Brandon
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Everything posted by Brandon
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I would define a power hitter by their average in hitting extra base hits. A .100 average is a solid power hitter that’s 50 extra base hits in 500 ABs. A .110-.120 is all star level and above .120 is elite.
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They traded for a C prospect that they didn't have to worry about losing if he didn't stay on the roster.
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- aaron rozek
- john stankiewicz
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He can hit 105 + OPS which is better than one one they have there now and his costs is minimal so they can afford to go after another OF. I just checked and the Royals have the equivalent of 7 slightly better Topa”s in their pen we could trade for one. They probably cost in their pen 1-3 million range so we save a few bucks with the trade. It’s win/ win. we change OF too . Martin and McCusker and Outman or Rhoden….. I think we have trade options…. Fedko … Gonzales (though I want more if we trade a legit prospect).
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Is there a trade with Kansas City that helps both clubs? We could send Larnarch and Outman for a reliever. One of their SP is available for trade as well. Is there a match?
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Definitely Schwarber. He is the new Nelson Cruz and he needs to hit here. But probably after his upcoming 4-5 year contract. He is only 33 at this time. Frim what’s been said so far, I will go with Casas or Hoskins. O’Hearn would need to come cheaper than he could likely get elsewhere.
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1. Maybe but possibly not. 2 who cares 3. They will sign a major league reliever and 2 or 3 to minor league deals to compete for a role. 4. They have internal options that can push Larnarch and Wallner to these positions during the season. I could see them signing a 1B and trading Larnarch.
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4. A back up SS/IF. Is needed too. If we sign a 1B then the Twins could trade Larnarch. There are three top prospect OF about ready to emerge. Rhodes and Martin can platoon for a month or so till one of them warrants a call up.
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- byron buxton
- derek falvey
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Challenge Accepted! I would love the opportunity to prove you wrong.
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Jeffers agent is Scott Boras. I thought 14-15 million per season was adequate so I added a little. Raleigh is worth more say 25 million per season or so. Schwarber is bat only and likely to make 27 million with a similar profile to Raleigh though Raleigh is entering his prime and Schwarber is on the downside. Stats can always be used to justify your argument.
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No prospects at 25+…. looks like Tait and Jenkins has the potential to be the fastest risers of the group and be up at 21.
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- walker jenkins
- eduardo tait
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Sometimes the best value is to let the player play out his contract and walk. Jeffers knows the Twins system and can help develop the back end starters and bullpen. One of Ryan or Lopez would need to be traded for a Jeffers extension. But I can also see the Twins signing Jeffers to an extension. A 4 year 64 -68 million deal seems reasonable to me. Tait is 18 and could be up at 20 or 21. A split share 55/45 seems about right for a rookie who is likely to start for years to get. And 50/50 that last season. There will probably be some 1B or DH time available for those two guys as well. Jeffers would be 33 at the end of a 4 year extension.
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Why The Twins Shouldn’t Sign Rhys Hoskins
Brandon replied to Jason Wang's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The Twins are not likely to contend next year anyways so signing a player like Hoskins can be a low cost win. He hits 30 HRs or gets traded for a solid prospect. Both are wins. also, it improves our chances of being a .500 team next year. If the bullpen works out.... we could be a .500 team. We also need a few things to break through on offense for us to be competitive -
I liked the Duran and Bader trades the most. I am surprised that the C from Detroit is better than I thought and is a solid prospect. I hated the Jax trade and Stewart trade. Jury is out on Varland trade. I also didn't like the Correa trade. We should have received more salary relief or a better prospect with the 30 million price tag we still have. I am indifferent on the Castro and Coloumbe trades. the prospect for Coloumbe could turn out into a useful reliever.
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The OF and Starting Rotation is actually pretty solid. The areas of concern are the IF and bullpen. for the pen, I can see the Twins signing a reliever to a major league contract and signing two or three to a minor league deal for depth and competition. In the IF the concerns are mostly SS and 1B. The Twins can sign a low cost 1B like Hoskins or bring in an OF like Larnarch or Wallner as the OF will go through a youth movement due to the skill level of their three prospects in AAA ERod, Gonzales and Jenkins. Larnarch and Wallner will start the season with the Twins, I can see them trading Larnarch especially if they sign Hoskins. On the IF the Twins are giving Lewis a last shot to reclaim his future at 3B and Lee as an IF as well. Culpepper will be ready at some point next season. Or atleast we hope. I hope the Twins keep both starting pitchers but with a strong enough offer, I can see the a trade. 2026 is a rebuilding year with a likely goal of .500 and a small chance of competing if enough goes right. Most likely a 70-75 win team is my expectation as the Twins set up to be competitive in 2027.
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This is surprisingly a good trade proposal. There is definitely merit as the Twins need a C for 2027 and that is what the trade is for. Eduardo Tait should be ready by 2028 and hopefully get a callup the second half of 2027 to get some on the job training from Rutschman. I think the Twins should just resign Jeffers, but this isn't the worst thing that can happen. Also need to consider what the Twins would get in a trade for Jeffers in a trade as well.
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I was thinking Larnarch could move to 1B or DH and get traded if hitting at the trade deadline. Would love to get something for him. I doubt any of the above prospects would take too many at bats away from Larnarch at the start of the season.
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When do we find out the draft order? I guess at the winter meetings?
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The projected arbitration salary for Larnarch is 4.7 million. Who is to say the Twins can't get him signed before the contract offer deadline and get him signed for 4.1 million or so? I don't think this is that big of an overpay if he continues to hit just better than Kepler. If he can go back to being 15-20% better than league average then he is a value at that price. I think that Falvey will want to give his first rounder another shot. It would be different if Terry Ryan drafted him I think.
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Larnarch has just over 4 years of service time. The Twins have two more seasons of control over him. Trevor Larnach Stats, Height, Weight, Position, Rookie Status & More | Baseball-Reference.com
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No one seems to be talking about this so I thought I would post it here. The Pohlad's said they paid off the debt from the new investors investing in the team. How much were the payments on that debt that the Twins are no longer paying. Let's look at some possibilities. First the amount of the debt. I understand the debt to be in the neighborhood of 425 million. what is the interest on that debt and is it interest only or fully amortizing? let's look at 5%, 8% 10% and 12%. on interest only we would see annual payments of at 5% = 21,250,000 8% = 34,000,000 at 10% we have 42,500,000 and at 12% = 51 million. if the debt is amortized we get at 5% = 27,377,900 at 8% = 37,421,993 at 10% = 44,756,150 and at 12% = 52,459,242 This is pretty significant and wide range. With all of the cuts to payroll. It seems the Twins are back to profitability but also they have this newfound resource to reinvest into the team if they so desired. I would think that most of the debt would be int eh 8-10% range some possibly lower and recent debt higher. The Twins are definately saving more than they are losing on the TV deal. and with Revenue Sharing and Attendance revenue The Twins should have a good solid amount of revenue.
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I think the Twins plan revolves around many young and inexperienced players. Keaschal, Wallner, Lee, Martin, Gonzales, Jenkins, E Rod, Culpepper, and eventually Tait at C. and also young pitchers, Woods- Richardson, Festa, Matthews, Abel, Preliepp, Rojas, Morris, Ohi and others are all at or near the league minimum. The question is are we better off trading the few vets we have for even more prospects as we could use more pitching prospects. Having all of this low-cost talent will keep payroll low for the next 4 seasons as we develop the next wave of prospects.
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Also, these veterans are on short term contracts. Only Buxton goes for the next three seasons. Lopez for two. Ryan has two seasons of team control or two one-year deals. and Jeffers has one year before free agency, and the Twins do not have anyone to replace him.
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Or..... instead of trading the extra outfielders for an area of need. Since these guys are not making much we could MOVE them to an area of need too. We need a 1B. Enter Walner. We could use a DH. Enter Larnarch. Now we have two OF spots open and 3 OF prospects E Rod, Jenkins, and Gonzales ready to step in. If Lee succeeds at SS or if Culpepper comes up and succeeds we could finish the year with a really good lineup the second half of the season if all goes well developmentally.
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- byron buxton
- matt wallner
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I think the debt issue revolves around COVID and then the Twins invested hoping attendance would grow closer to the 3 million the Twins had after the 87 World Series, and it didn't and then the TV deal fell apart. I think the 425 million give or take also included what the Twins owed for the stadium as well. The Pohlad's are pretty good about finances so I imagine those would be the biggest parts of the reason why the debt is so high. I think the debt issue and bleaker look at comparable finances across the league is the culprit for wha't happening with the Twins.
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What Will Minnesota Twins Do with Matt Wallner?
Brandon replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I guess I was referring to a player needs 1500 AB to see what you have…cause the hitter needs to learn to make adjustments.
