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arby58

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Everything posted by arby58

  1. arby58
    If the author were to drop the first sentence of paragraph one, the second sentence of paragraph two and then combine those paragraphs, then drop the first sentence of paragraph three, a lot of the 'loaded' nature of the political commentary would be neutralized. I'm a Democrat but still found those sentences, in this forum, to be unnecessary.
  2. arby58
    I don't see it as a big deal. I doubt that 'Prospects, minor-league free agents, and indie ball standouts pay attention' to this to the same degree as 'will they get the opportunity to get to the big leagues - and stay there if they perform?' Nor do I understand how this is 'outside the spirit of the game.' Every MLB player understands this is a business - trades, roster moves, etc. are made as business decisions.
  3. arby58
    Exactly right. The game has changed - I was looking at some Twins pitching stats. This is average regular season complete games by decade - with non-162 game regular seasons removed: 1960s: 47 1970s: 40 1980s: 27 1990s: 12 2000s: 6 2010s: 4
  4. arby58
    I like that feature as well - in fact, I plan to watch the game later today.
  5. arby58
    This gets repeated so often it has almost become a Minnesota urban legend, but it is not factual. Last year, the Twins were above the league average in average innings pitched per start, ranking 12th of the 30 teams at 5.3. The year before that (2023), they were third best in baseball at 5.6 average innings pitched per start. This year, they are currently slightly below the league average (5.3) at 5.2. People should let this one go - Rocco doesn't have the 'quick hook' many believe he has.
  6. arby58
    I suspect it is how he uses the fastball - he won't become a two pitch pitcher. Everybody needs to be able to establish a fastball, but you don't have to use it in certain counts or situations.
  7. arby58
    He's 20 years old - no need to hit the panic button in terms of promotions. If he plays this year at AA and next year at AAA with a later season call-up, he'll be 21 - the same age as Buxton. Torii was up for little more than a cup of coffee at 22, Kirby's first season was at 24.
  8. arby58
    Ryan first, Lopez second, but Buck might get the second spot. They should (with their record) get at least two players on the roster.
  9. arby58
    Interestingly, Luke Keaschall played 13 games at 1B in 2024 at Wichita, which was more than CF (11) or 2B (10).
  10. arby58
    At this time of year, any discussion of performance needs to carry the 'small sample size' warning label. We've seen both sides of how this can play out: Gallo started off really strong and then faded. Santana started off slow and then picked it up as the year went along. I think it is fair to say that when you offer little more than the league minimum to a player, you can't expect a lot more than average output. In that sense, given some of the performance to date, this looks like a solid move for the Twins. That said, they really need to find their 1B for the future, because France is serviceable but not super impactful.
  11. arby58
    Taking away 2 of 9 starts is not exactly a small percentage.
  12. arby58
    The tall guy isn't on the 40 man roster, so I doubt that is in the cards short-term.
  13. arby58
    They had two consecutive days off - pitching today shouldn't overly tax the bullpen tomorrow. My guess is that Duran, Coulombe, Sands, and Topa are all plenty available - none of them threw more than 11 pitches in a pretty stress free inning of work today. Agree that it's probably time to drop SWR in favor of Festa (still think he's ahead of Matthews in the pecking order).
  14. arby58
    I appreciated the humor, but the mindset that the Twins are a team that strikes out more than other teams is so 2023. Last year, the Twins had the 9th fewest Ks of the 30 MLB teams. This year, they are tied for 11th fewest.
  15. arby58
    Agree, although expecting much of anything in return (other than players similarly in need of 'a change in scenery') is Quixotic.
  16. arby58
    If the season ended today, the AL Central would have 3 teams in the play-offs - versus one from the east and two from the west. Detroit, Cleveland, and KC are not 'weak enough' in comparison to the rest of the AL.
  17. arby58
    Their starting/relief pitching will get them there - it's whether they can generate consistent offense to keep them there. Can't do it with just Buxton above .800 OPS.
  18. arby58
    Bader has been really good, and France has been acceptable - lots of people on this board who thought differently a few months ago. I know, it's a long season, but Bader also brings super defense to go along with good offense. Given the Twins credit for that pick-up.
  19. arby58
    Andrew Wiggins is not 'bad at basketball.' He's been in the NBA for 10 years and has a player efficiency rating of 14.7, where 15.0 is average. That's not great, but it's not bad, either. Granted, he hasn't performed like the first pick in the NBA draft, but he has been an All Star and has been a starter on multiple play-off teams. A better comparison would be, say, Delmon Young. Young had one very good year with the Twins, where he generated a 1.9 WAR. He had a negative WAR in 5 of the next 6 years, and his career WAR, over 10 years, was 3.2.
  20. arby58
    Welcome to the 2020s baseball, not just the Twins. Batting average isn't all that telling. Julien's .263 BA is far less important than his .381 OBP, .839 OPS (helped by his 16 HRs in 408 PAs) and 130 OPS+. Those are far more telling stats about a strong 2023 for Julien.
  21. arby58
    Fair enough, and he was good in his last start against Cleveland. I will concede this one. In that case, I don't think we will be seeing Zebby, unless one of the 5 current SPs ends up on the IL (in other words, probably sooner than we would hope).
  22. arby58
    Right, like everything, it depends. So, for example, if a player only puts up average numbers against older pitchers but suddenly puts up great numbers against players his own age, it may be that it took him time to 'catch up' which may be a good thing. Then you could have a player who puts up below average numbers against players his own age and then puts up strong numbers against players younger than him. That might tell you something. Yes, players get slotted at levels that isn't necessarily age dependent, but the slots can have significant variation in ability and where the player is in development. Thus, a younger player who ends up in, say, AA can be quite different in terms of readiness for one who took longer to advance through A+ and is now in his second year of AA. In those instances, it may well make a difference. Not always, but some of the time.
  23. arby58
    He hit 21 HRs his last year in college, so he must have some pop. The Twins didn't try to change Arraez into a power hitter, my guess is adding loft to his swing is not outside his comfort zone. Keaschall is a good example - he hit 15 HRs combined in the minors in 2024 after just 3 in 2023.
  24. arby58
    Lopez 'wasn't good' and 'had a rough season' based on what? He was 15-10, 4.08 ERA, 3.65 FIP, 1.192 WHIP, and a 2.5 WAR. If this is 'not good' give me 5 of them.
  25. arby58
    Paddock is 0-3, Twins are 0-5 in his 5 starts. 6.45 ERA, 5.93 FIP. 13 BB in 22.1 innings pitched. If this is fine, I shudder to think what 'not fine' looks like. 5 starts does not make a season, but with these results, he's never going to make it up on volume. I'd guess he gets another 5 to at least begin to turn it around. I'll take the under.
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