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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    The 'it won't take that long to be stretched out' flies in the face of actual practice. Any examples you can cite that 'it won't take that long?' Piggybacks are also hard on a bullpen. There is a reason teams don't often adopt this 'strategy' when constructing a bullpen or a way to deal with a starting pitcher going down.
  2. arby58
    I know SWR isn't as flashy and doesn;t throw as hard as Zebby - all he does is put up solid numbers. Last year, SWR was 7-4, 4.04 ERA, 107 Ks in 111.1 innings, a WHIP of 1.275 and WAR of 2.0. Last year, Zebby was 5-6, 5.56 ERA, 88 Ks in 79.1 innings, a WHIP of 1.487 and WAR of 0.2. For his career in those 254.2 innings, SWR is 12-10, 4.21 ERA and a WAR of 4.0. In the aggregate, that doesn't look too bad to me.
  3. arby58
    While I get your point, if the last two years have proven anything, it is that you need starting pitching depth at AAA. Given Festa's health issues, he might be the one I agree with you about moving to the bullpen, but having stretched out Matthews and Abel in St. Paul is at last some insurance when the inevitable starting pitching injuries manifest themselves.
  4. arby58
    Wanted: a defensively challenged Joey Gallo. Found him.
  5. arby58
    It was 181 plate appearances, which is basically 1/3 of a season. Hard to annoint him based on that, given that over his MLB career 438 plate appearances, he is -0.3 WAR. I'm happy with last year and agree he made great strides defensively in LF and is a decent baserunner. Handing him the starting LF spot based on that seems a bit premature.
  6. arby58
    I think you spelled reprise wrong.
  7. arby58
    The league average OPS in the AAA International League in 2025 was approximately .750 - how is a player with an OPS of .853 'just average in AAA?' He's on basically evey list of the top 100 prospects in baseball - again, that doesn't scream 'just average in AAA.'
  8. arby58
    The funny thing about Arraez is he really doesn't fit 'the small ball' model, because he is slow afoot. He's better suited to a team where he gets his single and the next 2-3 batters hit a home run.
  9. arby58
    Arraez is a singles hitter with little speed who, as a result, doesn't show up anywhere near the leaders in runs scored for a season. I get that people enjoy watching him battle at the plate, but that's about as far as it goes. There's a reason his market isn't developing.
  10. arby58
    While I agree with you on not trading Lopez, the chances of the Twins being able to extend Ryan are between slim and none - and if I were a betting man, I'd take the latter.
  11. arby58
    That was a beautiful swing. His physique reminds me of Harmon Killebrew. He's got a ways to go to match Harmon, who had a career OPS+ of 143 and OPS of .884 (not to mention the 573 HRs), but it's nice to dream of similar things from Emma.
  12. arby58
    You overlook the fact that makes it an apt comparison - he was out a full year after Tommy John surgery and was age 25 when they stuck him in the bullpen in 2023. Prielipp's delay in getting to the majors was not related to his lack of talent, it was related to injuries. Besides, I gave you almost a perfect comparison example in Soriano, and your response was basically 'give me more.' OK, how about Michael King? Pitched in 1 game at age 24, then was mostly a relief pitcher the next four years (114 games, 19 starts). Then, the last two years entirely a starting pitcher (and a good one).
  13. arby58
    Except it's not that rare, and my sense is it will become more common. With lower pitch counts in the minors, bringing up a guy with great stuff and sending him out for 1-2 innings the first year(s) makes sense. Take Garrett Crochet - started as a relief pitcher, then was out a full year, came back the following year as a relief pitcher, and then two full years as a (very good) starting pitcher. There are plenty more examples if you look for them.
  14. arby58
    How about Jose Soriano? In his first year in MLB (age 24) he was solely used as a relief pitcher. The next two years (2024 and 2025) he was solely a starting pitcher. That could be Prielipp.
  15. arby58
    Agree on Culpepper. Fedko had an excellent break-out year, but he's 26. I'd take the under on him being selected by another team.
  16. arby58
    Look up Seth Lugo, who hit the majors at age 26. 9.2 combined WAR the last three seasons as a starting pitcher between the ages of 33-35.
  17. arby58
    The point wasn't to compare Santana to anybody in the Twins minor leagues (Santana was the best pitcher in baseball in his prime) rather, that you 'can' go back to starting, even if you enter MLB primarily as a relief pitcher. There are other examples from other teams as well.
  18. arby58
    If you look back, most of the Twins closers were converted starting pitchers - Duran, Nathan, Aguilera, Perkins, Guardado, Hawkins, etc., etc.
  19. arby58
    Seems logical/reasonable. It's worth recalling that in Johan Santana's first four years with the Twins, he appeared in 97 games but only 41 as a starting pitcher. It wasn't until year 5 that he became purely a starting pitcher (and won the Cy Young award).
  20. arby58
    I would rather have Culpepper than Gasper on the 40 man.
  21. arby58
    My guess is 5. Jeffers, 4. Keaschall, 3.Lopez, 2.Ryan, 1.Buxton.
  22. arby58
    I'm not sure 'strong' is the word I would use to describe the Twins core. Inconsistent sounds closer to the mark. If you line up 2024 and 2025, Buxton is the only one who has put together two solid seasons, and even then, he missed 60 games in 2024 (but still put up a WAR of 3.6). Ryan had a great 2025 but missed much of 2024, Lopez was the opposite, great in 2024 but missed much of 2025. Ober battled injuries all year and had an ERA north of 5, Wallner's OPS was league average this year after a strong 2024, etc,, etc.
  23. arby58
    I think they hold onto Wallner, who, even with an up and down season last year has a career OPS+ of 127. My guess is he ends up DHing a lot. Larnach, on the other hand, has a career OPS+ of 101, and 1 more HR than Wallner for his career - in 635 more ABs. Yes, trade him for something serviceable. Martin might be their best trade bait, as he definitely showed significant improvement, both in the OF and at the plate. I doubt either Outman or Roden will get you much of anything in trade at the moment.
  24. arby58
    It's worth noting that both Brunansky and Gagne were acquired via trades. Bruno as part of a package from the Angels for Doug Corbett and Rob Wilfong, and Gagne with Ron Davis from the Yankees for Roy Smalley.
  25. arby58
    MLB doesn't include Abel on the Twins top prospects list presumably because they consider him to have too much MLB experience. Their list has Kendry Rojas at #5 - and I'm at least as excited by him as by Abel, albeit with a bit less experience. It's been some time since the Twins had a solid left handed starting pitcher.
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