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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    Fair enough - Ober was sick and nobody is suggesting he doesn't have a role (right?).
  2. arby58
    Bader seems to be hitting.
  3. arby58
    I get the general strategy, but 'Dobnak looked ok this spring' is glossing over his 'bleah' record in the MLB games that actually count. 135 IP, 9-12 W-L record, 4.99 ERA, -0.2 WAR, 84 Ks, 1.397 WHIP. I doubt you will find many MLB pitchers on 26 man rosters with that kind of a career stat line.
  4. arby58
    Where's the statistical 'evidence' for this? What are the 'better, slightly higher-volatility players' that Rocco has passed over?
  5. arby58
    If he has an April like Gallo's in 2023, the Twins will be very pleased.
  6. arby58
    That would make sense, as batting him fourth has three consecutive RH hitters.
  7. arby58
    Just a reminder of Dobnak's MLB career stat line: -0.2 WAR. 9-12 record. 4.99 ERA. 135 innings pitched. 84 strikeouts. 1.397 WHIP. Yuck.
  8. arby58
    That said, the thought of him being the 26th best player on the 40 man roster fills me with dread.
  9. arby58
    While I have provided a study to dispute this, I would also note that I also provided an analytical rebuttal (gymnasts, who are very muscular and very flexible). For that matter, the same could be said about college wrestlers, who are all very muscular for their weight and have incredible flexibility. The classic Greek method for supporting an argument is ethos (appeal to authority), logos (appeal to logic), or pathos (appeal to belief). I've provided both an authoritative and a logical argument - so it isn't exactly what I have done.
  10. arby58
    I'm pretty sure I know the research you are relying upon, and it is correlation, not causation-related. It also deals with injuries from poor technique in weight training, not weight training causing injuries in professional athletes. Meanwhile, I have just actually provided a study that resistance training can reduce injuries in athletes. Go figure.
  11. arby58
  12. arby58
    In other words, you assert but don't prove. Got it. Lazy? Mirror mirror on the wall...
  13. arby58
    This 'clearly stupid trend' is both not backed with evidence and makes no sense. Even when I was playing college sports, we had weight trainers with degrees in Kinesiology. You really think professional baseball teams don't know what you purport to know?
  14. arby58
    So explain it, don't just claim it. And link to it. You are making the claim, back it up. I played sports through college, and there were plenty of Kinesiology professionals on the sidelines and in the training rooms - and certainly more in pro sports. They all said the claim of 'muscle bound' injury susceptible weight training, when done right (and you really think they aren't doing it right with athletes of this level) is a myth. So bring on your research.
  15. arby58
    This 'brittleness' claim is nonsense. Perhaps the best physiques in any male sport are gymnasts - they are all extremely muscular, which is necessary because their routines require strength and bursts of activity that require fast twitch muscle mass. They are also extremely flexible - hardly the 'brittle' characterization you put on those who lift weights.
  16. arby58
    Best LOL of the day - thanks for that.
  17. arby58
    First, this 'ballplayers of yesteryear very seldom got hurt' is an assertion, not a fact. What aboutTony Oliva? Mickey Mantle? Sandy Koufax? Don Mattingly? Mark Fidrych? Second, the fact it is a myth has nothing to do with the injury history of ballplayers. You need only look at Bo Jackson, who was incredibly muscular. His baseball career was cut short by a hip injury sustained playing football - lots of muscles in the hip, right? His only major baseball injury was a dislocated shoulder while making a diving catch in the outfield - sound like a 'muscle-bound' injury to you?
  18. arby58
    This concept of being 'muscle bound' is a myth.
  19. arby58
    I don't get the love for Martin - what makes it 'probably not close?' He has 30 ABs (10th most) so far this spring, and a .581 OPS. Gasper has 29 ABs and an .881 OPS. Last year, Martin was clearly a negative - a WAR OF -1.0.
  20. arby58
    We already have two CFers. We don't need a third.
  21. arby58
    More of what I find to be bizarre - a commonly used stat is meaningless because you couldn't stomach the Ks. Meanwhile, what about OPS and OPS+ - they're worthless too, I guess. We'll just rely on the Bodie stomach line from now on.
  22. arby58
    Carlos Santana isn't a perfect comparison, as his decline could be considered age-related, but putting up a 2.5 WAR last year was a pretty exceptional bounce back - maybe the Twins saw something there? Keeping in mind that France's OPS+ was still above 100 in 2023, it is not outside the realm of possibility that 2024 was an injury-related anomaly.
  23. arby58
    I know Joey Gallo was everybody's favorite whipping boy in 2023, but some of the criticism of the front office for hanging with him strikes me as unfair. First, he was their most impactful hitter early in the season - he had an OPS over 1.000 for the first month of the season. He still was generally over .800 through the middle of June, and was over .800 as late as the beginning of July. He was in the .700s through the rest of the year. That doesn't sound like a player you 'quick hook.' His OPS+ for the year was 100 (i.e., league average), and his WAR for the year was 0.5 - above that of a replacement player. Yes, he struck out a lot, but he also led the Twins in HRs. I'm not saying he was great, or even good, but he was also not Margot.
  24. arby58
    It's pretty rare that a hitter, in his prime, would go from two seasons where he averaged around 630 plate appearances, a WAR of 3.8, and an OPS+ of over 126 and be entirely washed up two years later (unless injury-related). Health may well have been the primary issue last year. The Twins took a good chance, and it may well pay off.
  25. arby58
    Festa's big league performance (which wasn't really all that great) isn't the point, it was comparing minor league WHIP at the two levels. A+ comparison is far more than 40 innings, right? As for 'what I want' - if he really is a 'steal' ala that pitcher who hadn't pitched above A ball and the Twins stashed for basically two years, sure. Some people around here seem to think Tonkin, with a career 0.0 WAR is worthwhile because he can pitch multiple low leverage innings (which generally suggests the Twins are either well ahead or behind). If that's the case, I'd rather have this kid in that role than that old guy.
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