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Whammy

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Everything posted by Whammy

  1. Whammy
    I'm curious to see if that adjusts over the next handful of years because of the geographic realignment of MiLB
  2. Whammy
    I'll be honest, to me, LF vs RF is a horse a piece. I know there are subtle reasons why you would play a certain guy in one place rather than the other, but it seems very similar. So, I'll ask a question. If Buxton, Kepler and Kirilloff has never played at Target Field or for the Twins and you were starting from scratch, who would play where? Buxton, obviously in CF, but my gut tells me it would be Kepler in LF. He's a better defender than Kirilloff (probably), and I assume over the course of a season, more balls get hit to LF than RF, so why not maximize your defensive strength? Do we know how AK's arm is? I've always thought of Kepler's arm as just fine, but if AK's got a noodle, then maybe he'd be better in LF.
  3. Whammy
    I wonder if part of the issue was that his employer wasn't known until early Feb. Tough to get paperwork started when "EMPLOYER" is a field that you can't fill out.
  4. Whammy
    Correct. Got caught with weed at customs and basically got blackballed from entering the country after that. This has been reported by reliable sources, not just amjgt on Twins Daily
  5. Whammy
    Andrei Kirilenko would like a word
  6. Whammy
    I never thought about it until I typed that out... L and F are doubled up and defensively he plays LF That'll work great until I have to get a Kiri11obb jersey.
  7. Whammy
    The way I remember, is that the tall letters (L and F) are doubles.
  8. Whammy
    Maeda's contract is so good that you almost don't want to touch it, but just for the sake of argument what might be some options for a contract revision, that leave both sides happy. Current Contract: 2021-2023 Base Salary - $3M $250k for each 10 inning threshold from 90ip-200ip $1M for each of 15GS and 20GS $1.5M for each of 25GS, 30GS, and 32GS Opening day Roster Bonus of $150k What the Twins might want: Additional Years, Cost certainty What Maeda might want: Guaranteed Money If we look at a good year for Kenta, let's call it 30GS and 170ip. That would be $10.4M. With any sort of significant time missed, it's pretty easy for his salary to drop to $5M. And with a season ending injury, all he's really guaranteed is $3M The next three years are his age 33,34,and 35 season. So, it's not like you're dying to add on years. But what about something like: 4yr/32M + Team Option for $8M in year 5? Who says no to that?
  9. Whammy
    ESPN's top 100 prospect list just came out 15 - Lewis 22 - Kirilloff 37 - Larnach 57 - Jeffers 92 - Balazovic
  10. Whammy
    We don't know his questions/thoughts because he didn't mention him
  11. Whammy
    Worth noting: Last Week the same writer projected the Twins with the 12th best lineup (including the Cruz signing) The writeup for that piece says that bringing back Cruz has nudged the Twins ahead of the White Sox for the division which is funny because he's got the Sox a solid 3-5 spots ahead of the Twins in both Lineup and Starting Staff
  12. Whammy
    It's an Insider article (sorry) https://www.espn.com/mlb/insider/story/_/id/30861164/way-too-early-2021-mlb-starting-rotation-rankings Twins are 14th. I might quibble a little with that, but looking at the rotations above us, it's pretty hard to justify anything much higher than 10th (White Sox are 9th). Anyway my main sticking point is the Twins write up. He says the Twins lack an ace. OK. I guess you could argue that depending on what you think of Maeda. But the writer literally didn't mention Maeda in the writeup. He mentioned Berrios as someone who could ascend to Ace-dom. He says that Bauer might have been a fit. But not a single mention of the guy that finished 2nd in the Cy Young voting last year. Comments aren't available and the writer somehow isn't on social media (how is that possible, my man?), so I guess I'm suck asking you folks.... What the heck was Bradford Doolittle thinking?
  13. Whammy
    Seems to me that generally, PECOTA dislikes young players. So that's one thing going against Chicago. I can't say that I know Chicago's depth very well, but that tends to be a big variable with PECOTA based on how they dole out playing time. IP or AB isn't a variable that they consider in their percentile outcomes. Maeda pitches 150 innings in his 5th percentile season and 150 innings in his 99th percentile season (or whatever his IP number is). It's a flaw that if they had a great answer for, they would've implemented it. This indirectly forces depth to be more of an issue than it might be. So, if your depth is young guys and PECOTA doesn't like young guys.... that's one way to get the CWS to 83 wins
  14. Whammy
    My point is, you're treating it as more of a binary than it really is.
  15. Whammy
    MORE likely to be lacking. Very important word there. The Indians drafted four pitchers in the first round in the last decade and none of them have really amounted to anything. They acquired their pitching talent in other ways.
  16. Whammy
    This is one reason I half expected to scroll down and see Jeffers in the 75-100 range. Seems like just the type of guy Law would want to be "first" on. Although if I'm not mistaken, there was a list that had Jeffers top 100 earlier this offseason
  17. Whammy
    What is generally thought of the competition level of PR winter ball? Would someone who's played high A be expected to have great stats?
  18. Whammy
    I have no idea if they would hang up. Guessing trade values is so tough. But I feel like we'd be sacrificing assets that the Reds WOULD have interest in. And you don't have to squint very hard to see a path to the Twins losing that trade (not counting a pitcher blowing out their arm, or something). As for payroll? The three coming to the Twins in that trade, raise the payroll by 30M or so, which would put us around $120M. Spend another $8M on 2 veteran RP and 1 veteran utility man, then fill everything else internally. Boom 130M payroll, with a very solid lineup and the best SP rotation in the AL.
  19. Whammy
    Time will tell whether this all works our for the Padres, but as a sports fan, you can only dream about having a team you've followed your whole life pushing all their chips into the middle and having no doubt that they are 100% "going for it" It will be super interesting to look back in 10 years and track all of the prospects they've traded in the last 18 months. It would also be great to see a 2019 San Diego top 30 prospect list and see how many of them have been traded.
  20. Whammy
    What's not going to be fun about this year?
  21. Whammy
    Except that's not really how it was framed. If he isn't going to list them as starting SS and 2B, then they need to be listed on the bench. They can't just not count against the 16 roster locks he mentions at the end of the article.
  22. Whammy
    Yeah. The Cave lock is where he lost me. He's willing to set a very high bar for "lock" by leaving off Polanco and Arraez because of trades (certainly possible, but not likely). OK Fine. I disagree, but whatever. However then he still has Cave in there as a lock, ignoring the very real possibility that the Twins sign a 4th OF that's a better fit for this roster (Right-handed, plays good CF), which would likely mean Cave isn't on the roster.
  23. Whammy
    This is me, except for one big caveat. Sports fans are purposely being yanked around by these streaming services as they hot potato around streaming sports trying to get their hooks (read: automated payments) into new customers, only to yank the carpet out from under them in a couple months. The only reason that is possible is because MLB's local blackout rules need to be updated. I'm sure there are some contractual restrictions that are preventing this, but it needs to be figured out. I don't cord cut, but I understand people that do. But if you're paying significantly less money I don't see how you can expect the same service and/or stability. But you should expect SOME stability.
  24. Whammy
    Because I think obscene trade speculation is fun. Gray, Castillo, and Moustakas for Garver, Arraez, Larnach, Duran, Cavaco Not that I want Moustakas, but he's the price of doing business and he can slide in to replace Arraez at 2b. Garver's 2020 obviously sucked but his 2019 was incredible and the the Twins can afford to trade him to a team that can use him more. As for the prospects, who knows. Duran and Balazovich are a horse a piece and really I'd probably be willing to swap out Larnach and put in Lewis if they insisted (but i'd remove Cavaco in that case) This adds about 30M in payroll for 2021, but that's within the window of "payroll is going down, but not to 100M" As for the product on the field in 2021. Adding Castillo and Gray to Maeda, Berrios, and Pineda gives us the best rotation in the AL and they are both under team control for 3 more years (Gray has a 12M team option in 2023 and Castillo is in arb 1). Losing Arraez sucks, but you have to give some to get some and while we all love him, with his body type, it's possible that he turns into a minus 2b defensively while hitting an empty .320. Losing the prospects hurts, but you've pushed your 2021-2023 chips into the middle and sacrificing some of the future is worth it, IMO.
  25. Whammy
    I know this is absurd, but why not be absurd.... Castillo AND Gray
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