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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    I still have a difficult time with the concept of a player who can only influence the outcome of a game 11 times out of 60 being the most valuable player. By that measure, I'd probably vote for Buxton, who positively impacted at least as many games, injuries notwithstanding. If it were 'best player' I'd vote for Maeda, but that's not the same as most valuable player.
  2. arby58
    It passes the eye test. I recall watching Dobnak pitch - even when he was winning games and getting people out - and the word that comes to mind is 'anxiety.' He doesn't miss many bats, and the 'pitch to contact' leaves little room for error. If he wore down or batters started figuring him out, the feeling was still the same - how will he survive this inning/this game? I sort of expected the same from Jeffers, at least at bat. From the start, the word used (solid) described him. In looking up the first full year of catchers in MLB, his stats (adjusted for at bats) look remarkably similar to Gary Carter's first year with the Expos. In 503 AB, Carter had 136 hits, 58 runs, 17 HR, 68 RBI and went .270/.360/.416 for an OPS of .776. Multiply Jeffers 55 AB by 9 and you would get 135 hits, 45 runs, 27 HR, 63 RBI, and he went .273/.355/.436 for an OPS of .791. Yes, I know about projecting the small sample size over 162 games, but for now, it's all we can do with 2020. If Jeffers has a career similar to Carter's, I suspect he and the Twins will be perfectly fine with that.
  3. arby58
    I get the impression this Twins team (and management) have sights set higher than winning the first round of the play-offs. In that case, it doesn't much matter what order you play them.
  4. arby58
    Excellent points. The stockpiling of young talent is also worth noting. We saw what Rooker could do when he was elevated - he was 'squaring up' pitches with the best of them. Still waiting in the wings are Lewis, Kirilloff, Gordon, Duran, etc. The future looks bright!
  5. arby58
    It's absolutely right that hunting down that elusive 'ace' is something of a crapshoot. Bumgarner is probably past his prime, never to return. However, the comebacks by Lance Lynn and Yu Darvish suggest that a crappy stat line one year do not necessarily mean you're forever damaged goods. Of course, in Lynn's case, he was also a jerk, so there's that. Sounds like Maeda is the 'real deal' on multiple levels.
  6. arby58
    The guy who has impressed me of late is Alcala. For one thing, you can count on him for two innings (not sure I would say the same about most of our bullpen), and there are times where that is at least desirable and maybe necessary. He's also young and on the upswing, sort of like Dobnak was last year. With the caveat that they all have done well this year and all are excellent component parts, I would probably drop Stashak and Wisler. Stashak is mostly injury concerns - if there are none, then I'd keep him and drop Clippard. With Wisler, I just don't trust a one pitch pony. Granted, you might say the same about Romo, but Romo has proven it in high leverage situations for a longer period of time. Clippard has done fine, but he is at the bottom of this strikeout list.
  7. arby58
    Buxton got the game winner, but Sano was in the middle of everything. He has been more impactful at the plate than any Twins player under the age of 40 for quite some time.
  8. arby58
    Sano is still the one that jumps out at me. He had 34 HR, 76 R and 79 RBI last year in 380 AB! Extend that out to over 500 and you get something like 45 HR with over 100 Rs and RBIs. That is a super-star year. Granted, he has to be able to keep himself in shape and healthy, and he's had problems with that. he still seems the candidate who has put up amazing half year (or less) stats on more than one occasion.
  9. arby58
    Last year, the three teams that won over 100 games in the AL were also the teams that scored the most runs - Yankees, Twins and Astros, in that order. Yes, it's great to have shut-down pitching, but it's also evident from this result that you can win a lot of games by scoring a lot of runs.
  10. arby58
    I don't understand how we 'learned anything' yesterday, other than that the Twins (like most of MLB) cannot spend like the Yankees - you just learned this? I wanted a pony when I was a kid, but I didn't get one either.
  11. arby58
  12. arby58
    Makes sense to move Lewis around, as Polanco is going to stay in the line-up and Arraez looks like the second baseman. Lewis is still likely a year away, at which point Cron's contract expires, and they could move Sano to first and Lewis plays third. Or, if Buxton can't get past his chronic injury issues, he could be in the outfield.
  13. arby58
    I don't think I've ever seen a runner so clearly out on what looked like it was going to be a bang bang play.
  14. arby58
    I'd take Nelson Cruz over any other Twins hitter in an RBI situation.
  15. arby58
    I will take it - two proven veteran relievers. Right now, a starting pitcher is only going to have about 12 more starts in the regular season. I'll take a solid reliever who will get into at least twice that many games. The Yankees seem to believe they can 'make it' with a starting pitching staff that averages 4 innings per game - I'd rather be the Twins getting more like 6.
  16. arby58
    I don't 'get' the Sano critics. The guy had a pretty darn good first three years in the league (at ages 22-24). For players not named Trout, that is impressive. Yes, last year was not good, but let's also give him some 'law of averages' benefit of the doubt. Right now, through 42 ABs, he has 5 HR, 11 RBI, 11 Runs scored. Sure, his average is around .230, but his OPS is 1.048. I'll take that in the middle of the line up every time.
  17. arby58
    Given the fact that Pineda missed an entire season, it's also possible he will get better as the year goes on. Three solo HRs isn't that big of a deal when you've got a big lead - much more important that he gave them 7 innings.
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