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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    Kepler, Polanco, Buxton, Jeffers, Miranda, Larnach, Wallner - and Lewis for that matter. Jury is still out on Julien and Lee, but there are others right behind them. You interestingly limited it to position players - add pitchers and the list gets longer.
  2. arby58
    You're joking, right? The Angels farm system is among the worst in baseball - and the Twins have 10 players likely to be on their 26 man roster with 3 or less years of big league experience, most of whom they developed. Minor league system rankings: Baseball America: Twins 8th, Angels 30th (last) Fan Graphs: Twins 18th, Angels 30th (last) USA Today: Twins 13th, Angels 25th ESPN: Twins 6th, Angels 28th
  3. arby58
    I think it's fair to say that if a Twins fan were asked to describe Royce Lewis and Byron Buxton in one word, it would be 'injuries.' Two words, 'talented, injuries.' Somebody already mentioned the definition of insanity (doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result). The yang to that yin is what you will find in any financial prospectus ('past performance is not an indicator of future results'). So who knows?
  4. arby58
    Nobody traded to the Angels is a lucky guy.
  5. arby58
    They all come with varying forms of 'ick.' The first three are 36-37 years old, and while each threw some innings last year (although Lynn barely averaged 5 innings a start and comes with his own special 'don't want to be here' baggage), there is a reason they are still looking for work. Heaney is 'younger' at 33 but was 5-14 last year. Why pay more when you have several younger arms who likely can replicate those levels of 'performance?'
  6. arby58
    Sorry to semi-hijack this thread, but lumping Gallo with Margot is not fair. Margot was -0.9 WAR last year, with an OPS+ of 76, and a bad defensive outfielder. Gallo had a +0.5 WAR and an OPS+ of 100, meaning league average, and a decent defensive player. They are not even close to comparable.
  7. arby58
    I doubt a pitcher who had a solid year last year (SWR) could really lose the spot to another starting pitcher because the other pitcher had an outstanding spring. Exhibit number one is Bailey Ober, who had an outstanding spring training two years ago and still found himself at St. Paul to start the year (eventually making it back). I think the same thing here. Absent SWR being abysmal and somebody else other-worldly, SWR will be in the starting rotation at the end of Spring training. That is the way the Twins do things, and in this case, I think that is the right way.
  8. arby58
    What did you think last year when they signed Carlos Santana? How about when they signed Brock Stewart? Willi Castro? Each of them had 'cast-off' references. It's pretty insulting to suggest that paid professional baseball talent evaluators are as you describe them.
  9. arby58
    There were 14 pitchers in the major leagues last year that averaged 6.0 or more innings per start. The Phillies and Cubs each had 2, so under this reasoning, only 12 teams had an 'ace' last year. It also means Max Fried is an ace and Sonny Gray is not. Sure, innings pitched is one thing - but not the only thing - to consider.
  10. arby58
    Miranda played some at second base every year from 2016-2021, and not since then. It appears the Twins determined he was not suited for second base. Given his size, that is not surprising.
  11. arby58
    Goldschmidt in particular is 37 and coming off a season where he put up a 98 OPS+. Miranda's OPS+ was 112.
  12. arby58
    You may be right about the 'trade' last season, but the hand writing was on the wall for Headrick when the Twins signed Danny Coulombe (who they didn't have at the 'trade' deadline). Headrick's 27, and in 28.2 MLB innings has put up a 1.43 WHIP - not a good number for a relief pitcher (or any pitcher, for that matter).
  13. arby58
    It really doesn't mean anything - it's just the Twins taking a flyer on him with absolutely nothing to lose. They don't like him, ,they aren't out anything, regular season contract-wise. It's somewhat surprising France agreed to the deal, but I suspect he looked around and didn't see any Twin at the position that he couldn't beat out if he has a good spring.
  14. arby58
    What prospects are the Twins 'hoarding?' They gave significant playing opportunities the last couple of years to former prospects Festa, Matthews, SWR, Varland, Julien, Lee, Lewis, Miranda, Martin, and Wallner. All these players have three years or less MLB experience. 10 out of 26 roster spots isn't exactly hoarding mentality.
  15. arby58
    When describing failed 'floor raisers' from last year, Carlos Santana isn't included, but a lot of skeptics last year saw him as little more than a Ty France type of signing. Mention is made of pooling all the resources for a Paul Goldschmidt type of signing - would that really raise the ceiling all that much? He is coming off a year where he posted a 98 OPS+ and, at 37 years of age, is more likely to be declining than adding to that.
  16. arby58
    Polanco was signed by the Twins and came up through their minor league system - that is some monumental hairsplitting. In 2019 Polanco was an All Star and finished 13th in MVP voting as a shortstop.
  17. arby58
    He WAS a major league shortstop - which is what was asked. Lots of players move from shortstop after being major league shortstops. You wouldn't say Ernie Banks or Alex Rodriguez were not major league shortstops because they eventually moved to other infield positions.
  18. arby58
    Jorge Polanco.
  19. arby58
    Keirsey has been older than his competition from the beginning, but his OPS doesn't give much confidence he will perform well in MLB. Age 21 (older than competition) OPS was .798. Age 22 (older) .736. Age 23 (older) .733. COVID was age 23. Age 24 (older) .733. Age 25 (older) .724. Finally, at ages 26 and 27 (still older) he put up .821 and .845 respectively. Detect a pattern here? Any MLB regulars who put up pedestrian numbers through seven years in the minors? I can think of any Twin from the past who fits that profile. He is what he is - likely a AAA-fringe MLB player.
  20. arby58
    I've wondered about Larnach at 1B as well. He's 6'4", so he'd have good reach. He's not a great arm in the OF, and that isn't really a need at 1B.
  21. arby58
    The Twins have taken a shot on plenty of young players - Martin and Lee last year, Julien and Wallner the year before, Larnach the two years before that. That said, the Twins have put a premium on experience at key defensive positions - primarily SS, CF, and C. That doesn't strike me as an unsound preference.
  22. arby58
    I didn't lead with the 13 ABs - the issue is he is going to be 28, and he really didn't start performing at AA and AAA until he was older than the competition. That isn't a formula that suggests MLB regular. You didn't address that.
  23. arby58
    Keirsey will be 28 in May, and it wasn't until he was older than average at AA and AAA that he really started to hit - that's not super encouraging. He was 2 for 13 with the Twins last year, so his 'cup of coffee' was lukewarm at best. I suspect the Twins talent evaluators have had plenty of time to figure out what they have, given that he's been in the system since he was 21.
  24. arby58
    I 'get' that he still has value - his 2023 was excellent - but I wouldn't be giving him a 26 player roster spot until he shows some growth in his hitting approach. He didn't exactly tear up AAA last year either.
  25. arby58
    It's hard to not have disdain for a pedestrian (at best) defensive player who had a 74 OPS+ last year. Even Margot was better than that (76).
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