dex8425
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Everything posted by dex8425
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Assessing the Twins Trade for Chris Paddack
dex8425 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The FO has stated they're not done making moves. I believe that.- 86 replies
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- chris paddack
- brent rooker
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Assessing the Twins Trade for Chris Paddack
dex8425 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Paddack has already had TJ.- 86 replies
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- chris paddack
- brent rooker
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Twins Opening Day Preview: Joe Ryan vs Robbie Ray
dex8425 replied to Jamie Cameron's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
How many innings did Ray throw in ST games? Any idea how deep he could go in the game if he is rolling?- 9 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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Assessing the Twins Trade for Chris Paddack
dex8425 replied to Ted Schwerzler 's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
No way the Twins were going to go 7 years on Berrios. That's why he was traded. I do wish the Twins had signed Rodon for what SF gave him, or even Greinke on the Royals' salary.- 86 replies
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- chris paddack
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My point was not specific to Josh Winder necessarily, just that Manaea is a league average pitcher in terms of ERA. A league average pitcher is not super difficult to replace. Ryan was better than that last year (in a small sample size, of course).
- 262 replies
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- taylor rogers
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Manaea is a league average pitcher, with one year of control for a relatively high salary. That's why the haul was low. Manaea doesn't give the Twins anything in 2022 they couldn't get from Josh Winder, except more depth. That's why the Twins didn't trade for Manaea. Paddack's ceiling is way higher (I mean, look at what he did in 2019, he was the Padres opening day starter in 2020).
- 262 replies
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- taylor rogers
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Paddack had a really good FIP last year. He was the Padres opening day starter in 2020. He's 26 and was a top prospect. He's projected to throw 130 innings with an ERA in the low 4's in 2022. That's more innings than you're going to get from Rogers this year. Add in the cheap cost controlled 2023 and 2024 and that's why baseball trade values lists Paddack as much more valuable than Rogers. Rogers is a free agent after this year. Paddack will be in the rotation all year. Bundy and Archer will not.
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Sonny Gray is gonna win the 2022 Cy Young, lets go!!
- 262 replies
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- taylor rogers
- chris paddack
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They must be thinking somebody like Jhoan Duran will be pitching high leverage innings in that spot by the end of April. Duran's stuff is every bit as good as Rogers'
- 262 replies
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- taylor rogers
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Yep. Back mid-season would be best-case scenario. Should be able to throw innings in August, Sept and Oct.
- 262 replies
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- taylor rogers
- chris paddack
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Paddack is projected for 129 innings with a 4.4 ERA, so I'd say most people assume he will be good this year. And he's cheaply cost controlled until 2025. San Diego is certainly selling low on him trading him right now. He was a top prospect who was awesome his rookie year in 2019.
- 262 replies
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- taylor rogers
- chris paddack
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And the bullpen was actually better in the second half last year, when Rogers was out, right?
- 262 replies
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- taylor rogers
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How Long of Leash Will Chris Archer Get?
dex8425 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think he really had no idea and was just being a troll or a hater. Maybe he was thinking of someone else. Gray is legit. Would be a playoff starter on any team in MLB.- 39 replies
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- chris archer
- ja happ
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How Long of Leash Will Chris Archer Get?
dex8425 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Did you realize that Archer pitched in Tampa last year? He barely pitched because of injury. When he did pitch, he wasn't very good. I don't think he'll suddenly become 2015 Chris Archer again. But really all we need from him this year is 120+ innings with an ERA somewhere in the 4's and I don't think that's too much of an ask. His stuff looks good.- 39 replies
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- chris archer
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How Long of Leash Will Chris Archer Get?
dex8425 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Gray was very good last year and every year with the Reds, actually. He actually had more WAR than Berrios in 2021.- 39 replies
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- chris archer
- ja happ
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Offseason Status Update: Is That It?
dex8425 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
As long as Buxton, Correa and Polanco are on the field, I'll take the over on the vegas 81 win prediction for this team. Yep, the rotation is suspect, but it can't possibly be as bad as last year, and we have arguably the best up-the middle in MLB. AK for a whole season and Sano in shape will help too.- 32 replies
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- chris archer
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Offseason Status Update: Is That It?
dex8425 replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He started real slow last year too. Hope that doesn't happen again because with the current schedule we really need to make hay in May and be above .500 by June 1 so the FO doesn't sell at the deadline.- 32 replies
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- chris archer
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Yeah he wouldn't move the needle much for me. Last two years Manaea was basically a league average pitcher-that's valuable, but is it really a lot more than we could get from Josh Winder? Or Drew Strotman? Or Cole Sands? Or Devin Smeltzer?
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Coulombe Makes Opening Day Roster, Godoy DFAd
dex8425 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Rooker was awesome in 2020, then broke his wrist when he got hit by a pitch. Last year he was terrible but also played hurt, supposedly.- 34 replies
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- danny coulombe
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Was about to mention Colon. Also had R.A. Dickey, but he was here BEFORE he was good.
- 32 replies
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- chris archer
- brian fuentes
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I have been following it too. Love pretty good episodes especially. I forgot if they mentioned anything about 1986 Stieb though.
- 31 replies
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- joe ryan
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My two takeaways: 1. Wow, Ryan only had 12 strikeouts? 2. What happened to Dave Stieb in 1986? Led the 1980's in pitcher WAR (by quite a bit) and 1986 is a huge anomale-7 great seasons before 1986 and 5 good seasons after 1986? If he isn't awful in 1986 he's probably in the HOF now. Injury?
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- joe ryan
- rocco baldelli
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Celestino, Beckham Sent to Minor-League Camp
dex8425 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I was going to say Sano isn't THAT bad defensively but then I looked at his defensive metrics from last year. He is second to last in MLB in 2021 among first basemen with negative 6 outs above average. Max Muncy is at plus 7, so if you put Kiriloff at 1b every day, theoretically you're gaining about 10 runs over the course of the season. Kirilloff was at plus 2 but fewer opportunities obviously.

