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Twins GFP

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Everything posted by Twins GFP

  1. Twins GFP
    SP coming out of the pen is not an issue, happens multiple times every single year in the playoffs. Assuming everyone stays healthy, Gray and Lopez are your two rotation locks. Maeda is a 80% SP lock. Ober and Ryan are very possible. That 3rd and/or 4th SP slot could be easily be a situational decision based on who they are playing, so nothing would surprise me there. Pitching DK out of the pen yesterday should give you an idea where the Twins stand with him. I would call him a 75% lock to make the postseason roster. Pitching is different than hitting. If Stewart looks strong and comes back, he could also change the BP dynamics. Regarding Stevenson, I agree with others. His role is 100% dependent on Buxton. I have a hard time seeing Gordon come back at all this year.
  2. Twins GFP
    I agree with most of this. This is the textbook win/win for both organizations at this time. You know the saying: Better to trade them a year too early than a year too late. That being said, I think the outlook is much higher for the Twins to "win" this trade. Arraez's knees are still a ticking time-bomb. The Twins were able to lock up a solid 1/2 pitcher for a very reasonable contract over his prime age years. I would also take high-end starting pitching over high-end hitting every day of the week. Lopez reminds me of Brad Radke. Head down, not always dominating but gives his team a chance to win every day, quietly a very good pitcher that flies under the radar.
  3. Twins GFP
    Assuming health does not play a role from here on out, the only locks for SP right now in the playoffs are Gray and Lopez. Maeda and Ryan are locks for the roster. Ober and Keuchel are extremely strong candidates to be on the roster. The 3rd and/or 4th SP slot will entirely depend on who and where they are playing. The others will play pivotal roles in the BP. Having a plethora of quality SP is an extremely fun problem to have!
  4. Twins GFP
    You make acquisitions by trading from depth. Larnach is an optimal trade chip: very unlikely to see time on the Twins, but still has value as a prospect. Package him for an upgrade or a position of need.
  5. Twins GFP
    Yep. Having a guy on the end of the bench that has a career OPS+ of 109, a OPS+ this year of 100, can play 5 positions defensively, 4 of them above average... For the playoffs would basically be a defensive replacement or HR needing pinch hitter. Teams never need guys like this at all...
  6. Twins GFP
    All things being equal, Gallo brings a different skill set than Gordon. A Gordon-for-Gallo swap makes less sense than some of the other moves mentioned in the article.
  7. Twins GFP
    Conjecture and Opinion. I was expecting to get a little more insight on his injury instead of a rehash of everything we already know, which is nothing. Thanks Skip.
  8. Twins GFP
    You had me until the QO statement... zero chance of that happening. Now that the attacks on Pagan are holding little merit, the angst has been redirected to Gallo. Not great, but not as horrendous as most believe. He is at the back-end of the roster, but ahead of Luplow and maybe a reliever or two. I would be surprised to see Gallo let go at any point the rest of the way. That includes playoffs. Gallo provides a lot of flexibility, with power off the bench and as a defensive replacement all over.
  9. Twins GFP
    Miranda still has a path to the Twins, but it is a lot more crowded now. LF is still a revolving door. Kiriloff could easily slide into that spot if they feel 1B is an option. However, I can see the Twins working on Julien there during the offseason, with Solano a strong candidate to return next year. An off-season move to fill that role is also a possibility. Miranda's best bet right now is to hit well, show the world he is healthy, and force the Twins to either promote him or trade him. They do not "have" to move him this winter...
  10. Twins GFP
    Thank you for the honesty in the article. My only comment is that it may be a little early to make this call. We only need to look back at Jose Miranda to see what anointing players to early in the career looks like.
  11. Twins GFP
    Yet another sadly true article from Stu. Still waiting on the satire...
  12. Twins GFP
    This is an interesting metric. For the year: Floro - given up runs in 13 of his 53 outings Duran - 17 times in 50 outings Jax - 15 times in 59 outings Pagan - 14 times in 56 outings Obviously this is a cursory stat. Leverage situations matter. Not to mention that Duran typically gives up runs 1 at a time. Floro gives them up typically in bunches. But perception is also part of this discussion...
  13. Twins GFP
    Status quo around here...
  14. Twins GFP
    I wrote an article similar to this question a while back: What is more important, the ride or the results.... Personally I would rather see a competitive team year-in and year-out...
  15. Twins GFP
    Some context for this article would have been nice. How can you have an article discussing this group maybe being the best ever without doing any actual research and comparison?
  16. Twins GFP
    All depends on how the days off work: Lopez, Gray, Maeda might be enough. If not, Whichever of the Ober/Ryan/Keuchel they think is pitching the best and will give them the best chance to win. The other two should theoretically end up in the pen bumping Sand and Floro.
  17. Twins GFP
    Whomever signs Ohtani, the on-field production is only a part of the package. The player salary is a small part of the consideration. We all know Ohtani is a unicorn that transcends the game. International visibility, merchandise sales, games on national television... Working on the assumption that Ohtani is willing to come to Minnesota, I think you pay whatever it takes to get him here. Minnesota is working on a new TV rights contract this Fall. Imagine having Ohtani in the fold during discussions. The Twins have a strong young core that should be playoff competitive for the foreseeable future, another great selling point. It isn't my money. I don't know all of the economics involved. But the numbers have to come close to working out. Do I think the Pohlad's would have the guts to pull the trigger here? No chance. But they should. 10 years with a player option at 4yrs and again at 6 yrs.
  18. Twins GFP
    I was able to attend this game in person. Everything else aside, from a fan's standpoint this was an incredibly enjoyable game to watch. Intensity every half inning, back and forth battles, mistakes and successes from both teams. And a Twins walk-off to top it off... Games like this remind me of why I enjoy baseball...
  19. Twins GFP
    This is the actual crux of the argument against pushing up the pitching prospects. If the Twins go out this offseason and re-sign two of Gray, Maeda, and Keuchel, the rotation is theoretically set. (Yes, like it or not, do not write off Keuchel just yet) Personally, I can really only see Maeda back, but the way contracts have gone in MN over the last few years, nothing would surprise. I think if Varland looks ready, but not able to crack the 2024 rotation, he would be moved. Quality SP are always in short supply, BP guys can be found on the cheap every off-season.
  20. Twins GFP
    I didn't think you had any more room left for nails with this FO...🙂
  21. Twins GFP
    If the Twins thought Varland was better than we we currently had, he would be up on the big team. He has not been blowing people away this year at any level.
  22. Twins GFP
    Investing money or prospects into the BP, either in the offseason or the trade deadline, is a HUGE risk. Reliever volatility is extremely bad. The number BP guys that can and should truly command a haul in a trade or signing is extremely low. People forget that this rotation is near the top in IP because they have been so strong. When they get into the playoffs, they will only need 3 starters and 3-4 relievers due to all the off days. Is anybody going to complain if Maeda and Ober see middle innings during the playoffs? Keuchel is still in this discussion as well. It would have been nice to see a few additions to this team at the deadline, but I am not going to presume to know why they made the decisions they made: Pohlad's dictating no salary increase? FO feeling cost for moves was considered too high? Other teams not wanting to work with Minnesota? Players not wanting to come here? When you truly know who to get mad at for the deadline decisions, let me know.
  23. Twins GFP
    The Twins will not be able to replace Gray's numbers next year, he is basically a top 4 SP right now. I have always thought Maeda would be a great extension candidate. One year with and option or two would be ideal, but it might take a 2 year deal to keep him. No contract incentives so the Twins would be able to move him to wherever he is needed without any hurt feelings.
  24. Twins GFP
    Again Stu, you blur the line between satire and reality... For everybody that has been calling for the FO to be fired, please pause for a second and take a look at this situation in Chicago (you can add the Angels as well). Money is not an issue for the White Sox and they are a complete disaster. Understand that it could be a lot worse.
  25. Twins GFP
    Don't compare Keuchel to Ober, Ryan, Jax, or Duran. He needs to be looked at compared to Winder or Sand. When you add in his experience, if Keuchel pitches just ok the rest of the way, he most assuredly will take a roster spot from one of those guys.
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