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Whammy

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Everything posted by Whammy

  1. Whammy
    Tim Collins... For the sake of argument, let's say someone assumed to make the opening day bullpen goes on the IL (Reed seems like a good candidate). Since he has an April 1 opt out do we think he might make the team over, say Hildenberger?
  2. Whammy
    No too many obvious guys to take off the 40 man, probably Duffey and Reed being the most obvious, but there could be a 60-day IL stint between now and then. How does the 60-day work at the start of the season? Could Sano’s stint be retroactive to the surgery?
  3. Whammy
    I need a reminder about what kind of contract he signed.
  4. Whammy
    I think it's a fair assumption that the Twins wanted to do this since they probably have some payroll room now and are willing to front load the contract because of that. However, it's entirely possible that as part of the negotiations, the Kepler team gave up a little bit in overall guaranteed dollars in exchange for a sharp immediate increase.
  5. Whammy
    As for my original search. Not too much good data, but this image is interesting.... http://a.espncdn.com/photo/2015/0401/sn_fbmap1_576x324.jpg
  6. Whammy
    I was in search of real market size data and stumbled upon this article, on fangraphs, from 2016.... Estimated TV revenue for each team: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/estimated-tv-revenues-for-all-30-mlb-teams/ Two things stood out to me. 1) While we around 20th on the list, we really are not that far from 7th (Phillies - 20M difference). 2) They talk about Ownership stake in the cable network and list the Twins as having ZERO ownership stake in FSN. I thought that was well established at this point.
  7. Whammy
    That region has twice as many people as the Twins region.
  8. Whammy
    Not that I think there's any chance the Twins can approach that type of TV deal, but their current deal is more than a few years old, which is probably one of the reasons it's pretty far down in the rankings. Let's look at the market size for a second... SEA-TAC - 3.9M MSP - 3.6M But obviously the games are being broadcast beyond the immediate metro area. Let's look at the regional population, where the "local" games are likely being broadcast Washington + Oregon + Idaho = 13.5M Minnesota + ND + SD = 7.2M There are some parts of Wisconsin and Iowa that are part of the Twins region, but not the very populated parts. At most, it probably adds up to 8.5M
  9. Whammy
    Regarding the 3 batter minimum.... I like it. "People would find a way to cheat" isn't a good argument against because a) rules could be put in place to prevent much of that (Auto DL stint, fines for teams/managers) and b.) it would happen very rarely. I do think it needs a little tweak though. 3 batter minimum OR end of the inning. You shouldn't force pitchers to bridge innings.
  10. Whammy
    I'm pretty sure $261M was the 2017 number.
  11. Whammy
    I'm not sure I'd classify the Braves as mid-market Tampa never really went away, so there wasn't really a rebuild there. I'll give you the other 3, but the A's a just a bizarre organization.
  12. Whammy
    I'm pretty sure every team not named the Marlins would sign either of those deals in a heartbeat. I think the thought is, he's looking for 5/100M
  13. Whammy
    Also... What is “overspend” for relief these days?
  14. Whammy
    Polio and TB weeded out the over 30 crowd
  15. Whammy
    Order placed. Looking forward to getting my first version
  16. Whammy
    What do we think those realistic trade targets are? Robbie Ray Zach Grienke Marcus Stroman (had a terrible 2018 so might come cheaply) Trevor Williams
  17. Whammy
    So, in the "Romero, Mejia, and Stewart to the pen" scenario, we have those 3 plus May, Hildy, Reed, Rogers. Leaves one spot open max. Probably filled by one of 5 or 6 internal options already on the 40man. So, we'd spend on one big bat and one high quality SP? I don't necessarily hate that plan.
  18. Whammy
    That wasn't really the question though.... Do you think Gibby would say yes to 4/50?
  19. Whammy
    Assuming the front office wants to sign Gibby to an extension and assuming Gibby is reluctant for the reasons stated above, at what point does the Gibson team say yes? 4/50 seems borderline to me. 4/60 seems like would for sure get the job done.
  20. Whammy
    Whoops. Knew I missed someone
  21. Whammy
    Who are the teams actually bidding on Cruz? Obviously nobody in the NL Tigers and Royals seem like a No Cleveland is a no because of $$ and Encarnacion Blue Jays and Orioles seem like a No Angels don't work because of Pujols Seattle's a no since they are selling off That leaves: Houston Oakland - Khris Davis block? NY - Giancarlo did a lot of DHing last year Boston - Probably out because of JD Tampa Bay Minnesota Chicago I'd say let this one play out for a while.
  22. Whammy
    I feel like you guys were arguing two different things, but those two things are close enough to each other that you guys couldn't quite distinguish between them a) John was arguing that Ownership isn't putting it's best foot forward (Rays being the prime example). And that counts as "not trying" b.) Aaron was arguing that team management (GM, CBO, etc) was still actively trying to win as many games as possible given the restrictions from above. And that does count as trying. The Rays GM (or whatever his title is) clearly wants to win as many games as possible, but is forced to do some things that hinder that. Whereas the M's and Diamondbacks GMs are actively making their team worse (albeit for a long-term reason)
  23. Whammy
    Hold on. Hold on. Hold on. The original poster said Donaldson, Murphy, Eovaldi WOULDN’T be a blockbuster offseason?
  24. Whammy
    My understanding of Greinke’s contact is that he’s only owed around 14.5m next year, which is the same as Goldschmidt. So technically, that would still leave quite a bit of room in the 2019 budget.
  25. Whammy
    I don't see $50M as anywhere close to all in. $50 leaves us short of last years payroll. "All in" to me is like $10M higher than last year's opening day payroll, which would be like $65-$70M spent Though I do agree that $50M well spent could get us close to having a contender.
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