates the roster, I see Correa as a good shortstop and Buxton is still ok in centerfield. The other six positions need help.
  17. tony&rodney
    Except that if Polanco stays the Twins do not keep Farmer or pay DeSclafani and Topa. The real loss was Falvey's failure to add players to acquire a usable player.
  18. tony&rodney
    This is an interesting take on several levels. I have not seen Eeles enough to give a reasonable thought on his tools. The numbers suggest he can play. So looking at the success Eeles had during the past year one could say he has earned an invite to show what he can do for the Twins. The last part of your statement is quite interesting and may also have truth to it. Many people, including folks within the industry, subscribe very heavily towards rafts of data. Data is used across baseball and certainly is used quite a bit in the minor leagues. Your statement could be taken to believe that the eyes (scouts) are more beneficial and have a distinct role in baseball. In the case of Eeles, you suggest that scouts could uncover his weaknesses. I find the dichotomy of scouts versus data to be interesting. I guess I see the value in both on more or less equal terms. I don't know how this would apply to Eeles but I guess we find out next March. On another note, I read that a number of teams no longer use advance scouts but resort to media and data. The big market teams still use scouts.
  19. tony&rodney
    Sure hope Alex Kirilloff is able to heal up 100% in the next year to enjoy his new world pain free, but I also believe that the Twins knew last summer that AK was no longer an option for 2025. I will continue to pound the table for Royce Lewis as the new first baseman.
  20. tony&rodney
    Why does it seem like the Twins do not view Royce Lewis as an option to play first base? I'm not seeing much in the way of positives of handing him third base again. The pitching staff must be wondering if the Twins have any plans to upgrade their defense.
  21. tony&rodney
    While I do not ascribe high value to Vazquez, the Twins do need two catchers and are unlikely to find a team to take his contract. Jeffers may hold value for a few teams and there are players like Carson Kelly (weak) to fill the spot for defense at least if a return from Jeffers proves worthwhile. Paddack and Castro should have some value to other teams, perhaps more so than to the Twins. It seems pretty likely they are both moved to new teams by March. I would not suggest Twins fans hold out much hope for free agent additions costing above those players deals though, but it opens the possibility of adding some relievers for smaller contracts.
  22. tony&rodney
    Agree, which is why I mention Jeffers instead of Vazquez.
  23. tony&rodney
    Might be worth digging into some. I would rather the Twins move Lewis to 1B and trade Duran plus another guy for Jordan Lawler of the Diamondbacks. Lawler can play third and step in for Carlos when needed. Jordan has speed, a real slick glove, a big accurate arm and should hit. Lawler also fits in with the Twins because he has been injured each of the last two years.
  24. tony&rodney
    Max and Jorge, Jorge and Max - the best of teammates.
  25. tony&rodney
    Buxton may be movable if he wants that, which is debatable but not impossible. The return would be negligible though and maybe Buxton plays 110 games in 2025 for the Twins at a high level. Trading Buxton is an idea to develop. Carlos Correa is a horse of a different color however. His NTC and the financial terms make him very difficult to move. The Dodgers fans have not been forgiving of him and that would be the only team that might be interested in Correa. Correa is very good when he is in the lineup and I'm afraid that the best tactic is to hope for good health and 130+ games from Carlos. I cannot envision a trade of C4.
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