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Dennesey55347

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Everything posted by Dennesey55347

  1. Dennesey55347
    I'd do it. Obviously the Twins will make a respectable decision on equivalents. The org. has had little success developing non pitchers in the 2000's. Our offensive output has been ugly the last 2 years and it will likely be 3 next season. The only option is to run back the same game plan of a solid starting 5. Feed him, board him, and make a toast to the great Mr. Lee.
  2. Dennesey55347
    When your RBI leader in each of the last 2 seasons reached a paltry 66 RBI, runs leader wasn't much higher, and you K rate lands in the record books, the WS isn't remotely within reach. You need at least a few big, productive bats pitchers rightfully fear and a mostly disciplined lineup. Everyone on the roster is at best a tier 2 hitter. Only Lewis might be tier 1 with enough qualified plate appearances. Pitching this year 100% qualifies as a WS contender.
  3. Dennesey55347
    K's are easily forgivable when you excel in other ways. Take the disappointing Padres for example. Their top 5 are all easy starters on every MLB team with 105+ K's each and all carrying a WAR of 3+. No one in the Twins lineup can crack respectable run/RBI/hit/HR/walk totals, which makes their K rates pop even more. I would think our offense is one of the weakest (in total and star power) the playoffs have ever seen. They've had trouble all season with starters and expect whiff rates to stay high come playoff time but hope the Wallner/Slammin' Roycie combo platter gives us enough offensive magic to take us to the ALCS.
  4. Dennesey55347
    A birthday shout out to Jeffers, who has performed admirably with the stick this season. Well at least Vasquez's 2023 WAR is in the top 1/3 for catchers right now- better than a number of other team's starting C's.
  5. Dennesey55347
    Crazy how Buxton is propped up as "elite" or even great every season but 10 years from now, only maybe a handful of his faithful, local fans will reminisce in his career accomplishments.
  6. Dennesey55347
    Funny how lousy a bullpen looks when you have zero high-leverage hitters. The pen can almost never afford to give up a couple of runs now and then and just be above average overall- which should suffice. Reliever K's per 9, BABIP, HR's per 9, ERA, FIP, and WAR are all top-12 but they've lost the 2nd most games. The lack of consistent contributions in key spots every year from the bats leads to fans turning on the pitchers every single time (not that much of an exaggeration). Never understood how one could miss assessing the majority of the blame in the right place.
  7. Dennesey55347
    I suspect Arraez, Polanco, and Urshela (and maybe Sanchez early on) were the drivers of the OPS that fell a good bit short but approached league average last year. Betting with confidence Correa, Buxton, and everyone else posted something a few crust layers deep.
  8. Dennesey55347
    No need for me to comment on the original thread. This summed things up perfectly- been echoing your first sentence for a long while now. Can confirm Buxton has been a career liability in: close and late, bases loaded, RISP, etc. Only Arraez, Polanco, and Urshela were good last year with runners on but bases-loaded at bats have been too much for any Twin since....um.
  9. Dennesey55347
    The offense is light in pure hitters or high-leverage bats. Think about the last time someone went off and had a stat line like this: 4-5 with 2 doubles, a 3-run homer, and 6 RBI's. Not one instance last year or 2023. Only Arraez and Cruz were good enough to post a 5 hit or 6 RBI game a few times per season. I think Buxton's 2-5, 2HR, 5RBI, BB, 2R was the most productive game anyone could produce in 2022. Yikes. Gallo has a similar game this year and that's it. We'd need two Arraez's with decent power to be a legit playoff team...or the leagues best hitting coach to mentally and mechanically transform every player on the roster.
  10. Dennesey55347
    If I sent 100 people a baseball reference snapshot of Buxton's numbers (name redacted), I think the number of people jumping at the chance to add this unnamed player to their roster would be close to zero. It'll be interesting to see if a player going into his age-30 season can finally punch the clock full time in 2023.
  11. Dennesey55347
    Who needs aces when you're holding a hand full of Kings.
  12. Dennesey55347
    I went straight from this article to a Google search of the "top prospects" for 2024. Doesn't appear to be a future HOF but a franchise player is possible with our top 5 pick.
  13. Dennesey55347
    WIth a framer like Vasquez, who needs a free agent ace. A short, sweet, and good as always piece. Still need 3 more pieces to complete the off-season. I's also be OK with one year of lower-league turnstiling to determine legitimacy amongst the youngsters.
  14. Dennesey55347
    Correa has few weaknesses but nothing offensively over the top. If his numbers were in the zip code of A-Rod, or today's Harper, Machado, Alonzo, etc... Brinks time. But he's just very good at most things offense. Bottom line: offer 2-3 free agent (run producers) with the same productivity possibilities less money. Dropping all that green on 1 guy is not financially sound when he, or any Twin really, can't carry a team consistently. Rather steal away "you need RBI, I get you RBI" Jose Abreu and give him a few years, then add 2nd tier SS.
  15. Dennesey55347
    A better rebrand would include keeping the TC but having it stand for "Talent Committment". I'm in the "keep old logo" crowd after studying the side by side for a good 5 minutes.
  16. Dennesey55347
    This is the post I've been waiting for. Thank goodness someone finally sees what I've been preaching for years. Players make a name for themselves based on how they elevate their play in big moments. The Twins have nothing of the sort among position players. Having a few consistent run producers will negate a handful of subpar pitching performances. We have basr hitters all along the spectrum but they badly lack the ability to string hits together or crack a bases-loaded double/3 run bomb when the moment requires. I'll never forget this season specifically because of how often they crapped away game- turning chances. Position players Arraez, Correa, and Miranda. The rest may go.
  17. Dennesey55347
    As much as I want to see someone, anyone get the big hit when the pressure is on AND drive in some runs, Judge wouldn't trade in his mates for the Twins lineup or system. The MVP's most likely targets are the damn Dodgers or an up and coming current playoff team.
  18. Dennesey55347
    This question was an unintentional meatball. Tendency is to discuss ways he can change or improve. Rocco's style has multiple layers with enough "questionables" for me to want him removed entirely -along with key decision-makers. This team has zero promising bankable elements going into next year. Got to have at least 2 RBI machines with a pitching staff like ours to compete and we have nothing close Many other issues already discussed in the thread. 2023 is going to look similar at best.
  19. Dennesey55347
    A couple of 21 year-old call-ups who can put up 90 RBIs or a .380+ OBP in year 1 is too much to expect for the Twins I guess, so yeah, hope at least 2 of these guys prove to be fearless and productive all of 2023.
  20. Dennesey55347
    So many areas to scrutinize with the Twins this year. Outside of everything mentioned in comments/article, I couldn't help but think of a few offensive issues I've tracked all year. One being how incredibly rare it felt when any Twin cleared the bases or dropped a double when we needed one most. I feel like a minor uptick in this metric would have secured at least a few more wins. Our game-by-game RISP was lower than our opponent in what felt like 85% or more 2nd half games games. Plenty of hits, zero hero-ball. The best game performance ALL SEASON I could find all season was Buxton's 2-5, 2HR's, 2R, 5RBI night. I'm betting I could find 100 similar (or better) performances this year, including 4 guys from Toronto who matched/topped Bux's stat line above in ONE GAME. My take, trade/release all the core bats (minus Arraez), buy a few starters, and let the up-and-comers give it a go. Core is in the 28-29yo range and you already know what you've got, which is not enough to be a contender. It's too bad they will indeed keep them and guarantee the inevitable.
  21. Dennesey55347
    I'm done with the entire core. We need a complete makeover and a new vibe. Up you come, in-house youngsters and acquired bats. 7ish years is way more than enough time to see that current stocks will never bear the kind of fruit I'm hungry for. Keep Arraez. Everyone else: pack. House clean management as well. But do still invest heavily in the front line this off season.
  22. Dennesey55347
    Win prob, WOBA, Win shares, win shur-a-bility, and WAR are fine stats on an excel spreadsheet. Bottom line: does Buxton generate hits at a below average pace: Yep. Does he steal bases consistently: NO. Walks? NO. Drive em in? Only with the HR. Take smart AB's? Rarely. Is he someone I'd send up for a big hit in a close/late game? No chance. His effect is felt on this team but I'd take an auditorium full of players over him right now. Funny thing is he will be a footnote when he retires. He's on pace to Crack 1000 k's around the same time as hitting 1000 combined RBI/runs/walks. Yikes.
  23. Dennesey55347
    In early May, 2018, I suggested a Buxton trade based on apparent chronic health issues, HR or bust results, lack of stolen bases, etc. Unfortunately, WAR doesn't take into consideration whether a home run was in the 1st inning or the 9th, and how it affected game outcome. Very few of Buxton's were hit in high -pressure situations/game-changers. Also, his non-HR stats weren't pretty either. In over 300 non-HR at bats, he had something like a .181 average and less than 10 total RBI (I kept track but deleted my excel file). So, in short, we get a top-of-the-league defender 50% of the time who could've added significant value by stealing 40ish bases per season (vs 9-10) if he walked/hit more and wasn't injury prone, whose batting extremes are Death Valley/Antarctica, and a guy who isn't great at timing fence/wall catches- as we've seen, only takes one to land one on the DL. The annual contract value is about right for the risk here, but ultimately will not lift the Twins to the next level.
  24. Dennesey55347
    2-16 against the Yankees, Dodgers, and Astros. All bottom feeders except the Reds have more wins here (Reds better win% against these teams) Our RBI leader might finish with the lowest total in at least the last 20 years, and Miranda is outpacing everyone else's paltry sum. Who would you call in in the clutch? Zero Twins qualify. Consistency with the bat? No one but Arraez if singles are your jam. (Miranda looks legit but too early yet). Big hits were so spread out and rare I found myself in disbelief when someone finally mustered up enough courage. Yeah, I remember very few offenses in our history I've liked less
  25. Dennesey55347
    Twins top rounds draft history hasn't been very good at all, especially when it comes to big time RBI producers or expectations exceeders.
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