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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    I meant to say Jeffers, not Wallner. The other catching options are worse - he has comparative advantage. BTW, Baseball Reference has him at 0.5 WAR for the year; Vazquez is 0.1 , is six years older and a free agent after this year. Who else do you think will get you positive WAR?
  2. arby58
    The Baseball Trade Values Trade Simulator says that Duran has a surplus value of 19.1 and Rushing 43.1. According to that simulator, that trade isn't happening
  3. arby58
    Somebody has to catch for the Twins - Wallner is as close to untouchable trade-wise as any tradeable position player.
  4. arby58
    Buxton has a full no-trade contract and, from everything I've read, is happy here and wants to be one of those rare one-franchise career players. He and Correa aren't going anywhere. I agree that Ryan is their most prized MLB tradeable asset at the moment - IF the Twins decide to shut it down, play-offs-wise, it would be interesting to see what kind of haul they could get for him.
  5. arby58
    There are 13 second basemen with a WAR higher than Clemens' 1.0 at this point in the season (according to MLB.com). Several are barely above it: Witt (3.4), Turang (2.6), Donovan (2.3), Horner and Marte (2.2), Chisholm and Torres (1.6), Edman, Gimenez, and Holliday (1.2), McNeil and Kim (1.1). Given the salary disparity with some of these players, I'm not sure the 'in tremendous trouble' claim is valid at the moment.
  6. arby58
    It's a long season, and, with a 1.0 WAR that is higher than all Twins batters save Buxton, Bader, and Jeffers, Clemens deserves plenty of opportunities to get back on track. Meanwhile, the Twins hitters with a negative WAR this year are Bride, Fitzgerald, Gasper, McCusker, Miranda, Julien, and Keirsay. My guess is Bride is the first out when the Twins next play 26-man roster musical chairs.
  7. arby58
    Hope is a great thing - never lose hope.
  8. arby58
    He was shining in college at 21 at Cedarville University, to the tune of 1 HR and an .871 OPS against inferior college opposition. Altuve, at 21, between A+ and AA, had 10 HRs and a 1.017 OPS. Eerily similar comps?
  9. arby58
    His first 4 years of college, he hit 6 home runs - total. 2023, 7, and last year 'broke out' with 12. I think he's 'filled out' by now at age 25, so expecting power is highly unlikely.
  10. arby58
    Eeles played 4 years of college against inferior competition. He did play a 5th year of college at a strong program (Coastal Carolina), but it's still hard to get super excited about a 25 year old prospect with little pop.
  11. arby58
    About the only thing Eeles and Altuve have in common is they're both short. Altuve made the majors at 21 without ever having played at AAA and has a career WAR of around 53. Eeles hasn't even sniffed the majors at 25. A more apt comparison would be Nick Gordon, who had some minor league success and also made his Twins debut at 25 years of age. Wasn't exactly a stellar MLB career.
  12. arby58
    Three MLB cast-offs for a MLB starting pitcher? Maybe throw in Camargo to really seal the deal.
  13. arby58
    Jackson's didn't leave the ballpark, as it hit the lights extension. It would have, sure, but it didn't.
  14. arby58
    I believe that was in an All Star game played at Tigers Stadium - and has been said to be the longest HR ever in the history of the All Star game (at least since they began recording HR distance).
  15. arby58
    I remember going to games at the Metropolitan stadium and seeing the orange seat - you had to see it to comprehend just how far (and high) from home plate it was.
  16. arby58
    He did - one of four players to do so: Cecil Fielder, Frank Howard, Harmon Killebrew, and Mark McGwire. Those all are/were some big dudes.
  17. arby58
    An interesting fact is that lots of teams this year (even good ones) have a hitting vs. pitching disparity. If you look at the top 10 teams in runs scored it is: Dodgers, Cubs, Cards, Yankees, Phillies, Diamondbacks, Red Sox, A's, Astros, Jays. If you look at the top 10 teams in ERA, it is Mets, Giants, Rangers, Royals, Twins, Tigers, Rays, Yankees, Padres, Astros, Braves. Only 2 teams (Yankees and Astros) are on both lists.
  18. arby58
    You forgot to add "A thousand times no."
  19. arby58
    No chance they're trading any pitching for hitting after the Lopez news.
  20. arby58
    Yeah, but they're called the Minnesota Twins, not the Minnesota MSA.
  21. arby58
    Fun fact: the population of the city of Winnipeg (783,000) is greater than the combined populations of the cities of Minneapolis (425,000) and St. Paul (304,000).
  22. arby58
    For all the A's faults (and there are many), they are a pretty good hitting ballclub. Among the 30 MLB teams, they are 6th in total bases, 7th in home runs, and 8th in batting average and OPS. The top of their order last night had OPS's of .797, .904, .795, and .805. That's not too bad.
  23. arby58
    He's doing ok. That said, if you compare Santana from last year to France this year, Santana is still generally ahead. I adjusted plate appearances (multiplied France's current output by 2.54 to get to the same number of PAs as Santana had last year). When doing that, France ends up with 1.8 WAR versus Santana's 2.5. France 60 runs vs. Santana 63. France 23 doubles versus Santana's 26. Big difference in HRs - as you note. France 10, Santana 23. France does have the edge in RBIs, 81 to 71, but he has a lower OPS (.710 versus .749) and OPS+ (100 to 109). The differences aren't huge, but they are nearly all in Santana's favor. What's also interesting is to compare Santana 2025 to France 2025 - Santana's WAR is currently double that of France (1.4 to 0.7). Of course, his salary is a lot higher as well, so that is a mitigating factor.
  24. arby58
    There is no way Boston will give up Duran for either Lewis or Lee - or even both. From the speculation on other websites, they have already gotten far better offers.
  25. arby58
    It'd take A LOT to acquire Duran. One trade rumor was the Guardians giving up elite relief pitcher Cade Smith and two top prospects - ranked 3rd and 6th best Guardian prospects by MLB. That would be the equivalent of somewhere between Jax and Duran and prospects like Keaschall or Emma Rodriguez and Marco Raya or Connor Prielipp. Given team control, Boston probably is the one who said ' need more' on the Guardians deal. San Diego has also been mentioned, as have the Mets.
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