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Whammy

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Everything posted by Whammy

  1. Whammy
    Do we know how Twins.TV will work with nationally televised games? This Saturday, for example, the game is on FS1. Will it also be on Twins.TV? Will it be on the special channels set up on all of the cable/satellite services? Same question, but for the Apple TV games that we will inevitably get throughout the season.
  2. Whammy
    Plus you gotta figure out if you're going to offer him arbitration in 2026! (90% joking)
  3. Whammy
    I'm probably in the minority but I actually like this Dobnak move/decision. Makes a ton of sense in my mind.
  4. Whammy
    As soon as we knew Castellanos wasn't making the team it seemed incredibly obvious that it was going to be Dobnak to fill that roll. They want someone to potentially eat innings, especially early in the season. Say what you will about Dobnak, but he's pretty effective in that role. That is how he was used this spring and he was effective doing it. As was stated above, due to his $3M guaranteed salary, if he does just a so-so job in that role, it's easy to DFA him, and have him get through waivers and back to AAA. If he does well in that role, then great, we've got a guy who can eat innings and keep our higher leverage relievers fresher than they have been the last couple years.
  5. Whammy
    For the record, I predict Dobnak in the bullpen to start the season. They know they can get 3 innings out of him and that has extra value early in the season when they aren't pushing the SPs up to 100 pitches.
  6. Whammy
    For the last few weeks I've had this sneaking suspicion that Paddack was going to show his health, then some decent team would be dealing with a lot of pitching injuries and would trade for him. Trading a SP right before the season is a little different than a RP, I think, so it feels like it's getting A LITTLE late in the game for that. But it still wouldn't shock me. Yankees? They seem like they are having big time SP health issues. Red Sox? They don't have the long term issues that the Yankees have, but lots of questionable statuses for pitchers right now. Astros? Some injury issues and Arrighetti is walking a batter per inning this spring. Padres? Mets? All of those teams feel like minor possibilities.
  7. Whammy
    I'm not giving up on Martin, but I feel like we need to see Keirsey for a 2 month stretch to see if he's going to be a long term 4th/5th OF or if he's 40-man roster fodder. We've seen Martin for that long of a stretch and he's shown us pretty much what he is. A 5th OF who you don't really trust to play center and can play 2nd in a pinch, but you'll be cringing when you do it. If we're going to carry a 5th OF, I'd rather it be a guy who I'm perfectly happy seeing in CF. Having a late game defense of Buxton, Bader, and Keirsey sounds pretty appealing to me.
  8. Whammy
    Co-signed. You hit all my points.
  9. Whammy
    Where would that evidence be? I don't think either of the main defensive metrics (OAA and DRS) take scooping throws into account. I'm not here to say he's a good scooper. I have no idea. But I'd posit that you also have no idea.
  10. Whammy
    I'm begging you to ask Aaron to go one episode without talking about Duran's velocity. 100mph is the new normal. I know it. You know it. The twins know it. They shouldn't need to "confirm" it to anyone. It just is. His other recent obsession (the Twins.TV stuff), is much more justified though. But I'd ask that you two try to do what Phil Miller was attempting to have you do, which was calling it "Cable and Satellite." Calling it "TV" is too vague, in my opinion, and can lead to confusion, since most people will probably be watching on their TVs regardless of if they are streaming or not.
  11. Whammy
    This thread is strange.
  12. Whammy
    I went down a little bit of a Eduardo Beltre rabbit hole the other day and decided to look up where the top 5-10 OPS guys in the Dominican Summer League in each season from 2018-2021 are today. Let's just say... it's pretty ugly. Julio Rodriguez in 2018 was the only notable guy and there were a lot of "Status: Released" Fingers crossed that Beltre can buck the trend.
  13. Whammy
    I'm a math guy so I have a clarifying question on the EV90 stuff... Is EV90 the average of his top 10% of exit velocities, or is it literally the raw exit velocity of his 90th percentile batted ball. (ie. 30th highest velo out of 300 batted balls).
  14. Whammy
    After digging into it this afternoon a little, it appears that OAA for infielders does take throwing into consideration, but not for outfielders.
  15. Whammy
    When's the deadline for making a QO? "Alexa, set a reminder for November 19th at 3pm"
  16. Whammy
    Does OAA take into account throwing out runners? It looks to me it's just dealing with fielding of batted balls.
  17. Whammy
    On a related note, it's weird to me that both DRS and OAA don't have decimal places (they obviously do, but they aren't shown) Imagine if we reported WAR or WPA in just integers.
  18. Whammy
    Interesting.... and said a bit more simply.... The Twins only won 1 game all season where they scored less than 3 runs. That's actually pretty amazing.
  19. Whammy
    Wallner was 0 DRS last season (and -2 for his career), and right in the middle of the pack for players with more than 300 OF innings last season. Trevor Larnach was also 0 DRS I'm not going to tell you he's a GOOD defender, but "atrocious" in inaccurate. Austin Martin, however, WAS atrocious.
  20. Whammy
    As a lefty with elite velocity and an incredible slider, his ceiling is #1 starter. It's just that the likelihood of that outcome is far less than the other options you listed. Here is my percent chance outcome list: #1 starter - 5% chance #2 starter - 5% chance Other SP - 20% chance Elite RP - 25% chance Useful lefty RP - 15% chance Career wrecked because of injuries - 30% chance.
  21. Whammy
    Because I was curious, here is a list of all of the Lefty SP in MLB with a Fastball average velocity above 94 MPH. So yeah, I'd do anything possible to keep him as a SP until it becomes abundantly clear his body just can't take it.
  22. Whammy
    If he makes it through the health gauntlet to August as an innings-limited starting pitcher then I have ZERO interest in having him try something else (relief pitching) for the major league club the last month or two. Why would you take an incredible outcome (a healthy season) and introduce any chance of things going haywire for a relatively limited impact MLB role the last month or so? Not worth it. Take the 2025 win and continue his SP progression in 2026.
  23. Whammy
    I think you're misremembering the end of the Joey Gallo era. Farmer played very little until the end of the season and was actually pretty good then Margot... wasn't good and kept playing. So that applies
  24. Whammy
    Those three had zero value at the trade deadline. They moved Nelson Cruz at the deadline because he had value.
  25. Whammy
    I think most of us are really excited for the eventual arrival of Emma, but he has 197 career plate appearances above high A. None of us would be shocked if he's trying to knock down the door into the majors this year, but it is FAR FAR FAR more likely that he's just not ready for the majors yet
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