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Fire Dan Gladden

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Everything posted by Fire Dan Gladden

  1. Fire Dan Gladden
    Fair enough. I have lesser faith in the younger guys than most. IMO I think there is so much instability from the younger guys (Lee, Martin), to the next levels (Wallner, MIranda, Larnach) to the health (Lewis, Buxton, Correa) that Castro provide insurance across the board. If he is with the Twins and getting 600 AB again, it means the team is melting down. Again. Even at 450 AB he has that value to the team.
  2. Fire Dan Gladden
    Agreed. I am not sure how you can put a $2m price tag on the value he brings. If the Twins want to trade him while his value is high, fine. But to non-tender him makes zero sense at that price point.
  3. Fire Dan Gladden
    Extremely cheap, potentially capable. The Twins mantra for 2025. Neither of these guys are going anywhere.
  4. Fire Dan Gladden
    Teams need guys like Tonkin. Relatively inexpensive, experienced, not a train-wreck, inning-eater. He will get that $1-2m contract from someone. I am not sure the Twins yet know what they have with Topa, but they may feel they need to recoup something from that trade. Both of these guys are known by the Twins. I am not sure they can find better at this price-point. If they non-tender both, it tells me they will not spend a dime on the BP this offseason
  5. Fire Dan Gladden
    I think it is a little early to make that choice with Varland. If the Twins decide to keep him as a starter, he will have to make adjustments and prove he is more than a AAAA pitcher. I don't see that happening until he gets a dozen MiLB starts in 2025. I think there is a strong possibility the Twins sign another scrap heap starter to provide some depth.
  6. Fire Dan Gladden
    Larnach for Luzardo is a pipe dream. I love Lewis, but I love pitching more. Trading Lewis for Luzardo could solidify the rotation for years. I would make that trade today.
  7. Fire Dan Gladden
    Personally a little surprised to see Moran left unprotected. This process always reminds me how much fans overvalue their own prospects.
  8. Fire Dan Gladden
    Not Doris! Can you imagine the vitriol in comments on this site if they were to move her? It would signal a complete rebuild!
  9. Fire Dan Gladden
    100% agree here. All the talk about Keirsey not being given a chance, yet he was left off the 40-man last year and no one took him. The only ones I can see truly at risk and needing to be added are Raya, probably Olivar and Moran. Defensive, no-hit 4A catchers are relatively easy to find. Any position player below AAA will not be kept on a team's MLB roster all season. Pitchers can be hidden, but anyone that was truly an asset last year would already be protected. If the Twins only had 2 open spots, there would be no discussion here. The fact they have so many opens up this discussion.
  10. Fire Dan Gladden
    And I thought the details of the bake sale would be found HERE
  11. Fire Dan Gladden
    Trade a player a year too early rather than a year too late. Branch Rickey That being said, there are maybe 4-6 completely untouchable relievers in all of baseball. Duran is not one of them. Great stuff, but too much Eddie Guardado when he comes in the game: always messy, but generally effective. There should be no problem moving him to a needy team willing to overpay a bit.
  12. Fire Dan Gladden
    Trading any of the big six (Lopez, Ober, Ryan, Buxton, Lewis, Correa) signals a fire sale and rebuilding effort is coming, but moving your SP1 on a this team would be a pure disaster on so many levels. Ignoring the on-field ramifications for a minute, this is a horrible perception move. The new media contract requires fans to be interested to make money. This would destroy any goodwill left. Ownership is walking a fine line until this team gets sold. A move like this could put this team in a downward optics spiral that might take years to recover from.
  13. Fire Dan Gladden
    A lot depends on moves made this offseason, but looking at the current roster: Rodriguez has a shot at making the opening day roster. More likely he is the first OF call-up once the season starts. Keaschall has zero chance of making the team out of ST. If he picks up where he left off, he could be a call-up option in the 2nd half of the season. Raya has a very outside chance of making the team out of ST. More likely the Twins continue to slow-grow him, giving him AAA innings probably making him the second SP called up if necessary (behind the loser of the Festa/Matthews battle) Prelipp needs health, confidence, and success at AA before there will be any consideration of the team calling him ion 2025. More likely he is a 2026 candidate
  14. Fire Dan Gladden
    Technically yes, as the Twins are one of a few teams that have the ability to offer him more money than most (assuming he posts on 2025 books). Also because rumors are floating that he would be more comfortable in a smaller market. Realistically... there is a better chance the Twins sign Soto then Roki.
  15. Fire Dan Gladden
    Is there a reason top be somewhat optimistic? Sure... but look at what needs to happen for the Twins to be successful: Buxton needs to play 120 games Correa needs to play 120 games Lewis needs to play 120 games (and probably make an effective move to 2B) Larnach needs to prove last year was no fluke Miranda needs to prove his 2nd half was no fluke (and probably be able to handle 1B defensively) Wallner needs to prove his 2nd half was no fluke SWR needs to pitch at least to last years level Festa and/or Matthews needs to stabilize and become a solid SP5 One of the Lee, Martin, Julien needs to become a stable, rotational player All teams have questions. All teams have some semblance of risk. But this team currently has very legitimate questions all over the place. The Twins have little to no margin for error. If the above mentioned items do not happen, this could very easily be a 75-win team, especially in a very competitive division.
  16. Fire Dan Gladden
    The Twins have to weigh the "cost" of moving Paddack vs the potential benefit of keeping him. Regardless of the comments here, Paddack does have value. As an SP5 or possible BP guy, there is enough there for teams to take a chance him. Maybe not $7.5m worth of chance, but a chance. Paddack's salary is currently sunk money. The Twins would "lose" any trade here as some level of prospect would need to be moved to offset the salary. The questions here are: 1) Do the Twins see Paddack as a potential member of their pitching staff (either SP or RP) next season? 2) If not, what are they willing to give up to move his salary?
  17. Fire Dan Gladden
    What "highly-regarded prospect" would you recommend the Twins move here to get the salary down? I can't see them moving any of their AAA / low end MLB SP at the moment. The prospects they brought up this year did not exactly torch the league.
  18. Fire Dan Gladden
    Unfortunately this comment is spot on...
  19. Fire Dan Gladden
    The fanbase might mutiny of Correa gets traded. We are talking mid-90's apathy here. If the Twins made this trade and went into full rebuild mode, the timeline to exit that mode might be 5-7 years. Not a great look for a team beginning a new media rights contract.
  20. Fire Dan Gladden
    Knowing TC, this is a very good choice.
  21. Fire Dan Gladden
    This is such a weird offseason. The new (what do we call it television? cable?) media contract really requires the Twins to be watchable, if not successful. Angering the fan base will have a direct impact on revenue. So sitting on their hands is not really an option. The team is for sale. Big additions or subtractions will sway potential buyers one way or the other, so the team needs to be hyper-aware of any major decision. Quotes like "getting creative" basically mean there is no money to spend and most everyone is a potential trade option. You have to spend money to make money. Logic dictates they look to improve the team with maintaining team salary at the barest minimum. However, there is a 95% chance team salary goes down. It will be interesting to see the domino effect from that.
  22. Fire Dan Gladden
    The defensive issues are part of the bigger narrative: The amount of positional non-quals was, in large part, due to a systemic decision to rotate multiple players through positions. Injuries played a part, but were not the main reason. Even the players coming from the minors have been worked at multiple positions. Comfort level and routine are such a huge part of the human psyche, trying to force so many players all over the place can't be helping their defense or their offense. This is why guys like Castro are undervalued. To be able to slide all over the place and still be productive at the plate is not common. The other issue, as it always seems to do today, falls back to spending on quality players. Having to constantly juggle players because of offensive matchup limitations results in players never really knowing how to approach each day. Many will blame Rocco for this, but IMO, he is doing what he can with what he has. The splits show what they show.
  23. Fire Dan Gladden
    Subjectivity in voting makes for some poor choices. I am a little surprised not to see representation from the mid-90's.
  24. Fire Dan Gladden
    If the Twins plan to be anything close to competitive next year, they absolutely cannot trade Lopez. Quality SP is too hard to find.
  25. Fire Dan Gladden
    I would be surprised to see any money spent on RP this offseason. They have a decent RP1-4, the rest they will fill from within. The team has bigger fish to fry.
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