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Whammy

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Everything posted by Whammy

  1. Whammy
    Good find. I'm of the opinion (granted, it's a totally uneducated, unsourced, long shot, play the lottery if I'm right opinion) that Arrieta will end up signing a 1yr contract this offseason (for like 25M. He'll bet on himself because nobody will take on the 4+ year risk that he's asking for. I understand this is a long shot and his 6/150 will probably be announced 5 minutes after I post this, but I'm just not seeing any interest in him yet. He'll get some 2 year offers, but he'll opt for the 1 year route and test the process again next year. Anyway.... this is like a $10m make good contract.
  2. Whammy
    Talking about the cost of trainers and training facilities makes us sound like a pathetically small market. That's the type of stuff that might go through the Marlins FO's minds, but should never ever even come up from good organizations
  3. Whammy
    Pitchers are cautious?
  4. Whammy
    Just for the sake of argument, if Pineda had not blown out his arm and his early year stats projected out the whole year... A) what would he rank in terms of free agent starting pitchers B.) what kind of contract would he be looking at getting?
  5. Whammy
    From the fans' perspective this is the issue with no salary cap. We don't have enough information to confidently say what we would do. If I knew that our payroll cap was $130M then I'd say spending $8M on a big RP upgrade would be a good use of funds, but if I was told that $110M was our internal cap, then I'd probably focus most of our remaining resources on a SP upgrade and buy a couple lottery ticket RPs. It always sounds good to say "it's not my money" but we know Falvine has a cap (maybe a softish one), we just don't know what it is. The fact that Falvine spent $2m on Pineda for this season, doesn't give us the answer, but it does give us some clues. If their soft cap was $110m, I strongly doubt that they would use $2m of their $15m left on a organizational strategic move rather than on a move designed to make a big improvement for 2018. This makes me think that they are working with a number much closer to 130 than 110.
  6. Whammy
    Other scenarios include him being a good bullpen arm for 1.25 years or flipping him at the 2019 deadline. Neither is wonderful or terrible.
  7. Whammy
    I'm a little surprised by the negative opinions on this signing. Worse case scenario: we lit $10M on fire. MLB teams do that all the time. Median scenario: he comes back in Aug and pitches from the bullpen the rest of the year. 2019 he pitches like a good #4 starter, which, at $8M, is an underpay. He becomes a free agent and we thank him for his time here. Really Good Scenario: Same as above but he pitches like a 2/3, which $8M is a severe underpay, we extend him a QO and are happy if we get him for 1/18, or he declines and we get the 35th pick in the 2020 draft for the trouble.
  8. Whammy
    Perhaps I should have said "pitchers" instead of "pitching"
  9. Whammy
    Y'all have taken a hard line before on moving and locking threads. My suggestion (not that you're asking) would be to lock up the "day 0" thread at midnight and start a day 3 thread.
  10. Whammy
    Cleveland's strength is its pitching. Pitching is historically more volitile year over year than hitting and more affected by injuries. They could have one pitcher get injured and one play like crap and all of a sudden they start to look pretty normal.
  11. Whammy
    It's because there was a day 0 thread but never a day 1 or day 2 thread. People don't know where to post.
  12. Whammy
    If Machado was open to a 4 year extension, he'd be in Baltimore for 5 more years
  13. Whammy
    So.... blow it up then?
  14. Whammy
    The rumor comes from a Pirates fan site, not Seth. Which gives it more credibility than if it came from "us" And actually, the reaction from what seemed like Pirates fans on Twitter, was positive.
  15. Whammy
    I don't include Royce Lewis in any trade, unless it's a reasonably priced top 5 MLB pitcher with plenty of team control remaining AKA - I'm not trading Royce Lewis
  16. Whammy
    I would add a choice of Gonsalves/Romero to the rumored Cole package in order to get Archer instead. Is actually an interesting either/or. 4 years of Archer Or 2 years of Cole and 6 years of the prospect we lose.
  17. Whammy
    Stanton
  18. Whammy
    Worth at least noting is that even if Cole pitches below his current level, the Twins would likely get a valuable comp pick when (if) he leaves in two years.
  19. Whammy
    If the rumored trade proposal is accurate then I would think the reason MN is hesitating is because internally they are very high on Jay. You have to give some to get some so it's pretty obvious Gordon would be included. While I like Granite and think he's a valuable 4th OF for us this year, you don't hesitate to add to the front end of your pitching staff because of a 4th OF. So it has to be about Jay and the ceiling/floor our front office views for him.
  20. Whammy
    If we signed Darvish, then would you be ok with this trade?
  21. Whammy
    Most of the time, I think that's just an easy crutch by a writer. But, I have to think that some percentage of the time it is true. Maybe one of Levine's main tasks was coordination with Japanese media. Maybe, in the same way that the MN Twins FO splits other MLB teams and player agents roughly evenly between Falvey, Levine, and Antony, Texas did the same thing and Levine has Darvish's agent.
  22. Whammy
    Also, how incredibly fascinating would Tim Wakefield's spin rate pitchFX data be? I assume I could look at it for hours. "Oh, Shiiiiiiiiiit!!!!!! He got one in single digits!!!!!!"
  23. Whammy
    I'd be interested to know what the bell curve off MLB average spin rate looks like. Those two numbers don't really mean anything to 99.9% of people that follow baseball
  24. Whammy
    Yeah... I wonder if the FO earmarked $60M that we saved (over 4 years) by trading for Archer instead of signing Darvish, what they could do. It could be used for literally whatever they deemed necessary to build back the farm system assets that were used to get Archer. Basically they'd be buying comp picks, and Intl FA money, and have a full willingness to take on contracts with 1-2 year left, from teams like Miami who are begging to shed payroll. How much does a Comp A pick "cost" How much does $2M in Intl FA pool "cost" If we literally had $60M to play with could we end up with 5 comp A/B picks? How big of a Draft pool salary cap could one team amass? Nobody has tested those waters. Why not be the first?
  25. Whammy
    I can't remember the last player/team the national media thought the Yankees DIDN'T line up well with
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